Medford mail tribune. (Medford, Or.) 1909-1989, August 23, 1960, Image 5

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Medford mail tribune., August 23, 1960, Image 5

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Newspaper Page TextTUESDAY, AUGUST 23, 1968 MEDFORD MAIL TRIBUNE, MEDFORD, ORE. 5 Matter of Fact a joSePh WHAT GALLUP LEFT OUT Washington In the news paper trade, it is usually con sidered bad form for one wretched scribbler to make remarks in print about the work of another. Yet an exception seems to be justified in the case of the inquiring Dr. intira .inp ueoi-ge umi- f f i lup's important first poll after the national conventions. What is left out needs to be put back in. The political community was both excited and amazed by this poll, showing 50 per cent of the "decided" pollees choosing Vice President Rich ard M. Nixon, 44 per cent of the "decided" choosing Sen. John F. Kennedy, and 6 per cent of the pollees undecided. Nixon's lead caused the ex citement. The almost incred ibly low percentage of unde cided voters caused the amaze ment. But the voters so positively described as "decided" by Dr. Gallup were by no means un animously decided in the true sense of that word. In the total sample, 6 per cent of the pollees specifically stated they were undecided about their votes, but later admitted or indicated that they were leaning to one candidate or another. These "leaners" - a familiar phenomenon to every doorbell ringer - were some what oddly lumped in with the truly "decided" in the published poll. ACCORDING to Paul Perry, chief statistician of the Gallup organization, this un disclosed disposition of the "leaners" benefited the Dem ocrats. He said that the Kennedy-Johnson ticket got "ap proximately 54 per cent of all the leaners." The Democrats rather con spicuously failed to benefit, however, by two other un seen dispositions made by Dr. Gallup and his staff. The first and most remarkable was the simple cancellation of about 20 per cent of all the ballots collected by Dr. Gallup's field workers. Apparently this winnowing of goats from sheep is stand ard Gallup practice. Suspect ed non-voters are spotted by such indicators as failure to vote last time, failure to reg ister thus far, and so on. The suspects' ballots are then thrown out of the sample -which is the other half of the secret of Dr. Gallup's amaz ing low percentage of unde cided voters. Statistician Perry stated that he "did not have" the ac tual split of the suspects thrown out of the recently published poll; but he added that the discarded ballots were "regularly more Demo cratic." In addition, import ant numbers of Democratic votes were apparently light weighted by Dr. Gallup's special system of synthesizing his national percentage fig ures. T IKE the throw-out of sus- peeled non-voters, this syn thetic character of Dr. Gal lup's published national per centages may well be known to sociologists and other stu dents. Statistician Perry made no bones about it, when ques tioned. But it is certainly un known in the political com munity, where the Gallup re sults are therefore misunder stood. Briefly, then, every Gallup poll is divided into four re gions, Eastern', Mid-western, Southern, and Western. Vot ing habits in the regions dif- for. The aim is to forecast, not the victor in the election, but the DODular vote. Thus the polling samples from each re eion are given a "weight," proportional to that region's contribution to the popular vote in 1956. The national averages are then synthesized from the weighted samples. The region that suffers from this system is the South, where the popular vote is always low in national elections. The 13 states in Dr. Gallup's Sou thern region have just under a quarter of the population of the United States. More im portant, they have 27.2 per cent of the Electoral College votes, which decide the presi dential choice. But in Dr. Gal TraffW-lMb?- sT'WWV If t'V A. Mutual Investment Fund Cluck () IM Pftmetm t n United SCIENCE FUND United INCOME Fund WADDELL SO West 9th St. Bid. Kansas uuy 9. mo. DIVISIONAL OFFICE Century Bldg. 843 E. ADDRESS.. CITY Alsop lup's percentage synthesis, the 1956 yardstick gave the South a "weight" of only 16.6 per cent. Thus every Sou therner in Dr. Gallup's recent sample got only about three fifths of a vote in the final count. ALTHOUGH Dr. Gallup se cretly publishes regional breakdowns, he is not doing so this time. Hence statistician Perry refused to disclose the split of the latest Southern sample. Rather hesitantly, he merely said that the Republi cans were doing better in the South than they have done in the past, "except in 1928, 1952, and 1956" - which were the only years when the Re publicans got to first base in the South. It seems likely, therefore, that the Gallup sample from the Southern region showed a small but significant Demo cratic majority, which was then down - graded by the "weighting" system. Add the