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About Medford mail tribune. (Medford, Or.) 1909-1989 | View Entire Issue (April 2, 1957)
MEDFORD (OREGON) MAIL TRIBUNE THREE Tueiday, April 2, 1957 Population Editor'a nnfn? 7vtrmlv rinlinonn. lation growth poses major economic problems tor tne United Stales, and even more ominous problems for less wealthy areas of the world. The situa tion Is explored In a series of three articles by Louis Cassels. United Press correspondent. The first article tells how population growth will affect the United States in the next 20 years, the second deals with the problem in under - developed countries and the third deals with the worldwide search for new methods of birth control. By LOUIS CASSELS United Press Correspondent Washington (U.P.) The popu lation of the United States is growing much faster than ex perts expected. It already has passed the "peak" it was sup posed to reach in 1990. The present rate of popula tion increase 1.7 per cent a year is more than double that of the 1930s. If it keeps up America will have more than 228 million persons to feed, clothe, house, educate, employ and transport by 1975. These facts now are receiv ing earnest attention at the high est levels of government and business. They have, in the words of Dr. Joseph S. Davis of President Eisenhower's Council of Economic Advisers, "profound significance" for the future of the nation and for each indi vidual who will be hunting a job, going to college, buying a home or building a factory in the next 20 years. Some Results Obvious Some results of the baby boom which has been underway since World War II already are obvious, in overcrowded ele mentary schools and mushroom ing suburban housing develop ments. But other important im plications of the rapid popula tion growth "are not yet widely appreciated," Davis said in an interview. Davis, a former professor at Stanford University, is widely known among scholars as a spe , cialist in population trends and their economic impact. He has been a member of the Presi dent's three-man Council of Eco nomic Advisers since 1955. Until a few years ago, Davis said, virtually all authorities thought that the United States had reached the end of its long period of population expansion, and that the latter half of this century would bring a station ary or declining population. The wartime jump in birth rates was regarded as purely temporary. As late as 1946, the Census Bureau forecast that the U.S. population would be 153 million in 1960 and Vould reach an ultimate peak of H4.5 million about 1990. Baby Boom Cotaes But the baby boom continued and still shows no sign of a let-down. The population shot past the 164.5 million mark in 1955, 35 years ahead of sched ule. It now is just over 170 onillion. By 1960, it is expected 0to reach 180 million. Barring a catastrophe, such as atomic war, cit will pass 200 million before 1970, and will continue to climb with no peak in -sight. Without making any attempt to' guess future birth rates, Davis pointed out some of the ways in which U.S. life will be affected simply by the grow ing up of babies already born: There will be a sharp increase in consumer demand starting in a few years, as postwar chil dren reach their teens. Teen agers eat more, they spend more for clothes and ntertainment. They buy used ctrs, cigarettes, ; GET OUT THE SVAT?S Elizabeth, N.J. U.R) Future generations may have no means to get rid of flies other than swatting them. Dr. Ralph E. Heal, executive secretary of the National Pest Control associa tion, says insects are developing Immunities to certain insecti cides and it is only a question of time before they'll be immune to all of them. TEMPTING INDEED Is Roberta Erown's invitation to a 44-mile Apple Blossom tour through the Redwoorf Empire around Sebastopol, Calif. Sebastopol celebrates Apple Blossom Time April 13-22 when the blossoms are at their prettiest in Sonoma County, j sssfer3ssmmmssssmssssssai Growth in United States Already 33 Years Ahead record-players and sports equip ment. This increased demand will be a stimulus to economic expansion. The number of boys and girls reaching their 18th birthday the traditional age for going te college or starting to work will climb rapidly in the 1960s. Competition for jobs, especially the kind of jobs that offer a good beginning ior a career, is likely to be intense. Getting into college may be even harder than finding a job. Population pro jections indicate that U.S. col leges will have to double their capacity in the next 15 years if they are to handle the tidal wave of applicants approaching their doors. the median age for marriage now is slightly over 20. As suc cessive waves of postwar chil dren arrive at this threshhold age, there will be a big jump in the annual rate of "house hold formations." This is an economist's term for newly married couples who enter the market for homes, furniture and appliances. More household for They'll Do It Every Time Hlff