A10 THE BULLETIN • MONDAY, FEBRUARY 22, 2021
Forecasts and graphics provided by AccuWeather, Inc. ©2021
TODAY
TUESDAY
TONIGHT
HIGH
56°
Cloudy, rain and drizzle in
the afternoon
LOW
28°
41°
24°
Rain and drizzle early, then
a snow shower
Cooler with sunshine and
patchy clouds
ALMANAC
THURSDAY
40°
27°
FRIDAY
45°
29°
Sunshine and patchy
clouds
SATURDAY
43°
29°
A bit of snow and sleet in
the morning
TEMPERATURE
Yesterday Normal
Record
48°
45° 70° in 1995
34°
24°
8° in 1917
PRECIPITATION
24 hours through 5 p.m. yesterday
0.00"
Record
1.94" in 1927
Month to date (normal)
0.29" (0.84")
Year to date (normal)
0.95" (2.37")
Barometric pressure at 4 p.m.
30.46"
SUN, MOON AND PLANETS
Rise/Set
Today
Tue.
Sun
6:54am/5:44pm 6:52am/5:46pm
Moon
12:46pm/4:00am 1:43pm/4:54am
Mercury 5:46am/3:47pm 5:44am/3:43pm
Venus
6:42am/4:59pm 6:41am/5:02pm
Mars
9:55am/12:50am 9:53am/12:49am
Jupiter
6:09am/4:00pm 6:06am/3:58pm
Saturn
5:48am/3:22pm 5:45am/3:19pm
Uranus 9:20am/11:15pm 9:16am/11:11pm
Full
Last
New
First
Feb 27
Mar 5
Mar 13
Mar 21
Tonight's sky: The bright star Arcturus of
Bootes, the Herdsman, emerging above the
ENE after 8:30 p.m.
Source: Jim Todd, OMSI
UV INDEX TODAY
10 a.m.
Noon
2 p.m.
4 p.m.
1
1
1
0
The higher the AccuWeather.com UV Index ™ number,
the greater the need for eye and skin protection. 0-2 Low,
3-5 Moderate; 6-7 High; 8-10 Very High; 11+ Extreme.
ROAD CONDITONS
For web cameras of our passes, go to
www.bendbulletin.com/webcams
I-84 at Cabbage Hill: A shower this morning,
then rain and drizzle.
US 20 at Santiam Pass: Periods of rain today.
A little snow at times tonight.
US 26 at Gov't Camp: Periods of rain today.
US 26 at Ochoco Divide: Mostly cloudy today
with a shower during the afternoon.
ORE 58 at Willamette Pass: Cloudy with a
little snow with little or no accumulation today.
ORE 138 at Diamond Lake: Mostly cloudy
with snow; little or no accumulation today.
SKI REPORT
EAST: Mostly cloudy
across the north with
a passing shower;
times of clouds and
sunshine to the south.
Mostly cloudy
NATIONAL
Hood
River
Yesterday
Today
Tuesday
Yesterday
Today
Tuesday
Yesterday
Today
Tuesday
City
Hi/Lo/Prec. Hi/Lo/W Hi/Lo/W
City
Hi/Lo/Prec. Hi/Lo/W Hi/Lo/W
City
Hi/Lo/Prec. Hi/Lo/W Hi/Lo/W
Astoria
49/45/0.46 50/41/r
46/32/sh
La Grande
37/31/Tr
45/30/r
38/23/sn
Portland
51/45/Tr
53/40/r
48/34/sh
Baker City
37/16/Tr
42/27/c 39/22/sn
La Pine
42/29/0.01 49/21/r
39/19/pc
Prineville
46/32/Trace 59/27/c 39/26/pc
Brookings
53/39/0.00 54/41/pc 53/38/s
Medford
50/36/0.00 57/36/c 53/31/pc
Redmond
50/32/0.00 57/27/r
44/22/pc
Burns
40/17/Tr
48/25/c 40/20/pc
Newport
50/45/0.68 50/41/r
46/36/sh
Roseburg
52/41/0.01 58/38/r
47/33/pc
Eugene
52/44/Tr
54/37/r
49/32/pc
North Bend
52/44/0.09 53/40/r
50/36/pc
Salem
49/42/Tr
53/37/r
48/30/c
Klamath Falls
44/28/0.00 53/23/pc 49/19/pc
Ontario
40/25/Tr
42/29/c 45/25/pc
Sisters
45/33/0.00 54/26/r
40/25/sf
Lakeview
37/13/0.00 45/21/pc 43/19/pc
Pendleton
47/34/Tr
48/35/r
42/28/sn
The Dalles
54/38/Tr
54/39/r
49/30/pc
Weather(W): s-sunny, pc-partly cloudy, c-cloudy, sh-showers, t-thunderstorms, r-rain, sf-snow flurries, sn-snow, i-ice, Tr-trace, Yesterday data as of 5 p.m. yesterday
NATIONAL WEATHER
-10s
-0s
0s
10s
20s
30s
40s
50s
60s
70s
80s
90s
100s
110s
NATIONAL
EXTREMES
YESTERDAY (for the
T-storms
Yesterday
City
Hi/Lo/Prec.
