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About Roseburg news-review. (Roseburg, Or.) 1920-1948 | View Entire Issue (Aug. 7, 1947)
ROSEBURG NEWS-REVIEW, ROSEBURS, OREGON. THURSDAY, AUGUST 7, 1947 NINE Skeptics Upset by Employment of 60 Million in U. S. now has over 60 million em ployed workers brings back some funny memories. It recalls the days, two years ago, when the full employment idea was first heing considered in Congress. There was a lot of stuff flying around then about how silly it was to expect that there would ever be 60 million employed in 1 tt":;f& The population of New Zealand, 1,641,000, is just about equal that of Detroit, Mich. The most Important exports of New Zealand are butter, cheese, and meat. The Department of Commerco estimates there will be 38 million, cars on the road by 1952. By PETER EDSON NEA Washington Correspondent WASHINGTON, D. C Recent I ihl ., . announcement that the U. S. There is of course only one AC 'Si 4 ROSEBURG COUNTRY CLUB FACILITIES FOR: GOLFING NINE HOLE COURSE Swimming and Boating In the Beautiful North Umpqua COMPLETE CLUB-HOUSE FACILITIES Dining Room and Dance Hall Showers Locker Rooms- PERSONAL INSTRUCTION Many Golf and Social Activities A Few Memberships Available Hal Ayotte, Secretary Box 507 mli tin I Iki i VI, IHI SOLID COMFORT Of (5? UP-TO-THE-MINUTI "City ttpm" WAIIR SERVICI univEnsn DUMPS AND WATER SYSTEMS FOR DEEP and SHALLOW WELLS O DOMESTIC WATER SERVICE IRRIGATION AND FARM USE INDUSTRIAL APPLICATIONS SINGLE AND MULTI-STAGE DEEP AND SHALLOW WELL JET-TYPE PUMPS AND WATER SYSTEMS FOR EVERY KIND OF WATER PROBLEM vjt-w DISTRIBUTED BT ROSEBURG PLUMBING & SUPPLY DIXONVlLLE HIGHWAY Phone 462-J-2 right way to deal with economic predictions. That is to file 'em away and forget 'em. Then, a couple of years later, dig 'em out and see how wrong they were. Anyone who will take the trouble to dig back in the morgue on the 60-millioh-jobs subject should profit by the ex perience. For a lot of predictions of boom and bust are being made today. Properly appraised they are all guesses. Nobody knows wnat's going to happen in the future, as the following old tes timony by experts should prove: The origin of the mystical 60 million' number can be traced back to S. Morris Livingston, chief of the National Economics unit in the Department of Com merce. In 1943 he estimated that after the war there would be be tween 59 and 60 million people in the labor force. He thought there might be between two and three million unemployed from time to time. He set 57 million as a goal for full employment by 1948. As usual when people play the numbers game, this figure got rounded out to 60 million jobs. In the 1944 campaign, President Roosevelt promised 60 million jobs, if re-elected. At first that was too much for even Henry Wallace, who wired F.D.R. "Your goal of 60 million jobs is perhaps high, but I glory in your daring." Henry thought Livingston's 57 million was about right. Impossible But An economist named Dr. John Lee Coulter, working for the Committee of Americans, Inc., proved mathematically that 60 million jobs was impossible. He took the trends in population growth, number of women work ers, increased age expectancy, in crease in college enrollment, sub tracted a couple million for the armed forces and three million unemployed. He came up with the prediction that the labor sup ply in the postwar year would be only 50 million plust The National Association of Manufacturers, which should know about these things, said in January, 1945, that alter the war private business could furnish jobs for only 22 million workers, plus 11 million agricultural work ers S total of 33 million. They said that unnamed gov? ernment planners were actually figuring on employing two mil lion people on a federal housing program, two million on a youth program, five million on a public roads program, nine million on new ."valley" plans like TVA, and four million on other gov ernment employment. Industry Unit Leads In case you wish to compare this prediction with the way it worked out, 45 million are now employed in private industry. In round numbers, agriculture is employing 10 million, the armed