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4 CapitalPress.com Friday, January 1, 2021 Beef demand resilient through pandemic By CAROL RYAN DUMAS Capital Press The COVID-19 pandemic delivered significant disruptions to the beef industry, with slowdowns and shutdowns at meatpack- ing plants and foodservice. But domestic consumption stayed the same or increased slightly com- pared to 2019. The retail fresh beef index was high in 2020, Joel Packham, Uni- versity of Idaho Extension edu- cator for Cassia County, said during the university’s Ag Outlook Seminar. There was a little bit of fear, and people wanted beef in their freez- ers, he said. The retail fresh beef index rose 10 points year over year, according to the Livestock Marketing Infor- mation Center. Wholesale beef demand went off the charts during May and June, he said. “People were after wholesale beef in a way like never before,” Capital Press File Beef demand remained higher in 2020 than initially projected. he said. CattleFax projects beef demand at retail went from 40.6% of combined retail and foodservice demand to 50%. USDA’s all fresh retail beef price was sky high in May, June and July, he said. That price reached a peak of $7.40 a pound, and the annual fore- cast for 2020 is $6.35 a pound. The all fresh retail beef price ranged from $5.70 a pound to just under $6 in 2019. Total meat sale tonnage at retail was up 9% January through Octo- ber, and dollar sales at retail were up 18% or $11.5 billion. Beef’s share of the increased spending was 43.5% or $5 billion, he said. “People were willing to spend more on groceries, and they were really willing to spend it on beef,” he said. As for beef exports, they were forecast to be down 4.5% in 2020 but were up 10% in 2021 with a continuing upward trend. The largest U.S. customers are Japan, South Korea, Mexico and China, and the industry is looking for China to become a bigger player, he said. Export markets aren’t looking for hamburger, they’re after choice grade beef or higher, he said. “They’re really enthralled with grain-fed, really high-quality beef from the U.S.,” he said. And quality grade has improved for U.S. beef. From 2009 to 2014, the percent choice and higher was at 70% to 73%. Now it’s about 86% to 87%, and producers and breed associations need to be pat- ted on the back, he said. “Those people have put beef on COVID-19 crinkled potato outlook in 2020 Oregon timber sales canceled to delay environmental lawsuit By MATEUSZ PERKOWSKI Capital Press The Oregon Department of Forestry has canceled two timber sales to post- pone proceedings in an environmental lawsuit, which the timber industry con- siders a troubling development. In 2018, several environmental groups filed a complaint accusing the ODF of violating the Endangered Spe- cies Act by allowing sediments from logging to harm protected coho salmon. Due to the coronavirus pandemic and other reasons, the agency obtained a stay of the lawsuit in April that sus- pended the legal proceedings. The litigation was further delayed after devastating wildfires burned more than 1 million acres of forestland in late summer. The Center for Biological Diversity and two other environmental plaintiffs have now agreed to again delay the law- suit until July 15, 2021, in exchange for ODF scrapping two timber sales total- ing more than 440 acres in the Tilla- mook State Forest. The ODF is working on a “habitat conservation plan” for multiple species in state forestlands, which the environ- mental lawsuit claims is necessary to avoid violating the ESA. The agency plans to submit its plan to federal authorities for review with the goal of getting it approved in July 2022, which eventually “will moot this litiga- tion,” according to a court document. The Oregon Forest Industries Coun- cil, which has intervened in the lawsuit, Mateusz Perkowski/Capital Press File Two timber sales totaling more than 440 acres were canceled by the Oregon Department of Forest- ry to delay an environmental law- suit. didn’t object to the postponement but is concerned that environmental groups have “bullied” ODF to cancel the tim- ber sales. The plaintiffs have manipulated the state’s timber harvest schedule to achieve a political compromise, even though those logging projects wouldn’t endanger coho salmon, said Sara Dun- can, OFIC’s communications director. “We don’t think that’s how things should be done,” Duncan said. Dropping the two timber sales could be perceived as ODF admitting the log- ging projects were problematic for pro- tected species, which isn’t