MEDFORD (OREGON) MAIL TRIBUNE THREE
Tueiday, April 2, 1957
Population
Editor'a nnfn? 7vtrmlv rinlinonn.
lation growth poses major economic
problems tor tne United Stales, and
even more ominous problems for less
wealthy areas of the world. The situa
tion Is explored In a series of three
articles by Louis Cassels. United Press
correspondent. The first article tells
how population growth will affect the
United States in the next 20 years,
the second deals with the problem in
under - developed countries and the
third deals with the worldwide search
for new methods of birth control.
By LOUIS CASSELS
United Press Correspondent
Washington (U.P.) The popu
lation of the United States is
growing much faster than ex
perts expected. It already has
passed the "peak" it was sup
posed to reach in 1990.
The present rate of popula
tion increase 1.7 per cent a
year is more than double that
of the 1930s. If it keeps up
America will have more than
228 million persons to feed,
clothe, house, educate, employ
and transport by 1975.
These facts now are receiv
ing earnest attention at the high
est levels of government and
business. They have, in the
words of Dr. Joseph S. Davis of
President Eisenhower's Council
of Economic Advisers, "profound
significance" for the future of
the nation and for each indi
vidual who will be hunting a
job, going to college, buying a
home or building a factory in
the next 20 years.
Some Results Obvious
Some results of the baby
boom which has been underway
since World War II already are
obvious, in overcrowded ele
mentary schools and mushroom
ing suburban housing develop
ments. But other important im
plications of the rapid popula
tion growth "are not yet widely
appreciated," Davis said in an
interview.
Davis, a former professor at
Stanford University, is widely
known among scholars as a spe
, cialist in population trends and
their economic impact. He has
been a member of the Presi
dent's three-man Council of Eco
nomic Advisers since 1955.
Until a few years ago, Davis
said, virtually all authorities
thought that the United States
had reached the end of its long
period of population expansion,
and that the latter half of this
century would bring a station
ary or declining population.
The wartime jump in birth
rates was regarded as purely
temporary. As late as 1946, the
Census Bureau forecast that the
U.S. population would be 153
million in 1960 and Vould reach
an ultimate peak of H4.5 million
about 1990.
Baby Boom Cotaes
But the baby boom continued
and still shows no sign of a
let-down. The population shot
past the 164.5 million mark in
1955, 35 years ahead of sched
ule. It now is just over 170
onillion. By 1960, it is expected
0to reach 180 million. Barring
a catastrophe, such as atomic
war, cit will pass 200 million
before 1970, and will continue
to climb with no peak in -sight.
Without making any attempt
to' guess future birth rates,
Davis pointed out some of the
ways in which U.S. life will
be affected simply by the grow
ing up of babies already born:
There will be a sharp increase
in consumer demand starting in
a few years, as postwar chil
dren reach their teens. Teen
agers eat more, they spend more
for clothes and ntertainment.
They buy used ctrs, cigarettes,
; GET OUT THE SVAT?S
Elizabeth, N.J. U.R) Future
generations may have no means
to get rid of flies other than
swatting them. Dr. Ralph E.
Heal, executive secretary of the
National Pest Control associa
tion, says insects are developing
Immunities to certain insecti
cides and it is only a question of
time before they'll be immune
to all of them.
TEMPTING INDEED Is
Roberta Erown's invitation
to a 44-mile Apple Blossom
tour through the Redwoorf
Empire around Sebastopol,
Calif. Sebastopol celebrates
Apple Blossom Time April
13-22 when the blossoms are
at their prettiest in Sonoma
County, j
sssfer3ssmmmssssmssssssai
Growth in United States Already 33 Years Ahead
record-players and sports equip
ment. This increased demand
will be a stimulus to economic
expansion.
The number of boys and girls
reaching their 18th birthday
the traditional age for going te
college or starting to work
will climb rapidly in the 1960s.