Abilene
67/46/0.00
Akron
33/8/0.00
Albany
30/13/0.00
Albuquerque
47/34/0.00
Anchorage
18/7/0.00
Atlanta
61/33/0.00
Atlantic City
37/24/0.00
Austin
76/33/0.00
Baltimore
40/19/0.00
Billings
42/23/0.00
Birmingham
64/31/0.00
Bismarck
48/8/0.00
Boise
44/26/0.03
Boston
33/19/0.00
Bridgeport, CT 37/19/0.00
Buffalo
31/16/Tr
Burlington, VT
31/18/Tr
Caribou, ME
30/7/0.00
Charleston, SC 53/30/0.00
Charlotte
49/30/0.00
Chattanooga
60/27/0.00
Cheyenne
36/20/0.02
Chicago
37/17/0.05
Cincinnati
41/17/0.00
Cleveland
34/3/0.00
Colorado Springs 38/26/Tr
Columbia, MO
43/31/0.01
Columbia, SC
54/28/0.00
Columbus, GA
65/30/0.00
Columbus, OH
37/6/0.00
Concord, NH
31/2/0.00
Corpus Christi
79/46/0.00
Dallas
74/44/0.00
Dayton
37/11/0.00
Denver
42/20/0.10
Des Moines
32/25/0.24
Detroit
30/1/0.00
Duluth
29/17/0.13
El Paso
67/51/0.00
Fairbanks
-16/-13/Tr
Fargo
35/20/0.00
Flagstaff
45/15/Tr
Grand Rapids
33/3/0.00
Green Bay
33/0/0.02
Greensboro
44/22/0.00
Harrisburg
37/19/0.00
Hartford, CT
35/16/0.00
Helena
42/30/0.01
Honolulu
82/71/0.14
Houston
72/37/0.00
Huntsville
60/28/0.00
Indianapolis
40/19/0.00
Jackson, MS
68/28/0.00
Jacksonville
66/38/0.00
Today
Hi/Lo/W
64/42/s
38/31/sn
34/27/sn
53/29/s
16/7/s
59/38/sh
44/37/r
67/37/s
41/34/sn
46/34/pc
60/34/r
51/28/pc
46/31/pc
39/32/sn
40/32/r
38/31/sn
34/29/sn
27/25/sn
66/42/pc
51/33/r
58/33/r
45/31/s
38/35/c
40/34/c
39/32/sn
51/27/s
49/34/pc
61/38/r
63/37/sh
39/32/c
34/26/sn
72/44/pc
65/39/s
39/33/c
53/29/s
40/32/pc
37/32/sn
38/29/c
63/35/s
-12/-27/pc
42/25/pc
49/20/s
35/32/c
37/33/c
45/31/r
39/33/sn
37/28/sn
48/32/pc
82/71/pc
67/39/s
52/33/r
37/33/c
55/31/s
73/47/r
Amsterdam
Athens
Auckland
Baghdad
Bangkok
Beijing
Beirut
Berlin
Bogota
Budapest
Buenos Aires
Cabo San Lucas
Cairo
Calgary
Cancun
Dublin
Edinburgh
Geneva
Harare
Hong Kong
Istanbul
Jerusalem
Johannesburg
Lima
Lisbon
London
Madrid
Manila
60/49/pc
61/43/s
77/66/pc
62/39/s
94/76/pc
53/25/s
65/56/pc
54/37/s
65/50/sh
54/34/pc
84/67/t
78/59/s
67/50/pc
42/23/pc
83/72/pc
52/45/pc
50/41/pc
56/40/pc
80/62/t
76/64/s
50/37/s
57/49/s
73/62/t
74/66/pc
59/52/pc
54/43/r
52/37/c
87/75/c
Tuesday
Hi/Lo/W
74/47/s
39/31/c
38/31/c
59/33/s
18/17/sn
64/41/s
45/37/pc
