Medford mail tribune. (Medford, Or.) 1909-1989, July 22, 1962, Image 10

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Medford mail tribune., July 22, 1962, Image 10

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Newspaper Page Text'Human Doubling Doubled in By H. D. QUIGG United Pratt International New York lUTO - Tick-tick-tick-tick-tick; . . . The average wristwalch beats along at 18,000 ticks an hour. In the passing of each second, it ticks five times. And in that same second, three more human beings are born on this planet. At the present estimated rate, each year 100 million babies arrive and about SO million people die - a yearly gain of about SO million. Each year another Italy. Not long before the day last fall when the Russians began loosing megaton blasts in a breach of the moratorium on nuclear testing, humankind of this earth scurried past a mile stone toward which it had been moving for at least 200, 000 years, perhaps a million years. Three Billion People This was the moment when, suddenly, there were 3 billion of us. Yellow men, black men, bronze, mocha, pink and white men. And women. And chil dren. The world population had hit 3 billion - but in the very next minute, there were 100 births and only half that many deaths. It took us all of human his lory to multiply ourselves to that fertility milestone. And yet, if the present compound interest growth increase rate keeps up, we will double again in only 38 years and explode upon the 21st century, at the end of 1009, with more than 6 billion human souls alive on earth. The projected rate by that time would double us to 12 billion in only 27 years. High in the green-glass walled skyscraper that houses the United Nations secretariat, the U. N. sta tistical office sits behind big windows affording a mag nificent view-on days when the man-polluted air is scrubbed clear enough to sec through - of the city (pop. density 24,607 harried SILENCE PLEASE THERMOSTAT WORKING! Sure it'i working on a "NORWESTER" WOOD HEATER Working to held your teaton't fuel bill BELOW $50 Many are doing V'ty not you ' jr r i "A TK only automatic wood htatar manufacturtd in th Wait. Mad ttpctioliy ts bum aur wtittm lypi wood. H i tha GOOD ONE. A vtry popular hcattr . . . many tnautandt in via and thauiandi I lham baing bought tah yaar. flVt ROOMS AND UP Circulator madaW only $138 50 to $184 50 Iplut frtight. GET YOURS TODAY whila ndtqualt ttotki on ovoilohU. Rudgtl tirmi. For tola axclutivaly at EADS FURNITURE 129 S. Front - 772-7171 In Two Veen Time It h proven to be the lett word in Shopping Con venience for Downtown Merllord Shoppers. Uie Thit Modern Facility PARK AND SHOP - Maintained by Member Merchants In your Interest. Perk I Shop Providei FREE PARKING with Your $2 Minimum Purchase. SUNDAY. JULY 22. 1962 New Yorkers per square mile). From that office, this month, will come the offi cial word that the human ity count - it's really an es timate, since half the births and about a third of the deaths are not registercd has passed 3 billion. The quarterly "population and vita! statistics report" for July, which takes a year to check on the world, will contain the figure for 1981 midyear: 3,060.8 million. Suppose a decision should he made that this is enough, that 3 billion is as big a human hive as this earth could hold. So will we pop ulate other planets, send the surplus migrating to new worlds? If a rocket took off every hour on the hour, day and night, each one would have to carry 3,707 , passengers. That's the pres ent rate of world growth per hour. . This is the "population ex plosion," which some voices of opinion now are ranking second only to control of atomic weapons as a threat to human existence. Others say it is preposterous to pro ject the present world growth over a long period. It's now 1.7 per cent a year. About Iwo out of every three babies born at present will live long enough to have babies of their own. And at least two-thirds of all babies born each year are in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, the underdeveloped areas. Their birth rate has remained high and science has spectacu larly cut the death rate, par ticularly infant mortality. I n the underdeveloped coun tries at least 