Medford mail tribune. (Medford, Or.) 1909-1989, November 01, 1962, Image 19

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    MEDFORD MAIL TRIBUNE. MEDFORD, OREGON
THURSDAY. NOVEMBER 1. 1962
Democrals Vision
Sweep of Offices
In Hawaii Voting
Honolulu ll'Pli Hawaiian
Democrats, wearing confi
dent smiles, are predicting
their first sweep of state-wide
offices in hisiory.
Of all the Republican can
didates, observers gave Gov.
William F. Quinn the best
chance of winning. He is op
posed by John A. Burns,
whom Quinn beat by a close
4,000 votes in 1959.
But Burns stressed that the
Democrats' five candidates
for statewide office substan
tially outpollcd their oppo
nents in the open primary
election.
Unions Back Democrat!
And for the first time, ma
jor labor unions, representing
SO, 000 workers, were lined up
solidly behind the Democrats.
Political predictions in Ha
waii, however, are complicat
ed by the state's large inde
pendent vol e estimated at
54 per cent of 218,000 regis
tered voters.
No single local issue has
developed heavy interest
among the voters.
In the U.S. Senate race,
Rep. Daniel K. Inouye is cam
paigning on a Kennedy Ad
ministration platform against
millionaire businessman Ben.
F. Dillingham.
Dillingham claims that
Inouye is a rubber stamp sup
porter of the President at the
expense of Hawaii's best in
terests. Inouye garnered the most
votes of any candidate in
1959. 1960 and again in last
month's primary, and ap
peared to be at the peak of
his popularity.
Racially Balanced
In two Congressional races,
observers also favored two
Kennedy-style Democrats
against their GOP opponents.
Some politicians felt that
the Democrats might gain
some help from a more racial
ly blanccd slate of candidates.
Caucasians comprise less
than 40 per cent of the popu
lation while 40 per cent is of
Japanese extraction and oth
er Oriental groups, and Ha
waiians make up the balance.
But in the r-ast, several
studies failed to prove that
Hawaii voters resorted to the
kind of block voting seen
among nationality groups in
other parts of the nation.
Farm Vote Influence To Be Less in Congressional Election
Editor'! not: This it the
fourth in a tri ot dis
patch! on th Nov. 6 lec
tion by UPI political writ
ti. It daals with th fading
influinc ot th firm vole.
By BERNARD BRENNER
Washington tUPli The farm
vote, a fading force in Ameri
can politics, will have less in
fluence in the 1962 congres
sional elections than in past
campaigns.
It remains a factor, how
ever, in a comparatively small
number of closely contested
House and Senate races.
Unless all domestic consid
erations are buried by the
Cuban crisis, political stra
tegists in both parties estimate
tltat farm issues may play
some part in deciding from 11
to about 24 close House races.
Agricultural policy also could
be a factor in about 10 Senate
campaigns.
The farmer's political punch
is fading because his numbers
are dwindling while the urban
population grows. In 1932,
when the Franklin D. Roose
velt administration was elect
ed to begin the era of active
federal intervention in the
farm economy, one American
in every four lived on a farm.
Today, only one American in
every 12 is a menber of a
farm family.
The 1962 House reappor
tionment, recognizing the pop
ulation changes of ihe 1950-60
decade, translated the shrink
ing number of farmers into a
cut in House seals in farm
areas.
The major farm states of
Illinois. Iowa. Kansas. Minne
sota, Missouri, and Nebraska
each lost one House seat. Ohio
and Michigan gained single
seals but the net effect was a
shift of voting power from
rural Midwest areas to largely
urban districts in other parts
of the country. A similar shift
took place in the South.
House and Senate races
where farm policy may be a
live issue are largely in the
belt of slates running from
Ohio on the East to the moun
tain area of the West.
Democrats hope their candi
dates in these areas will be
helped by the fact that farm
income rose in 1961 and stay
ed up this year. Also, Demo
cratic strategists say, admin
istration - backed programs
granting payments to farmers
who voluntarily cut corn pro
duction have been popular.
Passage this fall of a new
wheat control law, effective in
1964, may also be a plus fac
tor for Democrals in major
wheat stales.
Fight Corn Control!
Republicans expect to pick
up strength in Midwest farm
areas because their House and
Senate members fought prac
tically unanimously against
the administration's narrowly
beaten attempt to adopt stiff,
mandatory corn production
controls.
In recent weeks, Agricul
ture Secretary Orville L. Free
man has tossed out broad hints
that he plans to drop the idea
of mandatory controls when
new long - range feed grain
legislation is considered next
year.
One key test of farm Senti
ment on administration farm
policy could come in western
Kansas where Reps. J. Floyd
Bredding (D) and Robert Dole
(R) are fighting for the single
scat left after their t" dis
tricts were combined.
Wheat production is a ma
jor factor in the economy of
the new district, which covers
about two-thirds of Kansas.
Breeding, a three-term con
gressman who is chairman of
the House Agriculture Com
mittee's wheat subcommittee,
backed the new administra
tion wheat law. Dole, a fresh
man member of the 87th Con
gress, fought the administra
tion program.
