"""" t.utuHU, uhluuh - SUNDAY. FEBRUARY 10. 1963 g J
ischief Red China Could Do With Nuclear Device Is Boundless
M
By JOSEPH L. MYLER
United Presi International
Communist China will
trigger an atomic' test ex
plosion some day, whether
in this or some future year,
authorities agree.
Some experts take com
fort in the assumption that
this first explosion will not
be a weapon but of an ex
perimental device of some
sort that couldn't be used
in warfare.
They say what is obvi
ously true that in this
age of supersonic bombers
and hypersonic missiles an
effective system for deliv
ering nuclear warheads on
targets is not only costlier
but by all odds more impor
tant than development of
the warheads themselves.
In short, an atomic test
explosion will not by itself
mean Red China has sud
denly emerged as a mature
nuclear power capable of
trading blows with the
United States or, for that
matter, Soviet Russia.
But other experts con
sider this a cold sort of
comfort. Of course, said one,
the first Red Chinese con
traption "won't be the
sleekest A - bomb ever
made."
"But," he said, "suppose
they decide to test it over
Quemoy or Mat su or Tai
pei. Suppose it is just
something they can hoist
aboard a piston job and
roll out the side door when
the time comes."
What mischief Commu
nist China could do with
the crudest sort of nuclear
weapons, or devices, seems
boundless. There has been
much talk that some day
Nationalist Chinese soldiers
may invade the Communist
mainland.
To do some more suppos
ing, suppose the Reds don't
have a trim and glossy war
head for a trim and glossy
missile or a trim and glos
sy bomber. Suppose they
simply mine the invasion
routes with awkward and
bulky gadgets capable of
blowing entire divisions
into eternity in a second.
Suppose for their own
purposes the Chinese Com
munists figured a nuclear
war between the United
States and USSR would be
good for them. They just
might be able to trigger
it by dropping a sneak
atomic "device" on For
mosa at a moment of ten
sion between the two great
nuclear powers.
The French, who want
to become a nuclear power,
have singed at least five
atomic explosions in the
past three years. But France
still isn't a nuclear power.
It has no border - jumping
missiles. It has some good
airplanes. But are they
good enough to get past
Russia's rocket defenses
against bombers? Experts
doubt it.
Not Likely lo Attack
So the French cannot yet
consider themselves a nu
clear power compared with
Russia, the United States,
or Great Britain. They are
hardly likely to attempt a
nuclear attack against any
body. But who knows what the
Red Chinese, who are not
in the same league even
with France, might attempt
if they had a few crude
atomic "devices" available.
"They might roll them
on a boat, beach the boat
on Quemoy, and roll 'em
off," one student of atom
ic warfare remarked. "Then
the fat would be in the
fire We midht feel impelled
to retaliate in Kina. u we
did, what would Russia
do?"
It takes a lot of testing
to condense the power of
a city-killing nuclear bomb
into compact missile war
heads which can be flipped
across oceans and conti
nents to targets deep in an
enemy's territory.
It takes a lot of testing
to make an atomic weapon
that can be fired by a bat
tlefield bazooka against an
enemy platoon. It takes test
after test after test to dou
ble the violence of a Po
laris warhead.
Without testing there
could never have been an
H-bomb, and wrihout much
further testing there could
have not been pint-sized
"clean" H-bombs which the
Atomic Energy commis
sion says it is developing
for p'acetime blasting rel
alively free of radio-activity.
The first H-bomb ever
exploded was a huge ma
chine which could have
been delivered on target
onlv by an ocean liner. The
very next, however, was
one that could be dropped
from a high-flying airplane.
So there is a difference
between test "devices" and
actual weapons. The dif
ference is in ease of deliv
ery. But one may be as de
structive as the other.
Said one authority, "Any
body can knock off an
atomic explosion If they
have enough of the stuff."
In the case of Red China,
the "stuff undoubtedly
would be plutonium, a
bomb explosive manufac
tured In nuclear reactors.
Red China does have
some nuclear reactors. Rus
sia helped her get them and
may now wish she hadn't
Mainland China also has
some very fine atomic and
aerospace scientists. Two of
them. Dr. K. S. Tsien and
Dr. W. Z. Chien, received
their scientific training in
the United States.
Given the mechanical,
electronic, and ordinance
engineering skills modern
weaponry demands, there is
no doubt that Communist
China could one day be
come a genuine nuclear
power.
As for raw materials, "in
any land mass as huge as
China there are bound to
be large uranium reserves,"
one expert said. Mining
uranium is not easy, but
Red China with its 700-mil-lion
population, this source
said, "has a lot of hands
and a lot of backs."
The first Red Chinese
atomic test will reverber
ate throughout the world.
To the nations of Asia, one
student said, "It will be a
psycho - military event of
tremendous symbolic sig
nificance." ,
East Has Not Forgotten
The first A-bomb was ex
ploded by a Western power
I against an Eastern nation.
The IVast has never forgot
ten that.
Many a Japanese will tell
you his country, after the
agony of Hiroshima and
would never
making atomic
Nagasaki,
think of
weapons.
But if Red China should
explode just one atomic
test device, however primi
tive, how would Japan re
act? "Japan," said one man"
who has seen much of that
island nation, "would nev
er stop until she had be
come a nuclear power. She
would go all out.
"And there is no doubt
whatsoever," he added,
"that she could do it."
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