accurate, said Mike Eliason, OFIC’s general counsel. “We don’t think there is any legal basis for doing so,” he said. OFIC thinks the agency’s proposed By CAROL RYAN DUMAS Capital Press habitat conservation plan is “overly conservative” but hopes the final ver- sion won’t be as restrictive in terms of harvestable acreage, Eliason said. Even so, the group sees such plan negotia- tions as preferable to court battles. “We want to see a better public pro- cess with more balanced outcomes, but that’s better than constant litigation,” he said. The two logging projects would be expected to generate nearly 10 million board-feet of timber and more than $3.2 million in gross revenues. After sub- tracting the costs of associated stream enhancements and other projects, the net income from the timber sales would be nearly $2.5 million. Tillamook County, which intervened in the case and would obtain a por- tion of that money, did not object to the lawsuit’s postponement because ODF “agreed to replace lost timber volume” with alternative sales. OFIC is nonetheless opposed to the cancellation because it sets a bad prec- edent, wasn’t necessary to achieve the litigation stay and “undercuts the strong evidence that the state is not committing incidental take in violation of the ESA,” Duncan said. The Center for Biological Diver- sity, lead plaintiff in the lawsuit, pressed for the two timber sales to be can- celed because they’d be harmful to coho salmon, said Noah Greenwald, its endangered species director. The plain- tiffs are pleased with the deal, even though they also believe the habitat con- servation plan should be improved. Feds take comment on phosphate mine proposed in SE Idaho By BRAD CARLSON Capital Press Federal officials plan to take public comment through Jan. 22 on a pro- posed phosphate mine in southeast Idaho. The U.S. Bureau of Land Management’s Idaho Falls District is preparing an envi- S221489-1 LEGAL PURSUANT TO ORS CHAPTER 87 Notice is hereby given that the following vehicle will be sold, for cash to the highest bidder, on 01/04/2021. The sale will be held at 10:00am by COPART OF WASHINGTON INC 2885 NATIONAL WAY WOODBURN, OR 2019 TOYOTA COROLLA 4DR VIN = 2T1BURHE7KC203364 Amount due on lien $1,955.00 Reputed owner(s) METLIFE ronmental impact state- ment to address Itafos Conda LLC’s mining and reclama- tion plan for the proposed Husky 1 North Dry Ridge phosphate mine. Itafos proposes to develop several phosphate leases it holds on Dry Ridge, about 16 miles northeast of Soda Springs. BLM said in a news release that operations at the new mine would be simi- lar to Itafos’ Rasmussen Val- ley Mine and would begin in time to allow a transition as Rasmussen is depleted. BLM and the U.S. For- est Service will take public comment on the scope of the analysis and on identification of relevant information, stud- ies and analyses. BLM’s Idaho Falls Dis- trict plans a virtual public meeting from 4 to 5:30 p.m. Jan. 11. District Manager Mary D’Aversa said goals include having the public “let us know what they believe is important for the BLM to address when considering the proposal and developing different management alter- natives to address it.” Water quality and the impacts on fish and wildlife, are among the environmen- tal concerns about phosphate mining. The mines provide min- erals for use in products that support agriculture, wildfire suppression and other indus- tries. Mines in the area pro- vide about 22% of the U.S. and 4% of the worldwide the board,” he said. On the supply side, the national cattle herd is moving downward. Higher carcass weights are keep- ing production up, but cow num- bers will get to the point where production will drop off, he said. With cattle numbers dropping and strong exports, the 2021 price outlook for cattle appears on the rise, he said. CattleFax projects fed steer prices at $115 a hundredweight, compared to $110 in 2020. The average price for 800-pound feeder steers is projected at $145, com- pared to $133 in 2020. The average price for 500-pound steer calves is projected at $168, up from $160 in 2020. Bred cow prices are projected up slightly to $1,600 a head. Cull cow prices are expected to average $64 a hundredweight, up from $62 in 2020. Cow-calf returns are projected positive after being negative for most producers the last couple of years, he said. phosphate supply. The Federal Register notice said the preliminary proposed action plan calls for Itafos to exercise and modify mine leases, operate two open pits, mine in phases and back- fill and cover pits with earth or