40 per cent of the population is under IS vears of age, according to the French authority Alfred Sau- vy. That's compared wilh 20 to 30 per cent in western countries. So the underdevel oped countries have a smaller proportion of productive workers, and the dependency load Is greater on those who do work. A country thai has a popu lation growth of 2 to 3 per cent a year as a great many of these underdeveloped lands do - must spend up In 10 per cent of its national in come Just to keep ils living standard from going down. Prof. Sauvy Is on the popu lation commission of the U.N. and holds the chair of social demography at the College dc France. His book "Fertility and Survival: Population Problems from Malthus to Mao Tsc-tung" recently was translated and published here. In it he discusses whether underdeveloped countries can depend on savings of their poor for national develop ment: "In all these countries, in come is very low, oflen lower than $95 a year per person; this income (or rather this produce) is seldom enough even for purely physiological needs. Mow then, or by whal magic, can this undernourished and debilitated man renounce part of his vital food and that of his children Sanw exnoris the Iremen- tions spurt o( population in I the underdeveloped regions to I continue lor at least anollier generation and says their liv ing standards must be im proved: "II would be inhuman and dangerous lo allow hu man beings lo multiply In wretchedness." When John D. Rockefeller HI, chairman of the Rocke- Nothing Old Fashioned About m a per n if , j"r. 1 LHJ 1 j . n POPULATION. fcXpLOSlOV I i 250 Million pTH I 10 Million I i r ST0HEJGE 1 J.D. KltltmU elUKIKMl.lM Ml t)naU POPULATION ON THE LOOSE - This At the current rale of increase, the world's chart by UP1 shows estimated growth of population would be near 6.2 billion by the the world's population since the Stone Age. year 2,000. (Uri) feller Foundation, told a Rome meeting of the U.N. food and agricultural organ ization that population growth ranked next to A bomb control as "the para mount problem of man kind," The New York Times said the statement was inconlrovcrtibly true, as of today. But it added in an edi torial: "Judging, however, by Ihe explosive rale at which population is increas ing in the underdeveloped countries of Asia, Africa and Latin America, the time may soon come when even Ihe control of atomic wea pons may he second to pop ulation growth . . ." Those Ihree regions be tween IPSO and 1957 ac counted for more than 77 per cent of the estimated world increase. Some of their countries are hitting 3 and 3.5 per cent yearly increases, compared with 1.7 world average. Estimat ed increases to the year 2000 would give the three areas more than 5.5 billion people out of the expected world tolnl of 8.2 to 7 bil lion. The following estimates show the increases for the span of years 1050-2000 (in millions); Latin America, 1 63-650; Africa, 199-663; Asia, 1,380-4.250. The sturiv of populations is called demography, Whal has inspired demographers to phrases like "demographic revolution'' is Ihe speed up in Ihe rnlo of nomilation increase in this centurv. As Sir Julian Huxley put it: "The rate of human doubling has been clou - bled in Ihe last 80 years." hitler controversy in religious Sauvy calls this sudden groups about birth control, "rapid growth in numbers" a Bui the emotionalism nppar new (actor lhat has come lo, entry has tended lo obscure our planet. In a few centuries niaior areas of agreement, the world has gone from an i Catholics, Protestants, and increase rate of 0 5 per cent j Jews generally are in acree to today's 1.7, a rise of more i ment that serious social and than 200 per cent. The U. N. I economic problems can occur, "medium assumption" is that i As the Rev. John A. O'Brien 1 r n , ' 1 U 11 II I ' J u . i ii 1 tert ... hztj ,a r f s I I , ! 