fllB MOfttfiXU OB"EGONIAT7, MONDAY, AUGUST 14, 191G. WILLCOX PREDICTS HUGHES' VICTORY REPUBLICAN NOMINEE DRIVING HOME A frOINT. C0I1GRESS BREAKS Boost for COOS EXPEfiSE RECORDS s Republican Chairman Counts 300 Electoral Votes as ! Reasonably Certain. TOTAL PROBABLY IS 325 Good Fighting Chance Seen in 11 Other States With Total of 100 . Votes Maine Is Placed in Republican Column. WASHINGTON, Aug. 13. (Special.) Chairman Willcox, of the Republican National Committee, today authorized his first statement of Hushes strength based on reports received from state Republican leaders. He claims 300 elec toral votes reasonably certain for Hughes. "I predict that the Republican ticket win have between 300 and 325 electoral votes, and as it takes but 266 to elect, that Mr. Hughes will be the -next President of the United States,". says Mr. "Willcox. The following estima'te shows the states that are reasonably certain to cast their votes for Hughes and Fair banks: California 11, Connecticut 7. Idaho 4. Illinois 29. Iowa 13, Kansas 10, Maine 6. Massachusetts 18. Michigan 15, Minnesota 12, Montana 4, New Jer sey 14. New Hampshire 4, New York 43; North Dakota 6, Ohio 24, Oregon 6, Pennsylvania 38. Rhode Island 6, South Dakota 5, Utah 4, Vermont 4, "Wash ington 1, West Virginia , Delaware 3; total 300. Even Chance In 11 States. "I believe in the following states the Republicans have an even chance and in one or two instances a better chance of winning than the Democrats: Ari zona 8, Colorado 6, Kentucky 13, Mary land 8, Missouri 18, Nebraska 8, New Mexlca 3, Oklahoma 10, Indiana 15, Wis consin 13, Wyoming 3. "These 11 states," continues Mr. Will cox. "have a total of 100 votes, and while none of them has been placed as reasonably certain, several of them might well have been so placed. At any rate, I feel that a guess on 25 votes out of 100 is, to say the least, conserva tive, and unless I prove to be a poor guesser, Hughes and Fairbanks will poll upward of 325 out of the total of 611 electoral votes In November.' Mr. Willcox goes into careCul analy sis of political conditions In each of the "reasonably certain" states he classes as doubtful, but good fighting ground. Maine Counted As Republican. Maine elections come in September and on it now all political guesses are based. Of this state Mr. Willcox says: "Maine we have placed in the Re publican column for several reasons. First, the state is normally Republican and seldom elects Democratic electors. In 1912, while Wilson carried the state, it was clearly due to the split in the Republican party. The combined Re publican and Progressive vote was 23,925 In excess of the Democratic vote. In 1914, while this difference was not as great, there was a large increase in the Republican vote and a correspond ing falling off in the Progressive vote. "Maine is normally Republican by at least 15.000 and with the strenuous campaign to be waged this Fall I have no doubt that, as in the past, its vote will be cast for the Republican candi dates." FRENCH CRUISER MYSTERY Soundings Taken Near Pensacola Puzzle Marine Observers. PENSACOLA, Fla., Aug. 13. The French cruiser Amiral Aube, which un expectedly entered this port yesterday, left today. Captain Leskivit took on no fuel or supplies, but received a pack et of documents from the French Con- Bttl. Marine observers here commented on the cruiser's apparent efforts to get first-hand information of the port. Soundings taken when she appeared, crossed and left the bar did not at tract attention, but unusually fre quent soundings over an Irregular course after she entered the harbor caused considerable speculation. The Amiral Aube left at 9:30 o'clock and after discharging the pilot turned slightly to the east and proceeded down the coast at about 18-knots speed. She was visible fsr an hour afterward and did not increase her speed. Tugboat men coming into Pensacola tonight said they had sighted the war-hip southeast of Pensacola light, which showed that she had changed her course and was bearing west. H0RST COMPANIES ARE TWO Oregon Concern Not Under Ban of Britain as "Enemy Concern." Offloers of ths ' E. Clement Horst Company, large hop dealers of Oregon, yesterday announced that the -Horst Company, operating in London, the af fairs of which the British Board of Trade decided "to wind up on the grounds that it was "an enemy con cern," is not the same company which is prominent in Oregon, with offices mainly at Portland. Salem and Inde pendence, Or. The E. Clement Horst Company does a large business in Europe and is one of the biggest hop dealers in the Northwest. It has not come undor the disapproval of the British authorities, although it was said yesterday that owing to the similarity