The daily Astorian. (Astoria, Or.) 1961-current, June 06, 2017, Image 2

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Newspaper Page Text2A THE DAILY ASTORIAN • TUESDAY, JUNE 6, 2017 Weather forecasts improve, under the radar Major League Baseball, which is now able to move game times around based on fore- casts so you have a much smaller chance of getting soaked in the stands. Last week, the forecast for Washington was afternoon thunderstorms on Thursday so the Washington Nationals moved their game from 4:05 p.m. to 12:05 p.m. The game got in — the Nats won — and the storms arrived on schedule not too long after the regularly scheduled start time. “That would have been unheard of 20 years ago,” said retired Washington television meteorologist Bob Ryan, the ﬁ rst national on-air weather- man on NBC’s “Today” show. “If we did in the 1500s what we do now, we would have been burned at the stake as witches and warlocks.” Ryan used to get people telling him he was never right, so he would challenge them to bets on how good his forecasts were. He’d offer to donate $5 to someone’s favorite char- ity for every blown forecast if they’d donate just $1 for every one he got right. No one took him up on the offer. High temps right 80 percent of the time By SETH BORENSTEIN Associated Press WASHINGTON — Make fun of the weatherman if you want but modern fore- casts have quietly, by degrees, become much better. Meteorologists are now as good with their ﬁ ve-day fore- casts as they were with their three-day forecasts in 2005. Both government and pri- vate weather forecasting com- panies are approaching the point where they get tomor- row’s high temperature right nearly 80 percent of the time. It was 66 percent 11 years ago, according to ForecastWatch , a private ﬁ rm that rates accuracy of weather forecasts. That may not always be appreciated, especially if your livelihood depends on get- ting rain and snow amounts, and timing, just right, all the time. “They don’t know what’s going to happen,” com- plained Washington taxi driver Antenhe Lashitew. He makes more money when it rains or snows, so he wants them to be more precise. He may yet be satisﬁ ed, though, because forecasts are continuing to improve. They are already good enough for More observations Better forecasts are partly the result of more observations taken in the air and oceans and better understanding of how weather works. But it’s mostly bigger and faster com- AP Photo/Manuel Balce Ceneta Grounds crew puts sand on the field as mild rain dampens the field at the end of the fourth inning of a baseball game between the Washington Nationals and Seattle Mariners in Washington on May 23. The forecast for Washington was afternoon thunderstorms so the Washington Nationals moved their game from 4:05 p.m. to 12:05 p.m. The game got in, the Nats won, and the storms arrived on schedule not too long after the regularly scheduled start time. puters that put it all together in complex computer mod- els that simulate the weather that may be coming tomorrow, next week and even later in the month, meteorologists said. The improvements are most noticeable during Atlan- tic hurricane season, which starts Thursday. Hurricane forecasts were twice as good last year than they were in 2005, when the National Hurricane Cen- ter predicted the paths of 28 storms, including Hurricane Katrina. Then, predictions where a storm would be 36 hours out were accurate within WEDNESDAY THURSDAY 65 55 50 ALMANAC Mostly cloudy with a couple of showers Last New June 17 Salem 50/77 Newport 49/62 Coos Bay 48/66 First June 23 June 30 John Day 54/91 La Grande 51/90 Baker 44/90 Ontario 55/95 Bend 50/84 Burns 46/87 Roseburg 52/81 Medford 58/85 Klamath Falls 46/79 Source: Jim Todd, OMSI TOMORROW'S