A16 NEWS Blue Mountain Eagle Wednesday, September 28, 2022 Economy Continued from Page A1 In addition to Grant, the other Oregon coun- ties included Baker, Har- ney, Malheur, Umatilla, Wal- lowa, Crook, Morrow, Union and Wheeler. In Washington, Walla Walla, Garfi eld, Asotin and Columbia counties were studied. The three national for- ests that sprawl across that 14-county region — the Uma- tilla, Wallowa-Whitman and Malheur — are collectively known as the Blue Mountain Forest and are covered by a single, over-arching manage- ment document called the Blue Mountains Forest Plan. Each of the three national forests in the region also has its own individual resource and management plan that identifi es the goals and desired conditions for the landscape. The plans establish broad guidelines for livestock graz- ing, timber harvest, wilder- ness and roads. The data collected in the analysis, along with the goals and desired conditions estab- lished by the BIC, will frame how the U.S. Forest Service drafts its management plans in the region. Forest plans are supposed to be updated every 15 years to account for the latest science and changing conditions. The Blue Mountains Forest Plan, however, was last updated in 1990. Coming up with a new plan has been a diffi cult and contentious process. In 2019, the Forest Service scrapped its most recent draft management plan after it came under wide- spread scrutiny and faced pub- lic backlash. Nils Cristoff erson, exec- utive director of Wallowa Resources, told the newspaper in a phone interview that one of the criticisms of the 2019 draft management plan was that a supporting socioeco- nomic analysis missed essen- tial diff erences between the counties and even the commu- nities within the counties. This time around, Maille said, the Forest Service brought in EOU and the REV because the agency realized how diff erent the counties in Eastern Oregon and South- east Washington are from one another. “(The Forest Service) acknowledged that, based on past experience, they were looking at the region from the level of the forest and not the level of the county,” Maille said. Grant County and the Sierra Dawn McLane/Capital Press, File Steven Mitchell/Blue Mountain Eagle Prairie Wood Sawmill employee Brian Luglan stacks lumber on Monday, Sept. 26, 2022. Home to three national forests, a 14-county region of Northeast Oregon and Southeast Washington is economically dependent on the U.S. Forest Service. Is Grant County too dependent on the Forest Service? Between 2010 and 2021, according to the study, the Forest Service awarded $46 million in contracts for for- est restoration work in Grant County, including $29 mil- lion that went directly to local contractors. While that revenue is cer- tainly a welcome addition to Grant County’s economy, the fact that it all came from a single source underscores the county’s vulnerability to an economic downturn if the For- est Service should change its policy in the area. Webb said the county should continue working to diversify its economy, but it would be unrealistic to think that a broad range of compa- nies that could provide that diversifi cation would choose to come to Grant County rather than, say, Bend or Boise. However, Webb also pointed out that Grant County could be an attractive location for companies that can take advantage of the economic activity generated by the For- est Service. He said the goal of Blue Mountains Forest Partners has been to diversify the natural resource economy by work- ing with the agency in var- ious ways, such as pushing for stewardship contracts that keep the work local or looking for opportunities to open up more grazing allotments. Asked if that would ulti- mately keep Grant County dependent on the Forest Ser- vice, Webb said it’s import- ant to think about what being dependent really means. “Does it mean not do any of this (forest restoration) work? Or does it mean to complement it with something else?” he asked. “In my view, you would complement it with other eff orts.” Steven Mitchell/Blue Mountain Eagle An abandoned lumber mill on the west end of John Day. Steven Mitchell/Blue Mountain Eagle The Innovation Gateway area of John Day, consisting largely of former lumber mill property. Blues The Blue Mountain region as a whole has lagged behind the rest of Oregon and the U.S. when it comes to popula- tion, income and job growth, but the situation is especially dire in a half-dozen Eastern Oregon counties. Among the 14 counties in the study, the authors point out that Grant, Baker, Harney, Union, Wallowa and Wheeler are isolated rural counties without easy access to a met- ropolitan area or main high- way to stimulate economic activity. That leaves them with lower average wages and more unpredictability in employment. Many people in those six counties, the study’s authors write, have fl uctuating incomes that are character- ized by seasonal employment, poor job earnings, and limited access to higher-paying jobs. In 2020, the total pop- ulation in the region was 296,000, with a density of 11 people per square mile. Ore- gon’s counties dropped to six people per square mile, third to last nationwide, ahead of just Wyoming and Alaska. The U.S. Forest Ser- vice signifi cantly impacts the economy throughout the Blue Mountain Forest region through the agency’s staff - ing levels, land management plans, timber sales, service work contracts, stewardship contracting and grazing allot- ments, the study determined. Additionally, each county receives an annual payment in lieu of taxes to help off set property tax revenue losses due to federal land as well as payments designed to make up for losses related to declin- ing timber harvest levels. Grant County has more acres per resident — 222 — than any other county in the Northwest. Thus, according to the study’s authors, Grant County is the most depen- dent on the Forest Service for county payments in lieu of property taxes. These pay- ments support various county functions, including road maintenance, law enforce- ment and public safety, search and rescue, public school dis- tricts and other services. Timber and natural resource production have long played a signifi cant role in the local and regional econo- mies of the Blue Mountains. But environmental protections and changes to mill technol- ogy led to steep declines in those industries. As a result, the annual timber volume in the Blue Mountain For- est declined from 700 million board feet in the late 1980s to 70 million in the last few years. In the past decade, the authors note, the Malheur National Forest has made up just over 30% of the total tim- ber volume of the Blue Moun- tain Forest region. The loss of timber from the forests led to the closure of sawmills across the region, the loss of contractors and the decline of other related industries. For several counties in the region, Grant especially, natu- ral resources and forest prod- ucts was the largest employer. Unemployment rates across the Blue Mountains region are among the highest in Oregon. The loss of timber and nat- ural resources in the region led to population declines as working families moved out of the area. That created rip- ple eff ects that impacted small businesses, schools, health care and property values. Risk vs. opportunity In taking into account the vast differences between each county, Maille said he and McConnell came up with what they dubbed a “risk/opportunity index,” which evaluates a county’s relative sensitivity to pos- itive or negative impacts from forest management decisions. Maille said the index has two measures. First, he said, is economic resilience — in other words, the ability for a county to weather financial calamity. Second, Maille said, is a county’s level of exposure to a national for- est. This, he said, depends on how much community income is related to Forest Service lands and the vol- ume of public land in a par- ticular area. Christofferson pointed out that forest management decisions in Grant and Wal- lowa counties would have a greater significance than they would in Malheur or Walla Walla counties, for instance. While federal land man- agement decisions are not entirely irrelevant in Walla Walla and Malheur counties, he said, they are a much big- ger factor in the economic activity and social condi- tions of more isolated and rural counties like Grant and Wallowa. Malheur and Walla Walla counties, according to the assessment, are among the least exposed, with less than 1% of Forest Service-owned land. Coffee Break! Puzzle solutions can be found in today’s classifieds CLUES ACROSS 1. Fall down 5. Gas usage measure- ment 8. Golf score 11. A superior grade of black tea 13. Wrath 14. Eating house 15. Delay leaving a place 16. People now inhabiting Myanmar 17. Canadian flyers 18. Walks back and forth 20. Frequently 21. Humans have two 22. Surrounds with armed forces 25. Made proper 30. Medical buildings 31. 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