PAGE (A HERALD fcdibftiaL (paqsL Maior There are some U.S. cities where the chances are 1 in 13 that any citizen will be the victim of a serious crime within the next 12 months. Within zones of high crime incidence in these and other cities, the chances of being victimized are considerably greater. The citizen's prospects naturally improve when wider circles are drawn. In the United States the ratio is 1 in 100. But in the Pacific states as a group it drops to 1 in 60 and in cer tain states it is 1 in 45. .- This is just one way the FBI measures the jmpact on the average citizen of today's great and continuing rise in major crime. The periodic evidence of that upward spiral is duly recorded by the FBI. The latest report shows U.S. crime for nine months of 1062 5 per cent higher than the same period in 1961. Yet the long-range look tells better what is happening. From 1940 through 1961, the climb in serious U.S. crime was 170 per cent, though population in the same span was rising just 38 per cent. Much has long been made of the enlarg ing role youthful offendors play in these in creases. Individuals under 18 commit two of every five serious crimes. Most staggering is the fact that last year children under 15 com mitted 32,000 burglaries and 62,000 larcen ies. The latter total was nearly four times that in the 25-29 age bracket. Some students, of crime, law enforcement specialists and psychologists argue that the well remarked increases are more apparent than real. A point frequently stressed is that reporting and tabulation of crime is far more complete and accurate than it used to be. While conceding the point, FBI authori ties question whether it goes very far toward explaining the crime rise. They put a finger on two big historical changes the steady growth of urban centers, with resulting heightened population density, and the social instability arising from the con (Th Boston Globe) In World. War II, the United States in flicted no greater Injustice on any group of its citizens than it did on the nisei, the Japanese Americans of the west coast. Undiscrimiiiat ing hysteria dispossessed these people of their homes, in effect destroyed their achievements and Investments, and interned them as one might intern enemy prisoners. Now the gov ernment, through the Internal revenue serv ice, is further tormenting them. Not until 1957 did Congress act to make reparation to these people for the material losses they suffered, to say nothing of their psychological suffering. Under the Japanese Evacuation Claims Act the government paid THESE DAYS . . Death Of A Theory? By JOHN CHAMBERLAIN K, as has been assumed in c er tain quarters, the current rup ture between the Moscow and Pei ping brands of Communism is to become a permanent feature of the international landscape, it means that all the deep theories of the geopoliticians and the "ex porta" in Marxism have failed us. And, since Uie foreign offices of all the important western nations ultimately base their policies on advice originating in egghead quarters, this is of more than purely intellectual interest. The first theory that will have to be thrown into the ashcan, l( the Mao-Khrushchev rift becomes in epai able, is Lenin's own formu lation of the probable course of world revolution. Stated in rough and epigrammatic paraphrase. Lenin's avium laid it down that "the road to Washington lies thrnrgh Peiping." Ixriin made his famous "turn to the east" when the German Communist Revolu tion failed to materialize alter World War I. Disillusioned with Karl Marx's feeling Umt Commu nism would first develop in ad vanced capitalist countries, the Soviets looked to subverting the colonial areas of the world as a means of encircling the industri alized West. First. China would be brought into the Marxist soli darity. Then, by degrees, the Com munist revolution would be ex ported to tropical Asia, to Africa and to Latin America. This would rob both Britain and the United States of world markets and sources of raw materials and capitula'ion of the West would duly follow. AND NEWS, Klamath Falli, Ore. Crime On Increase stant movements of people from farm to city, city to city and state to state. In the vie v of government criminal ex perts, these changes are creating conditions for crime which never existed in similar measure before. An important element in these conditions is opportunity, and present-day U.S. urban life vastly magnifies opportunity. There are more people tightly packed to gether today, and they can be victimized in crimes against the person. The rise in street ' assaults and robberies shows this opportunity is being seized. Likewise, in this affluent country, ma terial standards are still going up. Consequent ly there is more money and more jewelry, furs, cars, television sets, cameras and other goods to offer temptation. This abundance, spread from