TIDES Astoria / Port Docks Time 7:14 a.m. 6:57 p.m. Low -0.3 ft. 2.3 ft. REGIONAL CITIES City Baker City Bend Brookings Eugene Ilwaco Klamath Falls Medford Newberg Newport North Bend Hi 82 83 61 78 62 84 90 82 59 63 Today Lo 44 50 50 48 51 46 58 51 49 50 W s s s s pc s s pc s s Hi 90 84 61 75 61 79 85 77 62 66 Wed. Lo 51 56 53 56 54 51 59 56 54 56 W s pc r pc pc pc pc pc pc r City Olympia Pendleton Portland Roseburg Salem Seaside Spokane Springfi eld Vancouver Yakima Hi 83 84 85 82 81 64 81 80 85 88 Today Lo 50 55 56 52 50 50 58 49 53 57 W pc pc pc s s pc pc s pc pc Hi 77 89 80 81 77 64 90 77 78 92 Wed. Lo 54 60 59 59 56 55 63 57 59 63 W pc s pc pc pc pc pc pc pc pc TOMORROW'S NATIONAL WEATHER NATIONAL CITIES W sh r s t s pc t pc pc s s s pc pc t pc t sh s c s s pc pc pc Wed. Hi Lo 79 63 63 54 75 52 78 54 83 60 71 53 95 72 77 58 86 74 70 52 80 57 104 77 75 59 82 59 84 77 79 57 86 69 64 54 82 57 65 54 82 59 97 69 69 57 77 57 69 57 Shown are noon positions of weather systems and precipitation. Temperature bands are highs for the day. W pc c s t s c c pc pc c s pc pc s t pc pc sh s sh s s pc pc sh OBITUARIES Mary Rose Wiese Gearhart May 12, 1924 — May 23, 2017 0.17 percent and an 11-year- old child was also traveling in the car. • At 5:54 p.m. Saturday, Jef- frey Bray, 63, of Seattle, was arrested by the Seaside Police Department on Second Avenue near North Prom for DUII . The person reporting the incident allegedly saw him drinking beer and blocking a ﬁ re hydrant before driving away. He was later examined by a drug recog- nition expert and allegedly had beer and marijuana in the car. • At 1:20 a.m. Sunday, Whit- APPLIANCE AND HOME FURNISHINGS 529 SE MARLIN, WARRENTON 503-861-0929 O VER Mattresses, Furniture 3 A 0 RS & More! HOURS OPEN: MON-FRI 8-6 • SATURDAY 9-5 • SUNDAY 10-4 We Service What We Sell ney Justine Westerholm, 19, of Gearhart, was arrested by the Warrenton Police Department on Northwest Warrenton Drive near Northwest 17th Place for DUII . Her blood alcohol con- tent was 0.17 percent. Assault • At 5:32 p.m. Saturday, Deganawidah Goemen, 39, of Portland, was arrested by the Astoria Police Department on 16th Street near Duane Street for fourth-degree assault. He allegedly struck a man in the face. LOTTERIES ria. Hughes-Ransom Mortu- ary & Crematory in Astoria is in charge of the arrangements. SECRIST, Barbara Ann, 74, of Warrenton, died in Warrenton. Hughes-Ran- som Mortuary & Crematory in Astoria is in charge of the arrangements. PUBLIC MEETINGS PACKAGE DEALS TSOP C LA U Y C O NT DUII • At 12:20 a.m. Saturday, Jeffrey Dale Wells, 54, of Newberg, was arrested by the Seaside Police Department for driving under the inﬂ uence of intoxicants. He was examined by a drug recognition expert. • At 9:04 p.m. Saturday, Eric Thor Nyman, 53, of Asto- ria, was arrested by the Asto- ria Police Department on Third Street near Lexington Ave- nue for DUII and recklessly endangering another person. His blood alcohol content was June 5, 2017 WEBB, Joanne R., 85, of Astoria, died in Astoria. Cald- well’s Luce-Layton Mortuary of Astoria is in charge of the arrangements. June 3, 2017 LOGAN, Althea Merle, 103, of Astoria, died in Asto- APPLIANCE YE Mary passed away peacefully in her sleep gon. After purchasing Bud’s Drive In and Motel Tuesday morning, May 23, 2017. and selling it in 1973, Mary worked part time She was born May 12, 1924, in Portland in real estate with Tarbell in Seaside. In 1985, to Anton and Nina Konzich. She was raised along with her son, Douglas, they opened Dooger’s Seafood and in Jewell, and attended Grill. Jewell Grade and High Mary retired again in schools, where she was a 1994. Finally having the scrappy basketball player. time to pursue one of her Moving to Portland true passions, Mary took after