fllB MOfttfiXU OB"EGONIAT7, MONDAY, AUGUST 14, 191G.
WILLCOX PREDICTS
HUGHES' VICTORY
REPUBLICAN NOMINEE DRIVING HOME A frOINT.
C0I1GRESS BREAKS
Boost
for COOS
EXPEfiSE RECORDS
s
Republican Chairman Counts
300 Electoral Votes as
! Reasonably Certain.
TOTAL PROBABLY IS 325
Good Fighting Chance Seen in 11
Other States With Total of 100 .
Votes Maine Is Placed in
Republican Column.
WASHINGTON, Aug. 13. (Special.)
Chairman Willcox, of the Republican
National Committee, today authorized
his first statement of Hushes strength
based on reports received from state
Republican leaders. He claims 300 elec
toral votes reasonably certain for
Hughes.
"I predict that the Republican ticket
win have between 300 and 325 electoral
votes, and as it takes but 266 to elect,
that Mr. Hughes will be the -next
President of the United States,". says
Mr. "Willcox.
The following estima'te shows the
states that are reasonably certain to
cast their votes for Hughes and Fair
banks: California 11, Connecticut 7.
Idaho 4. Illinois 29. Iowa 13, Kansas 10,
Maine 6. Massachusetts 18. Michigan
15, Minnesota 12, Montana 4, New Jer
sey 14. New Hampshire 4, New York
43; North Dakota 6, Ohio 24, Oregon 6,
Pennsylvania 38. Rhode Island 6, South
Dakota 5, Utah 4, Vermont 4, "Wash
ington 1, West Virginia , Delaware 3;
total 300.
Even Chance In 11 States.
"I believe in the following states the
Republicans have an even chance and
in one or two instances a better chance
of winning than the Democrats: Ari
zona 8, Colorado 6, Kentucky 13, Mary
land 8, Missouri 18, Nebraska 8, New
Mexlca 3, Oklahoma 10, Indiana 15, Wis
consin 13, Wyoming 3.
"These 11 states," continues Mr. Will
cox. "have a total of 100 votes, and
while none of them has been placed as
reasonably certain, several of them
might well have been so placed. At
any rate, I feel that a guess on 25 votes
out of 100 is, to say the least, conserva
tive, and unless I prove to be a poor
guesser, Hughes and Fairbanks will
poll upward of 325 out of the total of
611 electoral votes In November.'
Mr. Willcox goes into careCul analy
sis of political conditions In each of the
"reasonably certain" states he classes
as doubtful, but good fighting ground.
Maine Counted As Republican.
Maine elections come in September
and on it now all political guesses are
based. Of this state Mr. Willcox says:
"Maine we have placed in the Re
publican column for several reasons.
First, the state is normally Republican
and seldom elects Democratic electors.
In 1912, while Wilson carried the state,
it was clearly due to the split in the
Republican party. The combined Re
publican and Progressive vote was
23,925 In excess of the Democratic vote.
In 1914, while this difference was not
as great, there was a large increase in
the Republican vote and a correspond
ing falling off in the Progressive vote.
"Maine is normally Republican by at
least 15.000 and with the strenuous
campaign to be waged this Fall I have
no doubt that, as in the past, its vote
will be cast for the Republican candi
dates." FRENCH CRUISER MYSTERY
Soundings Taken Near Pensacola
Puzzle Marine Observers.
PENSACOLA, Fla., Aug. 13. The
French cruiser Amiral Aube, which un
expectedly entered this port yesterday,
left today. Captain Leskivit took on
no fuel or supplies, but received a pack
et of documents from the French Con-
Bttl.
Marine observers here commented on
the cruiser's apparent efforts to get
first-hand information of the port.
Soundings taken when she appeared,
crossed and left the bar did not at
tract attention, but unusually fre
quent soundings over an Irregular
course after she entered the harbor
caused considerable speculation.