Competition for jobs, especially
the kind of jobs that offer a
good beginning ior a career, is
likely to be intense. Getting into
college may be even harder than
finding a job. Population pro
jections indicate that U.S. col
leges will have to double their
capacity in the next 15 years if
they are to handle the tidal
wave of applicants approaching
their doors.
the median age for marriage
now is slightly over 20. As suc
cessive waves of postwar chil
dren arrive at this threshhold
age, there will be a big jump
in the annual rate of "house
hold formations." This is an
economist's term for newly
married couples who enter the
market for homes, furniture and
appliances. More household for
They'll Do It Every Time
Hlff TVWt CAEAP-JOWH I -n-llMK HE PICKS UP TUET
SEE DOES EVERyn-IINlG I COrtPETTI THE CONDUCTOR. J '
97 WSMT TWEGE-TUE TO BEAT THE PUMCUES OUT AHD PASTES J
A CONDUCTOR THIS R04D EXCEPT RIDE k IT BACK OH dlS TICKET- I
4 MORNlKiG PUrJCHEO THE RODS-" rj1 , , r,t 'S
4 LOOKS LIKE "TWO MOLES P11 1 1 1 j UE GOT CURED OPf MlM GMlUTUE I fF7
i but its ofJL.yoME-i r hidimgih tmewsu-R engineer tue
I WOULDMT MIND BUT FgJ ROOM THEY LOCKED V LOX3 GClPSO'S m
1 I DOMT H4PPENI TO JglS f ME COULD RIDE ) U.
WljMgtlW. SING TEA HUES TNPIC7 In.. WOULD HICHT3 USLlVtllLt. )fllltt: SUBMIT, N.J. nfiWjSSi
The Family Council
Editor's not: The Family Council consists of a Judge, a psychiatrist,
threa clergymen, a newspaper editor, a women's editor, and two writers Each
article is a summary of an actual reports The Family Council does not give
advice; It merely reports on problems that have been dealt with by responsible
agencies and counselors.
Karen L. My sister doesn't
know how to handle her hus
band. June S. I want him to know
I have confidence in him.
Karen L. My younger sis
ter and I are both in our mid
205, and married. We have al
ways been very close and we
were very unhappy when June
and her husband had to move
quite far away. We promised to
write regularly and tell all the
little details of our lives.
Well, we weren't away six
months when June's letter start
ed getting shorter and less reg
ular. She said she and her hus
band and baby were fine and
that was that. I began to worry
and decided to pay them a sur
prise visit.
June almost collapsed when
she saw me. I discovered that
half of the little she had told
me was untrue. Her husband is
shiftless and lazy and drinks too
much and she lives in a terrible
apartment in a poor section of
town. She hasn't a decent dress
to put on. I feel she ought to
leave her husband, or at least
come back to our home town, so
I can keep an eye on her and
that husband of hers. She doesn't
seem to know how to handle
him. Just the same, she wants
to stay where she is and keep
her "pride" as she calls it.
June S. I know I'm a great
disappointment to Karen and my
parents, but I don't want to be
a drag on them as well. I know
my husband and I'm afraid he'll
come to depend on them for
jobs or money.
I don't want to leave Roy be
cause, in spite of everything, I
do love him. I feel he has had
some bad breaks here and even
tually he will change. I want
him to know I have confidence
in him. In spite of what anyone
else may think, he is not really
shiftless and lazy. He is just
easily discouraged and tends to
drink too much when he has
problems.
I man t want Karen to see
the way we were living and I
don't want the folks back home
to know. Karen seems to think
I ought to be stricter and tough
er with my husband, and she
would supervise me on every
step, the way -she always has
Maybe 1m just a wuiure as a
wife, but I can't see what good
will come of nagging and carry
ing on the way Karen thinks 1
should. Pride has a lot to do
with it, but it's not the only
reason why I want to stay where
we are.
The Council: June should be
less humble in her attitude to
ward Karen. Her sister had no
right to spring a surprise visit
or to tell her to leave her hus
band and tell her how to man
mations means a rise in demand
for housing and durable goods.
Serious Threat
Some economists, such as
Prof. Joseph J. Spengler of Duke
University, believe that rapid
population grpwth poses a serious
lBg-range threat to U.S. pros
perity. They foresee growing
shortage of natural resources,
ris-ig cests of production as the
pressure f demand forces in
dustry t0 tap sub -marginal
sources of raw materials, and
a general downward slide in liv
ing standards.
Davis does not share this pes
simistic outlook. He believes
that America's long-range in
crease in productivity, which
has been averaging 3.5 per cent
a year, or about double the rate
of population growth, can con
tinue to raise living standards.
He is also confident that scien
tific and technological advances
will open up new sources of
raw materials, as in the past.
"The economic problems of
enlarging material resources to
meet strong demands are the
sort that Americans delight to
age him.
"I know I m a great disap
pointment to Karen and my par
ents," declares June with a guil
ty air. But she has nothing to
feel guilty or ashamed about.
