TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 7, 2021 Baker City, Oregon A4 Write a letter news@bakercityherald.com EDITORIAL New tax kicker might get the boot In almost the same breath that state of- fi cials announced that an average Oregon taxpayer may get an $850 kicker tax rebate, they were hinting at changing the kicker. Oregonians are in for a record kicker rebate because nobody could very well predict the pandemic’s economic impact. The kicker law requires very good guesses about revenues by state government or it kicks. The kicker kicks “if actual state rev- enues exceed forecasted revenues by 2% or more over the two-year budget cycle. The excess, including the 2% trigger amount, is returned to taxpayers through a credit on their following year’s tax return.” Oregon is the only state with this kind of law. It is one way, not the most artful way, of keeping a lid on government spend- ing. And voters approved it. It gets criticized because people who are wealthier tend to benefi t more. You get money kicked back to you based on the taxes you paid. Lower-income people may need a big kicker rebate more, but they get less. That is an interesting argument because Oregon’s income tax system is progressive. So people who earn more pay more in taxes. So if Oregon were to change the kicker so lower-income people would benefi t more, that would be a doubly progressive tax system? That may make sense to some. There also have been proposals to chan- nel kicker money instead to important matters Oregonians need, such as provid- ing more child care or helping to create more affordable housing. Those are great causes. But we’d rather see the money go directly into people’s hands and let them decide how it is spent, instead of having the government decide for them. Treasure your kicker, if you are fortu- nate enough to get one for the 2021 tax year. It may be the last of its kind. Unsigned editorials are the opinion of the Baker City Herald. Columns, letters and cartoons on this page express the opinions of the authors and not nec- essarily that of the Baker City Herald. Is the Supreme Court ready to overturn Roe? We don’t know By NOAH FELDMAN A day after the Constitution-fl outing Texas anti-abortion law went into effect, a divided Supreme Court ruled on Wednes- day that it won’t block the law before it can grapple with a concrete case that tests it in practice. The fi ve most conservative justices agreed to an unsigned, one-and-a-half-page opinion that said the law might or might not be unconstitutional, but that given its unusual form, which delegates enforcement to private citizens instead of state authori- ties, it was too legally complicated to issue an emergency injunction blocking the law. In four separate dissents, the three liberals plus Chief Justice John Roberts said the law should have been blocked anyway. Every nonlawyer on the planet — and no doubt a few lawyers, too — is likely to read this outcome as prefi guring a 5-to-4 vote to overturn Roe v. Wade, the 1973 prec- edent that made abortion a constitutional right. Later this year, the court will ad- dress a Mississippi anti-abortion law that lacks the cleverly diabolical enforcement mechanism of the Texas law but is equally unconstitutional. Indeed, the day after the law went into effect and before the Su- preme Court ruled, many non-lawyers who were so unfamiliar with court procedures that they didn’t know it would eventually issue a ruling on the Texas law had already concluded that they knew how the upcom- ing Mississippi case would come out. That’s a possible interpretation of the latest opinion, to be sure. But the opinion for the fi ve conservatives explicitly denied it. “We stress,” said the justices, “that we do not purport to resolve defi nitively any jurisdictional or substantive claim in the applicants’ lawsuit.” That’s lawyer-speak for saying both that the law could still be unconstitutional and that there might still be some procedural way to block its operation. For good measure, the opinion said the challengers “have raised serious questions regarding the constitutionality of the Texas law.” These formulations indicate that at least some of the fi ve conservatives who joined it wanted to take pains not to send the mes- sage that Roe v. Wade is sure to be over- turned. What is less clear is whether anyone on the political battlefi eld wants to hear that message. The pro-choice camp will doubt- less spend the months until the court term ends in June whipping up public sentiment, either in the hopes of changing the outcome or turning any decision overturning Roe into the impetus for packing the court or produc- ing a heavy Democratic turnout in the 2022 midterm elections. The pro-life camp has an equal interest in making the overturning of Roe seem inevitable. Consequently, neither side cares much for dispassionate analysis. But the fact remains that the majority in the Texas ruling did not address the underlying issues, so it would be premature to predict the outcome in the Mississippi case based on it. Taken strictly on its own terms, the opinion made a point that is incorrect in my view, but that is legally plausible. That is that there’s no clear precedent for courts to block in advance the operation of a law that creates a civil penalty — not a crimi- nal violation — to be applied by the courts after private lawsuits by private parties. Ordinarily, when a criminal law is obviously unconstitutional, the courts issue an order to the state attorney general not to enforce it. Such an order would not have any effect in this case, since the Texas attorney general isn’t empowered to enforce the law. The better view is that the court should have been creative and found a way to block the law anyway. In his brief dissent, joined by Justices Stephen Breyer