forces 1.4 million, the Federal government two million, state and local governments 3.1 mil lion, and there are 2.5 million unemployed. There is no youth program, no road program, no valley pro- Pictures by Paul Jenkira BEAN HARVEST A view over the five-acre bean patch of Clenn Young in Lower Garden Valloy is shown at left above. Pictured above are four youth ful bean pickers who are help ing rfut with the annual bean harvest this year. Left to right, they are Ruby Whittemore, Roy Van Horn, Ruby Teague, ana Don Jones. At loft, below, Max ine Broadbent demonstrates how she picks beans from the vine. gram and no housing program. Citizens National Committee, Inc., whose principal angel is John W. Hanes, put out a pam phlet against the idea of full employment in 1945. Among other things, it said: "Of coui-se, It would be pos sible to provide extensive em ployment if something akin to wartime conditions were perpet uated by adoptin of a totalitarian economy such as exists in Rus sia or formerly existed In Ger many. ... It is difficult, how ever, to conceive of how 'full employment' can be arrived at short of such a step." Well, full employment is here, but is this a totalitarian govern ment? If there are any morals In this flashback, they are: 1. It doesn't pay to be a prophet. 2.-Never sell America snort. Coca-Cola Bottling Co., of Roseburg. Surherlin SUTHERLIN Mr. and Mrs. John Brooks and daughter, Bet ty, from Judith Gap, Mont., spent last Saturday and Sunday visit ing at the home of Mr. and Mrs. Paul Athey. Mr. and Mrs. O. L. Torrey, who have been vacationing in Washington returned home last week and state that they had a very delightful time. Mrs. L. A. Foley of Mitchell, Oregon, was in Sutherlin the last week looking after her property. Mrs. L. E. Stoner and small son were business visitors in Eu gene last week. Mt. Scott Retail Yard are the owners of a new truck. They now plan to do their own hauling. Art Sheets who has been con flnpd to a Eugene hospital for several months, because of a ser ious accident, was able to be brought home lost Tuesday eve ning and the last report was that he is "getting along very nicely." Mr. and Mrs. Edgar Slack, Mrs. Dan Daniels and daughter, shop ped and transacted business in Eugene last Thursday. Mel Drews of Portland made a business call in Sutherlin Friday. Mrs. Kenneth Jensen and two children, of Olympia, Wash., ar rived in Sutherlin last Sunday to visit for a while the former's Sirents, Mr. and Mrs. Isador roleau. A. E. Tillctt has sold his home to Mary Beach of Roseburg and gave possession Saturday. Mr. Tillett and family left Saturday for Washington where they will look around in several places be fore deciding where they will locate. Mr. and Mrs. Ed Probst and four children, Mr. and Mrs. Ear nest Johnson and daughter, from Sagola, Mich., arrived in Suther lin Friday to visit at the home of Mr. and Mrs. Isadore Groleau. Mrs. Dick Valentine and son, Walter of Los Angeles, Calif., was in Sutherlin the forpart of this week greeting friends. Miss Patsy Groleau, who has been visiting a month or so at Olympia, Wash., with her sister, Mrs. Jensen, returned home Sunday. THIRD IN DIMES DRIVE PORTLAND, Aug. 6. (JPl Oregon's per capita contribution of about 32 cents to the 1947 March of Dimes infantile paraly sis fund was third highest in the nation, the state society reported today. Half of the $351,781.05 total re mains In the state for local chap ter work. According to legend, the Arabi an Nights' 1001 Tales was writ ten in Java, where a mighty sul tan lived. mm CHILD'S 3.98 SCUFF RESISTANT OXFORDS! 366 Sale! Red Band quality brown leather . . . treated tips. leather soles. 8!a-2. CAROL BRENT SLIPON f lO A TOP QUALITY AT 00 Compare with any $5 sweaterl Pi wool, better fit, many colors. 34- 34-40. 39.88 MODERN WALNUT WATERFALL DESK 7 roomy drawers! Hardwood construc tion with Walnut veneers and finish. SAVE ON REG. 2.98 CORDUROY OVERALLS 2.77 Made to take lots of wear from boyt r and girls. Wine, navy, brown. 2 -fix. I "Tfr " I I 38'5 5.88 27" x 48" LOOPED PILE RUCS Thick, looped cotton pilel Washfastl Blue, rose, green, gray and white. 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