73/50/s
50/31/pc
38/20/sf
64/39/s
44/22/c
43/25/pc
43/34/pc
41/33/pc
38/33/sn
39/31/sf
37/26/c
65/40/s
63/34/s
63/35/s
47/15/s
42/35/pc
48/35/s
40/33/c
57/21/s
57/36/s
66/37/s
67/39/s
41/31/s
41/30/pc
74/56/s
72/51/s
42/34/s
55/20/pc
44/30/s
41/32/sf
37/19/sn
72/39/s
3/1/sn
36/20/sn
53/23/s
40/33/sf
41/30/c
60/36/s
45/30/c
42/32/pc
37/18/sf
82/71/sh
71/48/s
61/37/s
45/36/s
65/37/s
68/40/s
City
Juneau
Kansas City
Lansing
Las Vegas
Lexington
Lincoln
Little Rock
Los Angeles
Louisville
Madison, WI
Memphis
Miami
Milwaukee
Minneapolis
Nashville
New Orleans
New York City
Newark, NJ
Norfolk, VA
Oklahoma City
Omaha
Orlando
Palm Springs
Peoria
Philadelphia
Phoenix
Pittsburgh
Portland, ME
Providence
Raleigh
Rapid City
Reno
Richmond
Rochester, NY
Sacramento
St. Louis
Salt Lake City
San Antonio
San Diego
San Francisco
San Jose
Santa Fe
Savannah
Seattle
Sioux Falls
Spokane
Springfi eld, MO
Tampa
Tucson
Tulsa
Washington, DC
Wichita
Yakima
Yuma
Yesterday
Hi/Lo/Prec.
40/37/0.47
42/32/0.01
31/6/0.00
60/45/0.02
42/19/Tr
36/29/0.15
53/16/0.02
73/46/0.00
47/21/0.00
31/17/0.10
55/29/Tr
76/64/0.02
35/17/0.04
28/18/0.07
56/24/0.00
70/41/0.00
37/24/0.00
37/21/0.00
39/30/0.00
55/37/0.00
35/27/0.63
73/50/0.00
73/54/0.00
39/21/0.03
37/22/0.00
70/50/0.00
34/3/0.00
33/18/0.00
35/21/Tr
46/23/0.00
40/19/0.00
51/23/0.00
41/19/0.00
32/6/0.06
64/39/0.00
49/27/Tr
41/30/0.00
73/44/0.00
82/46/0.00
64/45/0.00
64/41/0.00
46/25/0.00
62/32/0.00
51/42/0.01
34/24/0.12
38/29/Tr
42/31/0.02
76/51/0.00
68/44/0.00
55/38/0.00
39/25/0.00
52/35/0.00
49/32/0.00
73/51/0.00
Today
Hi/Lo/W
40/31/c
54/33/s
36/32/c
67/47/s
40/32/r
45/28/pc
54/34/s
79/52/s
43/36/c
38/32/c
52/35/s
81/70/sh
38/35/c
41/30/c
51/36/pc
68/44/pc
39/33/sn
39/32/sn
58/38/r
56/28/s
44/30/pc
82/60/pc
80/54/s
40/33/c
40/33/sn
77/49/s
41/31/sn
35/28/sn
41/32/r
56/34/r
52/30/s
57/32/s
48/34/r
39/31/sn
69/46/s
49/36/pc
48/32/pc
69/39/s
75/51/s
67/49/s
71/47/s
48/24/s
67/43/sh
53/40/r
44/30/pc
44/30/c
51/32/s
78/61/pc
77/45/s
59/32/s
42/35/sn
58/27/s
57/32/r
76/45/s
Tuesday
Hi/Lo/W
37/33/sh
61/34/s
41/32/sf
72/47/pc
49/36/s
48/28/s
61/40/s
76/50/s
53/39/s
42/32/pc
61/43/s
82/69/pc
42/34/s
40/27/pc