TVWt CAEAP-JOWH I -n-llMK HE PICKS UP TUET SEE DOES EVERyn-IINlG I COrtPETTI THE CONDUCTOR. J ' 97 WSMT TWEGE-TUE TO BEAT THE PUMCUES OUT AHD PASTES J A CONDUCTOR THIS R04D EXCEPT RIDE k IT BACK OH dlS TICKET- I 4 MORNlKiG PUrJCHEO THE RODS-" rj1 , , r,t 'S 4 LOOKS LIKE "TWO MOLES P11 1 1 1 j UE GOT CURED OPf MlM GMlUTUE I fF7 i but its ofJL.yoME-i r hidimgih tmewsu-R engineer tue I WOULDMT MIND BUT FgJ ROOM THEY LOCKED V LOX3 GClPSO'S m 1 I DOMT H4PPENI TO JglS f ME COULD RIDE ) U. WljMgtlW. SING TEA HUES TNPIC7 In.. WOULD HICHT3 USLlVtllLt. )fllltt: SUBMIT, N.J. nfiWjSSi The Family Council Editor's not: The Family Council consists of a Judge, a psychiatrist, threa clergymen, a newspaper editor, a women's editor, and two writers Each article is a summary of an actual reports The Family Council does not give advice; It merely reports on problems that have been dealt with by responsible agencies and counselors. Karen L. My sister doesn't know how to handle her hus band. June S. I want him to know I have confidence in him. Karen L. My younger sis ter and I are both in our mid 205, and married. We have al ways been very close and we were very unhappy when June and her husband had to move quite far away. We promised to write regularly and tell all the little details of our lives. Well, we weren't away six months when June's letter start ed getting shorter and less reg ular. She said she and her hus band and baby were fine and that was that. I began to worry and decided to pay them a sur prise visit. June almost collapsed when she saw me. I discovered that half of the little she had told me was untrue. Her husband is shiftless and lazy and drinks too much and she lives in a terrible apartment in a poor section of town. She hasn't a decent dress to put on. I feel she ought to leave her husband, or at least come back to our home town, so I can keep an eye on her and that husband of hers. She doesn't seem to know how to handle him. Just the same, she wants to stay where she is and keep her "pride" as she calls it. June S. I know I'm a great disappointment to Karen and my parents, but I don't want to be a drag on them as well. I know my husband and I'm afraid he'll come to depend on them for jobs or money. I don't want to leave Roy be cause, in spite of everything, I do love him. I feel he has had some bad breaks here and even tually he will change. I want him to know I have confidence in him. In spite of what anyone else may think, he is not really shiftless and lazy. He is just easily discouraged and tends to drink too much when he has problems. I man t want Karen to see the way we were living and I don't want the folks back home to know. Karen seems to think I ought to be stricter and tough er with my husband, and she would supervise me on every step, the way -she always has Maybe 1m just a wuiure as a wife, but I can't see what good will come of nagging and carry ing on the way Karen thinks 1 should. Pride has a lot to do with it, but it's not the only reason why I want to stay where we are. The Council: June should be less humble in her attitude to ward Karen. Her sister had no right to spring a surprise visit or to tell her to leave her hus band and tell her how to man mations means a rise in demand for housing and durable goods. Serious Threat Some economists, such as Prof. Joseph J. Spengler of Duke University, believe that rapid population grpwth poses a serious lBg-range threat to U.S. pros perity. They foresee growing shortage of natural resources, ris-ig cests of production as the pressure f demand forces in dustry t0 tap sub -marginal sources of raw materials, and a general downward slide in liv ing standards. Davis does not share this pes simistic outlook. He believes that America's long-range in crease in productivity, which has been averaging 3.5 per cent a year, or about double the rate of population growth, can con tinue to raise living standards. He is also confident that scien tific and technological advances will open up new sources of raw materials, as in the past. "The economic problems of enlarging material resources to meet strong demands are the sort that Americans delight to age him. "I know I m a great disap pointment to Karen and my par ents," declares June with a guil ty air. But she has nothing to feel guilty or ashamed about. She is trying to understand the man she loves and to make a home with him. She has abso lutely no reason to consider her self "a failure as a wife." She shows that she has a lot of in telligence and courage, and there is every reason to believe she'll make a success of her marriage. June may need' help with her husband's drinking problem, but she doesn't need Karen's kind of help. She might suggest that her husband join AA or see a physician or family counseling agency. June is right to stick by her pride, her confidence and her privacy, and Karen should withdraw frsm her sister's per sonal affairs. (CopyrJgh-t 1957, General Fea-t-ur-ei Corp4 Reported in Medford Medford