The Amiral Aube left at 9:30 o'clock
and after discharging the pilot turned
slightly to the east and proceeded down
the coast at about 18-knots speed. She
was visible fsr an hour afterward and
did not increase her speed. Tugboat
men coming into Pensacola tonight said
they had sighted the war-hip southeast
of Pensacola light, which showed that
she had changed her course and was
bearing west.
H0RST COMPANIES ARE TWO
Oregon Concern Not Under Ban of
Britain as "Enemy Concern."
Offloers of ths ' E. Clement Horst
Company, large hop dealers of Oregon,
yesterday announced that the -Horst
Company, operating in London, the af
fairs of which the British Board of
Trade decided "to wind up on the
grounds that it was "an enemy con
cern," is not the same company which
is prominent in Oregon, with offices
mainly at Portland. Salem and Inde
pendence, Or.
The E. Clement Horst Company does
a large business in Europe and is one
of the biggest hop dealers in the
Northwest. It has not come undor the
disapproval of the British authorities,
although it was said yesterday that
owing to the similarity of names, many
in this part of the country supposed
the British order had affected the local
concern.
WHEAT BRINGS $166,666
"Walla Walla Farmer Gets Big Price
for 150,000 Bushels.
WALLA- WALLA, Wash., Aug. 13.
Charles Fletcher, well-known farmer
of the Prescott district, made the larg
est individual wheat sale of the season
baturday, the amount of his check be
ing $166,66S for 150.000 bushels.
Hugh Martin, buyer for the Farmers-
Agency, estimated today that nearly
half of the 1916 crop had been sold.
Much of the wheat sold was left over
from last year and Is being moveo.
rapidly.
$500 Raised for Centra lia Boys.
CZNTRALIA. Wash.,' Aug. IS. (Spe
ctal.) The Fiesta de la Company M
was brought to a successful close last
night with approximately $00 raised
for the mess fund of Company M. A
street parade preceded the closing
night s programme. The Fiesta was
planned and staged entirely by the
young women of the city.
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HUGHES TO BE BUSY
Ad Club Talk and Press Club
Affair Planned.
HIGHWAY TRIP PLANNED
Ice Palace Is Prepared to Seat 10,-
000 Persons Doors Open at 6
o'Clock "First Come, First
Served," Wilt Be Kule.
(Continued From First Page.)
of other important engagements were
arransed that will give Mr. Hughes ad-
rittinnsil onnortunlty of meeting the
Hrpirtn nublic.
The first added engagement, which
also will be his first public appear
ance in Portland, will be the public
raratitinn to men and women at the
"RTisnTi Hotel.
It is probable that Mrs. Hughes will
ir.tr. with her husband in this meeting.
The reception will take place immedi
ately following the arrival of the party
at the hotel. .
The second appointment of the day
will be before a meeting of business
men under the auspices of the Ad Club
in tri rrvstal dlninsr room of the Ben
son. Mr. Hughes will give a brief
talk, nrobably 10 minutes in duration
and will go from there to the Press
Club, where an Informal reception will
be extended him by local newspaper
men. Manv Portland business and pro
fesslonal men also will attend the
Press Club meeting.
Highway Trip Scheduled.
Most of the afternoon will bo de
voted, to an automobile sight-seeing
trip in company with Mrs. Hughes.
Both Mr. and Mrs. Hughes have lndi
cated a desire to see the Columbia
River Highway, and if time permits
thev will be taken over the road to
thn Multnomah County line.
The day's programme provides lor
two brief rest periods during which
time Mr. and Mrs. Hughes will be in
the seclusion of a suite of rooms that
have been reserved for them at the
Benson. The first such period Is from
10:30 A. M. to noon, and the other from
the time they return from the highway
trip until Mr. Hughes goes to the Ice
Palace for the evening meeting.
Workmen continued yesterday their
task of laying the plank floor at the
Ice Palace. They had the job virtually
finished last night. Today they will
begin to place chairs in the building,
When completed the place will sea
nearly 10,000 persons. Standing room
for 1500 additional can be provided
without -violating the fire ordinances.
Doera Opea at 'Clock.
