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About Medford mail tribune. (Medford, Or.) 1909-1989 | View Entire Issue (Feb. 21, 1960)
Qya ra otioe of led China of Great Decisions s Subject Nation's Drive to Industrialization Disturbs Officials (Editor's note This is another in a series of ar : licles in which the Great Decisions. . . 1960 program is discussed. The material is prepared by the Foreign Policy association. New York. Today's discussion topic is "Should We Con tinue to Quarantine Red China?") Mainland China, with quarter of the world's people, has long been the most pop ulous nation in the world. With its vast human and nat ural resources-and its relent less drive toward industriali zation-Red China could con ceivably become, in a genera tion or so, the most powerful nation in the communist bloc, if not in the world. This is the long-range pros pect that disturbs U. S. and Allied statesmen, and may also cause unease among Sov iet and European Communist leaders. In short-run terms the prob lem may "be equally alarm ing, for the following reasons: Aggressive Power . 1. Communist China has '. already begun to use its in- industrial and military pow er aggressively-in the Korean War of 1950-53, in its support " of Communist-led guerilla ac tivities in Southeast Asia, in its seizure of Tibet, in its trade and aid offensive in the Middle East, South and South east Asia; and its border pres sures on Burma and India, "Further economic growth 'may foster more dangerous ' Chinese pressures on world T affairs, observers fear. 2. The rapid modernization -of Red China may mean that, . in less than 10 years and per "haps as soon as three years, China will produce its own nu- clear weapons, thus joining .the U. S., Britain, France and the Soviet Union as an atom age military power. It is largely in these terms '.that many allied leaders, in - eluding some in the United States, hope for a fundament al change in U. S. policies to .' ward Red China. They claim .that the U. S. diplomatic and economic boycott of the Peip '. ing government is out of date now that Red China is acquir f.ing the status of a major world power. 'Variety Of Arguments A variety of arguments is advanced in support of this . view: that an increasingly powerful and a g g ressive 'China can be restrained or I contained only by bringing its government into world diplo- matic councils, such as the - UN; that the nuclear threat alone makes it essential for the Allies to negotiate with Peiping, if only to insure that China participates in any dis- armament agreement; that for information and intelligence, !u.S. news media and the U.S. government need trained ob- servers on the spot, to study - developments inside '.Red 1 China; that "normalization" of trade with Red China might make Peiping less de . pendent on the Soviet Union, 'while the economic boycott . his done nothing to prevent r China's industrialization. Yet there is also wide spread support for continuing present U. S. policieswith- holding of U. .S. diplomatic precognition, total embargo on ,-U. S. trade with Red China, and U. . S. blocking of all '', maneuvers t o turn over China's UN seat to the Peip j ing government. Arguments in favor of these 'policies are both jnoral and strategic. On the moral ques tion, there is strong feeling in i, many U. S. quarters that the ',-Communist Chinese govern--ment has no place in "nor- mal" diplomacy or in the UN : until it purges itself of charg- es of aggression leveled by the .UN after Red China entered i the Korean War against the i UN. ; Instead of purging' itself, v. Peiping continues to talk and ; act belligerently over such is J sues as the "liberation" of - Taiwan and the Chinese Na- tionalist-held offshore islands, r and in the current Sino-Indian I border dispute. Policies Supported I Strategically, present U. S. : policies are sometimes sup- ported on the grounds that the U. S. diplomatic and eco nomic quarantine has helped ; further U. S. interests in the Far East. The diplomatic boy- cott (together with U. S. eco ' nomic and military aid) has t preserved the Nationalist re We Give 4 GREEN STAMPS ELLIS MARKET 20 Crater Lake Aveaee . gime on Taiwan, and has giv en millions of "overseas Chi nese" a symbolic non-Corn- munist homeland to which they can direct their loyal ties. The economic boycott has forced the Soviet Union and Red China to divert major resources into non - military channels, in order to provide goods which could not be im ported. Furthermore, many U. S leaders feel that normaliza tion, now, of U. S. relations with Peiping would have neg ative rather than positive ef fects. Very little would be gained-the U. S. does not have to recognize the Peiping government in order to ne gotiate with it on disarma ment. Much might be lost- a U. S. retreat now could be interpreted as a diplomatic victory for world communism Obviously both sides of this debate involve complex arguments. Fun damentally the arguments turn on what Red China is, how great is its power, what it intends to do with this power, and how the U. S. can best deal with these realities. Weigh These Questions Whether the United States continues its present China policy, or explores some new approach, will depend in part on how the American people and Washington policy-makers weigh these questions. One of the most imprecise areas in the whole China de bate is the question of econom ic growth. Unquestionably the Peiping government has, in the past, played a numbers game with its economic sta tistics. Fantastic production claims have been made, for virtually all sectors of the economy, which have later had to be revised downward. Even the most conservative outside observers agree, how ever, on two generalizations: mainland China's economy is growing at an unprecedented rate; and the cost in individ ual freedom has been enor mous. Economy Growing The economy is undoubted ly growing more rapidly than the Soviet Union did in its first 10 years, but this prog ress has been bought at the cost of regimenting the entire Chinese society, especially the peasants, and on an ant hill pattern. . Moreover, the growth in productivity has been confin ed largely to heavy industry, food and the bare essentials of consumer goods. Last year Peiping claimed that steel production was up nearly 67 per cent over 1958. Electrical output was reported to be up 51 per cent; coal, up 29 per cent; food grains, up WAYNE 1. Mm,,,,,,. 