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About Medford mail tribune. (Medford, Or.) 1909-1989 | View Entire Issue (May 1, 1960)
Q) 0 00 oaacewoe o 00 o o o o o o G o o u fcrnear. May 1, If 60 A MAIL TRIBUNE, Medfsrd, Or. Monday Shop Penney's from dSi30 a.m. to 9 p.m.. TEM1EY' Try and Stop Me o -By BENNETT CERF- c- C TN WOTXD WAR U. Nazi General Roramel was raising aU J- kinds of trouble in North Africa, and the AUies were determined w siwp him at all oasis. A very insigiuKcant unu in me Atuea forces -consisted of one scout, one submachine gun and one middle-aged cameL The scout had been out on a reconnaissance mis sion for some days when n Arab turned up at headquarters with a n electrifying message. "Scout say," he reported, "he returning at once. Rommel captured!" A great reception was planned for the hero, with a regimental hnnrl and a couple of field marshals (all of whom have sine penned their reminiscences) whipped up for the occacn. When the scout and camel stumbled into camp, alone, every body felt pretty much let down. "Where's Rommei!" demanded the C. O. "Roumel?" re--peated the scout. "How should I know?" "Didn't you send Mack a message, Returning at once, Rommel captured'?" "Heck, no! What I said was, 'Returning at once. Camel 51 I960, by Bennett Cerf. Distributed by Kin utnrM Syndicate Matter of Fact By Joseph Alsop ABOUT GALLUP AND ROCKEFELLER New York - Investigation here strongly confirms vne dark suspicions of Vice Presi- JBPI dent Richard ivi. iNixon ana his staff. New York's Gov. Nelson A. Rock ef eller has given up his active can didacy for the Republ i can nomination, Joseph alSop but he has not given up all hope of being nominated. The lingering Bockefcl'.er hope is based on an entirely posible, though improbable, future sequence of events The public opinion polls of the Inquiring Dr. George Gallup just may begin to show the Vice President being beaten by Sen. John F. Kennedy of Massachusetts, or some other Democratic candidate, by such wide margins as 55-45, or 57-43, or even 60-40. After all, the Kennedy margin over Nix on was 61-31 in the Gallup poll of July 1959. Can it not he the same In July ihdu: If the bottom falls out of the Dolls in this manner, the Republican organizations just may name to the point 01 lor- getting their oft repeated pledges to the Vice President. After all. politicians nave pan icked before. And in that event, where can they turn for a winner except to Gover nor Rockefeller? There is slightly more foun dation than might be sup posed for this projection. In brief, Senator Kennedy's lead over the Vice President reached at least the 55-45 mark in Dr. Gallup's last com pleted sampling. This has been confirmed by the statt oi xne Gallup poll in Princeton. - TVR. GALLUP'S published " results, released on April 1, showed Kennedy leading Nixon by the less dramatic margin of 53-47. But once again, according to the Gallup staff, an oddly unavowea change has been made in the Gallup method of preparing published results. What is oublished is not the naked outcome of the last nationwide sample. It is a composite, average, of the most recent sample and the immediately preceding sample. Thus the sample taken in March by the Gallup poll-takers showed Kennedy ahead of Nixon by at least 55-45 and perhaps a little more. But this represented a major improve ment on the Kennedy showing in the February trial heat (published as 50-50, but clear ly somewhat different in real ity because January results were averaged in). When the February sample was aver aged with the March sample, Kennedy had what Dr. Gal lup, again somewhat oddly, called a "current" lead of. 53-47. The hitherto unavowed new method of preparing Dr. Gal lup's published results was adopted last October. It has many interesting conse quences, too, which all poll ticians will wish to ponder. For instance, suppose that Dr. GalluD's April sampling, now heinff comDleted. shows a steep, four-point drop $i Cnufln ITannnfv'i lonH fiver the Vice President. This may conceivably be the case, be cause of the inflammation of the religious issue. But under the new system, an April sample showing a Kennedy lead of only 51-49 will be av prn ppH with thp more favor able March sample. The pub lished result will then be pre cisely what it was month ago, 53-47. In this manner, while losing ground, Senator Kennedy may seem to be holding even. If he merely holds even in the April sample, on the other hand, the published result will be 55-45, and it will therefore appear to show a two-point gain. In sum, unless Dr. Gal lnn'o npw method is well un derstood, it can be remark ably, although impartially misleading. TT WOULD have been a good A deal better, therefore, if the new method had been an nounced when adopted. It ivnn 1H he a ffnod deal better. too, if the real value of the polling techniques were also more generally understood. As an industrious spot-poller, this reporter has concluded that it is an exceedingly valu able but decidedly limited technique. The technique will Identify beyond doubt any truly mas sive and deep-rooted political phenomenon, like the high proportion of SenFHubert H. Humphrey's West Virginia support wijjch he owed to anti-Catholic prejudice. When the Charleston, W. Va., "Ga zette" challenged the facts on this point that had been print ed in this space, this reporter made the "Gazette" editor a fair offer. The editor was to be convinced of the accuracy of the facts by only two days of joint doorbell-ringing, or the reporter would correct the record. The offer was not taken up, but it still stands. Rv the same token, the polling technique will accur- otoiv iripnrifv a aeciaea. (Measurable political trend. If I .omnia ehnurc that large numbers of persons who voted RepuDiican last time mean to vote Democratic this time, one can be sure the outlook for Democrats is sure ly good in that area. Then too, the polling technique will use fully show whether the cur rent political atmosphere is hrnadlv favorable to this or that rand idate. But their tech nique will not do what is most f. inmn fni-'ft Tt urill nnt i Ulieil uiaimcw w ... ..... reliably forecast, within a point or so, the outcome of any hard-fought, ever-changing political contest, (c) 1960 New York Herald Tribune Inc. Rochester - Most people, it haQbeen found, are unable to nold a camera steadQand shoot a picture in much more than one twenty-fifth of a second. Siskiyou Pioneer Sites Presents Pop's Concert by tht O GO Philharmonic Society of So. Oregon MEDFORD SR. 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