I University of Oregon Library Eugene, Ore. 97^03 Nyssa Gate City Journal 66th Year, 52nd Issue Nyssa, Oregon The Sugar City Thursday, December 28, 1972 BABSON'S REPORTS FIHANCIM-BUSINESS FORCAST FOR 1973 By Babson's Reports !nc., Wellesley Hills, Mass., Decem­ ber 28, 1972. Our Forecast a year ago was heavily laced with reasons for optimism re­ garding economic and financial prospects for 1972. In retro­ spect, our two key predictions proved to be correct. On the economic front we envisioned the emergence of a mor? hope­ ful attitude on the part of bu­ sinessmen and consumers that would speed up the economic recovery. On the financial front we projected a good year for the stock market in 1972, and indicated that the Dow Jones Industrial Averagewouldpierce the 1,000 mark in either late summer or early fall. HOME FREE IN ’73 1972 turned out to be a year of almost unbroken economic and business progress. The public might well have been more keenly aware of this heal­ thy environment had it not been for the politically motivated rhetoric on some of the less- than-Utopian aspects of the bu­ siness picture. The most fa­ cile means of forecasting is, of course, simply to take pre­ vailing conditions and project them into the future, even though this is not necessarily the most logical or accurate way. Such an approach is commonly used among laymen, and often even by those mor? knowledgeable in business affairs Little won­ der, then, that just as opti­ mists were conspicuous by their absence a year ago, most fore­ casters of 1973 business up to this point reflect today's en­ thusiasm and happy anti­ cipation. POCKETS OF POTENTIAL TROUBLE The staff of Babson’s Re­ ports once again stands some­ what apart from the herd and takes a more moderate view of developments over the next twelve months. Our opinion is far from pessimistic, but it does incorporate a healthy res­ pect for some of the vital pro­ blems which the nation's eco­ nomy may have to face in the new year. Hence, readers of this Babson Forecast are ad­ vised to be psychologically pre­ pared to cope with possible dis­ ruptions of varying intensity along the labor front, on the 1973 Oregon Potato Confab INFLATION--GRAV1 OR TOLERABLE? Prospects for 1973 hinge so importantly upon the Inflation threat that anearlyexamination of this subject seems appro­ priate. There are two types of inflation, monetary andprice. In trying to pull the economy out of its recent recession, the monetary authorities openedthe spigot and increased the money supply. They accomplished their objective, and their re­ cent actions have been more moderate. In 1973, therefore, we can look for the monetary officials to “lean against the wind" whenever it becomes ne­ cessary to squelch any fresh threat from inflationary forces. But unless price (and wage) inflation commences to slip out of control, it is not likely that th«« severe tightening of money The 1973 Oregon PotatoCon- ference will be held in Ontario, Oregon on January 17, 18, 19-- 1973. The Malheur Potato Gro­ wers Association under the di­ rection of their President Fred Deffer will be local hosts for the Conference. The Potato Conference ses­ sions will be held in the Ar­ mory Building of Ontario and a Chemical and Implement Po­ tato Trade Fair will be lo­ cated in the Armory and in the Exhibit Hall of the Malheur Among the 197 undergraduate Fairgrounds. According to Warren Hen­ students whose grades put them ninger, Malheur Extension on the EasternOregonCollege’s Agent, a crowd of over 300 dean listwereCarolyn Wardand people Is expected to attend Joann Timmerman of Adrian the conference and trade fair and Karalee Faw of Vale, all and to hear a varied assort­ with perfect averages of 4.0 ment of talks on potato pro­ along with 46 others. To be eligible for this honor duction and marketing. Potato industry people from through­ listing, students must be en­ out the Northwest will be in rolled for at least 12 hours with attendante. letter grades. The honor listing Both Deffer and Henninger includes the following students urge Treasure Valley potato from this area with averages growers and other interested from 3.5 to 3.9: James Dail, persons to attend this three- Nyssa, David Phelps, Adrian, day potato conference and trade Robert