THE POLK COUNTY OBSERVER, FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 26, 1915. Published Each Tuesday and Friday. Office 517-519 Court Street Telephone ....Main 1$ BY LEW A. CATES. Subscription Rates, One Tear J 1.60 BIx Months........ .75 Three Months ". 40 No subscription taken unless paid (or In advance. This is Imperative. Entered, as second-class matter In the Postofflce at Dallas, Oregon. DISCOURAGING. Those who hope for an early ending of the European war will find a note of discouragement in a prediction just made by Hudson Maxim, the famous inventor and munitions expert who is also a close strident of present war conditions, and who is perhaps as well informed regarding the latter as is any person in this country, Mr, Max im declares that in his opinion the present war will last from three to seven years longer, and will end in a draw. Even so, however, he believes that neither side will come out of the war exhausted, either economically or in men. They may be poorer fi nancially, he says, but will rapidly recuperate and soon commence to pre pare for the next great struggle. In other words, he thinks the present war will settle nothing, at least per manently, and that the inevitable re sult will simply be a period of renew ed preparations and then another test of strength between the nations whose interests must always and unavoid ably clash and conflict with each oth er. Or course this is contrary to the be lief and predictions of some, who have professed to see in the present war a lesson to humanity that might lead to general agreement to provisions in: tended to prevent international wars in the future. And yet, after all, there is little on which to pin this hope, and much to support the theory and prediction of Mr. Maxim. From time immemorial men have fought with each other singly, in groups, by tribes and in vast organized armies- and never yet have they learned the lesBon that it is best to live in peace and harmony. Even the progress of civilization has failed to eliminate warfare, and the present war is itself conspicuous proof of this. Why, then is there any good reason for believ ing that this will be the last great warf Is it not just as reasonaoie even more so. in fact to believe that historv will aeain repeat? An for the predicted duration of the present war, it seems unlikely, of course, that the gruelling, grinding trmra-le can continue for another three years, much less for seven years. the extreme limit fixed by Mr. Max im. Yet it is possible that he nearer right than are other authorities who insist "another year will tell the story," although intelligent people throughout the world will hope to sec th latter prediction come true. But eertainly if this war "settles noth ing" and is to be followed by others it is HD to tins nation to be prepared while failure in this respect would be ' a grievous mistake. many things to support the confident predictions of greater and more abun dant prosperity to come. It must be remembered, for instance, that some of the great commercial interests of the country especially the railroads have been keeping expenditures down so closely during the lean years that they must soon enter the market for long-deferred supplies, and some of them are already doing so. Also it has been history that when the rail roads are prosperous and buying, the whole populace is likely also to enjoy good times. Every indication, in fact, now points to a progressive increase in prosperi ty in the United States, and there is no reason to believe it will not last at least as long as the traditional sev en years. CYCLE OF PROSPERITY, It is an old axiom 'that hard times and eood times move in periodic cy cles of similar length and duration and experience has shown there some basis for this claim. Away back in bible times there is a record of uvra lean vears followed by seven fat ones, and some authorities are try ine to apply this old rule to condi tions in the United States at the present time. It is pointed out :hat following he panic of 1007, hard times have continued for the specified per iod in biblical history, that is to say, up to and including 1914. The pres ent rear has witnessed a decide.) change for the better, however, with many evidences of returning prosperi ty, and this is accepted by some as evidence that seven "fat" years :or this nation now are due and aciaully have commenced. This theory may be a fanciful one and without any real basis, yet every one will hope it may work out ii actual fulfillment. Certainly the nu merous signs of returning prosperity re not to be mistaken, and the shrewdest observers are unanimous in agreeing that this prosperity is real and is destined to continue and grow for a considerable period. There are some who maintain thai the end of the European war may bring a world wide reaction in business, and that this nation will suffer along with the rest. On the other hand, it is stated by good authorities that enough bus iness baa already been booked in 'he United States to carry good times through 1916, at least, and without re gard to what happens in other parts of the world. In any event, there tan be no ques tion that just at present this nation is the most prosperous and blessed of any in the entire world, and cer tainly there is nothing as yet to in dicate a check to America's good for tune. On the other hand, there sr. THE PROPOSED MERGER. The agitation among their member ship to effect a consolidation of the La Creole and Commercial clubs of Dallas is having the effect of bringing out considerable opposition to the