1 x I T $f I I CENTURY BUILDING GRADUATION Attending the graduation exercises at the Guide Dogs For the Blind school in San Rafael, Calif., Feb. 6, were two Jackson county residents. The occasion was to say farewell to dogs which the two Medford persons raised for the school. At left is Mrs. Clara Glascock, 233 Beatty st., who shakes the paw of Vidor, now the guide dog for William R. Hutson, a minister from Ft. Worth, Tex. Lee Jackson, (right) son of Mr. and Mrs. Vernon F. Jackson, 2410 Camp 8 per cent. If steel produc tion claims are correct, and if steel production continues to rise at present rates, China may expect to pass . Britain in less than 10 years in the output of this basic commod ity, i The implications of these rates of growth, if accurate, are fairly clear. In time, Red China can catch up not only with Britain, but also with the Soviet Union. It has. the po tential and, apparently, the drive. Fascinated With Success Nor has this lesson been lost on the leaders of many undeveloped nations. Even though many of these lead ers deplore China s com munes, mass purges and total social regimentation, people H. SAFIEY AETNA IIFI Hopkins - in underdeveloped lands can not help but be fascinated with the material success of communist economic plan ning. It still remains to be proved whether, in the 20th century, a backward economy can pro gress as rapidly under free enterprise or free political in stitutions. Democratic India's economic growth, for exam ple, lags well behind Red China's. Red China's leaders are un doubtedly dedicated to com munism but to their own brand of communism, a prod uct of their own revolution ary experience. When Poland was searching, in 1956-57, for a national road to commu nism, Peiping was smypath etic. Yugoslavia, however, has Aetna Life Insurance Company is proud to announce that WAYNE A. SAFLEY of Hopkins-Saf ley Associates, Medford has been awarded MAN OF THE YEAR hon ors. In achieving this award, Saf ley compiled the most outstanding record in Aetna's 85 year Oregon history. He is a member of the exclusive Million Dol lar Salesmen Group - he was second in the entire United States in individual accident and health sales and was a leader in seminar qualification competition. Congratulations to Wayne A. Saf ley for this outstand ing record. UaSURAHCE Safley Associates 843 E. MAIN Baker rd., raised Rhea as a 4-H project. The dog's new owner is Miss Frances Loiacano, operator of a vending stand in the county courthouse in Orange, Tex. Also among the graduating class was Randle Christiansen, salesman from Salt Lake City, Utah, who received Quail, a German Shepherd raised by Lucinda Wright, 250 Neil Creek rd., Ash land. Lucinda was unable to attend the ceremonies. apparently strayed too far from orthodox Marxism to suit Peiping. Domestically, Peping has admittedly depart ed from the Soviet brand of communism, by its reorgani zation of rural society into communes. (The Soviet Union tried and abandoned this ap proach early in its history.) Foreign Affairs In foreign affairs, Red China's place in the commu nist system may also be unique. It is generally assum ed by outside observers that Peiping shares Moscow's dedi cation to the idea of a world communist society. On the other hand, some Red Chinese foreign policies can be ex plained in nationalistic, rather than Marxist terms. The current border dispute with India, and the recently settled border dispute with Burma, for example, have their origins in precommunist China. The republican govern ment of the 1920s was equally determined to "rectify" these same borders. - Some observers believe that it is on such issues as these that Red China and the Soviet Union may one day find themselves at logger heads. Moscow has already, apparently, felt some embar rassment over the Sino-Indian border affair, and has urged both sides to find a peaceful solution to the dispute. Mos cow has not, however, public ly disavowed Peiping on this or any other issue. Spheres of Influence There has also been specu lation that the Soviet Union and Red China may "divide up" their spheres of influence in the world, with China in heriting South and Southeast Asia and perhaps part of the middle East. This too, it is argued, could lead to an ulti mate split in the communist camp. . So far, such ideas can only be speculative. Clearly the area of partnership between Moscow and Peiping is far larger than the area of con flict. But the question does have some important implica tions for long - range U. S. policy. Perhaps the ultimate ques tion to be resolved by the American people turns on this dual issue: (1) how, in the im mediate future, can the U.S. prevent any further expansion of communism, Soviet or Chi nese; and (2) how, in the long run, can the U.S. exploit any possible internal differences in the communist camp that might ultimately lead to a weakening of the power of world communism?- It is on this short-range plus long-range basis that some ex perts are now calling for a fresh examination of U. S. policies toward Red China. No Fault Found In Handling Tanker San Francisco (DPD The Coast Guard hearing into the disabling of the wine tanker Angelo Petri ended Thursday and indications were that no fault was found with the con duct of personnel aboard. The five-day hearing con cluded with further testimony by Captain Edward A. Lehn. A Coast Guard spokesman said that the hearing's find ings would be announced in about six months. Observers noted that this was the customary period for writing a report on a "marine accident. MEDFORD .MAIL TRIBUNE, Medford, Or. A Sunday, Feb. 21, 1960 Families Sue in Death of Mothers Mount Kisco, N.Y.-IUPD-The families of six mothers in volved in a tragic auto crash Nov. 20 filed claims totaling $3,375,000 Thursday against the town of Bedford, N.Y., and the village of Mount Kisco. Two of the six mothers died, four were injured, and! two are still in the hospital with injuries received when their station wagon was hit by the car of a youth fleeing police at 90 miles an hour. The claims contend that po lice chasing Navy Seaman Derrick Worcester, 20, should not have kept pursuing him at such high speed. Bar Association to Study Appeal Limit . Chicago -(DPD The board of governors of the American Bar association has ordered a study on whether federal law should limit "prolonged and multiple appeals such as those in the Caryl Chessman case." The governors assigned the study to the ABA criminal law section Friday after warn ing that such laws involve "basic constitutional questions calling for careful considera tion in order that individual rights will be safeguarded." Look to the Future... ...NATURAL-KylfsCAS! you need a new GAS WATER HEATER If your water heater is too old ., ...or too Take advantage of this Offer: America's finest water heat er. Waterproof rustproof fives' you ever 30 more hot water faster and mora economically. 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