city centers out to swelling suburbs, is too great for any police force to keep close watch upon. FBI men say, too, that many of these tempting prizes are carelessly guarded by their citizen owners. i The agency notes, for example, sharp in creases in thefts from parked cars, from resi dences left unlocked, from shops which know the peril of "lifting." If big banks today are hard to crack, the swiftly multiplying subur ban branch banks and savings and loan offices are vulnerable targets. Their safeguards are limited. Even if these attractions were not stead ily proliferating, FBI officials suggest crime rates would be sharply up. Here they turn to the cited social instability: lax parental disci pline, weakened neighborhood controls, in terracial conflict, the city-ward rush of ruril folk ill-equipped to live and hold jobs in the complex urban centers. The net of all this, it is argued, is to heighten the urge to crime at a period in his tory when the prospect of acting upon the urge is maximized by the nation's unparalleled growth. Bureaucratic Blooper off claimants. Most of the beneficiaries de clare they received only one third of what they asked. Now the internal revenue service is seek ing to tax the payments made despite elo quent protests. Governor Edmund G. (Pat) Brown has denounced the action and appealed to the White House. The IRS says no immunity from taxation was provided in the bill. The author of the hill says he had no idea the government would ever tax such an award. That the TRS direc tor in San Francisco is unable to distinguish between these awards and those made for land takings in highway building is typical. Congress should act quickly to undo fhis unfortunate imposition. Up to 12 the Lenin 'henry seemed to he working. Teiping foil to Mao Tse-tung s band of Marxist ideologues. And, with the Moscow-I'oiping solidarity secm ingly assured, the Communists in creased their pressure in places as far apart as Indonesia, Ghana. Guatemala. British Guiana and Cuba. "The law of uneven and combined development," so the Soviets had called this hop-skip-ami jump method of pushing Com munism across the (ace of the globe. There w as only one trouble w ith I lie Lenin theory: it did not make any provision for the emergence l a deep quarrel between Mas. cow and Peiping. It had assumed that the "mud to Washington that lies through Peiping" would al was be proof against road blocks Well, the assumption has now fall en into at least temporary disar ray, and it remains to be seen whether tlie damage can ever be repaired. The sei-ond learned Uieory that has suddenly become suspect is the one propounded by the influ ential English geographer. Sir llallnrd Mackinder. This is known as the theory of the "world is land." and it was taken very se riously in the Nineteen Thirties by the German General Stall. According to Sir Halford Mac kinder, Russia and China to gether form an unbreakable land mass which, under unltied con li ol. could lie used as a center (or world domination. Once in poscssion o( tlie Russian-Chinese "world island." a conqueror would he in a fwilion to "outllank the oceans." The nations of western Thursday, January 3, 1961 Europe, confined to what amounts In a small peninsula, would be powerless to fend off the at tacks of a new Glienghis Khan from Ihe sulidifed and unified East Well, Napoleon had tried to dominate the western approaches lo the "world island" by march ine on Moscow, and he (ailed Killer tried il in turn, only lo lose his armies in illimitable vastnes.-os After World War II. however, the "world island" sud denly materialized with tlie enten te between Slalm and the Chi nese Mao Tse-tung. It remained only lor the mopping-up phases before Euroo could be cowed Into submission and the l'niled States could be isolated in 'lie western seas. However. Jii.-t as Sir Hallord Mai -kinder' nightmare theory was iMvonimg all too close to being realized, the "world island" split in two! Moscow and Peiping, in stead of "outflanking the oceans." suddenly started snarling al each oilier. According In know ledceable ob servers, the differences between Mao Tse-tung and Khrushchev have become too deeply imbedded in mutual distrust and contempt to be easily healed. One can only hope thai Ihe observers are right. Hut 1-enin's and Sir Halford Mac kimlcr's theories had so much to recommend them Irom the Com munist point of view that one would noimally look (or a recon ciliation between Moscow and Pel pmg. It could eon be that the struggle lor reconciliation might provoke the fall of Khrushchev or Mao. or holh of them together. Ready for - -tit IN WASHINGTON . . . By RALPH de TOLEDANO Instead of the usual predictions for the New Year, I am making up a list of things that will not i repeat, not) happen in 1963. This is safer and requires less wear and tear on the crystal ball. Here goes: President Kennedy will not in By SYDNEY J. HARRIS Purely Personal Prejudices: Most people live in their expecta tions ralher than in their senses; in fact, they deliberately blunt their aenscs In order to make more endurable the waiting-period until their expectations "come true" but by that time, they have rendered themselves sensu ously Incapable of enjoying the future when it arrives. As an indication of our deep departure from the ideas held by the men who wrote and ratified the Declaration of Independence, not one modern American in a hundred, reading "We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal," would understand what was meant by the phrase "created equal," and not one in a thousand would agree that this idea is "self-evident." All of us live. In some de gree, by dogmatism; hut we should keep perpetually In mind Santayana's warning: "T h e more perfect the dngmattim, the more Insecure a great tilth topsail that can never be reeled nor (urled Is Ihe first carried away by a gale." To be utterly reasonable in an unreasonable world is a form of insanity. When a woman feels forced to a-k a man. "Do you really love nie?". she already knows that Ihe honest answer is something less than i hearty affirmative. A simulated indifference can pry out more secrets than a press ing curiosity; there's something about a secret that's dying to be told as long as it's not urged to. Parkinson s first Law about expenditures rising lo meet, and outstrip, income was more terse ly and pungently expressed a full century ago hy Thoreau. when he observed: "If you wish lo give a man a sense of poverty, give him a thousand dollars; the next hun dred dollars he gets will not be worth more than ten that he used to get." ' The shortest excuse is alas tlie best and most manliest; the (irst time my boy said. "I goofed." rather than giving some elaborate explanation, he had taken a giant step toward manhood. Everything seems lo rub up against a sore finger; and the same is true of a wounded per the Grand Opening v Thoughts After vite me to dinner at. the White House. After all, tlie President spends so little lime at 1600 Penn sylvania Avenue that he couldn't possibly fit me in, and that heli copter is just too small for slate dinners. The State Department will not ask me to submit my ideas on STRICTLY PERSONAL sonality, which blames its own rawness on the abrasive nature of Ihe world. The arm-chair philosopher who tells you that "everything is rela tive," would be baffled if you responded that his remark was only "relatively true." POTOMAC FEVER Infernal Revenue boss Caplin announces new expense account rules. You can stil! live on an expense account provided you happen to have an expensive ac countant. Jake the Barber gels a Presi dential pardon alter giving 000 to Ihe DrnvKrats. This hows what can happen when a philanthropist resists Ihe temp tation to give to socially unfash ionable charities such as the Republican party. There's no mystery about why Fidel Caslro needs all that medi cine. If your boss was Khrushchev you'd want all the tranquilizers you could get too. Defense officials say the Air Force exaggerated results of its Skyholt test. The military is not supposed to fib. Under Ihe man aged news policy, fibbing Is Ihe job of the civilian authorities. Nol only Is It belter lo give lhan lo receive, but If you can give M and receive SKI. that's perfect. .lacqueime Kennedy gave her husband an engraved whale's loolh for Christmas. That gives Republicans an idea for next year for Ihe man who has everything an engraved shark's tooth FLETCHER KNF.BEL QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS e To what group does Ihe Is land of Barbados belong? A The Windward group Q How did Delaware earn the title nf Ihe "Klrjl Slalr?" A Bv being Ihe lir.-t of Ihe 11 original slates to ratify the Con- stitutien. of Congress January how to win the cold war or over throw Fidel Castro. My name will not be removed from the Administration's "drop dead", list. Neither, for that mat ter, will those of House Republi can leader Charles Halleck. Rep rcsentaUve Don Bruce, or Repre sentative John Rhodes. Secretary of Defense Robert Mc Namara will not say to Repre sentative Earl Wilson, "You were absolutely right about improper defense procurement. By com plaining, you saved us a billion dollars last year. Why don't you come on over and show us how to save another $10 billion." Assistant Defense Secretary Ar thur Sylvester will not tell the Washington press corps to come and get it I the news, that is) or concede that censorship today is as bad as anything we have ever seen in wartime. Senator Wayne Morse will not stop talking. Presidential aide Arthur Schles inger, if he continues lo hold his job, will not swear off writing articles and making statements that antagonize our friends and allies. .Comrade Khrushchev will not