5A
THE DAILY ASTORIAN • TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 8, 2016
America does the wave,
from East Coast to West
By NANCY BENAC
Associated Press
WASHINGTON — Grab
some snacks, the TV remote,
your calculator and a sched-
ule of poll closings. You might
also want to caffeinate because
it could be a late night.
The tumult and tedium of
Campaign 2016 finally cul-
minates Tuesday as the nation
chooses among Hillary Clinton,
Donald Trump and a variety of
third-party types.
The action will roll from east
coast to west, from predawn
voting in New Hampshire to
late-night poll closes in Alaska.
Some things to watch for
as the autumn of our campaign
discontent hurtles to a close (all
times are Eastern):
WORLD IN BRIEF
Associated Press
Early voting: Record levels in
2016 may give Clinton edge
WASHINGTON — A record number of Americans have
voted ahead of Election Day, driven by soaring turnout from
Latino voters. That could be good news for Hillary Clinton.
At least 46.27 million people have cast ballots by early vot-
ing — by mail or at polling stations, according to Associated
Press data, surpassing the level seen in 2012. Record levels
have been reported in 28 states and the District of Columbia.
Millions more ballots are still coming in.
The AP estimates that early votes could top 50 million. That
comes to nearly 40 percent of all ballots in a presidential elec-
tion expected to have higher turnout overall due to intense pub-
lic interest. Four years ago, there were 46.22 million early votes,
or 35 percent.
“Interest in early voting has been unprecedented in many
states,” said Michael McDonald, a University of Florida profes-
sor and expert on voter turnout who is a consultant to AP.
The latest numbers show declines in voting from blacks in
North Carolina — a drop-off after historic levels for Barack
Obama in 2008 and 2012. But higher turnout by Latinos, who
often lean Democratic, may be buoying Clinton in Florida. Both
are must-win states for Donald Trump.
The Hispanic vote is also surging in Nevada and Colorado,
where Democrats are running near or above their successful
2012 pace. Trump could be holding an edge in Ohio and Iowa,
but that won’t be enough if Latinos drive Clinton to victories in
other battleground states.
The timeline
Look for the first burst of
results when polls close at 7
p.m. in Georgia, Indiana, Ken-
tucky, South Carolina, Vermont
and Virginia. Look for big-
ger blasts of numbers just after
8 p.m. and 9 p.m., when polls
close in a combined 30 states
and the District of Columbia.
The 11 p.m. batch of states
includes big kahuna California,
with 55 electoral votes. Alaska,
where polls close at 1 a.m. on
Wednesday, brings up the rear.
AP Photo/Eric Gay
Voters wait in line to cast ballots at an early polling site in San Antonio. Your parents
were right: Math really does matter. After all of the tumult and tedium of a long, ugly
presidential campaign, Election Day is all about which candidate can win enough states
to get to 270 electoral votes.
and Trump in New York City.
Their running mates — Demo-
crat Tim Kaine of Virginia and
Republican Mike Pence of Indi-
ana — will vote where they
live, and later team up with their
principals in New York.
Mom was right
Math really does matter.
Election Day is all about which
candidate can win enough states
to get to 270 electoral votes.
News organizations will keep
a running tally. But you can
go full nerd and play around
with a Road to 270 calculator
to get your favored candidate
to the magic number. Beware:
It can take a while for the pic-
ture on election night to clar-
ify, simply because of how the
vote rolls in across the country.
In 2012, Republican Mitt Rom-
ney was still ahead in the elec-
toral and popular vote at 10:30
p.m.; an hour later, President
Barack Obama was on the brink
of re-election.
New York, New York
Thanks to early voting,
more than 50 million people
may have voted before Elec-
tion Day. Not Clinton or Trump.
Both are expected to make a
show of trekking to their local
polling places on Tuesday, Clin-
ton in Chappaqua, New York,
Early tea leaves
For an early read on how
things are going, keep an eye
on Virginia in the presidential
contest. If Clinton doesn’t get
a winner’s call there by 9 p.m.
or 10 p.m., it could be a positive
sign for Trump. Watch Indiana
for an early indicator in the tug-
of-war for control of the Sen-
ate; if Evan Bayh can manage a
comeback, that’ll be a good sign
for Democrats hoping to retake
the Senate.