60/40/s
66/46/s
43/35/pc
44/33/pc
57/38/pc
63/37/s
47/29/s
74/48/s
85/56/s
46/34/s
44/34/c
79/49/s
40/31/c
43/31/pc
44/34/pc
61/36/s
43/19/pc
57/26/pc
58/33/pc
39/32/sn
73/45/pc
57/40/s
47/28/c
73/52/s
70/51/s
70/48/pc
74/43/pc
54/27/s
68/40/s
47/34/c
45/27/pc
38/23/sf
61/36/s
72/50/s
80/45/s
63/40/s
53/33/pc
63/34/s
48/24/c
80/48/s
84/61/0.00
77/49/0.00
27/7/0.00
19/12/0.36
79/62/0.47
72/70/0.15
81/54/0.00
67/39/0.00
37/34/0.06
30/3/0.00
64/47/0.00
82/74/0.03
61/39/0.00
84/57/0.00
81/66/0.00
30/27/0.00
64/36/0.00
77/52/0.00
88/77/0.00
46/35/0.05
82/69/0.28
76/52/0.00
63/45/0.00
68/50/0.00
28/10/0.00
52/41/0.17
50/36/0.03
50/30/0.00
82/68/pc
75/46/s
32/30/sn
9/-19/sn
76/60/t
80/71/pc
84/57/pc
67/47/s
38/33/c
32/29/sn
59/51/pc
82/73/t
63/42/s
84/55/s
79/64/t
34/23/pc
56/23/s
78/45/c
88/75/c
39/34/pc
80/67/pc
86/63/s
68/56/s
66/51/s
38/30/sn
49/37/pc
52/35/pc
46/32/s
80/68/c
75/49/pc
37/32/sf
-4/-12/s
77/58/t
81/70/pc
87/59/pc
51/34/pc
41/35/c
36/29/sf
62/48/pc
84/74/t
63/43/s
88/57/s
87/64/s
30/18/sn
40/24/c
54/45/c
89/75/c
42/32/r
70/65/r
82/66/s
71/55/pc
58/39/s
39/31/sf
45/32/pc
57/35/pc
47/37/pc
INTERNATIONAL
48 contiguous states)
National high: 85°
at Kingsville, TX
National low: -13°
at Clayton Lake, ME
Precipitation: 0.87"
at Quillayute, WA
In inches as of 5 p.m. yesterday
Ski resort
New snow
Base
Anthony Lakes Mtn
0
0-48
Hoodoo Ski Area
0
0-85
Mt. Ashland
2
63-67
Mt. Bachelor
2
117-129
Mt. Hood Meadows
2
139-172
Mt. Hood Ski Bowl
0
54-73
Timberline Lodge
0
0-150
Willamette Pass
0
0-60
Aspen / Snowmass, CO
8
46-65
Mammoth Mtn. Ski, CA
0
70-115
Squaw Valley, CA
2
0-123
Park City Mountain, UT
2
60-70
Sun Valley, ID
0
88-107
Mostly sunny
TRAVEL WEATHER
Umatilla
58/38
Rufus
Hermiston
52/38
58/38
55/37
Arlington
Hillsboro Portland
Meacham Lostine
55/36
53/37 53/40
42/29
Wasco
44/27 Enterprise
Pendleton
The Dalles
CENTRAL: Cloudy with Tillamook
43/25
53/35
48/35
Sandy
54/39
McMinnville
52/41
a few showers across
Joseph
Heppner
La
Grande
49/39
Maupin
Government
54/39
the north; remaining
45/30
43/24
Camp
54/35 Condon 55/34
Union
Lincoln City
dry to the south with
51/30
40/30
44/30
Salem
51/44
Spray
some sunshine.
