WEATHER
East Oregonian
Page 2A
REGIONAL CITIES
Forecast
WEDNESDAY
TODAY
Cloudy and breezy
with a shower
Showers of rain
and snow; colder
52° 33°
39° 23°
THURSDAY
FRIDAY
Partly sunny
Cold with plenty of
sunshine
PENDLETON TEMPERATURE FORECAST
32° 13°
28° 11°
HERMISTON TEMPERATURE FORECAST
44° 23°
53° 35°
PENDLETON
through 3 p.m. yesterday
TEMPERATURE
HIGH
LOW
54°
39°
68° (1917)
39°
26°
-5° (1924)
PRECIPITATION
24 hours ending 3 p.m.
Month to date
Normal month to date
Year to date
Last year to date
Normal year to date
0.00"
0.17"
0.86"
15.43"
12.58"
12.33"
HERMISTON
through 3 p.m. yesterday
LOW
56°
39°
63° (1936)
John Day
48/26
Ontario
38/31
Bend
46/24
44°
27°
-5° (1984)
0.00"
0.08"
0.89"
8.84"
8.77"
9.36"
SUN AND MOON
Sunrise today
Sunset tonight
Moonrise today
Moonset today
First
Full
Last
7:32 a.m.
4:13 p.m.
8:26 a.m.
5:48 p.m.
New
Jan 1
Jan 8
Jan 16
Caldwell
42/31
Burns
40/16
Astoria
Baker City
Bend
Brookings
Burns
Enterprise
Eugene
Heppner
Hermiston
John Day
Klamath Falls
La Grande
Meacham
Medford
Newport
North Bend
Ontario
Pasco
Pendleton
Portland
Redmond
Salem
Spokane
Ukiah
Vancouver
Walla Walla
Yakima
W
r
c
r
r
c
c
r
c
c
c
r
c
c
r
r
r
c
c
c
r
r
r
r
c
r
c
r
Hi
45
35
32
48
31
32
44
38
44
33
33
33
31
40
48
50
40
44
39
45
38
47
34
31
43
40
44
Today
Beijing
Hong Kong
Jerusalem
London
Mexico City
Moscow
Paris
Rome
Seoul
Sydney
Tokyo
Boardman
Pendleton
Klamath Falls
46/22
Lo
29
15
13
34
7
14
20
20
23
17
11
16
15
22
32
31
22
25
23
27
11
23
17
12
26
25
23
W
pc
sn
c
pc
sn
sn
pc
c
c
sn
c
sn
sn
r
pc
pc
sn
c
sn
pc
c
pc
c
sn
pc
sn
c
Hi
41
64
69
46
74
34
44
49
28
90
57
Lo
27
53
51
44
47
32
38
32
15
77
37
W
s
s
c
pc
pc
sn
pc
pc
s
s
s
Wed.
Hi
45
68
69
52
74
34
46
47
35
96
47
Lo
22
55
55
46
47
23
45
30
21
69
39
W
s
pc
c
pc
pc
i
pc
pc
sn
pc
pc
REGIONAL FORECAST
Coastal Oregon: Windy today with oc-
casional rain.
Eastern Washington: Rain today; snow, 1-3
inches in the mountains and snow and rain
in the north.
Cascades: Heavy rain in the lower terrain;
snow in the higher terrain, 12-24 inches
likely.
Northern California: Mostly cloudy today.
Rain at the coast; a passing shower in
central parts.
Eastern and Central Oregon: Cloudy and
breezy today. Rain near the Cascades; a
shower across the north.
Western Washington: Rain, heavy at times
today. Mostly cloudy tonight with rain
tapering off .
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East Oregonian, 211 S.E. Byers Ave. Pendleton, OR 97801.
Today
Wednesday
SW 10-20
S 10-20
N 6-12
WNW 6-12
UV INDEX TODAY
Shown is today’s weather. Temperatures are today’s highs and tonight’s lows.
0
0
1
Forecasts and graphics provided by
AccuWeather, Inc. ©2017
Single copy price:
$1 Tuesday through Friday, $1.50 Saturday
Copyright © 2017, EO Media Group
Oregon increasing reliant on
newcomers for population growth
“Bend doesn’t get the 20-year-olds,
but they get the 30- and
40-year-olds with little kids”
— Josh Lehner, economist with the
Oregon Office of Economic Analysis.