The meeting will open promptly at
8 o'clock, but the doors will be open
at 6 o'clock. With the exception of
the seats on the platform, no seats
will be reserved. It will be a case of
"first come first served." Ths plat
form seats will be held for members
of the Republican State Committee,
the chairman of the Republican County
Committee, the Hughea campaign com
mittee and the officers of the' Hughes
alliance.
Charles L. McNary. Republican state
chairman, will be the presiding officer,
and will introduce Governor Withy
combe, who. in turn, will introduce
Mr. Hughes. McElroy's band has been
engaged to provide mnsio before the
meeting opens. There will be no musi
cal entertainment after ths meeting
gets under way.
Tfes lialtgrftor. lub, fttUfsi to .wtlte
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CHARLES EVANS HUGHES EN TOUR.
uniforms, will escort Mr. Hughes from
the Benson Hotel to the meeting place.
Members of the Hughes campaign
committee, comprising representative
of the Republican and Progressive or
ganizations, will have general charge
of the day's activities. They will meet
the candidate after his arrival in the
early morning and will be in attend
ance at the various meetings that he
will address throughout the day. Mem
bers of this committee are Charles Li.
McNary, state chairman: Ralph E. Will
iams, National committeeman; Edward
D. Baldwin, secretary; David II. Dunne,
treasurer; Thomas B. Neuhausen, vice-
chairman, and the following commit
teemen scattered through the state:
A. A. Bailey, A. E. Clark, Portland;
E. B. Hermann, Roseburg; Clyde Hunt
ley, Oregon City; Marion Jack. Pen
dleton; Frank H. Lewis, Portland; T. J.
Mahoney, Heppner; Willard Marks, Al
bany; Arthur I. Moulton, David L. Po
vey, Portland; Thomas Tongue. Jr.,
Hillsboro; Walter Tooze, Jr., Dallas,
and S. S. Smith. Medford.
30,000 EXPECTED IX TACOMA
Republicans Will Gather From
Nearby Cities to Greet Mr. Hughes.
TACOMA. Wash., Aug. 13. (Special.)
When Charles B. Hughes speaks in
the Stadium here Tuesday afternoan it
is predicted that at least 30,000 per
sons, the seating capacity of the vast
ampitheater, will be present to hear
him speak.
Special trains will bring Republicans
from Aberdeen, Hoquiam. Chehalis,
Centralis and other Southwest Wash
ington cities. All the party organiza
tions or tnose communities have noti
fled the Tacoma officers that they
will attend. This is the nearest stop
me candidate win make to their homes.
Mr. Hughes will have an opportunity
also to speak to the Republican editors
of the state here, as a private meetine
nas Deen arrangea by s. A. Perkins, Na
tional committeeman for the state, for
the writers. They are coming, upon
his invitation, and Mr. Hughes will ad
dress them alone at a meeting to be
held at the Tacoma Hotel immediately
alter luncn. They will attend, the
larger meeting also.
STEAMERS IN COLLISION
City of Topeka Damages Steam
Schooner Coquille River.
SAN FRANCISCO, Aug. IS. (Spe
cial.) In the early morning haze, 25
miles north of Point Reyes, the Pacific
Coast Steamship Company's passenger
steamer City of Topeka, and the steam
schooner Coquille River, was in colli
sion today with considerable damage
to the latter vessel. The City of To
peka escaped undamaged, and while
passengers were awakened thero was
no panic
Conflicting causes of the accident are
given by the commanders and crews of
the two vessels. The steam schooner,
owned by the Union Lumber Company,
sustained damage to the after part of
her main rigging and her hull was
crushed three feet below the water
line. Leaking, she put back into port
and will go on drydock tomorrow for
survey and repairs.
The Coquille River was bound for
Fort Bragg and the City of Topeka for
San Francisco from Eureka- The crew
of the Coquille River say that the pas
senger steamer misinterpreted her
signals, and that incorrect signals were
given is the charge of the crew of the
City of Topeka.
Church Has Outing.
WOODBTTRN. Or.. Aug. 13. (Special.)