Others To Watch
Some of the other House
races where political strate
gists believe farm issues could
play at least a minor part in
the outcome include:
-Republican attempts to un
seat Reps. Ralph R. Harding
(Idaho), Morris B. Peterson
(Utah). W. R. Hull Jr. (Mo.),
J. Edward Roush (lnd.) and
Victor Wickersham (Okla.),
-Democratic attempts to re
place GOP Reps. James K.
Battin (Mont ), Don L. Short
(N.D.), and Ralph T. Beerman
(Neb.)
-The hot Illinois race be
tween Reps. Peter F. Mack Jr.
(D) and Paul Findley (R) who
were thrown into a newly
combined district. Findley, a
House freshman, took a promi
nent role in fighting Kennedy
administration farm legisla
tion this year.
Senate races where farm
voting could be significant in
a close contest include those
in South Dakota, Kentucky,
Idaho, Colorado, Pennsylva
nia, Wisconsin, Utah, and Mis
souri. Whatever happens to rela
tive Democratic and Republi
can power in this election, the
shift of House districts to
urban areas will confront
farm policymakers with a new the hands of legislators from
fact of political life when the
88tli Congress assembles next
January.
The power to approve or
beat future farm bills will be
shifting more and more into
city districts.. The govern
ment's policy on aid to agri
culture thus will be shaped
increasingly by the politically
divided farm bloc's ability to
persuade an urban majority.
FIRM
and FA R
iCr Co"fl. Vm., 119 t. tfuy.
t.8"t, Ott. Ralph CobB, Claimon.
mm
ELECT
RALPH A. JAMES
Democratic Candidal for
COUNTY JUDGE
EHicient Responsible
Minority Heard Majority Rule
Impartial
Pd Pol. Adv. by Jamss for County
Judge Comm., Geo. Loflin, chmn.,
Rt. '2, Central Point, Ore.
3
Mississippi School
Officials Criticized
Oxford, Miss.-(UPD-A Justice
Department representative
Wednesday criticized Univer
sity of Mississippi officials for
failing to discipline students
taking part in demonstrations
protesting the presence of
Negro student James Mere
dith. He indicated Ihe federal
government might take action
against demonstrators.
Deputy U.S. Atly. Gen.
Nicholas Katzenbach made his
comments after two night of
violent demonstrations by
students.
Capital Memo
Republicans Expect
To Gain Control of
House in Next Term
By DOUGLAS GRIPP
Salem - IUPII - Republicans
are as confident as ever that
next week's election will give
i them control
of the 1963
Oregon House
of Representa
tives - for the
first time since
1955. The Dcm
o c r a t s now
have the up
per hand but
by the shaki-
Douclai Gripp est oi margins,
31-29.
All HO House scats are up
for grabs, and part of the GOP
hopes are riding on a poll that
6hows them cither holding
their own or gaining in four
key areas-Mullnomah, Clack
amas, Lane and Jackson coun
ties. The poll envisions the GOP
gaining one more house scat
m Multnomah, giving them
eight out of the 17; one in
Clackamas, which has a total
of four and where they have
none now; and "at least'' two
of Jackson's three seats.
In Lane county, the Repub
licans expect to hold onto the
three scats they have now.
This would be fine with them
because one scat opened up
when Rep. (Jarl Fisher. (R
Eugcne) became Ihe GOP
nominee for Congress in the
fourth district.
The CiOP also is counting
on retaining its three seats in
Marion county, which has
four.
Voter registration statewide
favors the Democrats but this
is a risky guide, since getting
out the actual vote is what
counts.
Polis notwitiistanding, most
obscrvors still regard control
of the next house a tossup.
In the 1953 legislature, the
Republicans were fat cats,
controlling 49-11. By 1955
their edge had slipped to 35
25. The bottom fell out in the
1956 election, and the Domo-i
crats took over the 1957
House, 37-23. Then ihe Demo
crats began to slip, control
ling the 1959 House 33-27,
and falling to their 31-29 edge
in 1961.
The Republicans think the
pendulum is about to make a
full swing.
In the Oregon Senate, Re-
: publicans concede there is no
' possibility of regaining con
I trol this time. The Democrats
: have a 2010 advantage now,
and with less than half ot the
i scats up this election, includ
! ina some powerful Democrats,
i GOP control is out of the
'question.
I The GOP isn't fretting,
however, because a coalition
i of conservative Democrats and
Republicans ij expected to re
main in power in the 1963
Senate. This group scuttled
most liberal Democratic legis
lation in the 1961 session.
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Mrs. Roosevelt in
Serious Condition
New York -HTP- Mrj. Elea
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today, but a lamily spokes
man aid "she is better than
holding her own "
The widow of former Presi
dent Franklin D. Roosevelt
has been ill since Sept 26
when she was hospitalized
with a lime, infection and ane
mia. Slip was released from
'.he hospital Oct. 11 and has
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mer first lady's condition still
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