desist from talking peace and planning war. President Tito will nr' tell Mr. Kennedy that he no longer wants U.S. foreign aid, now lhat he and Nikita are such good buddies. President de Gaulle will not in vest in a pair of elevator shoes. And Prime Minister Maemillan will not be heard whistling "Yan kee Doodle" at .No. 10 Downing Street. Ambassador Aldai Stevenson will not renew his subscription to the Saturday Evening Post. And neither Stewart AJsop nor Charles BarUett will accept dinner invita tions from Mr. Stevenson, t If they change their minds, they'll take along a taster.' Fidel Castro will not sign lo do a razor blade commercial unless he is permitted lo give Uncle Sam a very close shave on camera. Gov. Nelson Rockefeller will not write an advice-to-the-lovelorn column. Nor will he agree to do a brother act with Senator Barry Goldwater. If asked. Presidential press sec retary Pierre Salinger will not deny (or affirm) that the Soviets have been conducting a floaUng crap game in outer space. The value of the dollar will nol gi up. Neither will the size of the national debt go down. The jokes about Caroline. Bob by, and Jackie will not get any funnier. RelaUves of Ihe White House palace guard will not be booted from the public trough. Roger Blough will not agree to turn over U.S. Sleel to the Peace Corps, no mailer what the Jus. tue Department's antitrust di vision sas. The per capita how consump tion of Washington, D.C.. will not decline. The "Ev and Charlie" show will not go musical, with "My Son The Folk Sineer" Sherman writ ins Ihe lyrics, even though it would help. In short, things will go on pret ty much as usual. To be posime about it, Washington will continue to be exciting, frustrating, incom prehensible, and i in the spnng lovely. EPSON IN WASHINGTON . . . New Farm Program Guidelines Prepared By PETER EDSON Washington Correspondent Newspaper Enterprise Assn, WASHINGTON (NEAI - First evidence of reform and reorgan ization in Agriculture Depart ment's controversial, 9,900-man state and county farm committee system will be apparent when 1063 feed grain and wheat programs are announced early in the new year. But it will take the better part of the year to simplify and reis sue the handbooks and regula tions which guide the 3,300 agri cultural stabilization committees in administering locally the com plex farm programs authorized by Congress at the national level. It will also take new legisla tion to effect some of the farm committee reorganization recom mendations being made by Sec retary of Agriculture Orville L. Freeman. Most important of all proposed changes, Congress will be asked to amend the law to permit elec tion of the three county commit tee members by all local com mitteemen for staggered three year terms. The present system calls for annual election of all three county committeemen on one - year terms. Full effect of the farm com mittee system changes will ob viously not be felt before the 1984 crop year. Whether the changes will satisfy critics of the 30-year-old system is doubtful. It is too convenient a whipping post as an administrative red tape monstros ity set up by Washington. But demands that American farm programs be run by farm ers at the grass roots level has been a maxim of politicians for years. It has been included in both party platforms. The farm committee system was devised in the Henry Wallace era of the New Deal to meet this demand. At first it was fairly sim ple. Farmers from each commu nity elected their own committee to administer the national pro grams locally. The community committee chairmen, of whom there might be 10 or a dozen in an average county, elected a county commit tee. State committees were named by the secretary of agriculture, with Washington setting the quali fications. But here party politics and pa tronage crept in and it filtered down lo county and local levels WASHINGTON Strikers' Appear By FULTON LEWIS JR. Secretary of Labor Willard Wirtz has returned lo Washing ton convinced that there is no end in sight to New York's news paper strike. Leaders of the striking Interna tional Typographical Union couldn't care less about Wirtz' efforts to halt the walkout. Un ion President Elmer Brown, reached in Colorado Springs, brushed off Wirtz with this re mark: "I haven't been impressed by him." Brown knows full well that his union can hold out indefinitely un til New York publishers accept his demands. Said one striker over a boor in a New York sa loon: "I get f9 a week from the union as long as the strike goes on. With strike benelits like thai, why should we go back to work?" The (act of the matter is thai several thousand new employes may not go back at all. The strike has had profound ef fects upon New York, and in deed the country. Seventeen thou sand newspaper employes are job less. Workers have been affected as far away as Canada where