NATION
East Oregonian
Page 6A
Thursday, August 24, 2017
Trump bashes NAFTA in midst
of talks to revamp trade deal
WASHINGTON (AP)
— Just a week into talks to
rewrite the North American
Free Trade Agreement,
President Donald Trump
is already threatening to
abandon the 23-year-old pact
with Canada and Mexico.
At
a
high-profile
campaign-style rally in
Phoenix on Tuesday night,
Trump predicted that the
United States would “end
up probably terminating”
NAFTA “at some point,”
though he said he hadn’t
made a final decision.
“Personally,” Trump said,
“I don’t think we can make
a deal because we have been
so badly taken advantage
of.”
The president had made
the same threat in April but
then reversed himself after
a pushback from American
businesses, especially farm
groups, which have bene-
fited from expanded access
to the Mexican market
resulting from NAFTA.
The president’s renewed
threat Tuesday reignited
such concerns.
“Abruptly
ending
NAFTA could create a string
of unintended consequences
that need to be carefully
considered,” said Ann
Wilson, an executive at the
Motor & Equipment Manu-
facturers Association, which
represents auto suppliers.
“Mexico and Canada are
trusted trade partners to the
U.S., and, as a result, we
are strong national security
partners. We should not take
that for granted.”
NAFTA erased most
trade barriers separating the
U.S., Canada and Mexico
and fostered a rapid rise in
commerce and closer diplo-
matic ties among the three
countries.
But the agreement has
long fueled heated criticism
in the United States because
it led some American-based
manufacturers to move oper-
ations south of the border to
capitalize on lower-wage
AP Photo/Rick Scuteri
President Donald Trump gestures to the crowd while
speaking at a rally at the Phoenix Convention Center,
Tuesday in Phoenix.
Mexican labor.
Trump has condemned
NAFTA as “the worst trade
deal in history” and prom-
ised to fix it — or drop out
of it altogether.
As negotiations on a
NAFTA overhaul began last
week in Washington, there
was wide agreement on the
need to modernize the pact
to reflect changes over the
past two decades, such as the
rise of e-commerce.
Still, U.S. Trade Rep.
Robert Lighthizer warned
that the United States
wouldn’t settle for a “mere
tweaking of a few provisions
and an updating of a few
chapters.” Saying NAFTA
had cost America hundreds
of thousands of jobs,
Lighthizer insisted on the
need to take steps to reduce
America’s trade deficit
and to ensure that more of
the goods that qualify for
NAFTA’s duty-free status be
made in the United States.
Canada and Mexico oppose
that idea.
Most economists say
NAFTA has had only a
modest net effect on U.S.
jobs because expanded
commerce with Canada and
Mexico has also created jobs
and because trade represents
a relatively small part of the
U.S. economy.
After a five-day opening
round, the three countries
issued a statement that said
they would resume talks
in Mexico on Sept. 1-5; in
Canada in late September;
and back in the United States
in October. More rounds will
likely follow.
James Jones, who served
as President Bill Clinton’s
ambassador to Mexico and
helped negotiate NAFTA
in the mid-1990s, predicted
that Lighthizer and his team
of negotiators would seek to
use Trump’s tough talk to
their advantage.
“They’ll try to play it in
a way that strengthens their
hands,” said Jones, now
chairman of the financial
advisory firm Monarch
Global Strategies. “They’ll
tell the other negotiating
teams, ‘I’m reasonable, but
I report to a boss who’s less
reasonable.’ “
Jones predicted that
“sanity will prevail” — that
the U.S. government will
recognize that the United
States benefits from an
economically unified North
America.
Daniel Ujczo, a trade
lawyer with Dickinson
Wright, said he doubts that
an overhauled NAFTA
would do much to narrow
America’s trade deficit or
restore lost U.S. manufac-
turing jobs — results that
Trump had vowed to deliver
to the blue-collar voters in
the Midwest who helped
elect him.
“There’s not enough red
meat to be gained in the
NAFTA modernization to
satisfy those voters,” Ujczo
said. “The president’s going
to have to make a choice
when he get a pretty vanilla
NAFTA modernization —
whether or not he’s going to
withdraw.”
A U.S. move to abandon
the agreement would likely
trigger a political furor.
American
manufacturers
have invested heavily in
supply chains that straddle
NAFTA borders and have
come to depend on duty-free
shipments within the trade
bloc. In Congress, farm-state
lawmakers have urged U.S.
negotiators to do nothing
that would imperil U.S. agri-
cultural exports to Mexico
and Canada.
“NAFTA
has
been
incredibly successful for
our industry,” said Jennifer
Myers, a spokeswoman for
the National Corn Growers
Association. “We are closely
monitoring negotiations and
will continue to advocate
for corn farmers’ interests
throughout this process.”
AP Photo/Susan Walsh, File
In this 2012 file photo, a side mirror warning signal in
a Ford Taurus at an automobile testing area in Oxon
Hill, Md.
Studies: Automated
safety systems are
preventing car crashes
WASHINGTON (AP) —
Safety systems to prevent
cars from drifting into
another lane or that warn
drivers of vehicles in their
blind spots are beginning to
live up to their potential to
reduce crashes significantly,
according to two studies
released Wednesday.
At the same time, research
by the Insurance Institute
for Highway Safety raises
concern that drivers may be
less vigilant when relying
on automated safety systems
or become distracted by
dashboard displays that
monitor how the systems are
performing.
The two institute studies
found that lane-keeping
systems, some of which
even nudge the vehicle back
into its lane for the driver,
and blind-spot monitoring
systems had lower crash
rates than the same vehicles
without the systems.
The lane-keeping study
looked at police crash data
from 25 states between 2009
and 2015 for vehicle models
where the systems were sold
as optional. Lane-keeping
systems lowered rates of
single-vehicle,
sideswipe
and head-on crashes of all
severities by 11 percent, and
crashes of those types in
which there were injuries, by
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21 percent, the study found.
Because there were only
40 fatal crashes in the data,
researchers used a simpler
analysis that didn’t control
for differences in drivers’
ages, genders, insurance risk
and other factors for those
crashes. They found the
technology cut the fatal crash
rate by 86 percent.
That’s probably high,
said Jessica Cicchino, the
institute’s vice president for
research, but even if lane-
keeping systems cut such
crashes by half it would
be significant, she said.
Cicchino said about a quarter
of traffic fatalities involve a
vehicle drifting into another
lane.
“Now we have evidence
that this technology really
can save lives and has the
potential to prevent thou-
sands of deaths once it’s on
every vehicle,” Cicchino
said.
Lane-keeping, blind-spot
monitoring, and automatic
braking systems, which can
prevent rear-end crashes,
are some of the building
blocks of self-driving car
technology.
Greg Brannon, the Auto-
mobile Association of Amer-
ica’s director of automotive
engineering, called the insti-
tute’s studies “encouraging.”
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