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5A THE DAILY ASTORIAN • TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 8, 2016 America does the wave, from East Coast to West By NANCY BENAC Associated Press WASHINGTON — Grab some snacks, the TV remote, your calculator and a sched- ule of poll closings. You might also want to caffeinate because it could be a late night. The tumult and tedium of Campaign 2016 finally cul- minates Tuesday as the nation chooses among Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump and a variety of third-party types. The action will roll from east coast to west, from predawn voting in New Hampshire to late-night poll closes in Alaska. Some things to watch for as the autumn of our campaign discontent hurtles to a close (all times are Eastern): WORLD IN BRIEF Associated Press Early voting: Record levels in 2016 may give Clinton edge WASHINGTON — A record number of Americans have voted ahead of Election Day, driven by soaring turnout from Latino voters. That could be good news for Hillary Clinton. At least 46.27 million people have cast ballots by early vot- ing — by mail or at polling stations, according to Associated Press data, surpassing the level seen in 2012. Record levels have been reported in 28 states and the District of Columbia. Millions more ballots are still coming in. The AP estimates that early votes could top 50 million. That comes to nearly 40 percent of all ballots in a presidential elec- tion expected to have higher turnout overall due to intense pub- lic interest. Four years ago, there were 46.22 million early votes, or 35 percent. “Interest in early voting has been unprecedented in many states,” said Michael McDonald, a University of Florida profes- sor and expert on voter turnout who is a consultant to AP. The latest numbers show declines in voting from blacks in North Carolina — a drop-off after historic levels for Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012. But higher turnout by Latinos, who often lean Democratic, may be buoying Clinton in Florida. Both are must-win states for Donald Trump. The Hispanic vote is also surging in Nevada and Colorado, where Democrats are running near or above their successful 2012 pace. Trump could be holding an edge in Ohio and Iowa, but that won’t be enough if Latinos drive Clinton to victories in other battleground states. The timeline Look for the first burst of results when polls close at 7 p.m. in Georgia, Indiana, Ken- tucky, South Carolina, Vermont and Virginia. Look for big- ger blasts of numbers just after 8 p.m. and 9 p.m., when polls close in a combined 30 states and the District of Columbia. The 11 p.m. batch of states includes big kahuna California, with 55 electoral votes. Alaska, where polls close at 1 a.m. on Wednesday, brings up the rear. AP Photo/Eric Gay Voters wait in line to cast ballots at an early polling site in San Antonio. Your parents were right: Math really does matter. After all of the tumult and tedium of a long, ugly presidential campaign, Election Day is all about which candidate can win enough states to get to 270 electoral votes. and Trump in New York City. Their running mates — Demo- crat Tim Kaine of Virginia and Republican Mike Pence of Indi- ana — will vote where they live, and later team up with their principals in New York. Mom was right Math really does matter. Election Day is all about which candidate can win enough states to get to 270 electoral votes. News organizations will keep a running tally. But you can go full nerd and play around with a Road to 270 calculator to get your favored candidate to the magic number. Beware: It can take a while for the pic- ture on election night to clar- ify, simply because of how the vote rolls in across the country. In 2012, Republican Mitt Rom- ney was still ahead in the elec- toral and popular vote at 10:30 p.m.; an hour later, President Barack Obama was on the brink of re-election. New York, New York Thanks to early voting, more than 50 million people may have voted before Elec- tion Day. Not Clinton or Trump. Both are expected to make a show of trekking to their local polling places on Tuesday, Clin- ton in Chappaqua, New York, Early tea leaves For an early read on how things are going, keep an eye on Virginia in the presidential contest. If Clinton doesn’t get a winner’s call there by 9 p.m. or 10 p.m., it could be a positive sign for Trump. Watch Indiana for an early indicator in the tug- of-war for control of the Sen- ate; if Evan Bayh can manage a comeback, that’ll be a good sign for Democrats hoping to retake the Senate. A (2) (-) (-) (6) (-) (8) (9) (10) (12) (13) (-) (20) (-) (29) (30) (31) (32) (34) (35) (36) (38) (39) (43) (44) (45) (46) (47) (48) (49) (50) (51) (52) (53) (54) (56) (57) (58) (61) (63) (64) (65) (162) L KATU KOMO KING KOIN KIRO KGW KRCW KOPB KPTV KPDX KCPQ TBS KZJO ESPN ESPN2 NICK DISN FAM FMC LIFE ROOT FS1 SPIKE COM HIST A&E TLC DISC NGEO TNT AMC USA