and Elena Kagan, Roberts said that he would have issued a preliminary injunction “to preserve the status quo ante” — without the law in force — and then allow the lower courts to address with more leisure the question of whether there is a legal way for the courts to block the operation of law like the Texas one. Roberts’s dissent was written so that one of the conservative justices might have been tempted to join it. Obviously, it did not work. The other dissents each chose a slightly different emphasis. Breyer focused on the principle that under the 1803 Marbury v. Madison landmark ruling that established the court’s power to rule on a law’s constitu- tionality, there is supposed to be a remedy to defend every right — a point with which I wholeheartedly agree, having made it myself in a column on the topic in May. The idea is that it shouldn’t matter who is enforcing the law; if the underlying law is unconstitutional and injures basic rights, the courts must have the power to block its operation. Kagan said that the court was rewarding Texas for its scheme, and she criticized the way the court’s so-called “shadow docket” — cases responding to requests for emer- gency action — was becoming increasingly important despite the opinions being issued quickly and without oral argument or time for consideration. Justice Sonia Sotomayor, the only liberal who didn’t join Roberts’s opinion, went fur- ther. She denounced the law as a “breathtak- ing act of defi ance” by Texas and made sure to be clear that the law itself is unconstitu- tional, which it surely is under the court’s abortion precedents. Presumably she chose not to join the Roberts opinion because she did not like the implicit suggestion that the court should spend some time actually con- sidering the question of constitutionality. The upshot is that we know the three liberals plus Roberts will eventually vote to strike down the Texas law. But we still don’t know how all the conservative justices will vote in the Mississippi case. And we won’t know before the end of June 2022, when the decision will probably come down. Noah Feldman is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist and host of the podcast “Deep Background.” He is a professor of law at Harvard University and was a clerk to U.S. Supreme Court Justice David Souter. OTHER VIEWS Biden spins alternate reality on Afghanistan Editorial from The Detroit News: President Joe Biden continues to live in an alternate universe in re- gard to the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan. As someone put it on Twitter, his message is: “The mission was a complete success” and “it’s all my predecessor’s fault.” An angrier, more defensive Biden spoke publicly Tuesday to mark an end to the evacuation mis- sion — and to the 20-year war in Afghanistan. As he noted, the airlift was a tremendous feat, given the chaos surrounding the exit — a condition for which Biden bears much of the blame. But boasting about the success of the mission was unseemly given at least 250 American citizens were left behind to face an uncertain fate. Many more thousands of Afghans who assisted our mission were also abandoned, and are now being tracked down and killed by the country’s new Taliban rulers. Biden Tuesday continued to con- fl ate the decision to leave Afghani- stan, which was widely supported, with how he carried out the leaving. Certainly, American support for the U.S. presence in Afghanistan had waned, though many experts say a small force was necessary to serve intelligence and counter- terrorism purposes. The issue Biden is skirting is the bungling of the withdrawal. He claimed Tuesday there was unani- mous support for the plan among his military and security advisers, even though reports of vigorous dissent continue to emerge from the Pentagon and intelligence com- munity. Biden spoke of those Americans remaining in Afghanistan as if they were volunteers, saying he would get them out “if they choose” to leave. Most wanted out, but couldn’t get to evacuation zones and are now in hiding. The president’s faith in the Taliban to help collect them and get them safely back home is pollyannish. Nothing in Biden’s remarks should assure the families of those Americans left behind that their loved ones will be safely returned. After all, Biden promised not to end the withdrawal until every- one of them was out, a vow he didn’t keep. While saying he accepts full responsibility, Biden disingenuously claimed his options were limited by the withdrawal deal made by former President Donald Trump. While the decision to leave was made by Trump, the execution belonged to Biden. It was Biden’s decision, not Trump’s, to ask just 6,000 U.S. troops to carry out the evacuation while facing tens of thousands of hostile Taliban fi ghters. It was also his call to close the Bagram Air Base, which could have served as a second evacu- ation site, before the airlift began. Biden said America’s vital inter- est in Afghanistan is to assure it “can never again be used for an attack on our homeland.” How does he propose to guaran- tee that, with the Taliban in control and now armed with the weapons we left behind, and without Ameri- can eyes and ears in the country? The departure from Afghanistan was a total failure, whether or not Biden accepts that reality, and sets up the Taliban for future attacks on American interests. Accountability is demanded. Con- gress must investigate to determine exactly what went wrong, and who is responsible for the decisions. Biden had help in making this mess. Top lieutenants such as Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin should be required to explain their roles as well. This national humiliation should not be allowed to give way to the next crisis dominating the news cycle until it is fully answered for.