had 45 cases of measles during the week ending March 29, Dr. A. Erin 'Merkel, public health physician, reported today. Ashland had one ease of measles, Central Point seven and Phoenix one. Other communicable diseases reported for the week included pneumonia, Medford two; chick en pox, Medford 15, Ashland eight, Central Point one, and Eagle - Point one; strep throat, Medford one;- rheumatic fever, Eagle Point one; ring worm f scalp, Ashland two, Medford one; influenza, Medford, three Rogue River three and Eagle Point one; impetigo, Jackson ville one; infectious mononucle osis, Medford three; mumps. Cen tral Point one; scartlet fever, Central Point one; and infec tious hepatitis, Sams Valley 0ae. Tree Tax Study Groups Holds Meet The Orchard Tree Tax stu&y group met Friday afternoon for another in a series of meethts to study a system for the ap praising of orchard trees. Several -local orchardists at tended the meeting and heard a discussion on findings by the study group. The study group, which works in cooperation with the state tax commission and the board of equalization, rrolds meetings to discuss their findings with inter ested persons in the area. Howard Bush is chairman . solve," he said. Stimulus to Business He noted that a growing popu lation acts as a stimulus to busi ness: There is more incentive to invest in plant expansion if you know the future market will be larger. And the fact that the number of consumers is growing tends to bail out, in the -long run, those industries which ex pand too rapidly through mis calculation of current demand. Thus a growing population can serve as insulation against seri ous depressions. But Davis said population growth is no automatic guaran tee against short-run "adjust ments" in the economy, some of which could be painful. No one can say with certainty, for example, that the expansion of consumer demand which lies ahead fast enough to avoid the possibility of considerable un employment at some point in the expansion of the labor force. Feeding the increased popula tion, Davis said, will be "the least of our worries." U.S. agri culture, which keeps piling up By Jimmy Hatlo Senate Confirms Zwicker Promotion Over Objections Washington ty.R) The Senate has confirmed the promotion of Brig. ,Gen. Ralph W. Zwicker over objections of his old foe, S e n. Joseph R. McCarthy (R Wis). The roll call vote was 70 to 2. Only McCarthy and Sen. George W. Malone (R-Nev.) voted against the general's promotion. Said Guilty of Perjury McCarthy charged that Zwick er was "guilty of perjury" before a Senate subcommittee. He told the Senate that "the White House and the Pentagon brought tremendous pressure to bear" on members of the Armed Services Committee to approve Zwicker's promo tion to temp orary major general and perman ent brigadier general. McCarthy's challenge of the Armed Services Committee was taken up immediately by Chair man Richard B. Russell (D-Ga.). He told McCarthy: "I concluded there was not sufficient substance in the mat ter to warrent the charge of pre j ury. There was not any -evidence in this record that would stand in a court of law for two min utes." Urged To Reject Promotion McCarthy urged the Senate to reject the promotion of the Wisconsin-born general, whose 1954 clash with McCarthy helped bring on the sensational Army McCarthy hearings. McCarthy charged that Zwick er "prejured himself before a congressional committee" in 1955 when it was questioning the gen eral about his role in the promo tion and honorable discharge of former Maj. Irving Peress, an Army dentist accused by Mc Carthy of being a Communist. SCORNING a film role which would make her appear bald, as above, Zsa Zsa Gabor turned down a Hollywood, offer. (International) surpluses despite stringent gov-1 eminent controls on planting, is caDabl of enormous expansion of output. Some "adjustments For All Your wiMs new COLOR HARMONY BOOSC -lakes he guesswork ouf of decorafmg7' We'll lend you the Color Harmony Book . . . FREE. You'll see 1500 lovely Super Kem-Tone and Kem-Glo color schemes that can make your decorating so easy and bring new life to your home! llleafaatts frealigfctef eete, street aad lafcllgtrh, Made tram tpcriaflr prepared and finished aoa-ferrous white metml chat wtil ace rust or tarnish in any kind of weather. Finished tn a rmxi-hammered effect chat makes them vtBbto M bom thy. Jft-. 214-, 114- .am. MAKE TOO! Fiber Glass Materials! For boat builders or boating enthusiasts, we have a good stock of, materials for fiber glassing your boat. Heavy weight chrome glass cloth in AA" or 60" width. Non sagging resin in either clear or colored. TREE SEAL For grafting or protecting large pruning cuts. Excludes disease and insects. 93 Quarts... $1 on Gals.... 1. 07 Ull for Only M.tS. jt aL eoonir ,,,-., "FIOATIMO BETTER action THAN " eovpRrie EVERI WovojrmdKoma jkf pnndenfty of has. g 100horsarKirbrusK Jf rotates en 1500 S.P.M. Cfg no wiping nnenssory. 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