compacted clay to mini- mize contaminant releases. BLM and the Forest Ser- vice said in the notice that they expect to release of a draft EIS in May, a final EIS in November and the agen- cies’ Records of Decision in February 2022. Previous plans submit- ted by Nu-West Mining’s Agrium Canada Phosphate Operations are no longer under consideration, and related EIS preparations have ceased, the notice said. Last year at this time, potato supplies were tight, demand was solid and prices were expected to be strong in 2020, but COVID-19 scram- bled that outlook. “It’s been a very big chal- lenge for the industry and for people in general,” said Bruce Huffaker, president of North American Potato Mar- ket News. But there are some promis- ing things for 2021, including vaccines and recovery from the depths of the downturn in the early months of the pan- demic, he said during the Uni- versity of Idaho Ag Outlook Seminar. Looking at the global french fry trade, which is a microcosm of the potato industry, it was running about 11% above a year earlier from October 2019 through Feb- ruary 2020. From April to June it declined 30% below year-earlier levels, he said. It’s been recovering since then and was only down 2.8% in September, although North American french fry exports are still running about 15% behind last year’s pace, he said. Since 2003, global french fry trade has never declined from the previous year except for 2020. It won’t be back on trend in 2021, but it might be able to get back there in 2022, he said. Looking back on 2020, U.S. potato production fell 2.8%. Last spring, processors in the U.S. reduced their con- tract volumes by 15% to 20%, he said. “With frozen processing making up about a third of the crop, you would have thought that would result in about a 15% production decline,” he said. Production was down 8.3% in Washington and up 10.2% in Oregon, a fairly minimal combined decline. French fry processors in the region cut contract acre- age close to 20%, but yields came out much stronger than expected, he said. Idaho also saw yield increases, resulting in a 4.3% increase in production, although acreage was down. Some people don’t believe the crop is as big as reported, but it’s at least as big as last year, he said. Year-over-year shipments of fresh potatoes in the U.S. were up 6.8% in 2020 to Dec. 1, he said. “That increase in demand is a result of COVID-19, but it’s a mixed bag,” he said. Retail sales of 5- and 10-pound consumer bags are way up, and the government food box program also boosted demand for those potatoes. On the other hand, shut- downs and slowdowns in foodservice have put a drag on business, he said. That’s created a problem for major shippers in Idaho who are heavily reliant on foodservice, he said. New-crop potato demand for processed product was down 5.7% to December. One factor is the slowdown backed up potatoes from the 2019 crop. The other is while domestic demand has recov- ered, export demand is not as good as a year ago, he said. Processing of both old and new crop was down 11.8% June through November, and that big drop is a concern, he said. “Although the evidence now is that the biggest part of the decline, at least in the Pacific Northwest, is behind us,” he said. Demand in the region is strong and plants are running near capacity, he said. “Overall, there is no big change in usage patterns now from what it was a year ago in the Pacific Northwest,” he said. McCain Foods French fries are produced at the McCain Foods plant in Burley, Idaho. Though french fry consumption was down dramatical- ly earlier in 2020, it has greatly rebounded. LEGAL PURSUANT TO ORS CHAPTER 87 Notice is hereby given that the following vehicle will be sold, for cash to the highest bidder, on 01/04/2021. The sale will be held at 10:00am by COPART OF WASHINGTON INC 2885 NATIONAL WAY WOODBURN, OR 2014 KIA SOUL LL VIN = KNDJN2A28E7713504 Amount due on lien $1,835.00 Reputed owner(s) AARON D LEWIS & SARAH R ORTON UNITED FINANCE CO LEGAL PURSUANT TO ORS CHAPTER 87 Notice is hereby given that the following vehicle will be sold, for cash to the highest bidder, on 01/04/2021. The sale will be held at 10:00am by COPART OF WASHINGTON INC 2885 NATIONAL WAY WOODBURN, OR 2016 HONDA HR V UV VIN = 3CZRU6H37GM713525 Amount due on lien $1,855.00 Reputed owner(s) MACKENZIE E & RUSSELL D MINTEN ONPOINT COMMUNITY CU LEGAL PURSUANT TO ORS CHAPTER 87 Notice is hereby given that the following vehicle will be sold, for cash to the highest bidder, on 01/04/2021. 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