A2 THE BULLETIN • MONDAY, JUNE 21, 2021 The Bulletin How to reach us CIRCULATION Didn’t receive your paper? Start or stop subscription? 541-385-5800 PHONE HOURS 8 a.m.-4 p.m. Monday-Friday 7 a.m.-11 a.m. Saturday-Sunday and holidays LOCAL, STATE & NATION DESCHUTES COUNTY COVID-19 data for Sunday, June 20 : Deschutes County cases: 10,015 (13 new cases) Deschutes County deaths: 82 (zero new deaths) Crook County cases: 1,292 (1 new case) Crook County deaths: 23 (zero new deaths) Jefferson County cases: 2,368 (1 new case) Jefferson County deaths: 39 (zero new deaths) Oregon cases: 206,774 (200 new cases) Oregon deaths: 2,754 (1 new death) New COVID-19 cases per day 129 new cases (July 16) EMAIL 100 June 10* 50 new cases *Jan. 31: No data reported. *June 10: Number includes several days of data due to a reporting delay. 60 50 40 31 new cases (Oct. 31) 30 16 new cases 20 (May 20) 1st case 10 (March 11) March 2020 90 70 (Sept. 19) 9 new cases ONLINE 110 80 (Nov. 14) 8 a.m.-5 p.m. Mon.-Fri. 74 new cases (April 10) (Feb. 17) 28 new cases 120 (May 8) 7-day average (Nov. 27) 130 115 new cases (Jan. 1) 47 new cases 541-382-1811 bulletin@bendbulletin.com (April 29) 108 new cases 90 new cases BULLETIN GRAPHIC 125 new cases (Dec. 4) Vaccines are available. 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They may not be reproduced without explicit prior approval. Lucien Wiggins, 12, arrived at Tufts Children’s Hospital by ambulance June 7 with chest pains, dizziness and high lev- els of a protein in his blood that indicated inflammation of his heart. The symptoms had begun a day earlier, the morn- ing after his second vaccina- tion with the Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA shot. For Dr. Sara Ross, chief of pediatric critical care at the Boston hospital, the event confirmed a doubt she’d been nursing: Was the country pushing its luck by vaccinating children against COVID-19 at a time when the disease was relatively mild in the young — and skepticism of vaccines was frighteningly high? “I have practiced pediatric ICU for almost 15 years and I have never taken care of a sin- gle patient with a vaccine-re- lated complication until now,” Ross told KHN. “Our standard for safety seems to be different for all the other vaccines we ex- pose children to.” To be sure, cases of myocar- ditis like Lucien’s have been rare, and the reported side ef- fects, though sometimes se- rious, generally resolve with pain relievers and, sometimes, infusions of antibodies. And a COVID-19 infection itself is far more likely than a vaccine to cause myocarditis, including in younger people. Lucien went home, on the mend, after two days on in- travenous ibuprofen in in- tensive care. Most of the 800 or so cases of heart problems among all ages reported to a federal vaccine safety database through May 31 followed a similar course. Yet the pattern of these cases — most occurred in young males after the sec- ond Pfizer or Moderna shot — suggested that the ailment was caused by the vaccine, rather than being coincidental. At a time when the vacci- nation campaign is slowing, leading political conservatives are openly spreading disinfor- mation about vaccines, and sci- entists fear a possible upsurge in cases this fall or winter, side effects in young people pose a conundrum for public health officials. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s vac- cine advisory committee met Friday to discuss the possi- ble link and whether it merits changing its recommendations for vaccinating teenagers with the Pfizer vaccine, which the Food and Drug Administra- tion last month authorized for children 12 and older. A simi- lar authorization for the Mod- erna vaccine is pending, and both companies are conduct- ing clinical trials that will test their vaccines on children as young as 6 months old. At a meeting of an FDA ad- visory committee this month, vaccine experts suggested that the agency require the phar- maceutical companies to hold larger and longer clinical trials for the younger age groups. A few said FDA should hold off on authorizing vaccination of younger children for up to a year or two. Interestingly, Lucien and his mother, Beth Clarke, of Roch- ester, New Hampshire, dis- Oregon will miss this week’s original vaccine goal 123RF The safety of COVID-19 vaccinations for children has proved contro- versial. “We all want a pediatric vaccine, but I’m concerned about the safety issue,” said Dr. Cody Meissner, chief of pediatric infectious dis- eases at Tufts Children’s Hospital in Boston. agreed. Her son’s reaction was “odd,” she said, but “I’d rather him get a side effect (that doc- tors) can help with than get COVID and possibly die. And he feels that way, which is more important. He thinks all his friends should get it.” COVID-19’s toll on youths Data regarding COVID-19’s impact on the young is some- what messy, but at least 300 COVID-19-related deaths and thousands of hospitalizations have been reported in chil- dren under 18, which makes COVID-19’s toll as large or larger than any childhood dis- ease for which a vaccine is cur- rently available. The American Academy of Pediatrics wants children to receive the vaccine, assuming tests show it is safe. But healthy people under 18 have generally not suffered ma- jor COVID-19 effects, and the number of serious cases among the young has tumbled as more adults become vaccinated. Un- like other pathogens, such as influenza, children are generally not infecting older, vulnerable adults. Under these circum- stances, said Dr. Cody Meiss- ner — who as chief of pediatric infectious diseases at Tufts con- sulted on Lucien’s case — the benefits of COVID-19 vaccina- tion at this point may not out- weigh the risks for children. “We all want a pediatric vac- cine, but I’m