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HtKALU AINU INtWi, K LA AAA I M t-ALLi, UKkOON
1HUKMJAY, MAY 17, 1948
National Pot 0(0 Letter
Guesses Were Wrong On
Maine's Potato Statistics
Supply
Current potatu aupply Information
Indicates that to lar as old stock
Is concerned, Maine may have about
1300 to 1500 cars left, although
Maine shipments already appear to
have exceeded the reported holdings
of May 1. Looks now as though
everyone has been wrong about
Maine from the start, Including Uie
Maine growers and shippers. To our
knowledge, as recently as mid-April,
the best estimates of total Maine
shipments were about 60.000 cars.
That figure was reached on May 10.
and about 800 have been moved
since with 1000-plus to go. Red River
valley seems to have about 1200 cars,
many In the area that was flooded
recently. Consequently the actual
holdings there of marketable pota
toes are unknown. No other late
areas have any supplies of conse
quence, and even these will move out
In dribbles as field work claims the
attention of growers.
In the early crop, the early spring
areas of Texas and Florida produced
slightly more than last year but a
little less than average. This portion
of the crop now is nearly finished
and should not be an importart fac
tor after a few more days. The late
spring crop looks about 13 per cent
above 1947, and 42 per cent above
average, but 16 per cent below the
record of 1946. California's acreage,
up 27 per cent. Is the biggest factor
In the gain over last year. How
ever North Carolina, earlier thought
delayed by unfavorable .weather, has
caught up fully and will begin dig
ging about on time. Also, very high
yields are expected offlciallv, and
unofficial estimates put yields high
enough for a new record for the
state. Other good to exceptional
yield areas are California. Texas.
Alabama, Oklahoma and Arkansas,
bat South Carolina may have the
worst season on record.
In the summer group, acreage Is
barely above .last year but 10 per
cent below average. No production
estimate for this group will be avail- i
able until June 10, but weather
generally has favored potato growth,
especially In the East, and there is
no reason, yet In sight, why yields
should not be equal to those of re
cent years.
Putting It all together, we add It
up to a considerable heavier supply
than was available last year irom
May to September, and corres
pondingly heavier DoA purchases.
Only a major weather set-back
would reduce supplies to marketable
proportions.
Movement And Markets
Most significant development In
the potato movement is the sharp
decline In Maine shipments, Irom
366 cars dally average two weeks
ago to 147 cars daily last week. If
1200 cars remain, Maine will clean
up In two weeks at 100 cars daily.
Decline is due chiefly to good
weather and the beginning of plant
ing operations. Wa doubt the validi
ty of the explanation that growers
prefer to sell to starch factories be
cause of declining quality and equal
price. Factories have been taking
potatoes at capacity rate for weeks
and could not account tor Uie sud
den reduction in shipments.
Terminal markets generally have
been draggy. dull or weaker for the
past week. The heavy shipments in
anticipation of a rail strike left
terminal tracks overloaded, and this
was bound to soften markets, es
pecially with the weather generally
warmer. Holdings have been worked
down to more reasonable figures but
city markets still show few signs of
strength.
In the country. FOB markets have
held steady in Maine and Florida for
the past two weeks: at floor in
Maine and well over floor in Florida.
In California, prices have eased to
the support level under the pressure
of very heavy shipments i340 cars
daily last week). First DoA pur
chases there were made on May 14.
Alabama has weakened from the
opening level of $4.00 down to $3.20
for washed stock, but still is IS cents
over the floor. If Maine and North
Dakota have good weather for a
couple of weeks, growers will get
busy planting and both Alabama
and California may get some faster
action. If things work out Just right,
Alabama may get by with no help
except for low grades. California is
bound to meet marketing trouble
in June, with bumper crops due from
North Carolina and Virginia and a
much larger part of the Eastern
stock due to be washed and Iced.
Miscellany
Much Interest In whether DoA will
invoke sub-floor sales plan which
was written into the 11M8 support
program. DoA won't tell and we
can't guess . . . Excess acreage in
California will produce over 10 mil
lion bushels at 400 bushels per
acre. Simple arithmetic can lead to
the conclusion that tills may be the
quantity by which summer pur
chases this year will exceed those
of last year . . . We hear that some
industry people in late areas are in
doubt about late crop support this
year. Probability Is that extension
In some form will be voted by con
gress, but in the meantime DoA was
obliged to proceed as though support
will end December 31. Ill any event.
It appears reasonably certain that
the intended loan program will fur
nish a cash advance, probably pay
able In the spring and probablv
settled at December support prices if
potatoes are delivered In lieu of
cash payment. We cannot vouch for
this future action but It looks
reasonable.
Four Hurt When
Car Smashes Bridge
MAPLE CREEK, Susk.. May 37
(CP Four persons from Havre,
Mont., were injured, one seriously,
when their automobile smashed Into
a steel bridge over the Milk river
here Tuesday,
John Johnson. 30. driver, is in hos
pital here with internal injuries.
Six persons were returning In the
car to Havre after an international
celebration In Medicine Hat, Alta.,
over the week-end,
Ilospltallird tor superficial In
juries and shock were Elijah Cash,
Mrs. Lorraine Cash and lXm Ruth
bone. 20. Hill Fitntemld. 18. and Hud
Siniiatt, 18. escaped Injury.
Famous Dog
Trainer Passes
LADNER. B. a. May 27 CP
Internationally known and heralded
as "the most outstanding dog trainer
on this continent." Charles Hayes
Murray. 73. died of a heart attack
here Saturdu.
He whs reooanlred fleure nt doff I
trials throughout the western United
States. British Columbia and Mani
toba. He had eight national coast
champions to his, credit, a record
believed to be the highest held by
one trainer.'
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