Ths annual outing given by members
of St. Luke s Catholic Church was held
here today at the City Park. After the
picnic dinner a musical programme was
rendered followed by an address by
Judge William Galloway, of Salem. A
large crowd participated, coming from
Portland. Sublimity, Salem, Donald,
Mount AnegL. Sfe ul and, isWheC
Photo Copyrighted by Underwood.
350 GO ON PlCrilC
Press Club Outing at .Bonne
ville Brings Day of Fun.
BALL GAME LENDS TO JOY
Both George Baker's Team and Gun
Moser's Nine Claim Victory,
Lean, Long-Haired Man Wins
Race for Bald-Headed Men.
Three hundred and fifty men, women
and children left the ,Unlon Depot at
9 o'clock yesterday morning for the
Press Club picnic. After their arrival
at Bonneville, time out for lunch was
declared before the activities of the day
were announced. A trip through the
hatchery followed and then for an hour
and a half the newspapermen and their
guests danced.
The feature of the afternoon was the
baseball game. George L. Baker, for
getting public affairs and theatrical
worries, grabbed a bat and "chose up"
with Gus Moser, state legislator.
Accounts as to the result of the game
are conflicting. George and Gus both
claimed the victory. George covered
the entire outfield for his team and Gus
was kept busy dodging fly balls when
not standing up to the plate letting
good ones get by. The real sensation of
the game was the manner In which ex-
Senator McBrlde. now aspiring to the
county Judgeship, stabbed everything
that came his way on first base.
The usual sport races with a few In
novations from the brain, or brains, of
Jimmy" McCool, were later entered
Into by all those who were eligible.
The combination fat and bald-headed
man's race was won by H. S. Lonsdale,
who was neither fat nor bald-headed.
Clark Letter ran a close second with
Charlie Ryan tearing up the ground
for a good third. Clark Letter will pro
test against Mr. Lonsdale, on the tech
nical ground that he was a "ringer."
Mrs. James Durgan won the married
women's race; Lewis Sam, the water
bucket race: J. L. King the 100-yard
dash: B. Collins the 60-yard free-for-all:
Pearl Cummins the 50-yard dash for
girls, and Oscar Estabrook the 60-yard
dash for boys.
En route the "Frying Pan." contain
ing "roasts" that do not ordinarily find
their way Into print, was sold. E. J.
Solomon, better known as "Solly."
garbed In a police captain's uniform.
was the only newsy In sight. Copies
of the "Frying Pan" sold Ilka hotcakes.
The picnic was arranged by Clark
Letter, other officials of the Press Club
and Charles Ryan, chief of the enter
tainment committee. The greatest
praise was given William McMurray.
general passenger agent of the railroad,
for the way in which the excursion was
handled. Mr. McMurray personally ac
companied the picnickers.
The picnickers left Bonneville at S
P. M. and arrived home shortly after
6 o'clock.
Mrs. MacKenzie's Condition Grave.
Mrs. Marion MacKenzie, wtfe of Dr.
Kenneth A. J. MacKenzie. dean of the
medical department of the University
of Oregon, Is critically 111 at Sa Vin
cent's Hospital, where she has been
confined to - her bed for six months.
Hospital authorities say that various
physicians who have attended Mrs.
MacKenzie have been unable to diag
nose ifer ailment. Before she was taken
to the hospital Mrs. Mackenzie wa ill
at her fefifllt 1ST psveral aoshj. ff
Appropriations Will Exceed All
Previous Records by Half
Billion Dollars.
0TAL NEAR $1,700,000,000
Revenue Bill Is Considered by Cau
cus of Senate Democrats and on
Its Final Passage Adjourn
ment Is Expected.
WASHINGTON. Aug. IS. The im
portance of the 1200.000.000 revenue
bill, to which Benate Democrats today
devoted many hours of deliberation In
raucjs, is being impressed on leaders
bv the fct that appropriations now
nearlng completion have broken all
records.
With cassace this week of the 50.-
000.000 ablp-purchaao bill and probable
approval by the House or the senate
gigantic naval LIU, the appropriations
of the Sixty-fourth Congress will have
exceeded the previous high record by
at least $500,000,000.