of names, many in this part of the country supposed the British order had affected the local concern. WHEAT BRINGS $166,666 "Walla Walla Farmer Gets Big Price for 150,000 Bushels. WALLA- WALLA, Wash., Aug. 13. Charles Fletcher, well-known farmer of the Prescott district, made the larg est individual wheat sale of the season baturday, the amount of his check be ing $166,66S for 150.000 bushels. Hugh Martin, buyer for the Farmers- Agency, estimated today that nearly half of the 1916 crop had been sold. Much of the wheat sold was left over from last year and Is being moveo. rapidly. $500 Raised for Centra lia Boys. CZNTRALIA. Wash.,' Aug. IS. (Spe ctal.) The Fiesta de la Company M was brought to a successful close last night with approximately $00 raised for the mess fund of Company M. A street parade preceded the closing night s programme. The Fiesta was planned and staged entirely by the young women of the city. I . ' V - ' .-. i ; '' t f . . "- 1 - -. ?- I i 1 & j ' - I :. n. ;---- till s, ? I , f - - J . y k. - ' 4 t r v s: f - s K 4 v "iw w v tj a ' , .k - - J' i ; - I - " ' f : Sl j HUGHES TO BE BUSY Ad Club Talk and Press Club Affair Planned. HIGHWAY TRIP PLANNED Ice Palace Is Prepared to Seat 10,- 000 Persons Doors Open at 6 o'Clock "First Come, First Served," Wilt Be Kule. (Continued From First Page.) of other important engagements were arransed that will give Mr. Hughes ad- rittinnsil onnortunlty of meeting the Hrpirtn nublic. The first added engagement, which also will be his first public appear ance in Portland, will be the public raratitinn to men and women at the "RTisnTi Hotel. It is probable that Mrs. Hughes will ir.tr. with her husband in this meeting. The reception will take place immedi ately following the arrival of the party at the hotel. . The second appointment of the day will be before a meeting of business men under the auspices of the Ad Club in tri rrvstal dlninsr room of the Ben son. Mr. Hughes will give a brief talk, nrobably 10 minutes in duration and will go from there to the Press Club, where an Informal reception will be extended him by local newspaper men. Manv Portland business and pro fesslonal men also will attend the Press Club meeting. Highway Trip Scheduled. Most of the afternoon will bo de voted, to an automobile sight-seeing trip in company with Mrs. Hughes. Both Mr. and Mrs. Hughes have lndi cated a desire to see the Columbia River Highway, and if time permits thev will be taken over the road to thn Multnomah County line. The day's programme provides lor two brief rest periods during which time Mr. and Mrs. Hughes will be in the seclusion of a suite of rooms that have been reserved for them at the Benson. The first such period Is from 10:30 A. M. to noon, and the other from the time they return from the highway trip until Mr. Hughes goes to the Ice Palace for the evening meeting. Workmen continued yesterday their task of laying the plank floor at the Ice Palace. They had the job virtually finished last night. Today they will begin to place chairs in the building, When completed the place will sea nearly 10,000 persons. Standing room for 1500 additional can be provided without -violating the fire ordinances. Doera Opea at 'Clock. The meeting will open promptly at 8 o'clock, but the doors will be open at 6 o'clock. With the exception of the seats on the platform, no seats will be reserved. It will be a case of "first come first served." Ths plat form seats will be held for members of the Republican State Committee, the chairman of the Republican County Committee, the Hughea campaign com mittee and the officers of the' Hughes alliance. Charles L. McNary. Republican state chairman, will be the presiding officer, and will introduce Governor Withy combe, who. in turn, will introduce Mr. Hughes. McElroy's band has been engaged to provide mnsio before the meeting opens. There will be no musi cal entertainment after ths meeting gets under way. Tfes lialtgrftor. lub, fttUfsi to .wtlte s v f : J. t -, 4 -' - 1 . ' 1 y - . " v - ... CHARLES EVANS HUGHES EN TOUR. uniforms, will escort Mr. Hughes from the Benson Hotel to the meeting place. Members of the Hughes campaign committee, comprising representative of the Republican and Progressive or ganizations, will have general charge of the day's activities. They will meet the candidate after his arrival in the early morning and will be in attend ance at the various meetings that he will address throughout the day. Mem bers of this committee are Charles Li. McNary, state chairman: Ralph E. Will iams, National committeeman; Edward D. Baldwin, secretary; David II. Dunne, treasurer; Thomas B. Neuhausen, vice- chairman, and the following commit teemen scattered through the state: A. A. Bailey, A. E. Clark, Portland; E. B. Hermann, Roseburg; Clyde Hunt ley, Oregon City; Marion Jack. Pen dleton; Frank H. Lewis, Portland; T. J. Mahoney, Heppner; Willard Marks, Al bany; Arthur I. Moulton, David L. Po vey, Portland; Thomas Tongue. Jr., Hillsboro; Walter Tooze, Jr., Dallas, and S. S. Smith. Medford. 