The 02ZG0II STATESMAN, SaLwn. Orjon. Sunday Morning; May 23. 1315 PAGE SEC IT team SMtrirffQdl r Uvea with hi dead like rats, will nwi fnrc In conclusive opera Military Strategists Believe : Nips Would Qiut War Soon, I As Kefeiat Becomes Olmbite some good, aggressive fliers In by passed sectors. British, carrier air men just art getting Into tha field: But thai thousands ... of seasoned American pilots plus thousands of others winding up training at a hug New Guinea center will sup ply the main punches. j I At sea, tha Aussies hava some affective warships and tha British Pacific fleet la in action. But "Am erican naval power, sufficient to handle tha Job; is so gigantic aa to jam all available forward bases. kling the knockout blows once as Aeround. the proud Australians, tions. They- probably will, ntjtha rellabla American dtghboT .f-rh has whipped jungle heat, malaria mosquitoes,, tedium and a foa who sembly baseaare xuuy nunawi and tha all-important supply lines whose performances particularly tn the sapply f .food hara heea have heaped high tna stockpiles. leaving tha British too far to tha I heroic, hop to 'have at least a ncdttort Kate: Tha air transport a tha army ajrfaree raoaatbr taok-U mi a aM ntte Artec . - vaat to amOttacr ai faith FadtU. Tha to uuTaiTi,Trtm all tas Uattnf aniTtnrr tTif'-fi T Brttiab r and AustnHaa, Wtbe.Ooaeaie -ttteater. Tbaaa laadara ia tinbeattatingly i ; V ftuk fig aiii-inra tkU to - an 8a May- IWm ware aataf " k mnMrK rriiii fcaf .ftot br mllltory aacurf. Soma . sanaraT : fcnprnalnna ara araaaatni hira br tha Aaaodatod .Praia-mraanattre at" Ua ratum to tba Vtoto Stataa). . """ J ' " SAN FRANCISCO, May 19.-,TJ-Many ol tha top-ranking army, UV7 and air strategists, -mounting tha all-out offensive In tha Pacific, (yjiraOBk mm. QMS! - .... . ' '",' .'':' ." ' o8 believe: a- Japan will quit the war when her military defeat becomes obvious rather than continue have gained a name passed islands; -- . I Defeat win not likely become obvious to 'Japan unT the Japa nese homeland Is invaded. ;: Tha emperor is a key figure in the Pacific's war picture and if he ever gives the word for his war ring subjects to cease fire every Japanese, j wherever ha is, im mediately will lay down his wea pons. I Specnlatloa idle - There is no sound basis for ' speculating when the war will end. It could end in a relatively short ' time and efforts are bent toward that result but its! duration is strictly up to Japan. Any effort of the enemy toward a compro- . mise : Short of unconditional sur - render is foredoomed. Japan cannot long wage, an ef fective war in China and Manchur- .. la if the homeland falls. The key to success or failure in the Pacific is the supply line. The Allies are '.winning because of brilliant successes in bridging the Pacific's staggering distances. Ja pan is losing, despite tough, bit ter-end resistance, primarily be- cause-her supply lines are cut. These impressions were obtain ed on a 26,000 mile air tour of the , Pacific which took in the Mar tanas, the Philippines, Australia and subsidiary island supply and service bases. Toe Men Interviewed i They are the product of confer ences with such men as Gen. Doug las MacArthur, " commander-in chief of all army ground forces ; la the Pacific; Adm.' Chester W, Nimitz, commander-in-chief of Pacific naval forces; Adm.! Sir Bruce Fraser, commander of the British Pacific fleet; Gen. Sir Thomas Blarney, commander of Australian ground forces; and such air leaders as Gen. George C. Ken ney, commander of the far eastern airforce, Lt. Gen. Curtis LeMay, "key man in the B-29 raids on Ja ' pan, and Ma j. Genj Willis Hale, commanding army air forces in the Pacific ocean areas. Navy and marine air strategists also were consulted. i One of the high ranking lead ers, a keen student of Japanese thinking, discussed; frankly the likelihood of the greatest revolu tion in history within the Japanese homeland once the Nipponese man - on the street sees for himself that his war lords are not infallible, War Lords Idolised This , strategist pointed out that the fanatical resistance for which her soldiers on long by- for some 2,000 years, during which Japan never lost a war, the belief has been built up that the war lords are endowed with an ability never to make a . serious mistake. Once this belief, still preserved by rigid propaganda measures, is punctured brutally by rising air blows , and the. appearance of in vading armies, this particular lead er foresees- the distinct possibility of a revolution "the like of which the world has never seen before." ' The broad assessment of the situation currently is this: ... Japanese Navy Beyond all doubt, it is a crushed force. Adm. Thomas Kinkaid, commander of the US 7th fleet, pointed out, however, that should Japan ever manage to get her still usable warships all in one spot they could cause trouble. Japanese Air Force Although deteriorating, it still has destruc tive power, particularly among its suicide squadrons; its planes are good and there still are many of them; but the earlier losses in personnel have been heavy, re sulting in a speeding up in train ing and a consequent drop in the quality of airmen. Japanese Amy At least one fourth of it either has been de stroyed .or rendered strategically impotent The other three fourths comprise a formidable force; the Japanese are tough, relentless fighters but they- can't hold out if their factories fail them. One famed American leader said the job - is to defeat the Nipponese "without bleeding us to death." Aa American Show .. The drive toward Tokyo seems destined to remain predominant ly an American show. - In the air, the Aussies have Card Club Entertained At Independence Home INDEPENDENCE The Night Hawk Card club met at the Orley Browns' May 11. Two tables were in play. The traveling prize was won by Mrs. Jonas Graber; the high prizes for men and women were won by Mrs. Joe Rogers and Jonas Graber, and the low prizes by Mrs. Clyde Comstock and Joe Rogers. .AT THE FRONTl (Continued from page 4) been necessarily hard or, dan gerous. There 1 was the time when they got an emergency call from a forward unit that a new type of German butterfly bomb had been found. It turned out. to be a German gas mask cannister. ' ) Another time a colonel report ed he saw two bombs drop with out exploding. Itj took diplom acy for the boys; to break the news to him that he had merely seen a P-47 jettison a couple of gas tanks. " 'j t V-E day was just another day to these boys. 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