While exact figures cannot bs com
puted until the gavel has fallen on the
last supply bill of the session, tne ag
gregate appropriations by Congress
for all purposes probably will approxi
mate 1. 700.000. 000 as asratnst $1,114.-
000,000 for the Sixty-third Congress.
Other Sams Yet to Be Aaded.
Besides regular supply bills, which
total, as they now ttand. $1,387,106,680.
Congress will have added, when the
shlPDlno: bill is approved, more than
$90,000,000 for special purposes, mere
also have been contract authorisations
amounting to about $207,000,000. all of
which would bring the grand aggre
gate to $1,685,000,000. with the un
certain aeneral deficiency appropria
tlon bilL still in ths making, to be
added at the end of the session.
Special approptlatlons include $20.-
COO.ooO for a Government nitrate plant
$6,000,000 for good roads; $15,000,000
for rural credits, and $60,100,000 for
tt e Government shipping project. Gen
eral supply bills that enter Into the
tension's total are as follows:
Postofflce, $$22,206,577; Navy, yet to
be approved. $315,826,843: Army, $267.
597.000; pensions, $158,060,000; sundry
oivll. $128,396,445: rivers and harbors,
$42,836,085: legislative, executive and
judicial, $37,925,690; Army and Navy
md other urgent deficiencies, J31.012,-
075: agriculture. $27,000,000; forttflca
tions. $25,748,050: District of Columbia.
yet to be approvel. about $13,000,000;
Indian aftairs. $10,967,644: diplomatic
and consular. $5,356,096; military acad
emy. $1,225,043.
Little Navy Mea Thought Beaten.
With President Wilson and a major
ity of the party leaders urgently sup
porting the naval building and per
sonnel increases, it Is believed the
House will agree to them after advo
cates of a small Navy have made their
lust fight. In anticipation of a close
vote, every absent Representative was
notified more than a week ago of the
approaching contest, which will mark
ths climax of the National defense
campaign this week. '
Appioprlatlons tor preparedness alone
will aggregate approximately $640,000.
000. unless unforseen developments
should force a curtailment. While the
House this week is bringing business
to a close, the Senate will pass the
shipping bill, workmen's compensation
bill and conference reports prepara
tory for the revenue bill, on which a
stubborn assault will be waged by the
Republicans.
When the amended revenue bill gets
tl-rough conference, it is expected Con
gress will be ready to adjourn. Lead
ers of both parties are hoping adjourn
ment will come by September 1.
Nearly 60 Der eent of tne nails and tubs
made in the etste of Washington are sent
to ma mioqi wmi ror conaumpvtof..
Well Built
Is Built to Endure
For building sturdy endurance into human system for a long, comfort
able life proper food is of utmost importance.
Grape
It has delicious, satisfying flavor, and is rich in the true nourishing ele
ments of whole wheat and malted barley including their vital inineral con
tent, which is lacking in much of the food used nowadays.
Grape-Nuts food is in the form of crisp, nut-like granules; easy to digest
and ready to eat with cream or good milk a wonderful builder of strength,
endurance and comfort.
"There's a' Reason "
The Greatest Celebration in Years
Coos Bay Country invites the world to
celebrate the coming; of the railroad. Hos
pitality is the Keynote of this celebration.
PROGRAMME
NORTH BEND DAY
August 24th
Band Concerts Spealdnj Ceremonies Dedication Simpson Park
Street Carnival Water Sports Parades Driving Golden Spike.
COOS COUNTY DAY
Aug-ust 25th
Trips by rail and boat to Coquille, Bandon, Myrtls Point, Powers,
Coos Bay, Mussel Reef, Sunset Bay, Cape Arago. Se food dinner
at Charleston Bay. Fishing at Lakeside Launch trips on Coos Bay.
MARSHFIELD DAY
August 26th
Industrial Parade Water Sports Auto Racing Illumined Launch
Parade Firework Dancing Horse Racing.
Low Round Trip Fares
On Sale Aug. 21 to 26, Inc.