30,000 EXPECTED IX TACOMA Republicans Will Gather From Nearby Cities to Greet Mr. Hughes. TACOMA. Wash., Aug. 13. (Special.) When Charles B. Hughes speaks in the Stadium here Tuesday afternoan it is predicted that at least 30,000 per sons, the seating capacity of the vast ampitheater, will be present to hear him speak. Special trains will bring Republicans from Aberdeen, Hoquiam. Chehalis, Centralis and other Southwest Wash ington cities. All the party organiza tions or tnose communities have noti fled the Tacoma officers that they will attend. This is the nearest stop me candidate win make to their homes. Mr. Hughes will have an opportunity also to speak to the Republican editors of the state here, as a private meetine nas Deen arrangea by s. A. Perkins, Na tional committeeman for the state, for the writers. They are coming, upon his invitation, and Mr. Hughes will ad dress them alone at a meeting to be held at the Tacoma Hotel immediately alter luncn. They will attend, the larger meeting also. STEAMERS IN COLLISION City of Topeka Damages Steam Schooner Coquille River. SAN FRANCISCO, Aug. IS. (Spe cial.) In the early morning haze, 25 miles north of Point Reyes, the Pacific Coast Steamship Company's passenger steamer City of Topeka, and the steam schooner Coquille River, was in colli sion today with considerable damage to the latter vessel. The City of To peka escaped undamaged, and while passengers were awakened thero was no panic Conflicting causes of the accident are given by the commanders and crews of the two vessels. The steam schooner, owned by the Union Lumber Company, sustained damage to the after part of her main rigging and her hull was crushed three feet below the water line. Leaking, she put back into port and will go on drydock tomorrow for survey and repairs. The Coquille River was bound for Fort Bragg and the City of Topeka for San Francisco from Eureka- The crew of the Coquille River say that the pas senger steamer misinterpreted her signals, and that incorrect signals were given is the charge of the crew of the City of Topeka. Church Has Outing. WOODBTTRN. Or.. Aug. 13. (Special.) Ths annual outing given by members of St. Luke s Catholic Church was held here today at the City Park. After the picnic dinner a musical programme was rendered followed by an address by Judge William Galloway, of Salem. A large crowd participated, coming from Portland. Sublimity, Salem, Donald, Mount AnegL. Sfe ul and, isWheC Photo Copyrighted by Underwood. 350 GO ON PlCrilC Press Club Outing at .Bonne ville Brings Day of Fun. BALL GAME LENDS TO JOY Both George Baker's Team and Gun Moser's Nine Claim Victory, Lean, Long-Haired Man Wins Race for Bald-Headed Men. Three hundred and fifty men, women and children left the ,Unlon Depot at 9 o'clock yesterday morning for the Press Club picnic. After their arrival at Bonneville, time out for lunch was declared before the activities of the day were announced. A trip through the hatchery followed and then for an hour and a half the newspapermen and their guests danced. The feature of the afternoon was the baseball game. George L. Baker, for getting public affairs and theatrical worries, grabbed a bat and "chose up" with Gus Moser, state legislator. Accounts as to the result of the game are conflicting. George and Gus both claimed the victory. George covered the entire outfield for his team and Gus was kept busy dodging fly balls when not standing up to the plate letting good ones get by. The real sensation of the game was the manner In which ex- Senator McBrlde. now aspiring to the county Judgeship, stabbed everything that came his way on first base. The usual sport races with a few In novations from the brain, or brains, of Jimmy" McCool, were later entered Into by all those who were eligible. The combination fat and bald-headed man's race was won by H. S. Lonsdale, who was neither fat nor bald-headed. Clark Letter ran a close second with Charlie Ryan tearing up the ground for a good third. Clark Letter will pro test against Mr. Lonsdale, on the tech nical ground that he was a "ringer." Mrs. James Durgan won the married women's race; Lewis Sam, the water bucket race: J. L. King the 100-yard dash: B. Collins the 60-yard free-for-all: Pearl Cummins the 50-yard dash for girls, and Oscar Estabrook the 60-yard dash for boys. En route the "Frying Pan." contain ing "roasts" that do not ordinarily find their way Into