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About Capital journal. (Salem, Or.) 1919-1980 | View Entire Issue (Nov. 5, 1948)
EXCEPT FOR TRUMAN Surprise Election Finish Still Has Them All Baffled By JOSEPH L. MYLER (United frm Staff CorTMPondtnti As he lugged the latt empty champagne bottle out of Demo cratic headquarter! in New York'i Biltmore Hotel, the Janitor said for the 17th time, "My Gosh, Truman Won." Other people ( said It in oiner words. Gov. Thomas E . Dewey said he was "just as sur prised as any body else." Mar-1 garet iruman said she and her mother were "simply overwhelmed." The profes sional poll takers talked at more length. But what they said boil ed down to "we were wrong." Not even the professional de mocrats had got it just right. Na tional Chairman J. Howard Mc Grath had indicated he doubted Mr. Truman could win unless 55,000,000 to 60.000,000 votes were cast. The actual total was nearer 47,000,000 and the presi dent won anyway. i i Joit.li L. Mrlcr Only Mr. Truman had been right all the way. He had said over and over again that he would win. But Mr. Truman Wasn't giv ing away any secrets about his forecasting methods. He Just said he was "happy, very happy" that he'd been right. He didn't seem a bit surprised. A lot of people were trying hard to explain two things: (1) Why the president won, and (2) why none of the dope sters thought he would. Professional pollsters George H. Gallup and Elmo Roper made long statements. Gallup had said Dewey would win with 49.5 per cent of the popular vote, Mr. Truman geeting 44.5. Roper's forecast was 52.2 per cent for Dewey and 37.1 for the president. What happened wes that Mr. Truman got about 48.9 per cent and Dewey 45.8. Dr. Gallup's explanation was: "It was the kind of close elec tion that happens once in a gen eration and Is a nightmare to poll-takers." Roper nominated Mr. Truman for dean of forecasters. The president, he said, turned out "to be a far better predicter than the professional pollsters, poli ticians and pundits." As for Ro per: "I could not have been more wrong. The thing that bothers me most is that at this moment I don't know why 1 was wrong. But I certainly propose to find out." Roper and some others thought perhaps organized labor, fight ing against the Taft-Hartley act which Mr. Truman would re peal, had "turned the tables." But few union leaders or members had exhibited any real pre-election confidence in vic tory. Take Lee Tindle, for ex ample. Tindle is the engineer Dewey called a "lunatic" be cause he backed the republican campaign train into a crowd at Beaucoup, 111. "I was surprised," Tindle said Bfter his man won. "I voted for Harry Truman, but I had given up hope." At that, there may be a clue In what Tindle said. Automat ically he said "Harry Truman," The president had gone out among the people all over the country. He had chatted with them about matters "important to you and me." Harry Truman didn't put on the dog. Practically everybody was having his shot at experting the Truman victory after the fact. Socialist candidate Norman Tho mas said: "The people resented Mr. Dewey and his evasion of the is sues . . . they repudiated the record of the 80th congress . . . they showed a desire for liberal legislation." Former Secretary of Interior Harold L. Ickes said the election proved "the people can really understand an issue and decide it on its merits." James Hagerty, Dewey's press secretary, said "we just got caught In a buzzsaw." GOP Vice Presidential Candidate Earl Warren said Mr. Truman won because "he got too many votes." In anv case, the whnlo wnrlH was excited bv the nrpsiHpnt'? unexpected victory. Especially interested were the United Na tions delegates meeting at Paris. One of them. Australia's Her bert V. Evatt, exclaimed: "What magnificent fighter." But in IndeDenrienrp. Tn. th? man thp shnutinp was ahnnt tnnk his victory modestly. Said Harry S. Truman, "I just want to de serve this honor." 5 Men Suffocate In Coal Mine Shaft Kitzmiller, Md., Nov. 5 W A shed housing a ventilation fan of a coal mine caught fire yes terday, the fan blew the smoke into the mine shaft, and five men suffocated. A sixth man, George Nethken. escaped and gave the alarm. But rescue squads were unable to revive the five men, who had been caught in a "pocket of smoke, less than 150 feet from the entrance to the horizontal shaft, authorities reported. Andorra, one of the two smallest republics In the world, consists of six parishes in the diocese of the Spanish bishop of Urgel, in the valley of the east ern Pyrenees between France and Spain. DEAF? Come to Our Office And See This NEW Hearing Development NOTHING TO WEAR NO RECEIVER IN EAR NO BULKY BATTERIES NO CORDS ACOUSTICON Electronic Hearette An Entirely New Kind of HEARING AID C COMPLETE. $69sn Year Guoronree Now ACOUSTICON brings you the perfect answer to your prob lem. 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Commercial Prion t1r SALEM, ORB. ... .. ,; f t . .".i.., 4 r .fT i . , I 'Capital Journal, Salem, Ore., Friday, November 5, 1918 lTy or jweei nume Jianub On Area of Petrified Trees The Philippines contain more which only 4fi6 cover 'than 7.000 islands and islets, of mile or more. Sweet Home is one of the most unique areas of its kind in the world in that it is located over one of the largest and best known petrified forests in the world, according to noted mineralogists who have visited there. Specimens taken from that locality have attracted attention from many scientists and collectors. That the Sweet Home forests- may provide the "missing link"book ne ,aid and ,,m much of between the very ancient 'ossil: ,d remain umo,d forests and the better known J .... .. Miocene forests of Oregon and! Farmers of that rt-gion have Washington is the belief of Min-lplowed up many specimens of eral Notes and News published petrified wood and on the old by the California Federation of : Joshua Paddock homestead long Mineralogical societies. jslrips of petrified wood rescm- "It is one of the unique areas Idling the grain of a fii tree were louna. ine nicnara nutiuiie place has yielded petrified logs and stumps which resemble oak wood. 11 Die In Plane Crash The bodies, of 11 army air force men were recovered from the wreckage of a twin-engine C-47 plane after it exploded and crashed in three pieces during a driving rainstorm near Muldrow, Okla. The men were on a routine cross-country flight from Sheppard Field, Wichita Falls, Tex. The wreckage was strewn over an area estimated at two miles. This is the engine and wing section where one body was recovered. (AP Wirephoto) of its kind in the world since growing directly over the an cient forest is a forest of living trees of mixed hardwoods and conifers," says the magazine, which computes the age of the ancient forest to be some 50 millions of years old while the present live one is not more than 200 years old. Dr. H. C. Dake, editor of the Mineralogist of Portland, told Mrs. Helen O'Mallcy, secretary of the Sweet Home Rock and Mineral society, that he was among the first to visit that area as a collector and that he had found materials never seen pre viously. His finds would fill a When scientists first visited that district nearly 40 years ago truckloads of petrified wood could be found in various sec tions but most of it has now disappeared. Interest in the ancient forest have been revived by the 78 members of the Sweet Home Rock and Mineral society. 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