A14 The BulleTin • Wednesday, June 30, 2021 Biden to talk wildfires with leaders of Western states BY CHRIS MEGERIAN AND ANNA M. PHILLIPS Los Angeles Times WASHINGTON — President Joe Biden will meet Wednesday with Cabinet officials and leaders from Western states, including California Gov. Gavin Newsom, as he faces what could be another devastating year of wildfires with drought conditions worsening and searing temperatures spread- ing. The situation has alarmed ex- perts and public officials, who warn that this year’s fire season could outpace last year’s, which was the worst on record. Blazes have already ignited around Cal- ifornia, where dry vegetation has left large swaths of the state primed to explode into flames, even as the federal government struggles to hire firefighters. “We’re in as high risk of a start- ing condition as we could ever expect,” said Noah Diffenbaugh, a Stanford University professor who studies climate change and wildfires. The California National Guard deployed a month earlier than last year, sending helicop- ters to drop water on the Lava fire near Mount Shasta. It’s the largest active fire in the state, burning more than 13,000 acres since sparking Thursday, and Newsom announced Tuesday that the federal government was going to help cover some of the costs. Western states are eager for Washington to step up its com- mitment after President Donald Trump repeatedly blamed them for failing to prevent and stop wildfires — particularly Califor- nia, which he said failed to “clean your forests” of combustible veg- etation. Heat dome Continued from A1 Wind directions have played a crucial role in the coverage and magnitude of the exces- sive heat. The high-pressure system has been centered near the international border, with clockwise flow around it bring- ing easterly winds for much of the Columbia River Basin and, broadly, Idaho, Washington and Oregon. Between Saturday and Mon- day, the easterly winds helped push the coastal marine layer, or zone of ocean-chilled air, back over the water, permitting the heat to extend into the In- terstate 5 corridor from Seattle south to Medford, and even to the coast in some areas. But as the low-pressure area weakened and shifted to the north late Monday, it allowed onshore flow of winds off the ocean to return to coastal ar- eas, which brought significant cooling. Ted S. Warren/AP A person walks past a Molly Moon’s Ice Cream store Monday in Seattle’s Capitol Hill neighborhood. The store was closed due to excessive heat as Seattle and other cities in the Pacific Northwest endured the hottest day of an unprecedented and dangerous heat wave, with tempera- tures obliterating records that had been set just the day before. Portland had its biggest overnight drop in temperature on record between Monday evening and Tuesday morning, as the mercury plummeted 52 degrees, from 116 to 64. “It was very, very nice, a much-needed break,” Muessle said. But this onshore wind won’t offer relief for interior locations that are predicted to bake un- der the heat dome for the next several days. The threat comes amid staff- ing shortages at the U.S. Forest Service and the Bureau of Land Management, problems exacer- bated by low pay, competition from state and local fire depart- ments and exhaustion from last year’s fire season. More than a month after sea- sonal hiring would typically have ended, the federal government is still trying to fill vacant posi- tions on Hotshot crews, the most elite and experienced firefighting teams. Although these crews are venerated for leading the attack against the most difficult fires, Climate change A heat wave of this magni- tude required weather systems and winds to align, but it could not have been this extreme without human-caused cli- mate change. The role of climate change has been to substantially in- crease the likelihood of record- breaking temperatures. Simple logic dictates a cli- mate experiencing a back- ground warming of several degrees will be more prone to hotter heat events. It’s like a slam dunk in basketball — if the floor rises, it becomes eas- ier to score. “Summers in the Pacific Northwest are about 3 de- grees warmer today than 50 or 100 years ago,” said Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist at the Breakthrough Institute. “All things equal, we would think a heat wave today would be about 3 degrees warmer.” Such warming, Hausfa- ther said, means exceptionally some have had so many veteran firefighters quit that they’ve been downgraded to a lower-ranking status. Nationally, fire management teams are having to compete with each other for crews and equipment much earlier in the season than in years past. On June 22, the National Inter- agency Fire Center, which co- ordinates fire response from Boise, Idaho, raised the national preparedness to level 4 on a 1 to 5 scale, saying it was the sec- ond earliest it had reached that point. strong heat waves, such as this, become more frequent. “Heat waves that used to oc- cur as 1-in-1,000-year events are becoming 1-in-100-year events and 1-in-100-year events are becoming 1-in-20,” he said. In addition, drought, which has connections to climate change, is playing a role as both a cause and effect of the ongoing heat. Fifty-five per- cent of the West is experienc- ing an extreme or exceptional drought — the two most se- vere categories — including about a quarter of Washington and nearly a third of Oregon. Dry air heats up considerably faster than humid air. That means the same input of heat can foster a higher tempera- ture. Research shows climate change has worsened the “megadrought” over much of the West, because warming temperatures dry out the land surface more quickly. “We’re in as high risk of a starting condition as we could ever expect.” — Noah Diffenbaugh, a Stanford University professor who studies climate change and wildfire Looking ahead, observed temperatures associated with the heat wave are actually help- ing to dry out the area even further, while the impetus for the heat — high pressure — diverts precipitation and storm systems to the north. That will make high temperatures even tougher to shake. Finally, it’s possible that cli- mate warming has changed the jet stream to increase the strength of hot weather pat- terns such as what we’ve seen in the Pacific Northwest this week. Michael Mann, a climate scientist at Pennsylvania State University, with colleagues, published a study in 2018 that connects summer weather ex- tremes with a fundamental change in how the jet stream is behaving during the summer. Hausfather said “robust de- bate” continues in the scien- tific community about the role of climate change on jet stream patterns.