Return Limit August 31
City Ticket Office, Corner 6th and Oak
Stsfor information.
John M. Scott, Gen. Pass. Agent
v Portland, Oregon.
SOUTHERN PACIFIC
MORMONISM UNDER FIBE
DRASTIC STEPS PROPOSED I.f NA
TIONAL REFORM CHU5ADE.
Coastltatloaal Amendment f Prohibit
Polygamy Is Oao of the Meaa
uti Proposed.
WINONA LAKE, Ind.. Aug. 1J.
(Special.) A constitutional amend
ment to forbid polygamy and polyga
mous living, a proceeding by the De
partment of Justice to force an ac
counting of the property which was
restored to the Mormon Kingdom in
trust and a proceeding to dissolve -the
Mormon Kngdom property trusteeship
as a combination in restraint of
trade, an order by the Post Office De
partment withholding the privileges of
the mall from the Mormon Kingdom
and its responsible officers so long as
they teach the crime of polygamy and
a refusal by each house of Congress
to seat any man who pays political
allegiance to the Mormon Kingdom or
is elected by its power, are among the
drastlo actions advocated by tha Na
tional Reform Association in its cru
sade against Mormonlsm.
These matters are being discussed
at the annual Christian Citizenship In
stltute now being held in this city.
Among the speakers who are on the
programme to discuss this vital ques
tlon are Mrs. Frances J. Dlefendorfer.
presldent-at-large of the National Or
der of anti-Polygamy Crusaders, ex
Senator Frank Cannon of Utah, one of
the best-informed men on Mormonlsm
in the country. Mrs. Lulu Loveland
Shepard. of Utah, one of the greatest
leaders In the crusade against polyg
amy and a number of Mormon leaders
who -have been converted.
Irregular Marriage Questioned.
Informal methods of marriage In
Russia are again in question before the
Municipal Court. Molly SUverberg and
Jacob Holzman were arrested Saturday
nlght by Patrolman Powell. Richards,
Schum and Eubanks and charged with
living together without being married.
mm
A Compound mads of
"mity.aau and Yost
Postum Cereal Company.Ltd,
a'o o nk u.sjC
A FOOD
ECONOMY
e MCTWLKHT rOUKTtCM
Nust:s
although they are said to be married
according to the rites practiced in cer
tain parts of Russia. Tha police say
that 'the woman complained of the ir
regularity of the marriage after a
quarrel with Holsman.
CAUSE OF PRIEST ESPOUSED
State Department 6eeka Release) of
Clergyman In Mexico.
NOG ALES, Aria, Aug. Is. Rev. C O.
Van Goethem, the priest who was ar
rested by the Mexican authorities, when
ho crossed the line last Sunday to ad
minister religious consolation to a
member of his church dangerously 111.
was Informed today by Secretary Lans
ing that his castt would be taken up
with the de facto government by Spe
cial Agent Rodgers at Mexico City.
Secretary Lansing said that Mr. Rod
gers Informed the de frto authorities
of the circumstances of the arrest aal
asked tor an investigation.
"The department trusts that the ac
tion does not have their approval." the
message to Rev. Father Goethem con
tinues, "and that they will aid you to
perform your priestly functions among
your parishioners over the line In
Mexico."
LAUGHING GAS KILLS GIRL
Granddaughter of Senator Snyder
Succumbs In Chair.
8 AN FRANCISCO. Aug. 13. Helen
Vincent, a K-year-old student of
Berkeley, Cal.. died suddenly here Sat
urday In a dentist's chair while under
an anaesthetic. She had gone to tha,
office of Dr. U. Grant Bartlett with
her grandmother to have two teeth ex
tracted and. according to the dentist,
failed to respond to respiration treat
ment on coming out of ths anaesthetic.
Nltrous-oxlde, better known as "laugh
ing gas." was the anaesthetlo em
ployed. Miss Vincent, who was an orphan,
was a granddaughter of the late An
drew Snyder, an Oregon Btats Senator.
Her father was Ole C Vincent. Berke
ley postmaster under President Grover
Cleveland.
What,
023.
Meets every requirement.