probable Democratic majori ty among the thrown-out bal lots of suspected non-voters. It then seems a fair bet that the Democrats actually had a modest over-all majority in Dr. Gallup's unprocessed bal lots. A handful of voles would produce such a majority, be cause of the narrow base of Dr. Gallup's famous percen tages. In the last poll, the per centage sample was about 1,600 ballots. About 20 per cent were thrown out, and the final sample was under 1,300 ballots. A single Gallup per centage point would therefore represent not more than 13 votes. And the mere transfer of 39 votes either way would have altered Dr. Gallup's na tionwide percentages, to show Kennedy running dead - even with Nixon, or to show Nixon leading Kennedy, 53-41. ALL this is not intended to suggest that Dr. Gallup has been cooking his poll. He has not been doing anything of the sort. Yet the facts have to be faced that this poll has be come a fairly major, extra legal institution of American politics. For this reason, such things as unannounced trans formations of "leaners" into "decideds" do not serve the public interest. Dr. Gallup's industrial and commercial clients may be best served by facts carefully processed and homogenized in the undoubtedly expert uai Iud manner, but the public in terest demands something more when Dr. Gallup puts on his political - institutional hat. In this role, Dr. Gallup ought also to provide all the unDrocessed facts. Indeed, he might start this time. (Copyright 1960, New York Herald Tribune, Inc.) Black Mice Turned White During Orbil London-ftJPD - Black mice sent into orbit in Sputnik V turned white in space, radio Moscow said today. A broadcast describing Mon day's news conference attend ed by space dogs Belka and Strelka, said high energy rays turned the mice's hair from black to white. The mice were a special breed, highly susceptible to external influences, Radio Moscow said. The broadcast did not say what efect the rays had on Belka and Strelka. Tidal Waves Hit Korea Port City Snnul. Korea - (UPD - Fifty- foot tidal waves whipped up by a typnoon battered the southern port city of Pusan early today, submerging 1, 600 houses, sinking one ship and washing away eight oth er houses. Four crewmen of the sunk en ship Taeulho managed to swim to safety. Eight were missing in the raging waters. Reports from Pusan said that almost 2,000 persons had been driven from their homes. The weather bureau said that heavy rains were expect ed to hit the entire Korean peninsula, breaking a long dry spell. irltin IIKraturt ro. '' United ACCUMULATIVE Fgnd United CONTINENTAL Fund & REED, INC. Principal Underwriters Afi wan fit New York S. N. V. Main Medferd SP 3-4417 Try and Sfop Me By BENNETT CERF A NEWSPAPER COLUMNIST was properly indignant when his young son reported, "A man told us at the general assembly in school today that we should give the whole U.S.A. back to the Indians." "Outrageous!" sputter ed the father. "I'll ex pose him in my column tomorrow. What's h i s name?" "I'm not sure," ad mitted the son, "but I think it's Chief Sitting Bear." Harvey Campbell tells about, a doctor who came down from the delivery room and told a nervous actor, "You are the father of a fine, bouncing boy" so the actor sent him a check to match. There's a blonde-crazy agent prowling the byways of Beverly Hills who is referred to in the starlet set as "What every young girl should no." I960, by Bennett Cerf. Distributed by King Features Syndicate In the Day's News By FRANK JENKINS We finally scooped a nose capsule, ejected from a world circling satellite, out of the air. The pilot who made the catch is awarded the Disting uished Flying Cross and crew men who helped with the job are given Air Medals. The capsule itself was speeded from Hawaii, in the general vicinity of which the air recovery was made, to the Lockheed laboratory at Sun nyvale, Calif., for scientific analysis before it is sent on to Washington. In Sunnyvale, the assistant general manager of Lockheed (which provided Color Slides At State Fair Judged Salem - Judging in the Or egon Slate Fair's internation al color slide show has been completed, and five slides were chosen as winners of Gold Seal Medal awards. Winners of the Gold Seal are Ben D. Andrews, Sher wood; M. Craig Carver, Sa lem; Elva H. Hayward, Long Beach, Calif.; Bertha L. Hill, Melrose, Mass, and Harry J. Hirsh, Portland. The Photographic Society of America Gold Medal was awarded to J. H. Schmidt, Bettendorf, Iowa, for his slide entitled "Egg and I Beam," which was judged the most original slide of the exhibit. The medal was earlier pre sented to the fair by the PSA, as one of the outstanding shows in the country, and the fair decided to pass it on to one outstanding exhibitor. A total of 1,856 slides were entered, and 371 have been selected to be shown at the nightly slide showing. En tries were received from 32 stales and seven foreign coun tries. Mary Martin Pays Tribute to