Micheli, Margaret Ross fair to be held the third week and Nancy Schallhorn of On­ tario. of January, 1973. EOG Dean's List Report Ten Cents COMPOSITION, PHILOSOPHY AND ACTIVITIES OF TVUAC ORGANIZATION monetary scene, in the fight against inflation, and In areas of high sociological sensitivity. STRIKE THREAT A year from now, we may look back and credit labor re­ lations with having molded the profile of 1973*s business pat­ tern. Whether the nation is to suffer an Inordinate degree of economic dislocation during the coming twelvemonth could de­ pend to a considerable extent on just how agressively and persistently labor leaders press their demands, and also on how the Administration hand­ les th? labor issues in its ef­ fort to stave oft serious, long­ term injury to the economy from further ravages of in­ flation. While the Babson staff is hopeful that the overall da­ mage will not be excessive, there are bound to be a num­ ber of conflicts which will jar business and public confidence /or a while. labor-management confron­ tations will start at the crack of the new year and, except for brief respites, will remain on scene throughout 1973. It is es­ timated that more than 4,000,000 workers in a fist­ ful of key industries will be­ come involved in new labor con­ tract negotiations. First at bat are the United Rubber Wor­ kers who are already facing the petrochemical companies to hammer out a labor pact to replace the one just expiring. Bargaining will be due there­ after in rubber, cement, con­ struction, apparel, retail trade, services, electrical manufac­ turing, and foods. Most im­ portant, however, are ne­ gotiations involving the Team­ sters and United AutoWorkers. The fact that both of these significant contract expirations will be quite close together is disturbing since industrial production couldplummet shar­ ply for an indefinite period if either or both groups should strike. Thunderegg Capital Speech prepared for delivery vided that the local com­ to Ontario Chamber of Com­ munities will have input and merce by Neil Venturacci, De­ representation. The TVUAC has cember 18, 1972. been constructed on such a man­ COMPOSITION OF T.V.U.A.C. ner that all interested organi­ This board has four com­ zations with the foregoing be­ munity representatives; two liefs can be active with from Ontario and one from Vale Policy Board to Nyssa Multi­ and one from Nyssa. Seventeen Service Center Mexican-Americans and one of MALHEUR COUNTY MIGRANT Indian extraction are members HEALTH BOARD of the board. As your representative with The majority of the minority the TVUAC, I would like to re­ people on this board are former port our role regarding the two field workers who have up­ foregoing boards. graded themselves, have steady MEETING WITH NICK PEET jobs or own their busmess and RE POLICY BOARD AND own their own homes. CLINIC LOCATION PHILOSOPHY OF T.V.U.A.C. Re: Policy BOARD: Nick Peet This board feels they want to requested to meet with Richard be a part of implementing, di­ Mejia, our chairman. Mary recting or advising on any pro­ Thiel, our executive director gram developed in Malheur and myself. We three invited County that is intended to up­ Hap Logue and Margie Kent of grade low income people, es­ COG. pecially the Mexican-American Nick Peet offered TVUAC the This board feels that a pro­ role of a policy board with the gram can be successful pro- Multi-Service Center. Our board would have direct pipe­ line to Jacob Tanzer, Director of Human Resource Division, while the advisory board would have a pipeline as far as the local manager. The TVUAC voted to accept A number of unclaimed Fe­ deral income tax refund checks this role provided that the State ranging from $1.70 to $4,877 satisfactorily explain our re­ are waiting to be claimed ac­ sponsibilities and to reassure cording to Ralph B. Short, Port­ us that there will be no con­ land Internal Revenue Service flict between the elected ad­ visory board and our policy district director. Listed from this area are board. Re: Health Clinic Location: Shikaji Tsuboi, Perfecto and Maria Valero, James and Linda Nick Peet said the newly ele­ Bester, Verna Hager, Diana cted migrant health board would Holloway, William and Bonnie take over the project from the Holton, Philip Mac