print, was sold. E. J. Solomon, better known as "Solly." garbed In a police captain's uniform. was the only newsy In sight. Copies of the "Frying Pan" sold Ilka hotcakes. The picnic was arranged by Clark Letter, other officials of the Press Club and Charles Ryan, chief of the enter tainment committee. The greatest praise was given William McMurray. general passenger agent of the railroad, for the way in which the excursion was handled. Mr. McMurray personally ac companied the picnickers. The picnickers left Bonneville at S P. M. and arrived home shortly after 6 o'clock. Mrs. MacKenzie's Condition Grave. Mrs. Marion MacKenzie, wtfe of Dr. Kenneth A. J. MacKenzie. dean of the medical department of the University of Oregon, Is critically 111 at Sa Vin cent's Hospital, where she has been confined to - her bed for six months. Hospital authorities say that various physicians who have attended Mrs. MacKenzie have been unable to diag nose ifer ailment. Before she was taken to the hospital Mrs. Mackenzie wa ill at her fefifllt 1ST psveral aoshj. ff Appropriations Will Exceed All Previous Records by Half Billion Dollars. 0TAL NEAR $1,700,000,000 Revenue Bill Is Considered by Cau cus of Senate Democrats and on Its Final Passage Adjourn ment Is Expected. WASHINGTON. Aug. IS. The im portance of the 1200.000.000 revenue bill, to which Benate Democrats today devoted many hours of deliberation In raucjs, is being impressed on leaders bv the fct that appropriations now nearlng completion have broken all records. With cassace this week of the 50.- 000.000 ablp-purchaao bill and probable approval by the House or the senate gigantic naval LIU, the appropriations of the Sixty-fourth Congress will have exceeded the previous high record by at least $500,000,000. While exact figures cannot bs com puted until the gavel has fallen on the last supply bill of the session, tne ag gregate appropriations by Congress for all purposes probably will approxi mate 1. 700.000. 000 as asratnst $1,114.- 000,000 for the Sixty-third Congress. Other Sams Yet to Be Aaded. Besides regular supply bills, which total, as they now ttand. $1,387,106,680. Congress will have added, when the shlPDlno: bill is approved, more than $90,000,000 for special purposes, mere also have been contract authorisations amounting to about $207,000,000. all of which would bring the grand aggre gate to $1,685,000,000. with the un certain aeneral deficiency appropria tlon bilL still in ths making, to be added at the end of the session. Special approptlatlons include $20.- COO.ooO for a Government nitrate plant $6,000,000 for good roads; $15,000,000 for rural credits, and $60,100,000 for tt e Government shipping project. Gen eral supply bills that enter Into the tension's total are as follows: Postofflce, $$22,206,577; Navy, yet to be approved. $315,826,843: Army, $267. 597.000; pensions, $158,060,000; sundry oivll. $128,396,445: rivers and harbors, $42,836,085: legislative, executive and judicial, $37,925,690; Army and Navy md other urgent deficiencies, J31.012,- 075: agriculture. $27,000,000; forttflca tions. $25,748,050: District of Columbia. yet to be approvel. about $13,000,000; Indian aftairs. $10,967,644: diplomatic and consular. $5,356,096; military acad emy. $1,225,043. Little Navy Mea Thought Beaten. With President Wilson and a major ity of the party leaders urgently sup porting the naval building and per sonnel increases, it Is believed the House will agree to them after advo cates of a small Navy have made their lust fight. In anticipation of a close vote, every absent Representative was notified more than a week ago of the approaching contest, which will mark ths climax of the National defense campaign this week. ' Appioprlatlons tor preparedness alone will aggregate approximately $640,000. 000. unless unforseen developments should force a curtailment. While the House this week is bringing business to a close, the Senate will pass the shipping bill, workmen's compensation bill and conference reports prepara tory for the revenue bill, on which a stubborn assault will be waged by the Republicans. When the amended revenue bill gets tl-rough conference, it is expected Con gress will be ready to adjourn. Lead ers of both parties are hoping adjourn ment will come by September 1. Nearly 60 Der eent of tne nails and tubs made in the etste of Washington are sent to ma mioqi wmi ror conaumpvtof.. Well Built Is Built to Endure For building sturdy endurance into human system for a long, comfort able life proper food is of utmost importance. Grape It has delicious, satisfying flavor, and is rich in the true nourishing ele ments of whole wheat and malted barley including their vital inineral con tent, which is lacking in