FOOD HGTV FX CNN FNC CNBC BRAV TCM SYFY RFD (2) (4) (5) (-) (7) (-) (3) (10) (12) (-) (13) (20) (22) (29) (30) (31) (32) (34) (35) (36) (38) (39) (43) (44) (45) (46) (47) (48) (49) (50) (51) (52) (53) (54) (56) (57) (58) (61) (63) (64) (65) (162) 6 Utah. Really. The reddest of the red states actually offers some drama this year. Keep an eye on the Utah vote for independent Evan McMullin, who’s been giving Trump heartburn in a state that should be a lock for him. (Polls close at 10 p.m. EST) Exit poll explanations Data collected from poll- ing-place interviews with voters will offer a wealth of informa- tion to help explain why people voted the way they did. Among the questions to be answered by the exit polls: • Do voters cast ballots for their candidates enthusiastically or holding their noses? • Do blacks give strong backing to Clinton after recent worries about their turnout in early voting? THE DAILY ASTORIAN T UESDAY E VENING • Who wins college-edu- cated whites, who typically skew Republican but are being courted by Clinton? • In a race so often roiled by Trump’s comments about women, what does the gender gap look like? • Did people care about Clinton’s problems with her pri- vate email setup? • Were they worried about Trump’s temperament? Making history If Clinton emerges the vic- tor, it will be a historic moment for women as she shatters that “highest, hardest glass ceiling.” The big question The question has been dan- gling out there: Will Trump accept the results of the presi- dential election if he loses? “I’ll keep you in suspense,” he said at the last debate. The world is waiting for his answer. A time to heal Election night speeches have “tremendous power to heal,” says public speaking coach Ruth Sherman. Will the candi- dates rise to the moment? After such a long, ugly campaign, both winner and loser will have a responsibility to help to bring the country together. Wait, there’s more! The presidential race has sucked up most of the oxygen over the past year, but there will be lots more to take in on elec- tion night, with control of the Senate and House at stake, 12 states electing governors, and assorted ballot proposals around the country. In the House: Republicans hold a 247-188 majority, includ- ing three vacancies. Democrats could pick up 10 or more seats, perhaps even more than 20, but don’t expect to take control. In the Senate: Republicans are furiously working to pro- tect their 54-46 majority, with a half-dozen races seen as toss-ups. A dozen governor’s offices also are up for grabs, at least seven appearing competitive. Among issues on ballot propos- als: the death penalty, gun con- trol and marijuana legalization. Analysis: Winner must help heal gash in American politics WASHINGTON — We’ll know soon enough who won. We already know the prize: A big, ugly gash in the heart of American politics. Nearly two years of relentless campaigning and racially loaded rhetoric has exposed a country that is deeply fractured along lines that are hardening and raw. Race, gender and class appear to be ever more reliable pre- dictors of whether Americans cast their ballots for Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton. And as Americans have retreated further into their corners, politicians have seen little motiva- tion to understand the other side. The dynamic just played out, while America (and the world) cringed. This campaign often looked like a noisy and incoherent conversation taking place in parallel worlds, with Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton shouting across a daunting gulf between them. It may have been a race filled with unpredictable moments, but its near certainties are just as notable. As she heads into Election Day, Clinton is on track to win solid, and in some cases overwhelming majorities, of black, Hispanic and college-edu- cated voters. Polls show Clinton, running to be the first female president, may also hit new levels of support among women. Competing claims of voter fraud, intimidation increase tensions WASHINGTON — The usual tension of a presidential election has a twist this year — questions about the integrity of the election itself. Adding anxiety and uncertainty in the weeks before Elec- tion Day were Republican candidate Donald Trump’s unsup- ported warnings of a rigged election, fears of voter intimida- tion at the polls and concerns about election systems being hacked. New voter regulations in more than a dozen states also held the potential to sow confusion at polling places. In the last week alone, Democrats went to court in seven states seeking to halt what they claim were efforts by Republicans and the Trump campaign to deploy a network of poll watchers hunt- ing for voter fraud. Republicans have disputed claims they are planning to intimidate voters, and judges in a handful of the cases have found no evidence the two camps are coordinating. 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