Lyricist New York - (UPI) - Actress Mary Martin was not inform of the death of Oscar Ham merstein II, her old friend and creator of her most fam ous fictional role, that of Nel lie Forbush in "South Pa cific," until she got up today. ' The grief-stricken musical comedy star, currently ap pearing in Hammerstein's last work, "The Sound of Music", issued the following state ment: "The dearest man I've ever known is gone. But his gentle ness, his Kindness, nis gruui- ness of soul will live forever not only in me neans oi uiuse who had the privilege of his friendship but also in the memory of the millions whose lives will forever be enrich ed by the beauty and honesty of his words." Despite the lyricist's death, there were no plans to concel tonight's performance of "The Sound of Music." ARREST YOUNG THIEVES Clark. N.J.-UIPD-Police said today a series of 60 thefts in the past eight months had been cleared up with the ar rest of 10 children ranging In age from 12 to 15. The youths, seven boys and three girls, confessed Monday to the thefts, which netted an esti mated total of 52,000 in cash and merchandise, police said. About 92 per cent of all farm products go to first mar kets by truck. ANY MAIL FROM BARKER'S? the instruments) issued this statement; "The recovery of the cap sule - a historic event TOP PING last week's recovery of the Discoverer XIII capsule from the ocean-is a scientific feat of WORLD IMPORT ANCE. It materially advances the space efforts of the United States and places our scien tific endeavors in the proper perspective to other nations." Till fr HIE catching of this capsule om the nose of a rocket that had orbited around the world 16 times and was re leased and recovered on the 17th circuit is obviously an achievement to be proud of. Even a layman can see that. It involves calculations that must be microscopically accu rate if all the threads are to come out together at the same time. We have reason to be proud of our ability to make such calculations and to build the equipment to carry them out. BUT Something else must be involved-something more sig nificant than mere scientific accuracy. What is it? A HINT is contained in a dispatch that followed the recovery of the nose cone cap sule that fell into the ocean and was recovered from the water. It read: 'The Discoverer rockets are the forerunners oi tne Samos and Midas spy-in-the- sky satellites. Samos, now be ing readied as a khi'laliv MENT for the U2 observation planes, is a series of satellites which would PHOTOGRAPH THE EARTH'S TERRAIN, while the Midas satellites would detect firing of missiles and flash to us instantaneous ly word of such firings." THAT is to say. With' Samos satellites go ing around and around the earth and sending back to us PICTURES of enemy military installations, including missile-launching sites, and Midas satellites following along and flashing to us instantaneous word of the launching of enemy missiles, WE MAY BE ABLE TO GET ALONG WITHOUT HUMAN SPIES in manned aircraft - such as Francis Powers and his U2 high-flying observation plane. That would indeed be an achievement. AND It! suggests a remote possi bility that is even more allur ing. Perhaps In time These robot scouts, circling the earth constantly and re porting instantaneously every thlne thev see. might become so competent ana so depend able as to remove from nu clear missile warfare the ele ment of surprise that is es sential if one nation is to de stroy another nation in one fell blow-before it can have time to retaliate. rpHAT would indeed be an -- achievement. It might lead to abandon ment of nuclear warfare-just aS poison gas warfare was at least tcmDorarily abandoned after its original use in World War I. TOO much to hope for? Let's HOPE, anyway. A world without hope would be a dreary world indeed. Crop Duster Becoming Businessmen New York-OIPD - The dare devil crop duster pilot has be come a big business man and one of the chief hopes for feeding the world's exploding population, farm experts said today. The crop duster used to be a shoestring operator with one or two ancient biplanes who was called for when army worms threatened grain fields or the boll weevil appeared in a cotton region. But last year 1,800 agricul tural flying firms using 5,000 planes did $107 million worth of business. The magazine Fly ing says the business is grow ing even faster this year. Depth Charge Can Be Dropped on Subs from Planes Washington - IUPD - U. S. antisubmarine forces now car ry an atomic depth charge called Lulu which can be dropped by helicopters and airplanes on enemy subs lurk ing beneath the seas. It is a lighter and smaller anti-submarine weapon than the Navy's first nuclear depth charge, named Betty, which it eventually will replace. The defense department disclosed Monday that the fleet was armed with Lulu. Lulu presumably packs as much power as Betty, or even more. The older weapon has been in the Navy's arsenal for three