A6 OREGON East Oregonian Tuesday, February 8, 2022 Growth boosts status of public pensions By PETER WONG Oregon Capital Bureau Ben Lonergan/East Oregonian, File Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Oregon, left, listens to Debbie Radie, vice president of Boardman Foods, center, during a tour Aug. 31, 2021, of the Neal Early Learning Center in Boardman. A bill in the Oregon House to change how the state fi lls vacancies of its U.S. senators recently set off a wave of speculation that Wyden could opt out of his 2022 reelection bid or not serve his full six-year term if elected. Mystery bill fuels speculation on Wyden’s future By GARY A. WARNER Oregon Capital Bureau SALEM — A mystery proposal to change how Oregon fi lls vacancies of its U.S. senators set off a wave of speculation that Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Oregon, could opt out of his 2022 reelection bid or not serve his full six-year term if elected. The questions about Wyden, 72, and the proposal intensifi ed Feb. 1, when the proposal was on the agenda of the House Rules Commit- tee in its fi rst meeting after the beginning of the 2022 session. It appeared as “LC 282” on a short list of four commit- tee bills, a controversial form of submitting legislation without including the name of the bill’s author or who is requesting the action. “Why are we doing this now?” asked House Minority Leader Vikki Breese Iverson, R-Prineville, who is vice- chair of the Rules panel. Rep. Barbara Smith Warner, D-Portland, the committee chair, had little information about the gesta- tion of the idea, other than it came to the panel as a request from a source she didn’t iden- tify. Wyden spokesperson Hank Stern said the Twit- ter-driven scenarios were “silly and uninformed.” “Sen. Wyden is running hard to win reelection to a full six-year term,” Stern said. “He will serve a complete six-year term if reelected.” Oregon is one of five states where the departure or death of a sitting U.S. senator requires a special election to fi ll the seat, which remains vacant in the meantime. The proposal would allow the governor to align the replacement of a U.S. Sena- tor with the current system for replacing Oregon’s exec- utive offi cers. The governor names a replacement drawn from the same political party as the person who had the seat. An election to fi ll the unexpired portion of the officehold- er’s term is held at the next general election. The proposed legislation that would allow the gover- nor to choose an interim senator was circulated by bloggers and Twitter-users, including the popular Oregon conservative website, Oregon Catalyst. GOP activists specu- lated it could be a vehicle for a Democratic governor to replace Wyden if he either withdrew from the 2022 race prior to the general election or won re-election and didn’t fi nish his new term. Stern said Wyden does not know where the proposal came from and has no role in its drafting, presentation or possible introduction. After the House Rules Committee meeting, the legislation remained in committee with no further action scheduled. Wyden has $10 million in his campaign fund, and declared his intent to run for reelection in a Federal Elec- tion Commission document fi led at the beginning of 2021. He fi led a statement of candi- dacy with the Oregon Secre- tary of State on Jan. 26. Wyden fi rst went to Capi- tol Hill when he challenged incumbent U.S. Rep. Bob Duncan, D-Portland, in the 1980 Democratic primary for the 3rd Congressional District. Wyden won the primary and then defeated Republican Darrell Conger that Novem- ber. When U.S. Sen. Bob Pack wood , R- O regon, resigned in 1995 amid a sexual harassment scandal, Wyden won a special election to fi ll the seat, the fi rst vote in Oregon done entirely by mail ballot. Wyden has been elected to four terms as senator. If he were to win election in 2022, he would serve until January 2029, when he would be 79. SALEM — Oregon’s projected unfunded liability for public pensions appar- ently shrunk signifi cantly last year, mostly attribut- able to healthy investment earnings that pushed the fund past the $100 billion mark for the fi rst time in its 75-year history. A fi nal accounting will come later this year, but preliminary numbers for 2021 peg the unfunded liability at either $19.7 billion or $14.4 billion, depending on whether “side accounts” are excluded or included. Side accounts are amounts of money that participat- ing governments set aside to cover part of their future pension liabilities, but not all of the 900 government employers in the Public Employees Retirement System have set up such accounts. The comparable figure for 2020 was $28 billion. The PERS fund was at $85.4 billion in December 2020; the preliminary fi gure one year later is $100.4 billion. Its investments go beyond common stocks, which PERS started back in 1973, to other things. Oregon has one of the nation’s largest public pension funds. “It’s a good marker to know what the investment returns of last year did,” said Scott Preppernau of Millman, the fi rm that does the actuarial work for the system, in a Jan. 31 report to the PERS board. “Clearly a strong asset year makes a signifi cant improvement in these results over a one-year time frame.” A decade ago, under Bryan M. Vance/Oregon Public Broadcasting, File The Oregon Public Employees Retirement System building in Tigard. Strong investment earnings in 2021 cut Oregon’s pro- jected unfunded liability for public pensions signifi cantly. then-Treasurer Ted Wheeler, the Oregon Investment Council changed its strat- egy so that the PERS fund will not grow as much when fi nancial markets surge, but also does not drop as much when markets plunge. The change emerged after the Great Recession, when the PERS fund lost 28% of its value as it declined from $66 billion in December 2007 to a low of about $48 billion in March 2009. It took several years for the PERS fund to get back to its pre-recession level. PERS Board Chair- woman Sadhana Shenoy said Oregon’s long-term liability for public pensions hasn’t