concerned about the safety issue,” Meissner told fellow advisory commission members recently. An Israeli study found a five- to 25-fold increase in the heart ailment among males ages 16-24 who were vaccinated with the Pfizer shot. Most recovered within a few weeks. Two deaths oc- curred in vaccinated men that don’t appear to have been linked to the vaccine. Young people could expe- rience long-term effects from the suspected vaccine side effect such as scarring, irreg- ular heartbeat or even early heart failure, Meissner said, so it makes sense to wait until the gravity of the problem be- comes clearer. “Could the disease come back this fall? Sure. But the likelihood I think is pretty low. And our first mandate is do no harm,” he said. Ross said the biggest pan- demic threats to children that her ICU has witnessed are drug overdoses and mental illness brought on by the shut- down of normal life. “Young children are not the vectors of disease, nor are they driving the spread of the epi- demic,” Ross said. While even- tually everyone should be vac- cinated against COVID-19, use of the vaccines should not be expanded to children without extensive safety data, she said. Moderna and Pfizer this summer began testing their vaccines in younger kids. A Pfizer spokesperson said the company expects to give about 2,250 children ages 6 months to 11 years vaccine as part of its trial; Moderna said it would vaccinate about 3,500 children in the 2-11 age range. Some members of the FDA advisory committee pro- posed that up to 10,000 kids be included in each trial. But Marion Gruber, leader of the FDA’s vaccine regulatory office, pointed out that even trials that large wouldn’t necessarily de- tect a side effect as rare as myo- carditis seems to be. Balancing risk At some point, federal reg- ulators and the public must decide how much risk they are willing to accept from vaccines versus the risk of a COVID-19 virus that continues to spread and mutate around the world, said Dr. Paul Offit, director of the Vaccine Education Center at Children’s Hospital of Phil- adelphia. “We’re going to need a highly vaccinated population for years or perhaps decades,” Offit said at the meeting. “It seems hard to imagine that we won’t have to vaccinate chil- Vaccination rates in Oregon have continued to plummet, with the seven-day average number of doses dropping over 8% from June 19 to June 20. Gov. Kate Brown announced earlier this month that Oregon would end mask and distancing requirements when 70% of adults had at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose. As of Friday, 68.5% of Oregon adults had received at least one dose, leaving just 51,616 people in need of vaccinations to reach the threshold, according to the Oregon Health Authority. Oregon will be unable to meet that goal by Monday, the date Brown had originally targeted for the state to meet the metric. With the number of daily vaccine doses administered rapidly declining, Or- egon may not meet that metric by the time Brown’s COVID-19 emer- gency order expires June 28, either. The state reported 10,006 newly administered doses, which in- cludes 5,675 Saturday and the remainder from previous days. The sev- en-day average number of doses administered is now 12,724 doses per day. To date, the state has reported 4,306,340 vaccine doses ad- ministered, fully vaccinating 2,102,735 people and partially vaccinat- ing 249,690 people. Former FDA chief warns of an autumn virus surge The transmission of the more contagious Delta variant in the United States could spur a fall surge in coronavirus infections if only 75% of the country’s eligible population is vaccinated, former Food and Drug Administration chief Scott Gottlieb said Sunday. While Gottlieb cited one projection forecasting an increase in infec- tions reaching as high as 20% of last winter’s peak, he called that an “aggressive estimate,” saying he doesn’t “think it’ll be quite that dire.” But he said states with low vaccination rates are already showing a concerning rise in cases with the spreading of Delta, which is up to 60% more contagious than earlier variants. “So Connecticut, for example, where I am, shows no upsurge of infection, but Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, Missouri show very substantial upsurges of infections. That’s based entirely on how much population-wide immunity you have based on vaccination,” Gottlieb said on CBS’s Face the Nation program. He urged a renewed vaccination push closer to the fall, as people prepare to return to school and work, when he said they may be more open to the shots. Gottlieb serves on the board of directors of Pfizer Inc. — Bulletin wire reports dren going forward.” While authorities have a duty to speak frankly about the safety of vaccines, there is also a responsibility not to frighten the public in a way that dis- courages them from seeking protection. Focusing too much attention on potential harms from the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines for children could have a tragic result, said Dr. Saad Omer, director of the Yale Institute for Global Health and an expert on vaccine hesitancy. “Very soon we could be in a situation where we really need to vaccinate this population, but it will be too late because you’ve already given the mes- sage that we should not be do- ing it,” he said. Eventually, perhaps next year, K-12 mandates might be called for, said Dr. Sean O’Leary, a professor of pe- diatric infectious diseases at the University of Colorado. “There’s so much misinforma- tion and propaganda spread- ing that people are reticent to go there, to further poke the hornet’s nest,” he said. But once there is robust safety data for children, “when you think about it, there’s no logi- cal or ethical reason why you wouldn’t.”