Granite
Warm Springs
53/37
Madras
55/29
Albany
42/26
Newport
Baker City
56/30
58/31
Mitchell
50/41
52/37
42/27
WEST: Cloudy with
Camp Sherman
53/27
Redmond
Corvallis
John
Unity
periods of rain across Yachats
51/29
57/27
53/37
Day
Prineville
46/27
the north; clouds and 49/42
Ontario
Sisters
59/27
Paulina
50/27
42/29
some sun with spotty Florence
Eugene 54/26
Bend Brothers 49/24
Vale
showers over the
51/40
54/37
56/28
49/22
Sunriver
43/31
south.
Nyssa
52/25
Hampton
Cottage
La Pine
45/31
Juntura
Oakridge
Grove
49/21
49/22
OREGON EXTREMES Coos Bay
Burns
49/27
52/32
54/38
Fort
Rock
52/39
48/25
Riley
YESTERDAY
Crescent
53/22
49/25
High: 54°
48/20
Bandon
Roseburg
Christmas Valley
Jordan Valley
at The Dalles
Beaver
Frenchglen
Silver
52/42
58/38
53/25
44/27
Low: 13°
Marsh
Lake
50/26
Port Orford
47/17
52/23
at Lakeview
Grants
Burns Junction
Paisley
53/41
Pass
56/35
Chiloquin
53/24
61/36
Rome
Medford
54/26
Gold Beach
57/36
57/36
52/40
Klamath
Fields
Ashland
McDermitt
Lakeview
Falls
Brookings
51/28
57/36
53/23
44/25
54/41
45/21
Seaside
49/41
Cannon Beach
48/42
49°
28°
Partly sunny
Shown is today’s weather. Temperatures are today’s highs and tonight’s lows.
Astoria
50/41
SUNDAY
44°
24°
OREGON WEATHER
Bend Municipal Airport through 5 p.m. yest.
High
Low
WEDNESDAY
Shown are today’s noon positions of weather systems and precipitation. Temperature bands are highs for the day.
Rain
Showers
Snow
Flurries
Ice
Warm Front
Stationary Front
Cold Front
Source: OnTheSnow.com
61/46/0.00
54/46/0.04
76/61/0.00
62/45/0.00
91/72/0.00
77/24/0.00
60/41/0.00
62/40/0.00
64/52/0.03
48/34/0.01
82/69/0.00
77/58/0.00
66/45/0.00
46/30/0.01
79/70/0.02
54/44/0.00
52/46/0.00
57/32/0.00
78/62/0.07
75/64/0.00
48/36/0.00
55/38/0.00
86/65/0.00
77/66/0.00
55/48/0.19
55/50/0.06
55/48/0.38
82/72/0.03
61/51/s
66/47/s
76/64/pc
65/40/s
93/76/c
42/22/pc
68/54/s
61/43/s
66/47/t
52/34/pc
78/66/s
82/61/pc
64/52/t
34/12/sn
82/74/pc
55/49/r
54/50/sh
60/40/s
79/59/t
76/66/s
54/40/s
57/47/sh
76/62/t
74/66/pc
61/49/pc
56/51/pc
56/36/s
86/77/pc
Mecca
Mexico City
Montreal
Moscow
Nairobi
Nassau
New Delhi
Osaka
Oslo
Ottawa
Paris
Rio de Janeiro
Rome
Santiago
Sao Paulo
Sapporo
Seoul
Shanghai
Singapore
Stockholm
Sydney
Taipei City
Tel Aviv
Tokyo
Toronto
Vancouver
Vienna
Warsaw
Find it all online bendbulletin.com
COVID-19 | Number of infections
SHOWCASING
HOMES,
LAND, AND
COMMERCIAL
PROPERTY FOR
SALE IN CENTRAL
OREGON
Could recent brutal surge
get us to herd immunity?
SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA
AND RONG-GONG LIN II
Los Angeles Times
As coronavirus cases plum-
met nationwide and vaccina-
tions total 1.7 million Amer-
icans a day and rising, health
experts are increasingly strik-
ing a new tone in their pan-
demic assessments: optimism.