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Utah. Really.
The reddest of the red states
actually offers some drama this
year. Keep an eye on the Utah
vote for independent Evan
McMullin, who’s been giving
Trump heartburn in a state that
should be a lock for him. (Polls
close at 10 p.m. EST)
Exit poll explanations
Data collected from poll-
ing-place interviews with voters
will offer a wealth of informa-
tion to help explain why people
voted the way they did. Among
the questions to be answered by
the exit polls:
• Do voters cast ballots for
their candidates enthusiastically
or holding their noses?
• Do blacks give strong
backing to Clinton after recent
worries about their turnout in
early voting?
THE DAILY
ASTORIAN
T UESDAY E VENING
• Who wins college-edu-
cated whites, who typically
skew Republican but are being
courted by Clinton?
• In a race so often roiled
by Trump’s comments about
women, what does the gender
gap look like?
• Did people care about
Clinton’s problems with her pri-
vate email setup?
• Were they worried about
Trump’s temperament?
Making history
If Clinton emerges the vic-
tor, it will be a historic moment
for women as she shatters that
“highest, hardest glass ceiling.”
The big question
The question has been dan-
gling out there: Will Trump
accept the results of the presi-
dential election if he loses? “I’ll
keep you in suspense,” he said
at the last debate. The world is
waiting for his answer.
A time to heal
Election night speeches have
“tremendous power to heal,”
says public speaking coach
Ruth Sherman. Will the candi-
dates rise to the moment? After
such a long, ugly campaign,
both winner and loser will have
a responsibility to help to bring
the country together.
Wait, there’s more!
The presidential race has
sucked up most of the oxygen
over the past year, but there will
be lots more to take in on elec-
tion night, with control of the
Senate and House at stake, 12
states electing governors, and
assorted ballot proposals around
the country.
In the House: Republicans
hold a 247-188 majority, includ-
ing three vacancies. Democrats
could pick up 10 or more seats,
perhaps even more than 20, but
don’t expect to take control.
In the Senate: Republicans
are furiously working to pro-
tect their 54-46 majority, with
a half-dozen races seen as
toss-ups.
A dozen governor’s offices
also are up for grabs, at least
seven appearing competitive.
Among issues on ballot propos-
als: the death penalty, gun con-
trol and marijuana legalization.
Analysis: Winner must help
heal gash in American politics
WASHINGTON — We’ll know soon enough who won.
We already know the prize: A big, ugly gash in the heart of
American politics.
Nearly two years of relentless campaigning and racially
loaded rhetoric has exposed a country that is deeply fractured
along lines that are hardening and raw.
Race, gender and class appear to be ever more reliable pre-
dictors of whether Americans cast their ballots for Donald
Trump or Hillary Clinton. And as Americans have retreated
further into their corners, politicians have seen little motiva-
tion to understand the other side.
The dynamic just played out, while America (and the
world) cringed. This campaign often looked like a noisy and
incoherent conversation taking place in parallel worlds, with
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton shouting across a daunting
gulf between them.
It may have been a race filled with unpredictable moments,
but its near certainties are just as notable. As she heads into
Election Day, Clinton is on track to win solid, and in some cases
overwhelming majorities, of black, Hispanic and college-edu-
cated voters. Polls show Clinton, running to be the first female
president, may also hit new levels of support among women.
Competing claims of voter fraud,
intimidation increase tensions
WASHINGTON — The usual tension of a presidential
election has a twist this year — questions about the integrity
of the election itself.
Adding anxiety and uncertainty in the weeks before Elec-
tion Day were Republican candidate Donald Trump’s unsup-
ported warnings of a rigged election, fears of voter intimida-
tion at the polls and concerns about election systems being
hacked. New voter regulations in more than a dozen states
also held the potential to sow confusion at polling places.
In the last week alone, Democrats went to court in seven states
seeking to halt what they claim were efforts by Republicans and
the Trump campaign to deploy a network of poll watchers hunt-
ing for voter fraud. Republicans have disputed claims they are
planning to intimidate voters, and judges in a handful of the cases
have found no evidence the two camps are coordinating.
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