3 Billion 500 Million 1650 world population might grow at 2.1 per cent between 1950 and 1975 ar.d almost 2.6 be tween 1976 and 2000. The first rate would double the popu lace every 33 years; the sec ond, every 27. To dramatize what even a steady 1 per cent rate would do, Philip M. Mauser, chair man of the University of Chi cago sociology department, wrote in the magazine Sci ence: Contemporary Population "One hundred persons mul tiplying at 1 per cent per year, not ever Ihe period of 200,00(1 to 1 million years of man's occupancy of this globe but merely for the 5000 years of human history, would have pioduced a contempor ary population of 2.7 billion persons per square foot of land surface of the earth!" It has been pointed out by those who argue that the world is easily able to sup port expanding populations that if you could put the world's whole 3 billion popu lation into the United States, it still wouldn't be any more crowded than the Netherlands is now. Holland's population density is 916 per square mile and the Dutch aren't complaining. But b demographer has fig ured out that if the present rate of U.S. growth (1.8 per cent) continued steady for 800 years, there would be one .person for every square foot in the country. And he added that 800 years isn't very long in a demographer's reckoning. Welter of Figuret Through the welter of lig- hits on the suniect ot popula j tion there has swirled for , several decades a sometimes 1.1 1 1.1 Past 80 ; " 1 M Liitiiaiutui Jm.kWjii (hill! 1980 2000 est. of Notre Dame University has observed, the three groups agree on the "objectives of family planning but disagree over the methods to be used Students of populotion-in- crease emphasize the dan ger to quality. Robert C. Cook, presi dent of the Population Ref erence bureau, a private organization, says the great est hope now is that tech nology - the expansion of science that brought, in a sense, Heat h-contrnl and thus srt off the population explosion - now ran con trol fertility. "Essential lo this is an understanding of basin arithmetic - that numbers per se are the enemy of quality o( living -- lhat peo ple who improvidently wor ship the stork doom their children and their chil dren's children to poverty and despair." Julian Huxley, keynoting a series in the British maga zine Punch on "The Crowd ed World," said the explos ion posed the fundamental question of human destiny - whal are people for? "Surely," he wrote, "peo ple do not exist just to pro vide bomb-fodder for an atomic bonfire, or religion fodder for rival churches, or cannon-fodder for rival nations, or discase-f odder for rival parasites, or labor-fodder for rival econ omic systems, or ideology fodder for rival political system, or even ronsumcr f odder for profit-making systems. "It cannot he their des tiny to exist in ever larger mrpalopolitan sprawls, cut off from rnntael with na ture and from the sense of h u m a n community and condemned to increas ing frustrations, noise, me c h n n i c a 1 routine, traf fic congestion and endless commuting; nor to live out their undernourished lives in some squalid Asian or African village. ' ' M a n ' s dominant aim Concerts Planned During Festival Ashland - Theater - goers: al the Oregon Shakespearean Festival in Ashland will again he un'iled to concerts on aller nate Sundays sponsored by Ihe Festival association ,nd performed by the Festival mu sicians, ralternrrl around on Kli7a belhan thrnie. the popular concert series is scheduled this afternoon. Aug 5, Aug 19. and Sept. 2 Today Ihe Festival musi nans under the directum of W. Bernard Wind! will pre sent a varied program which will include Pastorale" iVi valdll. "Gardens in the Rain" (Debussyi, "French Soils in G" iBaeM as well as other works by Mo?art, Bach and Beethoven in addition to as sorted Madrigal singing se lections Singers participating in the Sunday concerts are Willa Warren. Carol llendnck. Fv eretl Winter, and Roy Roo sin. Musicians pe: forming are Shanne Crouch, sfie Ann Ru therford. Marilyn Baker, Lu cille Melmat. Judy Rmrlie. I.yn Sohler, and W R Windt. The Sundav eoncrr! series is held bi-wrrkly in the old rtrsM !rr lan tnn-tr Huil-1 tne in Ashland .tri'nj at .1 .in p m MEDFORD MAIL TRIBUNE. MEDFORD. OREGON Years' must be increase in quality - quality of human person ality, of achievement, of works of art and craftsman ship, of inner experience, of quality of life and living in general. But the inordin ate growth of human num bers bars the way to any such desirable revolution, produces increasing frus tration instead of greater fulfillment." He called for a