The East Oregonian works hard to be accurate and
sincerely regrets any errors. If you notice a mistake in
the paper, please call 541-966-0818.
0
The higher the AccuWeather.com UV Index™ num-
ber, the greater the need for eye and skin protection.
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SUBSCRIPTION RATES
“Something
could
happen. Maybe a retirement
haven opens somewhere
that’s even more attractive,”
Dunkelberg said.
The libraries are also a
good place to witness Bend’s
other migration trend: fami-
lies with children. Deschutes
County’s child population
grew 8 percent from 2011 to
2016, much faster than the
state average.
“Bend doesn’t get the
20-year-olds, but they get
the 30- and 40-year-olds
with little kids,” Lehner said.
Although Bend attracts
a lot of young families,
they’re neither numerous
enough nor multiplying fast
enough to reverse the trend.
County-level forecasts
are not as precise or updated
as the statewide population
forecast. The latest estimate
shows deaths outpacing
births in Deschutes County
between 2030 and 2035.
Hazel Chapple was
among several parents
browsing
the
shelves
of the downtown Bend
library children’s section
Wednesday afternoon. She
thinks Bend will continue to
attract newcomers, but only
those from more expensive
real estate markets. As long
as home prices outstrip
wages, she said, “It’s going
to be harder and harder for
working families to move
here,” she said.
Another parent, Lindsay
Woodward, moved to Bend
in 1999. She was able to get
a bachelor’s degree, start a
career and buy a house. As
a preschool teacher raising
a 6-year-old and expecting
a second child, she said she
doesn’t know how she and
her husband would repeat
their move to Bend today.
0
8 a.m. 10 a.m. Noon 2 p.m. 4 p.m. 6 p.m.
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Closed major holidays
BEND — The last time
Oregon saw more people
leaving than moving into the
state was the 1980s, during
a decline in the timber
industry.
“People actually packed
up and left,” said Josh
Lehner, economist with the
Oregon Office of Economic
Analysis. In 1982 and
1983, so many people left,
the population declined.
People continued to move
away through 1986, but the
birth rate made up for those
losses.
With
fast-growing
Deschutes County attracting
enough newcomers to
inspire bumper stickers
like “Bend sucks, don’t
move here,” it can be hard
to imagine a replay of the
1980s. But that’s what the
economic analysis office is
asking state policymakers
to do. In a little more than a
decade — 2029 — Oregon’s
death rate will outpace the
birth rate, and the state will
be entirely dependent on
newcomers for its popula-
tion growth.
“If these people don’t
show up, what would that
look like?” Lehner said.
In Bend and Deschutes
County, it would mean a lot
fewer seniors and children.
The population of people
65 and older has exploded
during the local economic
recovery,
growing
30
percent from 2011 through
2016, according to Portland
State University. The senior
population gained more
than 7,100 people, nearly
as many as the working-age
population.
“That was definitely
migration,”
said
Todd
Dunkelberg,
executive
director of the Deschutes
Public Library system. The
library is trying to decide
how to catch up with that
growth while not counting on
it to continue forever, he said.
Lo
35
24
24
38
16
25
32
32
35
26
22
27
25
30
39
38
31
37
33
37
21
36
28
25
37
36
30
WORLD CITIES
(in mph)
— Founded Oct. 16, 1875 —
BY KATHLEEN
MCLAUGHLIN
The Bulletin
Hi
50
39
46
51
40
44
48
54
53
48
46
43
42
49
50
51
38
53
52
50
51
51
40
45
50
52
50
NATIONAL WEATHER TODAY
Wed.
WINDS
Medford
49/30
PRECIPITATION
24 hours ending 3 p.m.