Knight, (Continued On Page 11) Leslie Smith and Ernest Timmons, all of Ontario; and Gordon Nieman and Larry and JIM EDENS NAMED Consuelo Quintanilla of Vale, Myrtle Blodgett of Nyssa and SIMPLOT MANAGER Wealtha McCord, Huntington. James Edens has been named manager of the Glens Ferry Resident Students Simplot Soilbuilders, announced district manager Dwain Mooso. Entitled To 50% For the past several years, Edens has been a fieldman­ Reduction on Dorm salesman with the Nyssa, Ore­ gon Soilbuilder outlet. He Under a new policy recently worked part-time with Simplot instituted by the Treasure Val­ in 1959 and 1962 and joined the ley Community College Board permanent staff in 1965. He is of Education, students who gra­ a graduate of Adrian High duated from a high school within School. the college district are ele- He and his wife, Reva, and gible for a 5(X< reduction in their four children have an dormitory rates while a student acreage in Parma and will move at TVCC. This results in a to Glenns Ferry as soon as they $75 saving and reduces the find a house. total package for food and hous­ ing from $310 per term to $235. Anyone who feels he might qualify for this special rate should contact the college Hous­ ing and Food Service Office. Registration for winter term classes at Treasure Valley Oregon High Community College begins We­ dnesday, January 3, in the School 1972 Weese Building. Returning stu­ dents register in alphabetic Graduates Drop blocks according to the follow­ The number of Oregon public ing schedule: 9:00 D-—G high school graduates dropped 10:00 A——C for the first time in six years 11:00 R——S in 1972, State Superintendent Dale Parnell said today, but 1 00 T----Z he predicted the number will 2 00 M----Q increase in 1973 and hit a new 3 00 H ——L high in 1974. Between the hours of 6:00 Parnell said 31,882 gradua­ ted last spring, 875 less than p.m. and 8 30 p.m. anyone may in 1971 when a record 32,757 register - for classes listed received their diplomas. He es­ on the regular college sche­ timates about 32,400 will gra­ dule. Classes offered only by duate in 1973 and close to the Office of Continuing Edu­ cation will register at the first 33,000 in 1974. David Douglas High School class meeting. The Office of Student Affairs in Portland graduated 679 in 1972, replacing Medford as the will be open until 8:30 p.m. the state’s largest graduating class. following evening and from 8 00 Following David Douglas were a.m. to 5 00 p.m. until Ja­ Medford 627, McNary 606,South nuary 12 for those who miss Salem 558, Grants Pass 544, the January 3 registration. Prospective new students and North Salem 525, Corvallis 519, Beaverton 501, Hillsboro 490, transfer students may call on a counselor at those hours from and Grant 486. Malheur County had 449 gra­ now until January 12 to make duates in 1971 as compared to application and lay out a study program. 402 in 1972, Taxing Refunds Go space or on the earth, man achieves wonders through his own indomitable spirit. Thus the promise of the future lies within ourselves and in our determination to make that future bright. and credit which precipitated the 1968-’69 credit crunch will be repeated. This does not mean we have put inflation entirely at rest. Some price and wage inflation seems unavoidable in the year ahead, the primary question Is just how severe it will be. De­ termining factors will be the be­ havior of labor, management, and the Administration. If la­ bor is agressive and adamant in its demands and if manage­ ment makes little or no attempt to hold costs to a reasonable rate of increase, the seeds will be sown for a potentially dangerous crop of inflation of the cost-push type. WHAT WILL THE ADMINISTRATION DO? The Babson staff foresees some sharp jawboning by the Administration to convince la­ bor and management that they must co-operate in keeping wage and price increases within to­ lerable range. Should such mo­ ral suasion fail, however, there is always the last resort Price and wage controls far more re­ strictive and of greater scope than the partial curbs and guide­ lines we have been operating under for about a year and a half. With such stringent anti­ inflation curbs, neither labor nor management nor the con­ sumer really benefits or is happy. Hence, we are