Page 12A OFF PAGE ONE East Oregonian Saturday, March 31, 2018 FARMERS: ‘We’ll figure these trade deals out. It’s a bump in the road’ critical to the folks out there,” Sorte said. “How these things play out, you never can tell.” Continued from 1A and the post office was forced to cut back hours. The Helix Market & Pub nearly suffered the same fate until Wood and four others bought the place in 2006 just to keep it open — it was cheaper than paying their tabs, he quipped. The Watering Hole Consortium, as they called themselves, has since passed the pub along to Anna Doherty, who has kept it running. “The concern we all had was if that place closes, it ain’t opening again,” Wood said. Helix has historically depended on agriculture, yet Wood estimates that half his neighbors are no longer farming. The return on investment is no better than 2 percent, he figures. So, instead of having 10 guys farming 2,000 acres, he said two guys are now farming 10,000 acres. That observation is backed up by data from the USDA. A recent report from the agency’s Economic Research Service shows that farm production has been trending toward consoli- dation over the last three decades. By 2012, 36 percent of all cropland was on farms with at least 2,000 acres, up from 15 percent in 1987. Consolidation means fewer people to invest in the community, Wood said. “It’s just been a shift in the economy,” he said. Eric Orem, a wheat farmer north of Lexington, sees a similar story. Orem serves on the board of directors for Morrow County Grain Growers, the local farmers’ cooperative. Between drought-stunted yields and increasing trade uncertainty, he said the co-op is experi- encing some lean years in product and equipment sales. In turn, the co-op — while still profitable — has less money to support commu- nity-based organizations like FFA or Little League Baseball. “It’s a ripple effect, for Staff photos by E.J. Harris Owner Anna Doherty, right, gives change to customer Chris Gibson on Friday at the Helix Market & Pub. sure,” Orem said. “It’s defi- nitely a reflection of what’s happening on the farms.” Exports crucial Exports remain crucial to wheat growers to turn a profit. Umatilla and Morrow counties rank first and second, respectively, in statewide production as of the most recent 2012 Census of Agriculture. Combined, they total roughly 395,000 wheat acres. With the U.S. out of the latest TPP agreement, state and national wheat industry groups sent a letter to Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, urging President Donald Trump to reconsider. “The President has promised to negotiate great new deals,” the letter reads. “American agriculture now counts on that promise and American wheat farmers — facing a calamity they would be hard-pressed to overcome a close eye on NAFTA negotiations, and possible retaliation against U.S. agri- culture based on new steel and aluminum import tariffs. “It’s not a good time,” Rowe said. “I think folks are being cautious, not knowing where this is going to end up.” Dryland wheat is the still the major agricultural crop for many communities in the dry, arid climate of Eastern Oregon. Without access to irrigation water, there are not many viable alternatives. “I’m not really sure how communities will absorb those hits,” Rowe said. Bruce Sorte, community economist for Oregon State University Extension in Eastern Oregon, said wheat isn’t the only commodity that may be affected. Fruit also depends on exports, along with processed potatoes and onions. “Those exports are just Kuper Bracher, 12, loads a trailer with a soft white wheat from a bank-out wagon in July 2017 in a field outside of Helix. — now depend on it.” Wood said the last thing the wheat industry needs is to jeopardize any kind of international trade. Orem said that, while he does not believe U.S. wheat will ever truly lose the Japanese market, the latest develop- SHOP ONLINE 24/7 HERMISTONCDJR.COM ments are “troubling” and “disheartening.” Blake Rowe, CEO of the Oregon Wheat Growers League and Oregon Wheat Commission, echoed the farmers’ sentiments. In addition to TPP, Rowe said the organization is keeping Job diversification Steve Chrisman, economic development and airport manager for the city of Pendleton, said the local job base has grown more diverse over the last couple of decades, which has helped insulate the community against impacts to a single business — namely agricul- ture. “If wheat is not going to do well, it’s not good for the city. But it doesn’t cripple it, either,” Chrisman said. Chrisman pointed to Wildhorse Resort & Casino, Keystone RV and Interpath Laboratory as examples of large employers outside the farm sector. Another recent development that has him excited is the development of the Pendleton Unmanned Aerial Systems Range, which he said is beginning to add full-time permanent jobs. Pat Beard, who manages the Pendleton Convention Center, added summer tourism as another economic driver for the city. Beard said he knows, living in a very agricul- ture-oriented area, the price of commodities will always affect the community. But as the economy diversifies, it is not as devastating a blow as it would have been 50 years ago. “While it’s challenging times, it’s part of the life- style,” Beard said. That lifestyle is what keeps farmers like Wood and Orem working through the tough times. “It’s what we do. It’s what we know,” Wood said. Orem said he is still optimistic for the future, and believes the battle-tested wheat economy will ulti- mately prevail. “We’ve been through tough times before,” Orem said. “We’ll figure these trade deals out. 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