ICON HISTCTilCAL SOCIETY B L I C A'JLITOF.I'J - P 0 R T L A '.' , C r. . Heppner Gazette Times Heppner, Oregon, Thursday, December 30, 1 948 Volume 65, Number 41 BUSINESS 1949 IN A General Business: Off 57. National Income! Off 5 ft Farm Income: Off 157. Bltuminoui Coal! Off 57. Anthracite: Off 107. Crude Oil Production 1 TJp 37. Steel Output: Up 57. Automobiles: Op 10 By ROGER W. BABSON 1. Total volume of business for . 1949 will be less than that of 1948. There surely will be many son spots. GENERAL BUSINESS 2. Most Industries will show smaller net profits. This means that, in many cases dividends will be less In 1949. 3. Military preparedness will be a new and powerful industry wnicn this country never hereto fore experienced in peace times, It is destined to bolster employ ment for some years ahead, but not the standard-of-livine. 4. Inventories quoted both at their dollar values and in vol ume will increase during 1949. Both raw material piles and man ufactured goods will be in greater supply during 1949. COMMODITY PRICES 5. Some ratlonlning or priori ties may be attempted in 1949. The public will make demands for price controls in the case of certain products. Beware of in stallment purchases In 1949. 6. We epect the peak in whole sale commodity prices has been reached for this cycle. We there fore, advise going easy on inven tories. 1949 is a time to get out of debt and stay out of debt. 7. The retail price of some goods, other than food products, may be higher during 1949, but we believe that the Cost-of-Liv-ing Index has turned downward. I 8. Retail price changes lag af ter wholesale price changes. This explains why we expect many retail prices on good quality merchandise to hold up for awhile after wholesale prices de cllne. FARM OUTLOOK 9. The total farm income for 19-19 should be less than that of 1948, due to lower prices for wheat, corn, pork, poultry, eggs and certain dairy products. Far mers should diversify more In 1949, get out of debt, putting sur plus money into savings and pre pare for real trouble some day. 10. The supply of certain veg etables and fruits should increase during 1949. The price of these should fall off, barring some weather, Insect or blight catas trophe. 11. Poultry and dairy products will also Increase in volume dur ing 1949, prices averaging less than 1918 prices. 12. Farmers will continue to work for extensions of subsidies. The above four Farm , Forecasts assume normal weather. A drought could upset these. TAXES 13. The Federal Budget will not be decreased during 1949. 14. Federal taxes will not be decreased during 1949, but there may be some readjustments to encourage venture capital and to ease the tax burden on wages.. 15. We forecast that an attempt will be made by some cities to put ceilings upon real estate tax es or enact local sales taxes. 16. The long-term capital gains tax of 25 will remain unchang ed. RETAIL TRADE 17. Goods on counters will be of better grade In 1949. 18. There will be many "mark down sales" of Inferior quality goods. Curbs on Installment buy ing will continue. 19. The dollar value of all re tail sales In 1949' should about equal that of 1948, perhaps bff 5'r. 20. The unit volume of retail sales will be less in 1949 than in 1948. FOREIGN TRADE 21. Our foreign trade will re main about the same. We shall continue to help Europe; but it will be on a more efficient basis. 22. More foreign credits will be granted during 1949; but these mostly will be direct to business concerns. 23. There will be greater com petition from other countries in legitimate foreign trade where the credit is good. 24. Throughout 1949 war talk will continue; but no real World t-Wnr III will start in 1949. WAR i PREPARATIONS WILL CONTIN . UE. f LABOR OUTLOOK 25. Good business depends up on two things: (1) reasonable wages and (2) reasonable prices. When both these factors are in balance there Is good business; but when they get out of balance, look for trouble. Low prices are of little help when people have insufficient wages with which to buy; but It is also true that good wages are of little use if prices are too high for people to buy. The Taft-Hartley Law will be re pealed or amended to encourage free speech, union protection and increased production, e 26. The income of wage work ers must increase before an Ad FINANCIAL OUTLOOK NUTSHELL Building and Construction: Off 207. Lumber: Off 57. Foreign Trade: Up 57. Airline Passenger Miles: op ior. Military Activities. Includ ing Aircraft: Up 507. Hetail Trade: Off 57. to 107. vance in prices. Contrariwise, too high prices always precede a de cline in employment and wages. This downward cycle leading to unemployment may begin in 1949. Much depends upon crops and weather. 