Month to date
Normal month to date
Year to date
Last year to date
Normal year to date
Dec 26
Albany
48/35
Eugene
48/32
TEMPERATURE
Yesterday
Normals
Records
32° 15°
Spokane
Wenatchee
40/28
39/29
Tacoma
Moses
47/32
Lake
Pullman
Aberdeen Olympia
Yakima 47/31
40/30
49/33
48/31
50/30
Longview
Kennewick Walla Walla
50/35
52/36 Lewiston
55/37
Astoria
45/30
50/35
Portland
Enterprise
Hermiston
50/37
Pendleton 44/25
The Dalles 53/35
52/33
51/37
La Grande
Salem
43/27
51/36
Corvallis
50/33
HIGH
36° 16°
Seattle
48/35
ALMANAC
Yesterday
Normals
Records
43° 27°
Today
SATURDAY
Cloudy, a bit of
snow; colder
41° 25°
Tuesday, December 19, 2017
“I wouldn’t be able to afford
to,” she said.
Oregon has a strong
track record of attracting
newcomers,
especially
young,
college-educated
people, but unaffordable
housing makes the state less
competitive, Lehner said.
“When it comes to surveys
of why people move, it’s for
jobs and housing. We don’t
have very good affordability.
It’s no longer getting worse,
but it’s still bad,” he said.
Behind the decline
Many states are seeing
a natural decline in popula-
tion, and the trend has been
on Oregon’s radar for years.
State economists recently
updated their forecast and
saw the tipping point had
moved forward, Lehner said.
So much of Oregon’s
economic growth stems
from population gains that
becoming
migration-de-
pendent poses a risk to the
economy, he said.
“Every year, it becomes a
bigger issue than we thought
it would be,” Lehner said.
And there’s no reversing
the birth rates and death rates
behind the decline. Oregon’s
fertility rate, which ranked
44th out of 50 states and
Washington, D.C., in 2015,
has been dropping steeply
since 2000, said Nicholas
Chun, population forecast
program coordinator at
Portland State. Oregon
women had an average 1.72
children in 2015, down from
an average 1.98 in 2000.
Shown are noon positions of weather systems and precipitation. Temperature bands are highs for the day.
-10s
-0s
0s
showers t-storms
10s
rain
20s
flurries
30s
40s
snow
ice
50s
60s
cold front
70s
80s
90s
100s
warm front stationary front
110s
high
low
National Summary: Wintry showers are expected in the Northeast today while rain
inundates the South. A drenching Northwest storm will contrast sun in the Plains and
Southwest. The fire threat will persist in California.
Yesterday’s National Extremes: (for the 48 contiguous states)
High 85° in Zephyrhills, Fla.
Low -13° in Clayton Lake, Maine
NATIONAL CITIES
Today
Albuquerque
Atlanta
Atlantic City
Baltimore
Billings
Birmingham
Boise
Boston
Charleston, SC
Charleston, WV
Chicago
Cleveland
Dallas
Denver
Detroit
El Paso
Fairbanks
Fargo
Honolulu
Houston
Indianapolis
Jacksonville
Kansas City
Las Vegas
Little Rock
Los Angeles
Hi
50
63
58
59
39
63
43
46
73
57
51
48
65
56
45
59
24
32
80
77
51
79
57
61
61
69
Lo
29
57
42
40
29
58
30
33
55
39
27
29
48
34
28
34
20
13
68
57
31
59
35
41
51
48
W
s
c
s
s
c
c
c
pc
c
c
pc
c
r
s
pc
s
sn
pc
sh
c
pc
pc
s
s
r
s
Wed.
Hi
54
70
47
49
32
71
37
40
72
46
40
38
66
63
36
63
26
21
78
73
45
80
51
67
63
62
Lo
31
50
30
27
9
47
21
21
49
27
30
25
50
23
25
38
12
6
66
51
27
60
43
41
44
45
W
s
t
pc
c
sn
sh
sn
s
c
r
pc
pc
pc
pc
pc
s
sn
sn
sh
pc
pc
c
s
pc
r
pc
Today
Louisville
Memphis
Miami
Milwaukee
Minneapolis
Nashville
New Orleans
New York City
Oklahoma City
Omaha
Philadelphia
Phoenix
Portland, ME
Providence
Raleigh
Rapid City
Reno
Sacramento
St. Louis
Salt Lake City
San Diego
San Francisco
Seattle
Tucson
Washington, DC
Wichita
Hi
58
60
84
45
36
58
78
53
61
52
56
67
42
48
65
43
54
62
57
47
68
59
48
65
60
59
Lo
39
54
68
24
18
47
64
38
43
27
41
44
29
32
47
19
38
43
38
38
48
48
35
40
43
38
Wed.