or four years. The Navy declined to say how long Lulu has been available, but its as signment to antisub forces ap parently is not a recent move. It has been in production for "some time," the Navy ac knowledged. Defense Secretary Thomas S. Gates made the disclosure about Lulu in remarks at the Veterans of Foreign Wars con vention in Detroit. Kennedy May Visit Oregon State Fair Salem - Both Sen. John Kennedy, the Democratic presidential candidate, and Gov. William F. Quinn of Ha waii will attend the Oregon State Fair in Salem,, if cur rent plans materialize; Governor Quinn will at tend the fair Saturday, Sept, 3, and Senator Kennedy is tentatively scheduled to make a major campaign appearance Wednesday, Sept. 7. The Hawaiian governor will visit the 95th annual affair with two of his seven chil dren and will spend most of the day on the grounds. He is expected to arrive at 10 a.m. with a military band to greet him at the front gate. Gov. Mark Hatfield, who has been a personal friend of Gov. Quinn's for many years, will be host to the visiting dignitary while he is in the state. Democratic officials are ex pected to meet soon to dis cuss details of Sen. Kennedy's jaunt to the state Sept. 7. It is expected that a visit to the fair will be one of the items placed on his Itinerary dur ing his one day stay In Ore gon. Should he appear at the fair, the Massachusetts sena tor would address the crowd from the bandstand in the middle of the grounds. WEST FUNERAL SET Portland-flJPII-Funcral serv ices wil be held here at 11:30 a.m. Wednesday for ex-Gov. Oswald West, who died Mon day. The services will be held F i n 1 e y s Morninglight chapel. 7 who -stole Kutnquac T Pe.YeJJ It's a crying shame, but someone's rilled the root cellar now granny can't enter her kumquat preserves lor judging at the fair. If the pilferer doesn't return them at once, grandma will refuse to tell him the remedy. rides Drizes races displays surprises judging Pilots Now Although the pilot sprayed a record 80-million acres against insects last year, the significant thing is that agri cultural flying no longer is merely crop dusting. Planes now are being used to fer tilize and dress soil and plant pasture lands and even some crops. In the United States, Aus tralia, Red China and other countries, the plane is suc ceeding in bringing into culti vation millions of upland acres that never could be seed ed by wheeled machines. The U.S. Department of Agriculture succeeded in us ing two small planes to top dress 166 acres of hilly land with fertilizer and lime at 12.5-cents per acre in Watagua County, N.C. This land then grew enough grass for grazing cattle for the first time in history. In several western states, young fir trees are being sav ed because only airplanes can spray the huge forests fast enough to kill the spruce bud- worm during the brief period in which it is vulnerable to poison. The business Is expanding so fast that half a dozen plane makers are making special craft selling for around $20,- 000 to replace the old war surplus craft the crop dusters have been using Armstrong-Jones Considering Job With Civic Firm London - (UPD - Col. Ken neth Post confirmed today that Antony Armstrong-Jones is considering a $14,000-a-year lob vJlth his organization and that he might even report to the office and work. Post, director of the Civic Trust, an oreanization dedi cated to the beautmcauon oi Britain's buildings and decay ing streets, said Jones recent ly talked with Duncan oan dvs. who formed the trust when he was housing minister three years ago. I understand wir. jones was very entnusiasuc, sum Post. "I think he would be a wonderful asset here. The colonel said Jones' sal- arv orobably would be "much less" than he could earn in normal business. "I should imagine It would be less than 5,000 pounds S14,OUU year," he added. "Of course, the type of ad visory work he would be do ing could be done from home (Kensington Palace)," Post said, "but If he does decide to work from here, we'll have to sort him out a desk and some space." The ex-photographer's de cision whether to take the job will be made when he re turns from Balmoral, Scot land, with the royal family. Court sources indicated the job was chosen for him by Buckingham Palace. 25 Police Recruits To Start Training Salem - IUPD - Some 25 state police recruits will begin three weeks intensive training at the Oregon State Police Academy at Camp Wlthy comb near Clackamas Sept. 11, State Police Supt. H. G. Maison said today. The classes will provide re placements for the depart ment's losses during the past several months. The training session is fol lowed by on the job train ing and classwork at new duty stations that continue through the six-month recruit probationary period. They'll Do It Every 1 I HOPE (, AW HE JUST KEEPS wm -rev v"- HE DON'T MEAN I US HERE FOR ATMOS- c!AnniV iip'ni' 1 I ME-X'M SWAV-S PHERE-HE FLUNKED dajtm tVi rV : I BACKED ENOUGH I AT THE RID1N6 W0IN6 DOWN TO V ALREADyy ACADEMVS J WANNA GET I 1 TY v TEX KNOWS THE SOUTH J A-GOlN' AFORE f?l&)JJ W u-r W THAT OL' yj FORTY THAT'S sundown"- " f PAINT IS ) (U DOWN IN THE V ft 1 I Cs)UT ' I THE STATIONfe MIDDLE OF I lW.KlrslUir..r.ll,.