27. Labor leaders who get in creased wage rates usually get re-elected, while those who do not get wage increases are liable to be defeated. Hence, labor lead ers have naturally kept urging higher wages, although they may feel in their hearts that wages are high enough for the time be ing. We forecast that 1949 will see some change of attitude in this regard and that wise leaders will be more interested in pre venting the "bust." 28. If wages are too high, or ganized labor is the first to be laid off when business declines. Unorganized workers have the steadiest Jobs and will go thru i43 without losing their posi tions. 29. Some labor leaders will. during 1949, work for pension systems and sick benefits. This would be a constructive program for employers who can afford to do it, but many employers can not afford even these benefits at this time. Both employers and wageworkers will some day unite In urging a program which will give steady work throughout the year. This is the best hope for lower building costs. Bricklayers, painters and carpenters are crit icized today for doing such a small amount of work, but we must remember the many days when they are unable to woi-k due to weather and other condi tions. INFLATION 30. Inflation (high prices) comes when consumption exceeds production. This means that in flation can be checked only by increasing production or by re ducing the money supply. The Job of getting prices down today depends, therefore, upon what management and labor produce per hour. We believe that wage increases during 1949 will be ac companied by a corresponding Con limed on page 6 HEPPNER IN 1948 -zr v ' Vn ,.,,vv" Business Good At Marriage License Desk in Past Year Dan Cupid made quite a kill ing in Monow county during 1948, with the result that the county clerk's office got back in to form making out marriage li censes. Twenty-seven couples took out licenses during the year and all but one of these filed marriage certificates with Clerk Barlow. First on the list were John Dal ton Ledbetter and Lorine Van Winkle who were married Janu ary 1, 1948 at the Congregational church in Lexington. This wed ding was followed by two others in January, Kenneth Roy Orwick and Betty Lou Kenedy at the groom s home in Heppner on the 11th and Theodore Ruben Mur- dock and Willa Ethel Chambers Fisk at the Methodist church on the 21st. Three weddings were perform ed in February, including Ken neth M. Way and Estelle Ledbet ter, February 1 at the Congrega tional church, Lexington; Henry Theodore Peterson and Rosemary Doherty, February 7, Catholic church, Heppner; and Jessie Dale Orwick and Myrtle Delores Sals bur, February 21, at the J. O. Hager hpme, Justice Hager offi ciating. No licenses were issued in March. I April saw two weddings Clyde trnest McCabe and Mary Jean Bristow, April 18, Cooperative church of lone; Roy H. Minnick and Berties I. Connell, April 27, Methodist parsonage, Arlington. May 9, Donald W. Hatfield and Theresa M. Burgett, Heppner Ca- tnollc church; Stanley C. Chand ler and Doris Dyal of Umatilla county took out license May 21 dui tne marriage certificate has not been returned to Clerk Bar low's office. Odean F. Hall and Carolyn Williams, May 22, Hepp ner Methodist church; David J. Pardue Jr. and Jean Albertine Rauch, May 28, Lutheran church at Hermiston. June 6, Roger W. Connor and OUie Eyvonne Hastings at the Connor home, J. Palmer Sorlien officiating. Lester L. Cox and Maxine G. East, June 19, Heppner Methodist church; Ray Perry Pat terson and Rose Marie Anderson, June 26, Harley Anderson home in Eightmile.- ' Eugene George Hall and Har riet Ann Ball, July 13, Episcopal church in Heppner. Howard Gilliam and Helen Continued on page six fJ 'Jf f- i- en J iV .;, ' . 'wi f eaMern urcgon points to Random Thoughts... It is not the purpose of this column to be looking backward, or dwelling in the past, for the policy of the newspaper is and has always been to look forward. But there is much of interest, par ticularly from a historical stand point, in the pictures of former days such as appear in the pa per from time to time and it is one of our greatest regrets that some of the old newspaper cuts are not available. We have a few, and these have been trotted out from time to time, and some of them are being used in this is sue along with more modern pic tures in an effort to tell the story of Heppner's progress without having to engage ill tiresome copy writing. Then, too, pictures are accurate much more so than a faulty memory. While on the subject of remind ers of older days, comment is pertinent relative to a souvenir issue of the Heppner Gazette, date of New Years 1902. Two young men from the state print ing office at Salem, Fred War- nock and E. P. Michell, purchased the paper in 1901 and in the fall of 1902 decided to publish a sou venir edition. This writer was a part-time compositor on the Gaz ette, getting up before 6 o'clock six mornings of the week to build the fires in the office, which was then on upper Main street, and setting a few sticks of type before school five of those days and working 10 hours on Satur day. As such a handy office boy some