gone away, given that the funded status of the system is still below a target of 90%. “We have a long way to go,” she said. “But this shows that one good year gives us a little bit of respite.” Rate-setting is next The valuation of the PERS fund as of Dec. 31 will be a factor when the board sets pension contribu- tion rates for the 900 partic- ipating governments for the 2023-25 budget cycle, which starts July 1, 2023. The board will likely set those rates at a Sept. 30 meeting. However, the average rate of 17.9% is likely to be main- tained, instead of reduced. The board changed its policy last year so that increasing the funded status of the system to a specifi ed target of 90% takes priority over lowering contribution rates. The “average rate” is a misnomer, because no participating government pays it. Rates are determined by the mix of employees within a government agency, based on when they were hired and whether they are classifi ed as public safety employ- ees, who qualify for higher pensions upon retirement but also require higher rates than other employees for pension contributions. State law defi nes “public safety employees” for pension purposes. Rates tend to be higher for governments with a greater share of employees hired before August 2003 — although those numbers have declined because of retirements — or those with more public safety employ- ees, such as police, sheriff ’s deputies and fi refi ghters. Of the 228,000 public employees covered by the system as of mid-2021, PERS reports that more than 162,000 of them were hired after the Oregon Legisla- ture overhauled the system in 2003. The rest, all hired before then, fall into more generous defined-benefit plans from prior years. But of the 156,500 retir- ees as of the end of 2020, most of them (130,000) get benefits under a pre-1996 plan and are classified as Tier 1. Another 18,000 get benefi ts under a plan (Tier 2) that is in eff ect from January 1996 to August 2003. The retirement plan that applies to most now blends contributions from employ- ees and their employers in what are known as individ- ual account plans. Contribution rates for participating governments also are “collared,” which means part of the increase is carried over into future budget cycles, so that partic- ipating governments do not get hit with the full amount in a single cycle. The board approved a change last year in how rates are calculated for the collar, which limits what a rate increase would be otherwise. “Emotion is not part of being an actuary,” said Matt Larrabee, also of Mill- man. “But we are happy that the rate-collar structure is performing for this first biennium (two-year cycle).” Nike co-founder gives $250K to Johnson campaign By GARY A. WARNER Oregon Capital Bureau BEAVERTON — Nike co-founder Phil Knight threw his wallet into the 2022 political ring Thurs- day, Feb. 3, giving $250,000 to Betsy Johnson’s campaign for governor. Knight’s contribution made the biggest splash into a growing pool of campaign cash for 2022 campaigns for governor. Oregon’s open-ended fi nancing laws allow contri- butions of any size to candi- dates as long as they are reported to the Secretary of State. The numbers so far are just a drop in a possible fl ood of cash. The 2018 race won by Gov. Kate Brown over Republican Knute Buehler, the former state representa- tive from Bend, generated almost $40 million in contri- butions. Knight contributed $2.5 million directly to Buehler’s campaign. When Buehler left the Republican party As of this week, the and announced his endorse- governor’s race has attracted ment of Johnson on Dec. 15, 31 candidates: 15 Repub- speculation grew whether licans, 13 Democrats, two Knight’s fi nancial support non-affi liated and one Inde- would follow. pendent. Christine Drazan, the That’s not counting former House Republican Democrat Nicholas Kris- leader from Canby who tof, the ex-New York Times columnist who was gave up her seat to knocked off the ballot run for governor, when Secretary of said fundraising is a constantly moving State Shemia Fagan target depending determined he didn’t meet the residency on what opponents requirement to run. are receiving and While Kristof’s the ability of some to self-fi nance their Johnson status is in limbo, eff orts. his fundraising has During a Wednesday continued non-stop. He’s campaign stop in Madras, raised just over $198,000 Drazan said she had no set since Jan. 1. Adding to the final goal beyond the $1 million that she has raised so far. money-spending binge is “Whatever it takes, we the likelihood of a three- will raise it,” she said. way race in November Fueling the raising and between the winners of the spending machines are the Democratic and Republican absence of an incumbent on primaries in May, and John- the ballot for the fi rst time son, who can wait to see who since 2010. Brown cannot survives the crowded fi eld. Under Oregon campaign run again because of term limits. law, she won’t be on the ballot in the May primary. She must collect nearly 25,000 valid signatures of Oregon voters to submit to the secretary of state by the end of August. If the signatures are verifi ed, she would go on the Novem- ber general election ballot as an unaffi liated candidate. Johnson leads the pack with just under $3.58 million in the bank. Along with Knight’s contribution, she also reported receiving $100,000 on Wednesday from Columbia Sportswear CEO Tim Boyle. In the Democratic primary fi eld, former House Speaker Tina Kotek, D-Port- land, has reported $908,202 in the bank. Labor union political action committees were the biggest givers so far in 2022, with $50,000 from the PAC of the Laborers’ International Union of North America and $15,000 from the union-backed Orego- nians to Maintain Commu- nity Standards, which lists its goal as ensuring a living wage for Oregon workers. IT’S IN YOUR INBOX before your mailbox Subscribers can receive daily email updates and uninterrupted digital delivery on a computer, tablet and smartphone Sign up for free digital access Call 800-781-3214 EastOregonian.com