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About The news-review. (Roseburg, Or.) 1948-1994 | View Entire Issue (July 22, 1948)
NEWS-REVIEW, ROSEBURG, OREGON, THURSDAY, JULY 22, 1948 NINE condition! or out of work for other reasons. , Labor experts believe the un employed can't total much less than three per cent of the total labor force. So when the size of the labor force Increases, under "normal" conditions, u n e m ployment ill creases too. That's because the three per cent minimum remains an unchanged factor, but is ap plied to an increasing number of people in the total labor force. An exception was the pre-war situation. The pre-war peak of employment was reached in 1941. The civilian labor force people working or looking for work to taled 58,260,000, but 5.560,000, or around 10 per cent, were unemployed. Now, with a total labor force of 63,480,000, there are only 2, 184,000 unemployed less than half the number In 1940 despite the fart the labor force has added 5.219,000 people. Record U. S. Employment May Not Be Enough to Meet Eventual Need By ROBERT E. GEIGER WASHINGTON Employment experts are predicting that before th 1948 demand for "gadgets, gunpowder and beans" is filled, more than 62,000,000 Americans will be working. Already more have Jobs than ever belore In history. The census reported 61,296,000 were at work In June, or 1,241,000 more than a year earlier. , But Robert C. Goodwin, director of the Bureau of Employment Security, says up to 1 000,000 and possibly even more may be needed. Several years ago the labor experts would have been amazed by any prediction that 62,000,000 Americans would have Jobs in 1948. Many economists were pre dicting a "recession" would fol low the war and that there would be unemployment. Instead, non-agricultural em ployment, the core of the labor - market, has gradually expanded. Actually employment has increas ed with hardly a break since 1933. Notable exceptions were the set back In 1937-38 and the sharp drop In employment that occur ed right after the war's end as Industry swung to peacetime production. What's happened to send em ployment to new high levels How long will it stay there? Government experts are mak ing studies to try to find ac curate answers. Mranwhile they aren't making positive statements about the future. But here are some "guesses" by both econo mists and labor experts: 1. Right after the war the pent up buying power of the people created a huge demand for goods. This has turned out to be the greatest sustained spending pow. er ever experienced. It siil! up pears unsatisfied. Demands still run strong for automobiles and most of the other "durable goods" people buy. . 2. On top of this demand for civilian goods came the European aid plan, Increasing competition lor buyers. 3. The high birth rate increased the American population by 13, 000,000 between 194048. Families had to Increase their spending. No Falling Off Sign Goodwin says at the moment there are no signs of a falling off of Jobs. In the past his esti mates of the future employment situation have been right on the button. Well in advance he pre dicted the record-breaking em ployment of last year and this year. He says non-agricultural em- rloyment already la at a peak, n addition farmers set out to produce a crop about the same size as In 1947. This means Just about as many people will he needed to harvest the 1948 crop as were employed In 1947. He estimates that If the same number of agricultural workers are needed this year as last. It will create a demand for about 1.000,000 more workers than now are employed. (Rain and cool weather delayed the planting and harvesting of crops this year, and the peak of farm employment lies some weeks ahead.) The labor force contains about 2.000.000 more people than many experts expected on the basis of the population increase and the pre-war trends In labor demand. Normal Balanea Remains The "extra" people now work ing are mostly women over 35, students and older men who normally would be out of work. The draft Is expected to increase the scarcity of workers. While employment has Increas ed, so has unemployment. This Is "normal." Goodwin explains this way: There always are a certain number of people who are chang ing Jobs, laid off because of sea sonal, regional or occupational Full Year College Work is Assured Draft Age Men OREGON STATE COLLEGE Men of draft nge planning to enter college this fall need have no fear of having their work In terrupted before the end of the school year, II they ao satisiac- Hitler's Headquarters Now 'Amerika Haus MUNICH. Germany P Hit let's former headquarter where the Munich pact of 1938 was signed is now "Amerika Haus' a U. S. Information center for Germans. Here 15,000 books, 5,000 maga zines' and newspapers, music rooms, lecture halls and a theater are provided for Germans to learn about the United States and the rest of the world from which they have been isolated so long. It Is one of the biggest ol several such centers In Ameii- can zone cities. BOYSENBERRIES You Pick 12'2c Pp0eurd H. A. WINSTON Winston Section ML South 1st road South of Winston Bridge tory work, reports President A. L. Strand In a brief analysts of provisions of the selective service law as they affect students. President Strand recently re turned from a meeting of the executive committee of the Asso ciation of Land Grant Colleges and Universities, where the mat ter was discussed In considerable detail. He learned also that the military authorities are planning to Increase the size of ROTC units In colleges and depend on them as the primary source of of ficer material. Oregon State and many other colleges open this fall before the selective service act becomes ef fective. Any students enrolled at that time are exempt under the act until the college year is com pleted assuming good scholastic work. Those enrolled in advanced ROTC units, as Juniors and sen iors, are exempt, as they qualify for reserve commissions on grad uation. The army is also starting a new plan this fall whereby freshmen in basic ROTC courses will have opportunity to sign an agreement to continue through advanced work to a commission and then serve two years In act ive duty If called. Those signing the agreement would not be subject to selective service. The first newspaper published In the American colonies was in 1690 when the Boston "Public Occurrences" was founded. Two Fined for Illegal Fishing at Diamond Lake Ernest G. Kauffman and Carl E. Adams, both arrested at Dia mond Lake on charges of "chum ming" fishing with illegal bait were assessed tines of $25 each in Justice Court Wednesday, report ed Justice Thomas C. Hartfiel. Traffic violation fines reported by Hartfiel Include: Gerald L. Vlerra, driving on left side of highway, $10; R-v W. Archer, overheight load, $10; Floyd J. Walker, overload, $20; Raymoni A. Lawrence, reckle.i driving, $25; Carl A. Anderson, unit over load, two counts for $10 each Ralph E. Carnes, unit overloads two counts for $10 each. Germany, students of literatur declare, was the last importan fiart of western Europe to achlev iterary repute primarily due it their isolation from Roman am Gallic culture and partly to com tant warfare within their land. fIGDQ to SAN FRANCISCO ONE-WAY FARE. $4.?0 to LOS ANGELES ONE-WAY FARE. $10.45 14 I. Stwkm Strxt rsMSM - ' .' ' - ' EL PATIOtd FRHIiCISXUHl SPECIAL OFFER! 5.95 16-pitct Storttr Set. 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