of the composition of the souvenir edition was trusted, to Continued on Page Six AERIAL CAMERA SEEKS OUT MINUTEST DETAILS The Gazette Times publishers were so impressed with this aerial view of Heppner that they could not resist having a cut made for reproduction in the paper. Jack Forsythe, of the Forsythe Flying Service, Lex ington, took the picture from an elevation of 3500 feet. It does not include the upper or sou thern parts of the town, those districts extending up Willow creek . and Donaldson canyon, hence at least 25 percent of the town area is left out To cover the entire town would have meant going to a much higher elevation and there would have been a loss of much detail that makes the picture of unusual interest , , You will be able to locate your residence or place of bus iness, with a little searching. The picture was taken in Oc tober, when there were a few days of clear weather. ; CD O "- W f ... , . " i AtTf t . - "W $ if. 2 v v. : , , - ,-":".. t'r-. "S-'l !t 3 fs4 prove Restock service for 1 V C,I$ " ' , , . ,,JSV .s J 'gon stockmen, will Inaugur; J tV' C2 "IpTV "V ?. ,J . A, ?nZM combined livestock special C f2& 2 li V:K"...V V V . Vit S-1 dftef '?aryl. which will County's Farmers Contribute $792.53 To Food Project Morrow county's contribution to the CROP fund was $792.53. ac cording to Rev. J. Palmer Sorlien, chairman of the campaign. This came from farm sources, he said, as no attempt was made to soli cit townspeople. From the Boardman commun ity came $180; Rhea Creek, $10; LxmiiKiun, ana lone, $301.58. The Morrow County Grain Growers. Inc., made a cash dona- tion of $50. Some of the amount quoted included donations of grain and since there was not en- ough wheat to make up a carload shipment the grain was convert ed to cash here and the money forwarded to the state headquar ters. ' o CONDON SHEEPMAN BURIED WEDNESDAY Funeral services were held at St. John's Catholic church In Condon at 10 o'clock a.m. Wed nesday for William Henry Camo bell, 60, who passed away at The Dalles Decemoer 26. A sheepman for many years, ampDeii was quite well known in Morrow county. o Delos Knighten and John Gem- Uo.rft -...J -...-.. oluuc'" l eastern ugon college, were guests at the Floyd The Misses Doris and Dorothy Worden, both of whom are em ployed in La Grande, also were home for the week-end holiday. Doris is a secretary In the La Grande chamber of commerce of fice and Dorothy is in the busi ness office at Eastern Oregon col lege. Mr. and Mrs. Eugene Florence of Lewiston, Idaho, spent Christ mas at the home of his parents, Mr. and Mrs. Norman Florence. HEPPNER AT TURN OF There is no definite date as to the time this picture was taken, but it definitely was be fore 1902 because that was the year the new courthouse was St "IP .mfW-sM:AM Fire Department Called Out Twice Cold weather has a tendency to create two hazards frozen water pipes and fires. Heppner has ex perienced a little of both during the past week, with the result that the fire department receiv ed two calls, one on Sunday and one on Monday. The Sunday call was to the Gordon Banker home where an overheated flue set fire to a close 0jiii. j,( n,,ii. ;by the fire department held the Hama t w fio damage at a low figure. i Monday, Willard Blake was i trying to locate a frozen water ;pjpe at his home on upper Main street and lacking a flashlight used a match. Apparently a flare from the match landed in some burlap and before long there was enough heat to thaw out numer ous water pipes. The department responded quickly but not soon enough to avoid a loss of several hundred dollars to the Blake res idence. SHOWS LAMBETH PICTURES Bishop Lane W. Barton and son George spent Sunday in Heppner, the Bishop coming to hold con firmation service at the morning worship hour and to show motion pictures he took while attending """""-II 111 nun- jdon the past summer, which were shown in the parish ho,lsn Sun. day evening. Active with his mov ie camera throughout the trip to England, Bishop Barton succeed ed in weaving together on film a most interesting storv of his visit in both Eneland and the wnrlrt wide counsel of churches held in ' fun starts all over. Amsterdam, Holland. ENGAGEMENT ANNOUNCED MEETING POSTPONED Mr. and Mrs. Floyd Worden an - The OES Social club meeting j nounce the engagement of their regularly scheduled for Saturday ; daughter, Doris, to Delos Knigh of this week has been postponed ten of Irrigon. The wedding will until January 8. 'be an event of March. CENTURY -r i " s '-iLr.il- ' ---.