much of the food used nowadays. Grape-Nuts food is in the form of crisp, nut-like granules; easy to digest and ready to eat with cream or good milk a wonderful builder of strength, endurance and comfort. "There's a' Reason " The Greatest Celebration in Years Coos Bay Country invites the world to celebrate the coming; of the railroad. Hos pitality is the Keynote of this celebration. PROGRAMME NORTH BEND DAY August 24th Band Concerts Spealdnj Ceremonies Dedication Simpson Park Street Carnival Water Sports Parades Driving Golden Spike. COOS COUNTY DAY Aug-ust 25th Trips by rail and boat to Coquille, Bandon, Myrtls Point, Powers, Coos Bay, Mussel Reef, Sunset Bay, Cape Arago. Se food dinner at Charleston Bay. Fishing at Lakeside Launch trips on Coos Bay. MARSHFIELD DAY August 26th Industrial Parade Water Sports Auto Racing Illumined Launch Parade Firework Dancing Horse Racing. Low Round Trip Fares On Sale Aug. 21 to 26, Inc. Return Limit August 31 City Ticket Office, Corner 6th and Oak Stsfor information. John M. Scott, Gen. Pass. Agent v Portland, Oregon. SOUTHERN PACIFIC MORMONISM UNDER FIBE DRASTIC STEPS PROPOSED I.f NA TIONAL REFORM CHU5ADE. Coastltatloaal Amendment f Prohibit Polygamy Is Oao of the Meaa uti Proposed. WINONA LAKE, Ind.. Aug. 1J. (Special.) A constitutional amend ment to forbid polygamy and polyga mous living, a proceeding by the De partment of Justice to force an ac counting of the property which was restored to the Mormon Kingdom in trust and a proceeding to dissolve -the Mormon Kngdom property trusteeship as a combination in restraint of trade, an order by the Post Office De partment withholding the privileges of the mall from the Mormon Kingdom and its responsible officers so long as they teach the crime of polygamy and a refusal by each house of Congress to seat any man who pays political allegiance to the Mormon Kingdom or is elected by its power, are among the drastlo actions advocated by tha Na tional Reform Association in its cru sade against Mormonlsm. These matters are being discussed at the annual Christian Citizenship In stltute now being held in this city. Among the speakers who are on the programme to discuss this vital ques tlon are Mrs. Frances J. Dlefendorfer. presldent-at-large of the National Or der of anti-Polygamy Crusaders, ex Senator Frank Cannon of Utah, one of the best-informed men on Mormonlsm in the country. Mrs. Lulu Loveland Shepard. of Utah, one of the greatest leaders In the crusade against polyg amy and a number of Mormon leaders who -have been converted. Irregular Marriage Questioned. Informal methods of marriage In Russia are again in question before the Municipal Court. Molly SUverberg and Jacob Holzman were arrested Saturday nlght by Patrolman Powell. Richards, Schum and Eubanks and charged with living together without being married. mm A Compound mads of "mity.aau and Yost Postum Cereal Company.Ltd, a'o o nk u.sjC A FOOD ECONOMY e MCTWLKHT rOUKTtCM Nust:s although they are said to be married according to the rites practiced in cer tain parts of Russia. Tha police say that 'the woman complained of the ir regularity of the marriage after a quarrel with Holsman. CAUSE OF PRIEST ESPOUSED State Department 6eeka Release) of Clergyman In Mexico. NOG ALES, Aria, Aug. Is. Rev. C O. Van Goethem, the priest who was ar rested by the Mexican authorities, when ho crossed the line last Sunday to ad minister religious consolation to a member of his church dangerously 111. was Informed today by Secretary Lans ing that his castt would be taken up with the de facto government by Spe cial Agent Rodgers at Mexico City. Secretary Lansing said that Mr. Rod gers Informed the de frto authorities of the circumstances of the arrest aal asked tor an investigation. "The department trusts that the ac tion does not have their approval." the message to Rev. Father Goethem con tinues, "and that they will aid you to perform your priestly functions among your parishioners over the line In Mexico." LAUGHING GAS KILLS GIRL Granddaughter of Senator Snyder Succumbs In Chair. 8 AN FRANCISCO. Aug. 13. Helen Vincent, a K-year-old student of Berkeley, Cal.. died suddenly here Sat urday In a dentist's chair while under an anaesthetic. She had gone to tha, office of Dr. U. Grant Bartlett with her grandmother to have two teeth ex tracted and. according to the dentist, failed to respond to respiration treat ment on coming out of ths anaesthetic. Nltrous-oxlde, better known as "laugh ing gas." was the anaesthetlo em ployed. Miss Vincent, who was an orphan, was a granddaughter of the late An drew Snyder, an Oregon Btats Senator. Her father was Ole C Vincent. Berke ley postmaster under President Grover Cleveland. What, 023. Meets every requirement.