HEPPNER GAZETTE TIMES, HEPPNER, OREGON, THURSDAY, SEPT, 19, 1929
PAGE FIVE
PLANTING SEASON
TO CUT INTENTIONS
WEATHER UNFAVORABLE IN
LEADING REGIONS FOR
WINTER WHEAT.
(O. A. C.-U. S. D. A. Reporting Service)
It seems probable that the acre
age of winter wheat this fall In the
United States will be somewhat less
than a year ago, unless conditions
for seeding should become more
favorable. Reports to the United
States Department of Agriculture
made by about 20,000 farmers on
August 15 for their own farms indi
cated that the wheat growers of the
country intended to plant 43,271,000
acres or 1.2 percent more winter
wheat than was seeded last fall, but
on the average during the past six
years these reports of intentions to
plant winter wheat have exceeded
.the actual plantings by about 4.5
percent and soil conditions so far
this fall have been rather less fav
orable than usual because of lack
of moisture.
For the western states, however,
It seems likely that there will be an
Increased acreage unless drought
prevents seeding. The intended
plantings for this group of states
is about 6,842,000 acres, or 13 per
cent more than last fall. The im
portant wheat states showing the
largest increases In Intended wheat
acreage are Montana 40 per cent,
Colorado 20 per cent, Washington
14 percent and Oregon 9 percent.
In the recent statement of the
Bureau of Agricultural Economics
on the outlook for winter wheat in
1930 it is stated that:
"A continuation through Septem
ber of the unusual drought now pre
vailing over a large part of the
winter wheat belt might reduce ac
tual plantings by more than the
usual amount, especially in the cen
tral and eastern parts of the belt,
while with favorable weather fall
sowings may equal or exceed the in
tended acreage.
"Producers of winter wheat
should not plan their 1930 produc
tion with the expectation that
wheat crops in foreign countries
will be so short as to provide a
market for their wheat equal to
that of the present season. Should
farmers carry out their expressed
intentions this fall to seed a wheat
acreage 1.2 percent greater than
they seeded last fall, with average
abandonment and average yields,
production would continue to be
well above domestic requirements
and the 1930 winter wheat crop
would have to be marketed upon
an export basis. With normal or
average yields In Canada, Argen
tina, and Australia, producers must
count upon keen competition In
world markets.
"The world market for wheat of
the 1930 crop probably will be no
better and may not be as good as
that for the present season. Yields
of spring wheat in the United States
and Canada this year have been
very low and prospects now are
that yields in Argentina and Aus
tralia will also be lower than usual.
Farmers should not depend upon
similarly reduced yields next year
keeping down the world wheat crop.
The world's carryover Into July,
1930, Is expected to be considerably
smaller than the carryover into the
present marketing season. The
greatest reduction will be made in
the carryover In the United States.
The reduced carryover will help to
offset the Increase in world produc
tion which would result if yields
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in 1930 should be average. The re
duction in carryover, however, is
not likely to be sufficient to offset
the increase In crop from average
yields, and consequently the aver
age world market prices for the
1930-31 marketing season probably
will not equal the average of prices
realized for the 1929 crop.
"Looking further ahead, United
States farmers must expect to meet
continued keen competition in ex
port from Canada, Australia and
Argentina. Furthermore, there is
a possibility that Russia may again
be a factor in the world market in
a few years. In view of the general
tendency for expansion of acreage
In the principal exporting countries,
it seems very doubtful if prices of
wheat in world markets during the
next few years will average much
above the levels of the past six
years, unless unfavorable conditions
should result in a series of unusu
ally low yields.
The production of hard red win
ter wheat is on a level far above
domestic requirements. do
mestic consumption is about 200,
000,000 bushels average aban
donment and average yields would
result in a crop of about 328,000.000
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bushels . The bulk of the hard
red winter wheat crop is produced
in the four states of Kansas, Neb
raska, Oklahoma and Colorado.
"The production of soft red win
ter wheat is now on a level only
slightly above normal domestic re
quirements. The production of
wheat In soft winter wheat areas
has shown a marked downward
tendency in recent years and if this
tendency is continued the United
States will soon be producing less
wheat of this class than has been
its normal requirement in past
years a continuance of the present
downward tendency of acreage in
the eastern part of the winter wheat
belt would probably result within a
few years in soft red winter wheat
ordinarily selling at prices above
those of hard red winter."
Price Trend Shows
Farm Dollar Larger
(O. A. C.-U. S. D. A. Reporting Service)
The index of the general level of
farm prices advanced 3 points from
July 15 to August 15, which placed
this index figure for the United
States at 143 percent of the pre
war 5-year average and 4 points
higher than in August 1928. Not
able price gains were made by
wheat, corn, rye, flax, potatoes, and
eggs, while decreases were noted for
apples, hay and meat livestock, es
pecially lambs.
The U. S. relative farm prices on
August 15 for some leading com-
Special Prices
on three of Morrow
County's best farms
for 30 days only.
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Peoples Hardware Co.
Heppner, Ore.
modities produced in Oregon, when
the 5-year pre-war average is taken
as 100 were: Wheat 125 percent
compared to 116 a month before;
corn 149; potatoes 199 against 125
on July 15, and 105 in August 1928;
apples 145; hay 91; oats 107; barley
90; hogs 142; cattle 185; lambs 193;
eggs 139; butter 168;' wool 164;
horses 58; and chickens 199 percent
of the pre-war average.
The preliminary estimate of the
ratio of prices received by farmers
to prices paid by farmers for com
modities was 89 percent of the pre
war average on July 15, an increase
of 3 points over the previous month
but 4 points lower than in July
1928. The index number of whole
sale prices for 550 commodities as
computed by the Bureau of Labor
Statistics, was 98 for July, or 1.6
points above that of June this year.
The computed purchasing power of
the farmers dollar on that basis was
92.9 compared to 102 for all commodities.
CA1X FOB WARRANTS.
All warrants of School Dlst No.
25 of Morrow County, Oregon, from
No. 791 (dated Sept 30, 1927) to No.
820 (dated Oct 27, 1927) both num
bers included, will be paid on pres
entation. Interest stops on Sept 12, 1929.
MRS. LEE MEAD,
26. District Clerk-
Dated Sept 9, 1929, at Boardman,
Oregon.
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