merger, and especially so from mem bers of the former organization, the opinion being expressed among these that the aims and objects or trie clubs are so distinctly different the absorp tion of either might have a tendency to result in the obliteration of the very things which they are calculated to promote. The La Creole club is purely a social organization, whiie the Commercial club is intended to promote the material interests of the community as a business organization. The argument is also advanced that there are many members of the La Creole club who are from the younger set, and whose sole purpose in beim; identified with it is to receive the amusement privileges which accrue t them through the payment of monthly dues, and who, having no financial in terests in the community, give little heed to its advancement. While the arguments may or may not be well founded, it is nevertheless true that opposition to the proposed plan, which was first suggested by the social club, is meeting with so much opposition that its successful consummation is scarcely probable. With a well formulated working plan, however, the merger should prove advantageous to all concerned, and especially so since the member ship of one is to a considerable ex tent the membership of the other. But it is feared by those who refuse .to entertain the proposition that the La Creole club might lose its identity, and become absorbed absoiutelv by the commercial organization, and this would be without their liking. The committees appointed to investigate the mode of procedure through which the clubs at Salem were recently merged are now. acting inquisitorial ly, and until such time as they sub mit their report it would be well to withhold judgment. If the consolida tion can be effected without one or ganization seriously conflicting with the aims and objects of the other, then why not merge? INCONSISTENT. "Every day scores of babies who have every right and reason to live normal, healthy babies who ought to live die through the ignorance or neglect of their parents, and no pub lic protest is made. Yet because a baby that had no excuse for living is mercifully allowed to die by the hos pital authorities because a child born defective and deformed is not saved for a life of misery to itself and its' parents the country cries out and public opinion divides as to whether the act was one of humanity or bar barity. ' ' Exchange. There is much more than the pro verbial grain of truth in the above observation, which in fact, reveals on ly one of numerous human inconsis tencies that dety both explanation and understanding. In fact, the world is full of curious examples of glaring variation between the professions and avowed beliefs of mankind and the actual conduct of the latter. This is so in private affairs, in social rela tions, and with respect to the attitude and dealings of organized govern ments. e prate of peace, truth, du ty, justice, righteousness and human brotherhood, and then deliberately turn about and at times ignore or flagrantly violate these very worthy basic principles. Inconsistency, in fact, is as much a rule of human conduct as is faithful adherence to a line of conduct in keeping with our solemn professions and expressed convictions, although the latter, fortunately, is always in the ascendency. In other words, while human frailty results in many slips of plain inconsistency, truth. justice, righteousness and a sense of duty still are the predominant influ ences which direct and control hu man motives and human actions, mak ing the net result both beneficial and creditable. 1 And this is just as true in the cited example of inconsistency as it is with all other experiences in life. The note of protest and criticism over the death of this one infant, when hun dreds of other deaths, due to neglect and worse, are permitted to pass al most unnoticed, proves nothing more than the human wind is controlled by motives of sympathy, right and jus- CAN BE" PLeASL(?e CTOlF IS OUTDOOR DC7M (NOB tice, and is ever ready to respond when its attention is called to a con crete case. And in all such cases, both small and large, the final human judgment will be as near right as hui man intelligence can perceive the right. For while inconsistencies creep in, humanity still pins its faith to right principles, and always comes back to them with a sincere desire to make human conduct, individually and collectively harmonize with those principles. Newspapers which are seeking to make the first anniversary of the new banking system point a moral or adorn a tale are simply wasting time. The first year proves absolutely noth ing. Banking and all other business has been carried on under abnormal conditions. Until the field clears and it is possible to assign to all the fac tors of the now situation conclusions regarding the new law are worth con sidering. What now? Woodrow wants to raise the tariff on wool and tax the small wage earners ' income. No won der Mrs. Gait wants him to hurry up that marriage. She's going to have but precious little time in the White house the way things look now. Quick and easy communication be tween towns, cities, townships, coun ties and states is one of the great needs of modern times, but to have this, inter-county, interstate and na tional roads must be constructed, re paired and maintained. President Underwood of the Erie has just been elected a director of the Southern Pacific, which sounds well for that road, for he does not asso ciate himself with decadent enter prises. According to one military authority, six babies are born