graduating from her contract bridge play- high school, Mary went ing skills to multiple mas- to work at the J.C. Penney ters levels. Co. , quickly moving up to Mary was preceded lower management with in death by her husband, her keen business mind. Mary Wiese Larry; her son, Edward; She met Larry Wiese at and four step-siblings, a dance, where Larry was drumming in the orchestra. They were married Ann, Francis, Eva and Tony. She is survived by on Sept. 28, 1946. Both Larry and Mary worked her son, Douglas; her favorite daughter-in-law, at the American Lumber Co. in Vernonia until Mary Jean; two grandchildren, Carnegie and 1950, when they moved to Molalla, Oregon. Elie; a sister, Patricia Hanthorn; and a brother, Mary then became a housewife, looking after Henry Konzich. Caldwell Luce-Layton is handling the cre- her two children, Edward and Douglas. In 1963, the family moved to Gearhart, Ore- mation, and there will not be a public service. DEATHS Weather (W): s-sunny, pc-partly cloudy, c-cloudy, sh-showers, t-thunderstorms, r-rain, sf-snow fl urries, sn-snow, i-ice. IN • Last year, the National Weather Service ﬁ ve-day fore- casts were within 4 degrees of the high temperature. That’s as accurate as 2005’s three-day forecasts and a full degree bet- ter than the 5-day forecasts of 11 years ago. • Forecasters can predict winter storms 22 hours ahead of time, up from 17 hours in 2005. • Forecasters have pre- dicted some dangerous extreme events coming about a week ahead of time, includ- ing Superstorm Sandy in 2012, 20 inches of rain in South Car- olina in 2015 and a 2016 East Coast blizzard, in ways they could never have done before. When it comes to pars- ing where it’s going to snow instead of just rain or sleet, things get trickier. And when that line between snow and rain moves by only a couple dozen miles it can make a huge dif- ference. This came up after last winter’s blizzard when New York and New Jersey ofﬁ cials blasted the weather service for not dialing back on forecasts of a giant snowfall that ended up hitting further west. Problems with that forecast were com- pounded by the way the storm’s uncertainties were communi- cated to the public — or in this case not — meteorologists said. Meteorologists mostly credit complex high-resolu- tion computer models that take in giant amounts of real- world data from satellites and elsewhere and use physics for- mulas to crunch out countless simulations of what’s going to happen next. As those are compared, cross-referenced and run again a clearer picture of future weather emerges. ON THE RECORD Lakeview 44/82 Ashland 54/82 Forecasts and graphics provided by AccuWeather, Inc. ©2017 Tonight's Sky: Emerging in the eastern night sky are the three stars of the Summer Triangle: Vega of Lyra, Deneb of Cygnus and Altair of Aquila. Today Hi Lo 78 66 51 48 74 54 75 53 84 57 70 53 99 71 75 54 87 74 77 54 82 56 105 78 76 60 86 64 89 77 83 59 81 72 59 53 90 61 66 55 83 59 94 67 66 53 83 55 79 60 Prineville 49/88 Lebanon 50/78 Brookings 49/63 UNDER THE SKY High 8.8 ft. 7.1 ft. Pendleton 55/89 The Dalles 60/90 Portland 56/80 Eugene 48/75 Sunset tonight ........................... 9:04 p.m. Sunrise Wednesday .................... 5:25 a.m. Moonrise today .......................... 6:21 p.m. Moonset today ............................ 4:14 a.m. City Atlanta Boston Chicago Denver Des Moines Detroit El Paso Fairbanks Honolulu Indianapolis Kansas City Las Vegas Los Angeles Memphis Miami Nashville New Orleans New York Oklahoma City Philadelphia St. Louis Salt Lake City San Francisco Seattle Washington, DC 58 50 Mostly cloudy with a couple of showers Periods of rain Tillamook 47/66 SUN AND MOON Time 12:21 a.m. 1:28 p.m. 57 48 Shown is tomorrow's weather. Temperatures are tonight's lows and tomorrow's highs. ASTORIA 50/65 Precipitation Monday ............................................ 