newsprint plants have been shut down. Broadway plays open, and fold, for there are no critics to report what's new on the Great White Way. Christmas sales at many stores were off from previous years. What do Ihe 1.500 printers, who now make anywhere from $H? to $l.i7 a week, want? First of all. an across-the-board pay hike of $38 $19 in fringe benefits, $19 in pay. It Is more pay for less work, for they de mand a 35-hour week. too. The newspaper publishers of fered t wage packaje of $8. equal to one accepted by striking mem bers of the Newspaper Guild lat fall. The primers laughed it oft. The publishers, who began ne gotiating in July, report that agreement had been reached on 87 of the contract provisions when Ihe walkout was called. In every clause that was revised, they say, It was the publishers who gae in. Labor Department figures slww the printers lo be among the country's highest paid employes. because of the power these com mittees had to make allocations and approve payments for co-operation with government programs. Then as these programs be came more numerous and compli cated during the war years and after, hired county managers be came necessary, with field men lo inspect compliance. When the cotton allotment scan dals in the Billie Sol Estes case pointed up the monstrous complex- ity of this system and what an unscrupulous operator could get away with under the law, reform and reorganization were naturally called for. Freeman appointed an eight-man committee to review the situation and make recommenda tions on how to improve it. A. Lars Nelson of Washington State, an overseer in the National Grange, served as chairman. For mer Democratic secretaries of ag riculture Charles F. Brannan and Claude Wickard served as farm organization leaders and state ag ricultural school professors served as members with Joseph Kadja of Kansas State as staff director. The voluminous report of this group, just made public, finds the farm committee system funda mentally sound, but says it can be strengthened and improved. Abort half of its many recom mendations are being accepted by the Department of Agriculture, and action is being taken to put them into effect. Elected and appointed commit teemen are to be given greater leeway in making local decisions. Detail of handbooks and regula tions are to be simplified. Better qualified men with experience as county chairmen are to be ap pointed to slate committees. Com mitteemen and field men are to be given better training. The sec retary of agriculture will appoint state executive directors with the approval of state committees. Freeman is also recommending that he be given authority to in tervene where local or county committees are not administering programs in accord with tlie in tent of Congress. At present the secretary has no authority over local committees, although he is held responsible by Congress (or effective administration of its farm programs. This recommendation may cause some trouble. For one of tlie prin cipal criticisms of the whole farm problem is that there is already too much Washington control. This means more. REPORT . . . Demands Unreasonable Their pay has jumped from $11(5 $12fi in 1933 to Ihe present $147 $1.57. Under terms of the pub lishers' proposed contract, lhat would jump to $155-$165 a week. Two paid holidays were added in the past 10 years, bringing the total lo eight a year. This is in addition lo three weeks paid vaca tion after one year's service. The proposed contract would include a fourth week of vacation after IS years service with a single employer. The union members also receive full pay when on jury duty. The union has refused In yield what Time Magazine calls "its lime-dishonored right to set bogus type." This featherbedding prac tice involves hand-composing, and then throwing away unused, all advertisements set in mat form. Featherbedding practices such as these have helped kill news papers from New York to Los An geles. The printers couldn't care less. Al manac The United Press International Today is Thursday. Jan. 3, the third day of 19fiJ with ,32 to follow. The moon is in its first quarter. The morning stars ere Mars and Venus. The evening stars are Jupiter and Saturn On this day in history: In 1777, George Washington de feated three British regiments at the battle of Princeton. In DID, the "March of Dimes" campaign lo light infantile para lysis was organized, as an out growth of President Franklin D. Roosevelt's Warm Springs Foun ds lion In 1947. the Mth Conaress. first to he controlled by Republicans since 1933, was convened. In 19S9 Alaska became the 4!th stale to join the Union, when President Dwight Eisenhower signed Ihe document of procla mation, thought for the day-American short story writer William Sydney Porter, better known as O. Henry, said: "A straw voti only shows which way the hoi air blows."