“I could be wrong, but I don’t
think we’re going to see a big
fourth surge,” said Dr. Paul Of-
fit, a vaccine expert at Children’s
Hospital of Philadelphia. “I
think we’ve seen the worst of it.”
Many epidemiologists and
other scientists, while still cau-
tious, say they feel increasingly
hopeful the rest of 2021 will
not replay the nightmare of
last year.
The arrival of spring will
likely aid the ongoing precipi-
tous drop in coronavirus cases,
as warmer weather allows peo-
ple to spend more time out-
doors and creates a less hos-
pitable environment for the
virus, experts say.
But the biggest factor, para-
doxically, is something the na-
tion spent the last year trying
to prevent.
While 12% of Americans
have received at least one dose
of the COVID-19 vaccine, far
more people — approximately
35% of the nation’s popula-
tion — have already been in-
fected with the coronavirus,
Offit estimated. Studies have
found that people who survive
COVID-19 have immunity for
several months, though it likely
lasts even longer.
University of California, San
Francisco, epidemiologist Dr.
George Rutherford said one of
the reasons cases are dropping
so fast in California “is because
of naturally acquired immu-
nity, mostly in Southern Cali-
fornia.” He estimated that 50%
of Los Angeles County resi-
dents have been infected with
the virus at some point.
“We’re really talking some-
thing starting to sound and
look like herd immunity — al-
though that true herd immu-
nity is a ways off in the future,”
Rutherford said recently.
What is herd immunity?
Herd immunity is reached
when so many people have im-
munity that a virus cannot find
new hosts and stops spreading,
resulting in communitywide
protection. Scientists believe
that in the case of the corona-
virus, the threshold could be as
high as 90%. The United States
has not met this threshold, but
each step toward it slows trans-
mission, experts say.
The effects may be great-
est in places that endured the
worst COVID-19 surges, in-
cluding Los Angeles. After a
horrific autumn and winter
wave that has killed more than
12,000 people, an estimated
33% to 55% of L.A. County
residents have already been in-
fected with the coronavirus, ac-
cording to USC researchers.
Those past infections have
blunted transmission of the
coronavirus so significantly that
they have changed the current
trajectory of the outbreak in the
county, where new daily cases
have been falling for five weeks,
said Dr. Roger Lewis, director
of COVID-19 hospital demand
modeling for the L.A. County
Department of Health Services.
“If you had the exact same
behavior and type of virus cir-
culating that we have right
now, but we were at the begin-
ning of the pandemic and no
one was immune yet … we’d
be in the midst of an ongoing
surge,” he said. “The fact that
cases are going down right
now, as opposed to going up, is
because approximately a third
of everybody in Los Angeles
County is immune to COVID.”
But experts caution that the
battle is not yet won.
New coronavirus variants
could undermine these projec-
tions, either by proving more
resistant to existing vaccines
or by finding a way to spread
more easily. Shifts in behavior
could also render this good
news moot, as it holds only if
people stick to the precautions
they have been taking thus far,
experts say.
“I don’t want to provide a
false sense of assurance here,”
said L.A. County chief science
officer Dr. Paul Simon. “Unless
they’ve had vaccination, they
continue to be susceptible. I
think we need to continue to
be vigilant.”
Nationwide, coronavirus
cases have dropped to levels not
seen since late October, accord-
ing to federal officials. Since
the pandemic began, nearly 30
million Americans have tested
positive for the coronavirus,
but the true number who have
contracted the virus is likely
three or four times higher due
to low levels of testing and the
fact that many people who are
infected never develop symp-
toms, experts say.
The large number of infec-
tions has come at a high cost.
Allowing COVID-19 to run
rampant to quickly achieve
herd immunity, as some had
promoted early in the pan-
demic, would have led to
even more deaths and chronic
health problems, experts say.
It remains unclear exactly
what the threshold for herd
immunity is with this virus,
with some scientists estimating
that it may be achieved when
50% of people are immune,
while others believe the thresh-
old is closer to 90%, Simon
said. The uneven geographical
distribution of infections may
also leave some pockets of the
county more vulnerable than
others, he said.
“We don’t know quite yet
what level of vaccination and
protection would be required to
get herd immunity across (L.A.)
county,” Simon said Friday.
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