V BUSINESS TRENDS STUDIED Observers Believe Wall Street Betting on U.5. Inflation Ahead By SAM DAWSON New York, Dec. 20 tf) Manv nh.n v.iS Street, Washington and PiUsburgh-and apparently Ma n stee too are betting on inflation ahead Brokers report that the public is coming into the stock market and that there is . noticeable shittfrom bond, ad P Lds to the buyjng of common stock both trends usually considered Indicators of inflation-minded ness around the country. Washington is drafting next year's budget in a financial atmosphere ruled by deficit fin- nacing, which means the pump ing of new money into the busi ness stream. Washington also notes that installment credit Is rising and that the authority to apply curbs has lapsed. And low interest rates and easy money are still prime policy at the treasury, in spite of federal reserve criticism. All these are listed as inflationary. Pittsburgh sees steel prices go ing up, and figures that the Ueel companies wouldn't have taken that step unless they were bet ting on sustained steel demand In the months ahead, and on gen eral business speed-up such as accompanies the first phase of a new inflationary spiral. Steel being an essential raw material for about 40 per cent ot American industry, a price rise there can only mean higher production costs all along the line. Even it competition forces some absorption of the hike by steel processors, there seems to be some price rise to the con suming public for a multitude of goods in daily use. And in oth er cases ,such as autos, where price declines had been antici pated in the months just ahead, the increase of $8 to $10 in the teel used in making a car, may halt the planned price cuts for cars. Already the appliance makers are talking of raising their pric es to meet the increased steel oharges. More important, possibly, are the indications that labor will use the steel price hike as the springboard for asking pay hikes, the United Auto Workers (CIO) union says it will ask General Motors for a wage in crease and for better pension and health insurance plans than it got from Ford. Steel workers seem sure to use the steel price hike as an excuse for starting the fifth round of wage-price boosts next year. Until inflation gets well un derway, if it does, the cost of living will show little of its ef fects. That is because much of it is based on farm prices, and commodities continue to slide slowly if jerkily down. Rents, however, seem likely to rise. The textile market shows some strength again, so that clothing prices may not decline as much as some once hoped. Retail prices will still be bol stered in one way or another by Washington. Farm subsidies keep food prices from dropping much. Continued high taxes, the eoming hike in the minimum wage, and the talk of Imposing new general five per cent ex cise tax on maufacturer's sales 11 would be added in time to the over-the-counter price you would pay for goods. The deflationary side of the picture? Well, today there are predictions that the jobless to tal next year may rise to five million. Farm Income Is expect ed to continue to fall. National income as a whole may be lower next year than this. Exports eem certain to slump further. And the construction industry looks for more public building but less industrial and commer cial building. Open Highway Bids, Portland Portland, Ore.. Dec. 20 (U.R) The state highway commission auciosea today that cost of the right-of-way for Portland's new Sullivan Gulch highway has been going up beyond original estimates. When the super highway Dro- ject was first proposed in May, 1948, cost of the right-of-way was estimated at $3,200,000, but today it was learned that the cost will approximate $4,810,-000. Sullivan Gulch, a freeway project, is to connect with the Columbia River highway east of Portland. In another action, the com mission reported that three miles of right-of-way on the Coast highway north of Brook ings has been donated by the Pacific Coast Borax company. Proposals on 11 highway pro jects were opened by the com mission. Among the low bid ders: Linn county Mountain States Power company canal bridge west of Lebanon on the Santiam highway; replace ex isting trestle. Snook Bros., Cor vallis, $16,808. Bagley Named Bank Manager Amity The appointment of C. W. Bagley as manager of the Amity branch United States Na tional Bank is announced here by E. C. Sammons of Portland. Bagley's appointment will be come effective January 1. The new manager succeeds H. W. Torbet, who has served as manager of the Amity branch since it was opened, following the purchase of the Bank of Am ity by the U. S. National in De cember 1948. Torbet, who joined the staff of the Bank of Amity in 1927, was president at the time of the consolidation. He will now en ter the insurance field in Yam hill county, with a new office nearing completion on Fifth street, just west of the bank building which will be ready by January 1. Frank L. Chambers will continue as assistant man ager. Bagley is a son of Mr. and Mrs. George Bagley, Amity. He plans to move his family to Amity as soon as possible. Capital Journal, Salem, Orejfon, Tuesday, Dec. 20, 1949 17 r 2 2? w I I w w I I I If I If w $$ MONEY $$ FHA W iVifc Real Estate Loans Farm or City Personal and Auto Loans State Finance Co. 153 S. High St. Ur. S-216 - 222 1 Sf I i if (Upper Suggestions FOR THE MAN IN QUESTION OPERA SLIPPERS . . . juit right for HIS easy comfort! Herd long-wearing hard leather - loltf. 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