- ! built and in this view of the town the old frame building still stands it and the oH school building on the hilL Many of the houses and other -Aerial Photograph by IS - "1- I'- f Cutsforth's Pond Lures Skaters As Freeze Continues Skating is a rare sport around these diggin's, but during the current cold snap it has become a popular pastime at the Orville Cutsforth ranch north of Lexing ton. The Cutsforth pond is the reason. During the summer months the Cutsforth young people and their friends enjoyed swimming par ties at the pond. There is also a boat which all enjoy, but the ol' swimmin' hole has reached the acme of popularity since Jack Frost moved in, and young and some not so young are having the time of their lives catching up on their skating. It is said that the skaters in dulge in whipcracker you know, where the fellow at the end of the line is supposed to be a chump or something. Anyway, one well known physician was getting a lot of fun out of being the fall guy but protected him self by carrying a board around until the line broke, when he would deftly straddle the board and scurry about the pond in a sitting position. This bit of skill ful maneuvering came abruptly to an end when the board broke, but that didn't spoil the Doc's evening. The pond has been enlarged since last summer and each cay when fresh water is pumped in it causes a little softening of the ice, but the below freezing tem perature soon builds a fresh sup- !P'y of ice so that by evening the v- i.T.sE""!? V. ; buildings shown here were de stroyed in the Heppner flood of 1903. Forsythe Flying Service " - ! iH i- 7!.l 1 it 1 -T- ."i'V- S Shamrocks Fail To Sustain Win Record In Week's Contests Condon and Irrigon Drop Locals 37-33, 40-34, Respectively Coach LaVerne Van Marter's Heppner Shamrocks hit a victory drouth over the last week, with its "A" team dropping two games to both Condon and Irrigon. The Heppnerite "B" squad garnered some prestige for the Shamrocks, however, by winning both of its hoop games. On Wednesday of last week the Shamrocks motored to Condon to play a double-header against the highly-rated Rover Boys. After the smoke cleared from the rough contest, the Condon five emerged with a 37-33 win, but were forced to stave off a last minute Hepp ner rally that nearly tied up the game in the final seconds. High light of the contest was when Bill Ulrich, flashy Heppner forward, scored from a Jump-ball position, as the final gun went off. Joe Burns led Condon scorers with 15 points and Ulrich tallied 14 for the Shamrocks. Kenny Schunk's free throw in the final two seconds of the "B" squad game gave the Shamrocks a 31 to 30 victory over Condon in a Frank Merriwell finish. Heppner led most of the game but relinquished it in the final quarter, only to win in the whirl wand finish. Lineups: Heppner A, 33 Condon, 37 . Ulrich 14 f Burns, T. 6 Greenup 9 f Burns, J. 15 Kemp, S. c .... Pryer 8 Campbell 3 g Pattee 3 Ferguson g . Boyce 5 Kemp, J. 2 s Burch Padberg s Tierney Hatfield 5 s P.obinson Heppner B. 3 Condon 30 Schunk 4 'f Burch 2 Hatfield 3 f Hayes 2 Hughes 6 c Humphreys 1 Hatfield 7 g Boyer 12 Barratt 5 g Hollen 4 Scott 6 s .. . Tierney 9 Bennett s Chambers s Maley Irrgon Flays Fact Ball .-Willard Jones, former EOCE and Allen, his forward running mate, proved too much a scoring pair here Monday night as they led Irrigon to a 40 to 34 win over the Heppner Shamrocks. The elongated center and the speedy forward accounted for 25 of Irri- gon's total. The river-lads grabbed an early lead and maintained it through out the game to be seriously threatened but once, in the final two minutes when Heppner pull ed to but two points behind. Stan Kemp led the Heppner hoopsters w irh eight points. The Shamrock Bees waltzed to a 43 to 17 victory with Jack Par- rish, who also plays for the Ore gon Tech Owls at Klamath Falls, dunking 9 points for high hon ors. Knighten tossed 10 points through the basket for the losers. -3 1 wv. r i rain 27 1 ne im-Ore- ate a train load and arrive at North Portland stockyards each Saturday evening, it was an nounced today by C. W. Evers. traffic manager, northwestern istrict. The livestock special will leave Jampa each Friday at 1 p.m., I scheduled to arrive at North Portland at 10 p.m. each Satur day, eastern Uregon stock will I be loaded each Friday at mam and Dranch line points to con nect with this train. The new schedule will ben'fit shippers and commission turns' alike by providing a day's time for sorting and properly condi tioning stock for sale on Mon day's market. o Guests of Mr. and Mis. Jul;n W. I Itiatt for Christmas uvre Mr. and j Mrs. Oscar Rippee of I'ondnn and their son Lowell from Kurt Ord, ital.. when1 he is doin; rleri'-al work. Lowell is an enlis'eil n. in in the light artillery. The Kip-H-e's other son. Don is in the .naval training station at Sin Di ego and being unable to come i home for the hoiii!as. made his family a visit by long distance i telephone. Mr. and Mrs. L. 1 Neill spent Christmas with relatives in Sal em, returning to llepimir lues dav. They report highway travel, especially through .the Columbl.i gorge, as somewhat hazardous but by driving slowly encounter ed no difficulties. Miss Hose lloosler, former Heppner teacher, was a visitor here Tuesday, making brief calls on friends. Miss lloosler is now a teacher in the Pendleton i.'l'y system.