-itB.lnC-.Wldliht1.ttnrf. O 4-3 tOiQl.I ' L. Backstairs: Tourists Pour White House; Some Seem By FRANK ELEAZER United Press International Washington - IUPD - The real dirt to be found backstairs at the White House these days is that tracked in five days a week by nearly one million tourists a year, many of whom apparently don't know where they are. "Point out the dome to me," they now and again ask guards long since inured to the fact some Americans don't know the White House from the Capitol building. At the other end of Pennsyl vania avenue meantime other tourists are forever asking Capitol guidas, "where does the President live?" The red carpets are being . . , , ,,, .. rolled up, not out, for the , I dropped in with the other daily tourist influx at the tourlsts and 1WU? JF a White House minute I was about to be bar It's not that Ike and Mamie , red r at east stopped by the aren't hospitable. It's just that Suards lor a' serious talk. iw rD t (vr,nnr Trouble was, I had on coat many thousands of dollars and thou iimnrin' lact diiu limn with as many as 10,000 or 12,- 000 people tramping across them daily Tuesday through Saturday. The record breaker was April 16, 1957, when 13,083 men, women and children gawked and shoved their way OE OFFICIAL DIES Larchmont, N.Y. IUPD - El dridge G. Dudley, 64, retired New York district manager of the General Electric Co., died Monday at the Larchmont mo tel in Larchmont, N.Y. Enjoy The I'll ' Wbvnhv S BROOK it!: ipnin! . STRAIGHT BLEND Rich ! Excep- Kentucky! tionally Straight light Bourbon Kentucky Whiskey i taste M60 WL OLD SUNNY 9R0OK CO.. lOtllSYIUI , KY tFS WINNING THE WEST j ip;pp ' 'Puling bt Bttflafo Wtrd" VAi).' """" j sSfi i ' AFTId TMC FAMOUS MHICN AKTISJT J Time lnM.thMOia through public rooms of the White House between 10 a.m. and 12 noon, the period in which the house is open every day but Sunday, Monday, and some holidays. The Easter season always is busy here. August is not much of a tourist month but even so the morning lines around the south lawn of the White House currently total 7,000 to 8,000 persons or more. And the way things are going 1960 may set a new rec ord for White House attend ance. Through July the total was 644,554, about 4,000 more than at the same time last year. The total for 1959 was 901,564, just under the 1957 total of 964,544. I and "e' ?" ""K?, forTmen Viauuia uj wc wuitc uuuac i thefe d"" ,is open sport shirt and no jacket As for the women, It's not so much what they wear as what some of them don t, I guess the girls don't really expect to run Into the Presi dent or Mamie as they wander through the executive man sion, although quite a few da make inquiry as to their whereabouts. Or maybe it's just that so many folks have homey, informal feeling about the Eisenhowers, al though I don't myself recall recently seeing Mamie in any- Great Whiskey of Kentucky Straight or Kentucky Sunny Brook tastes better, richer than r any other whiskeys Prized and favored as the ' Sunny Brook rolled westward; with the settlers of the 19th Century. Today Its popularity is higher than ever. $J60 Its smooth, superb Kentuckyltaate truly has no equal. KENTUCKY S1IAIEHI BOtltlM WHISKEY 99 PMOF KENTUCKT MUM mttMT N WOOf . 65 6UIN NEUTUt Sf lilTt By Jimmy Hatlo Listening to bigdome go western now that he's got a nAurU iim ice .... -v TNAfJX AND A HA7 TIP TO 7 7A LVlCO()0 X7V. SX. PAUL I, MINN. Through To Be 'Lost' thing like short shorts and a halter. Souvenir hunting is no prob lem at all, White House of ficials report. Possibly this is because the smallest object not nailed down and avail able to groping hands en route through East, Green, Blue, Red and State dining rooms is a full-tize grandfather clock that would be hard to conceal even by one fully clothed. Not even an ash tray is in sight, let alone any of the precious presidential china or silver. That may be why some vis itors find the tour slightly fruitless. For another thing, there is nobody to explain what is what, The guards are police, not guides. They volun teer nothing. They answer no questions. One told me how Margaret Truman's piano pretty near crashed through the East Room coiling before the old place was rebuilt. Oil portraits of past presi dents line some of the walls. Harry Truman's Is in the green room. From what I hear, Eisenhower doesn't spend a lot of time there. The tourists of course don't either. There's no time to stop anywhere. In 20 min utes they are in, out and back on the sidewalk out front watching the inevitable pick ets. My group was greeted by a fellow with a giant sign that said, "USA would cruci fy Christ." I didn't stop to find out what he meant. IK the Old West Blend . . finest of Kentucky whiskies.