W
pc
r
s
pc
s
r
c
pc
r
s
s
s
c
pc
pc
s
pc
pc
pc
pc
s
pc
r
s
s
s
Hi
49
59
83
34
26
55
75
44
60
46
46
70
37
42
53
45
39
56
53
44
65
55
42
70
52
58
Lo
31
43
67
27
21
36
53
29
43
37
30
46
13
21
36
13
20
35
35
26
47
42
27
42
33
42
W
r
r
s
pc
sn
r
c
pc
s
s
pc
s
pc
s
r
c
sn
pc
pc
r
pc
pc
pc
s
c
s
Weather (W): s-sunny, pc-partly cloudy, c-cloudy, sh-showers, t-thunderstorms, r-rain,
sf-snow flurries, sn-snow, i-ice.
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BRIEFLY
Trial for suspect
in train stabbing
set for 2019
PORTLAND (AP) — The
trial of the man accused
of fatally stabbing two
passengers on a Portland
light-rail train in May won’t
start until next year.
Court records made
public Monday said Jeremy
Christian’s trial is scheduled
to begin June 24, 2019
and last up to five weeks.
Hearings on motions are set
for October 2018.
Christian has pleaded
not guilty to charges of
aggravated murder and other
crimes.
Authorities say he stabbed
two men in the neck and
seriously wounded a third as
the train stopped at a station
on May 26.
Police and prosecutors
have said Christian spewed
hateful comments at two
black teenage girls before he
stabbed the men.
One of the girls was
wearing an Islamic head
covering called a hijab.
Group preserves
historic barn in
Central Oregon
BEND (AP) — The
Deschutes Land Trust has
been reinforcing one of the
oldest structures in Central
Oregon.
The Bend Bulletin reports
that the Hindman Barn
is nearly 150 years old,
and years of neglect left it
unstable.
Built by Sam Hindman
around 1870, the barn near
Sisters was one part of his
larger homestead at the
eastern end of the Santiam
Wagon Road, the preferred
route across the Cascades
before railways and cars.
A windstorm in 1990
Beth Nakamura/The Oregonian via AP
In this Nov. 15 photo, MAX stabbing suspect Jeremy
Christian appears in court in Portland for a bail hearing.
damaged much of the
remaining roofing and
siding. The owner at the time
removed what was left after
the storm, leaving behind a
box-like timber frame.
The Land Trust acquired
the barn along with the rest
of a 151-acre preserve in
2000. It has no plans to fully
restore the barn, but with the
structure now stable, it can be
reopened to the public.
‘Deadliest Catch:
Dungeon Cove’
fisherman sued
PORTLAND (AP) — A
former seaman has sued
a fisherman who starred
in Discovery Channel’s
“Deadliest Catch: Dungeon
Cove” show, alleging the man
was negligent and caused
severe injury.
The Oregonian/
OregonLive reports Nolan
Dean filed a suit Dec. 6 in
federal court against Gary
Ripka, nicknamed “The
Ripper,” who appeared in the
first episode of “Deadliest
Catch: Dungeon Cove” in
September 2016.
Dean claims his arm was
broken because Ripka was
negligent and his ship wasn’t
seaworthy.
The complaint says Dean
was working in the back
of Ripka’s ship, Western
Breeze, on May 30, 2015,
when Ripka activated a
hydraulic control. Dean’s arm
got caught in a line, and he
was hoisted over the deck.
Multiple bones broke in his
arm.
Man accused of
killing girlfriend’s
disabled dog
EUGENE (AP) — Police
arrested a Eugene man
accused of killing his
girlfriend’s dog.
The Register-Guard
reports 23-year-old Daran
Malnar turned himself in
Saturday night, two days
after the dog named Sneekers
was found dead in a garbage
container.
Social media posts with
the hashtag “Justice for
Sneekers” indicated the
Chihuahua-mixed dog had
been drowned. A Facebook
post asked people to be on the
lookout for Malnar. The post
says Sneekers was disabled,
but does not specify the
condition.
Malnar has been charged
with aggravated animal abuse
and tampering with evidence.
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