0.00" Month to date ................................... 0.18" Normal month to date ....................... 0.51" Year to date .................................... 47.31" Normal year to date ........................ 33.87" June 9 SATURDAY REGIONAL WEATHER Astoria through Monday. Temperatures High/low ....................................... 66°/41° Normal high/low ........................... 63°/49° Record high ............................ 88° in 1898 Record low ............................. 40° in 1988 Full 60 48 Some sun, then increasing clouds Partly cloudy FRIDAY Other improvements 97 miles. Last year, they were about that accurate 72 hours before a storm hit. In the 25 years since Hur- ricane Andrew “we’ve gained two days of predictability for track forecast,” center forecast operations chief James Frank- lin said. And while coastal residents FIVE-DAY FORECAST FOR ASTORIA TONIGHT may want the hurricane cen- ter’s so-called cone of uncer- tainty to shrink even more, for- mer hurricane center director Rick Knabb said it’s gotten so small it’s a problem the other way. People look at just the forecast track of the eye of the storm and they trust it. But then they don’t heed warnings about how dangerous conditions can extend for more than 100 miles beyond that line on the screen and they get in trouble, said Knabb, now an on-air analyst at The Weather Channel. TUESDAY Seaside Library Board, 4:30 p.m., 1131 Broadway. Port of Astoria Commission, 5 p.m., Port oﬃ ces, 10 Pier 1 Suite 209. Miles Crossing Sanitary Sewer District Board, 6 p.m., 34583 U.S. Highway 101 Business. Seaside Planning Commis- sion, 6 p.m., City Hall, 989 Broadway. Cannon Beach City Council, 7 p.m., City Hall, 163 E. Gower St. WEDNESDAY Port of Astoria Budget Com- mittee, noon, Port oﬃ ces, 10 Pier 1 Suite 209. Seaside Improvement Com- mission, 6:30 p.m., City Hall, 989 Broadway. Gearhart City Council, 7 p.m., City Hall, 698 Paciﬁ c Way. The Daily Astorian Established July 1, 1873 (USPS 035-000) Published daily, except Saturday and Sunday, by EO Media Group, 949 Exchange St., PO Box 210, Astoria, OR 97103 Telephone 503- 325-3211, 800-781-3211 or Fax 503-325-6573. POSTMASTER: Send address changes to The Daily Astorian, PO Box 210, Astoria, OR 97103-0210 www.dailyastorian.com MEMBER OF THE ASSOCIATED PRESS The Associated Press is entitled exclusively to the use for republication of all the local news printed in this newspaper. SUBSCRIBER TO THE NEW YORK TIMES NEWS SERVICE MEMBER CERTIFIED AUDIT OF CIRCULATIONS, INC. OREGON Monday’s Pick 4: 1 p.m.: 7-7-3-0 4 p.m.: 5-5-8-7 7 p.m.: 1-0-3-3 10 p.m.: 7-8-8-7 Monday’s Megabucks: 13- 18-23-27-28-46 Estimated jackpot: $6.9 million WASHINGTON Monday’s Daily Game: 0-6-6 Monday’s Hit 5: 09-13-17- 21-35 Estimated jackpot: $170,000 Monday’s Keno: 01-04-07- 20-24-27-29-33-36-42-44- 49-51-54-61-63-64-65-66-79 Monday’s Lotto: 03-14-22- 27-45-49 Estimated jackpot: $7.8 million Monday’s Match 4: 04-11- 19-23 SUBSCRIPTION RATES Effective July 1, 2015 HOME DELIVERY MAIL EZpay (per month) ................$11.25 EZpay (per month) ............... $16.60 13 weeks in advance ........... $36.79 13 weeks in advance ........... $51.98 26 weeks in advance ........... $70.82 26 weeks in advance ......... $102.63 52 weeks in advance ......... $135.05 52 weeks in advance ......... $199.90 Circulation phone number: 503-325-3211 Periodicals postage paid at Astoria, OR ADVERTISING OWNERSHIP All advertising copy and illustrations prepared by The Daily Astorian become the property of The Daily Astorian and may not be reproduced for any use without explicit prior approval. 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