She is trying to understand the
man she loves and to make a
home with him. She has abso
lutely no reason to consider her
self "a failure as a wife." She
shows that she has a lot of in
telligence and courage, and there
is every reason to believe she'll
make a success of her marriage.
June may need' help with her
husband's drinking problem, but
she doesn't need Karen's kind
of help. She might suggest that
her husband join AA or see a
physician or family counseling
agency. June is right to stick by
her pride, her confidence and
her privacy, and Karen should
withdraw frsm her sister's per
sonal affairs.
(CopyrJgh-t 1957, General
Fea-t-ur-ei Corp4
Reported in Medford
Medford had 45 cases of
measles during the week ending
March 29, Dr. A. Erin 'Merkel,
public health physician, reported
today.
Ashland had one ease of
measles, Central Point seven and
Phoenix one.
Other communicable diseases
reported for the week included
pneumonia, Medford two; chick
en pox, Medford 15, Ashland
eight, Central Point one, and
Eagle - Point one; strep throat,
Medford one;- rheumatic fever,
Eagle Point one; ring worm f
scalp, Ashland two, Medford
one; influenza, Medford, three
Rogue River three and Eagle
Point one; impetigo, Jackson
ville one; infectious mononucle
osis, Medford three; mumps. Cen
tral Point one; scartlet fever,
Central Point one; and infec
tious hepatitis, Sams Valley 0ae.
Tree Tax Study
Groups Holds Meet
The Orchard Tree Tax stu&y
group met Friday afternoon for
another in a series of meethts
to study a system for the ap
praising of orchard trees.
Several -local orchardists at
tended the meeting and heard
a discussion on findings by the
study group.
The study group, which works
in cooperation with the state tax
commission and the board of
equalization, rrolds meetings to
discuss their findings with inter
ested persons in the area.
Howard Bush is chairman .
solve," he said.
Stimulus to Business
He noted that a growing popu
lation acts as a stimulus to busi
ness: There is more incentive to
invest in plant expansion if you
know the future market will be
larger. And the fact that the
number of consumers is growing
tends to bail out, in the -long
run, those industries which ex
pand too rapidly through mis
calculation of current demand.
Thus a growing population can
serve as insulation against seri
ous depressions.
But Davis said population
growth is no automatic guaran
tee against short-run "adjust
ments" in the economy, some
of which could be painful. No
one can say with certainty, for
example, that the expansion of
consumer demand which lies
ahead fast enough to avoid the
possibility of considerable un
employment at some point in
the expansion of the labor force.
Feeding the increased popula
tion, Davis said, will be "the
least of our worries." U.S. agri
culture, which keeps piling up
By Jimmy Hatlo
Senate Confirms
Zwicker Promotion
Over Objections
Washington ty.R) The Senate
has confirmed the promotion of
Brig. ,Gen. Ralph W. Zwicker
over objections of his old foe,
S e n. Joseph R. McCarthy (R
Wis). The roll call vote was 70 to 2.
Only McCarthy and Sen. George
W. Malone (R-Nev.) voted against
the general's promotion.
Said Guilty of Perjury
McCarthy charged that Zwick
er was "guilty of perjury" before
a Senate subcommittee.
He told the Senate that "the
White House and the Pentagon
brought tremendous pressure to
bear" on members of the Armed
Services Committee to approve
Zwicker's promo tion to temp
orary major general and perman
ent brigadier general.
McCarthy's challenge of the
Armed Services Committee was
taken up immediately by Chair
man Richard B. Russell (D-Ga.).
He told McCarthy:
"I concluded there was not
sufficient substance in the mat
ter to warrent the charge of pre
j ury. There was not any -evidence
in this record that would stand
in a court of law for two min
utes." Urged To Reject Promotion
McCarthy urged the Senate to
reject the promotion of the Wisconsin-born
general, whose 1954
clash with McCarthy helped
bring on the sensational Army
McCarthy hearings.
McCarthy charged that Zwick
er "prejured himself before a
congressional committee" in 1955
when it was questioning the gen
eral about his role in the promo
tion and honorable discharge of
former Maj. Irving Peress, an
Army dentist accused by Mc
Carthy of being a Communist.
SCORNING a film role which
would make her appear bald,
as above, Zsa Zsa Gabor
turned down a Hollywood,
offer. (International)
surpluses despite stringent gov-1
eminent controls on planting, is
caDabl of enormous expansion
of output. Some "adjustments
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sfj sr. - ssvw
Next: Population explosion
threatens disaster for some un-
I derdeveloped nations.
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