in Germany to ev ery soldier killed in war. And you have to admit it is pretty hard to beat a "system" of that kind! As Christmas approaches there is an increasing politeness among rela tives and friends, as usual. Well, if we just must have that in ter-county bridge, here goes. OTHER THINGS A Rare and Curious Collection of Fact and Fancy. - of it against the structure, mounted it and while others gazed in honor wpon the scene lest two lives instead of one should be blotted from the di rectory he descended with steady tread and placed his burden safelv at the feet of the applauding spectators. Again and again did he go to and fro. delivering helpless women and chil dren from the leaping flames, until the last one was saved, when ho fell in a limp and semi-lifeless heap. Ho had performed a grand and noble deed, the intent and purpose of which was not to merit the applaudits and commendation of his fellow man but a deed of valor for humanity's sake. But with its completion had come physical exhaustion and he scarcely retained sufficient straigt'i to pick his weakened self from t ic floor of his apartments, where he had dream ed of his heroic act, and to crawl back between the sheets. Speaking of Roads. J. Waldo Finn, the debonair road master, says: "You're a darn rascal if you do, and a darn fool if you don 't. I d rather be a darn rascal than a darn fool any day." "The man who allows his life to justify itself, and lets his work speak, and when reviled reviles not again, must be a very great and lofty soul." Hubbard. Jim French had the assuring gall to tell us that he had been kissed once by a girl other than one of the family. Lives there a girl with taste so dead? Preposterous. We cant believe Jim's story, because, in the first place he u never remove his own horn from his lips long enough to be kissed. The Has and the Are. I'd rather be a Could Be, If I could not be an Are! For a Could Be is a May Be, With a chance of touching par. I'd rather be a Haa Been, Than a Might Have Been, by far. For a Might Have Been has never been, But a Has was once an Are. Selected. Doc. Cherrington was comfortably enscoased in the protecting arms of old Morpheus, laboring under the hal lucination that he was again back in Ohio amid Yuletide festivities, .mil that the tintinnambulation of the merry sleighbells was beckoning him to join a happy and carefree throng in celebrating the joyous season, when tlie alarm of fire was sounded Fri day night. Only half appreciating the meaning of the screeching whis tles, he hurriedly rushed forth to save life and property from the destroying element. Reaching the conflagration his first thought was to save those in peril from the burning building. His eagle eye discerned through the dene smoke the form of a fair young girl as she was clinging desperately to a window sill far above the ground. With the alertness of younger days, he grasped a ladder and with, one mighty swing Isnded the business end Bill White says: "Never has it failed to materialize, when I had mighty hopes and high aspirations in a matrimonial way, that some one would nelieve me of the girl and with out prospicience. That's why I'm so happy today." There Dallas Boys Are Whizzers. Considerable family uneasiness as well as local gossip, is the outcome of a fervid love affair between a young man of Dallas and an Inde pendence lass, both being only fifteen years of age. The young people sim ply declare they cannot live without each other and openly defy their par- ems. .Enterprise. We've been sick in bed and penni less since Saturday and won't be able to fill the column this week. We're eating through the good hear redness of Dr. blasts and some or the other O. A. C. supporters who saved a bone or two from the wreck. Next week's check may put us on our feet again after dreaming of 9 to 0 for seven days. AVe didn't get to lausrh at Boots Kersey, the tanker, and Walt. Vassall, the banker. And we can't seem to find an alibi. SALES DAY SPECIAL ! a ' ' Bring this ad in and we will accept same as $1.G0 in cash to apply on any pair of Shoes in the store, Nettletons, Bea cons, Florsheims and Berg- manns PRICE BROS. THE MOST COMPLETE STOCK OF MEN'S AND BOYS' GOODS IN VALLEY -THE- Dallas Grocery Co. Successor to Simonton & Scott. It Asks a Continuation of the Old Firm's Business. We are out after new bus iness. Give us a trial. We give H&C Green Trad ing Stamps. Our Prices Are Right 'tyi A consignment of very pretty pur ple and gold pennants asv gifts for standard schools during the present year, haw been received at Superin tendent Seymour's office. There are about thirty pennants in the lot and that would indicate that the office has high hopes for the county schools. COLDS AND GRIPPE AND INFLAMED CONDITIONS OF THROAT AND LUNGS ARE MOST EFFECTIVELY TREAT ED WITH A. D. S. WHITE PDXE SYRUP AND A. D. S. COLD AND GRIPPE TABLETS TOR SALE BY THE FULLER PHARMACY MAIN STREET, CORNER MILL to 'HEN in need of Athletic Sup plies, Flash lights and Batteries, Pock et Cutlery, Bicycles, Mo torcycles, Sundries, Blast ing Powder, Gun Repair ing, Umbrella Repairing, Bicycle and Motorcycle Re dairing, or in fact any light Mechanical Repairing, call on L. B. HIXSON, Jr. PHONE 1072. 315 MAIN ST. I LUMBER V, I rX. OFFICE BUnER WRAPPERS GET THEM AT 1 OBSERVER When We Hand You Our Estimates of ths coat of the lumber you requlrt yon can depend upon It that ths fig ures win bs as low as first-claaa, well seasoned lumber can be told for hon estly. If yon pay nor. yoa pay to. rack. If m pay lest jon get lew either U suality or quantity. Willamette Valley Lumber Co.