hope­ ful that the pending labor ne­ gotiations In pattern-setting fields will tie resolved with only moderate price inflation and without business stoppages. If price inflation should be held to a walk in the early months of the new year, there is a good chance that controls will be modified and eased. Although it would be unrea­ listic to expect total cessa­ tion of anti-inflation controls in 1973, even some relaxation would have a positive impact (Continued On Page 12) Oregon Expects $46 Million phased in over the coming year, Ullman said, 1974 is the first full year for which reliable estimates can be made. Changing the "retirement test" for Social Security will also allow some 20,000 people in Oregon to receive benefits, or added benefits, Ullman noted. He said the new Medicare laws would provide 18,000 peo­ ple with hospital insurance pro­ tection during 1974. “These figures from HEW do not include the new- supplemen­ tal security income program for the needy, aged and the disab­ led," Ullman said. “That new program provides them with an income floor of $130 a month for a single pierson and Don’t forget the last Red $195 for a couple. Cross Blood Drawing for 1972 today, Thursday December 28, TVCC Has Additional at the Eagle’s Hall between 2 and Assistance Funds 6 p.m. The Mjlheur Memorial Hos­ The Treasure Valley Com­ pital Auxiliary is conducting the program this year and need munity College Financial Aids all the help they can get to Office announced today that it meet the quota of 150 pints. has received additional funds The need is great as an in­ for three student assistance creasing amount is demanded programs. This money will be during the holiday season due made available winter term to to emergencies and traffic ac­ both new and to previously en­ rolled students who qualify. Fi­ cidents. nancial Aids Officer, GaryHal- com, said the additional money is available in the Work-Study program, NDEA Student Loan, and Equal Opportunity Grants. MIN PREC DATE MAX Additional payments of some $46 million are expected to be made in Oregon during 1974 as a result of the new Social Security and Medicare laws passed by Congress this year, Congressman Al Ullman re­ ported Tuesday. Ullman said that according to Department of Health, Edu­ cation and Welfare estimates total Social Security and Me­ dicare payments to Oregon could run as high as $792 mil­ lion during 1974. Because many of the pro­ visions in the new law are Blood Drawing Today Dec« 28 WEATHER Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. Dec. 20 21 22 23 24 25 25 26 27 52 46 47 52 27 32 34 31 36 — 38 — — 32 32 Concerning the Equal oppor­ tunity Grants, Halcotn said that for students who had a grant .13 as freshman, there is suffi­ cient funds for a second or re­ newal year grant Owyhee Reseroir Storage 12/27/72 503,410 Ac re feet. 12/27/71 522,620 Acre feet. Any student, either pros­ pective or already enrolled, who is interested in applying for one of these assistance programs should contact Mr. Halcom soon at the Financial Aids Office. Oregon State Honor Roll Names of local students who made the scholastic honor roll fall term have been announced by Oregon State University. A total of 429 OSU students made the straight-A honor list­ ing and another 1319 qualified for the B plus or better honor roll. Local students on the list included NYSSA: Paul K. Fujimoto, senior, Engineering Martha A. Heider, sophomore,Science; Esther M. Hori, sophomore, Science, William D. Lawrence, senior, Engineering, Ronald J. Sarazin, sophomore, Engineer­ ing; Barbara L. Tensen, senior, Education. ADRIAN, Jane M. Brewer, senior, Education. Malheur Paid By Eight Firms Fight taxpayers in Malheur County paid 18.3 per cent of the county's taxes for the 1972-73 year according to information from the Malheur County tax office. The eight firms have paid a total of $1,223,000. Total taxes to be collected this year in the county is $6,698,473. The eight largest county taxpaying firms who have paid their taxes are Ore-Ida Foods, $362,000; Amalgamated Sugar, $315,000; Idaho Power,$200,- 000, Union Pacific $148,000, Malheur Home Telephone $94,- 000; Cascade Natural Gas, $61,000, El Paso Natural Gas, $26,000, and Pacific Northwest Bell, $17,000. nclai med" W inter Perm Registration