world population policy, under the U.N. It has been said that the leaders of some of the newly independent nations look with pride on their ballooning populations because numbers mean national power. But lack of economic devel opment and skill come in too. The four biggest nations to tal more than half the world's population. The forthcoming U.N. report will list them, as of mid-1961, with these fig ures: U.S.A., 183.650,000; U.S.S.R., 218.000,000; India, 440,316.000; Mainland China - well, the latest is a semi-official guess hack in 1958 of 680,000,000 and some say Red China must be nearing 700 million. Food Supply Growing The world food supply is growing at more than 2 per cent a year and it can be tipp ed drastically. But there is a great diversity of opinion about how much it can be increased and what top size of world population should be. Huxley says it should be a I uttle less tlian it is ngnt now. The Catholic Digest has quot- I ea uxiora university econo- mist - demographer Colin Clark as saying that "with common sense development and production, the world can comlortably accommodate about tiO billion people." A British food and popula tion specialist, Edward Hy ams, wrote in Punch that "ev ery minute about 6 hundred weight ot a iinite supply of (eaiablc) mailer is being reor ganized into human bodies" and that the ultimate result is lhat all suitable elements at present in the earth's crust and in animals and vegetables will be converted into human ity. But he said we ran - if we buckle down to it - hold our own in Ihe food rare for a long time. The top popiilalinn limit, he guesses, probably would be about 15 billion: "That limit having been reached, there is no solution short of cannibalism." The word "explode" com bines the Latin words for "off" and "applaud." Tha original meaning of ex plode was "to drive from Ihe stage by noisy disap proval: to hoot off." If the world is indeed a stage, as Shakespeare called it. and the men and women play ers, some authorities be lieve their last dramatic act might be to explode them selves right off the stage by fondly reproducing their like. Eugene Ft. Rlack, presi dent of the World bank, wrote a foreword to the re cent report on the popula tion explosion made by the center for economic inter national growth. Me said the "surging increase of people: ". .. . Threatens directly Ihe success of the greatest enterprise of our day -the international develop ment effort which is at tempting lo provide toler able living standards to the two-thirds of mankind which is now almost al ways in want." In 1062, one billion per sons live under commun ism. Half a billion live in the industrial countries of the West, including Auslra- lia and Japan. The other 1 5 billion - with shrinking elbowroom and bitter food problems occupy half the problems occupy half Ihe globe's land and these are the contested people of the cold war Be Choosy . . . H Get Jacuzzi PUMPS! Vi H.P. DEEP WELL PUMP With 42 Gal. Tank and Air Charger $15.95 down, $13.15 per mo. Irrigation Pumps Centrifugal $2950 and up Siskiyou Hardware 235 w m,. rh 77 J39 S&H GRUN STAMPS 7 J J 0NE THING A FARMER S jtw D0ES N0T WANT T0 -A JT '' CULTIVATE IS AN XX ACCIDENT hg A Point- By-Point mi i I S i i S$ FAMIIY 5AFETY (t Work end SfW P'Y MACHINERY ind equipment nhould alwayi be kept in good repair, and used with purd and safely devices in povtion, CLOTHING thai loo-.e-fiMi"i pr torn houtd never he worn around moving machinery. GUNS should always be siored unloaded, and put where chil dren can't gel al them. WATER HOLES on your prop erty are e potentiel danger to children . . . they should be fenced of to prevent mishaps. For Fine Ihjirtj Ptnlucts Always AsU iWe,Joi7eii.veii$ maemem Urges You To- MAKE EVERY WEEK A FARM SAFETY WEEK BY OBSERVING THESE RULES! Check Them Over This Week! o o lectlcs BUILDINGS and your homo should be kept in good repair at all limes, with H safely hazards carefully eliminated. FIRE HAZARDS ar everywhere ... be careful wilh matches . . den t smoke around the barnl ANIMALS may bolt if startled) warn them of your presence by speaking before approaching. INSURANCE keeps your family and farm safe from the hazard of financial disaster. Be sure you e fully covered.