PAG- EIGHT
The Or'GCII STATECIIAIL Cdea. Orsa. Friday Ilcrslz-, I:otc1ct 3. 1S
:'.f1 -
Presidential Contest J!oo Close
For Polls; Three of Four Give
FR Edge but Best Bel ls Guess
! NEW YORK, Nov. 2-P)-Four nation-wide polls wert agreed as of
today that the race between President Roosevelt and Gov. Thomas
E. Dewey was too close tOf warrant trying to pick the winner. ; !
! Three of the four opinion-samplings gave the president a alight lead.
The fourth, the Gallup poll. Indicated that his republican opponent
had the edge in the electoral vote, although the poll listed the popular
vote as 31 per cent for Roosevelt as against 49 per cent for Dewey.
All four were careful to point out that the margins were, not con
elusive. -Zi ''--''-'s : -;
Keosevelt FaVered ' -.' -'"v
i Final results of the Crossley poll give Roosevelt 92 per cent of the
major party vote on the basis of late October polling in 23 pivotal
states, adjusted by estimates of the armed services vote. (Actual samp
ling of the service vote is prohibited by law a factor, all four polls
noted, adding to the difficulty of trying to estimate which way the
total vote would go.) - '-.. ; - , ' -' ' i:
An analysis accompanying the Crossley poll adds that the president's
plurality "in several important states is so narrow that it is quite
possible for Dewey to capture a majority of th electoral votes merely
by minor changes, or Increased republican voting these states. r r
Fortune Csatlow
A semi-final poll conducted for Fortune magazine by the Elmo Roper
firm gives Roosevelt 53.5 per cent of the civilian vote. The magazine's
' survey of public opinion emphasizes several possibilities of an offset
.Gallup American Institute of Public Opinion reports Dewey states
With 255 electoral votes and Roosevelt ahead in 21 states with 206
electoral votes. (It takes 266 to win). The remaining five states, with
70 electoral votes, are listed, as "on the line." j ;, ; -;.v;
Newsweek Score Close ' t.i; :: ' ' :':,: '-C 'M':'.i
In the fourth poll, a Newsweek magazine survey representing state-
by-state estimates of 118 political writers, Roosevelt is found leading
In 27 states with 249 electoral votes and Dewey in 20 states with 247
electoral votes. Newsweek regards Pennsylvania (35 electoral votes)
as the state of decision. .;v . .
Fortune does not break down its poll by states. Here is what the
other three. find (TED denoting Dewey; FDR Roosevelt) in what they
consider "pivotal" states (electoral votes in parentheses):
The Pells Shew ... . . . .... . ;
III ' Gallop
TED 51 PC
-50-50
50-50
-.50-50 '
British Strike
Leaving
New York (47)
Pennsylvania (35)
Massachusetts (18)
New Jersey (15) m
Minnesota ID -Oklahoma
(10)
Illinois (28)
Missouri (15)
Oregon (8)
West Virginia ()
Dow Polls Differ
TED 53 PC
..50-50
-TED 52 PC
-TED 51 PC
..50-50
-TED 51 PC
Newsweek
TED Slightly
50-50
FDR Slightly
TED Probably
FDR Probably
.FDR Probably
TED Probably
TED Probably
TED Probably
TED
Gallup'
50-50
-TED 52PC'
...FDR 51 PC
TED 51 PC
Newsweek
FDR Probably
FDR Probably
TED Probably
TED Probably
FDR. Probably
FDR Probably
Crossley
50-50
FDR 51 PC
50-50
50-50
50-50
TED 51 PC
TED 51 PC
FDR 51 PC
50-50
50-50
(
Crossley
FDR 52 PC
TED 52 PC
FDR 51 PC
FDR 51 PC
FDR
TED 52 PC
Delaware (3)
Idaho (4)1
Maryland (8)
New Hampshire (4)
New Mexico (4) TED 51 PC
Wyoming. (3) , -TED 53 PC
! All three polls wind Roosevelt leading In these 20 states, which have
a total of 198 electoral votes: Alabama. Arizona, Arkansas, California,
Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Mon
ijtana, Nevada, North Carolina, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennes
see, Texas,! Utah, Virginia and Washington.
Dewey is given the edge in these 12 states, whose combined electoral
vote is 115 Colorado, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Nebraska, North
Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Vermont and Wisconsin.
Union Hill YCA to
Meet on Friday'
i' TrMTCYW
(Young
HILL The YGA
Grangers association)
will meet at the grange hall Fri
day night Instead of Saturday
night as had been scheduled. Ta
ble games; will be played. .
Committee for the games is Rol
lin Heater, Ruth Kos ten border
and Ann Louise Heater. The sup
per committee is Floyd Fox and
Guy Scott i: .
ODT Urges Civilians
To Postpone Meetings
PORTLAND, Nov. 2.-(ffy-Om(x
of defense transportation officials
were advised here today that civ
ilian conventions should be post
poned or restricted in attendance
for at least the next six months.
: Hotels should discourage unes
sential meetings and warn dele
gates that those serving the war
effort have first chance at rooms,
the ODT said. .
Be 'Prepared
TakeKthe Red Cros3 Home Nursing Course and do "the i
right,, thing when you are suddenly faced with illness."""
The course Is a simple, practical .one that tecrc&es you
what to do before and after the doctor comes.
It is Interesting (because you get actual experience and In
dividual Instruction. .. It is net hard and doesn't take a lot
of time. .The training is suitable for men and women and I
both should take 11 Health at home releases" nurses need
ed now on the fighting fronts. J
You ban obtain information end make your arrangements
for attending a Home Nursing Course by calling your lo
cal Red Cross Chapter:
. i . . , . ' - ' -
, ! ( " Taltphone S277
They wd be glad to discuss the Course with you and hlp
you est ctsrtsi Thare Is nq If 1st tie Count. ,
Tl cl7tz"lzzzz.l rpocsorei by
Balkans Area
ROME, Nov.' J-is-British pa.
trols harassing , withdrawing Ger.
man. forces north, of Salonika in
Greece have ambushed one enemy
column and inflicted 25 casualties
in a sharp fight, allied headquar.
ten announced today. , : ,
Allied headquarters announced
capture of Salonika, 190 miles
northwest of Athens and the most
important port in the southern
Balkans, which was: entered by
British troops yesterday. ,
There was no immediate report
of the extent of damage in Sa
lonika,! whose prewar population
was 240,000. The nazU announced
Wednesday they had evacuated
Salonika. -; i' ., :.'
The enemy's: retreat corridor
from the lower Balkans became
further constricted, today's. Ger
man high, command ' communique
disclosed, - by withdrawal of harl
forces from a 100-mile stretch of
the Yugoslav Dalmatian coast, in
cluding the harbors of Snlit Mt.
kovic and Dubrovnik (Ragusa).
Berlin - reported fighting ' be
tween German and Bulgarian
forces In the Vardar valley of
Yugoslavia and said the Bulgars,
their former allies, were "smashed
with heavy losses.
Valley Birth
LINCOLN 1 Mr. and Mrs. Al.
vin Walling have received word
of the arrival of a daughter, born
to Mr. and Mrs Clifford Walling
(Virginia Scharn) at Vancouver.
Georgian Seeks f
Word of Oregon. 5
Dairy Auction i '
SILVEHTON Buyers from as
far distant as Georgia, with oth
ers from tltah and California are
showing interest in the Jersey
sale to be held at the Gresham
farm of Mr. and Mrs. J. T. Laws,
Jr M. G. Gunderson, Silverton,
salesmanager, jreports."-
Mr. Gunderson said it was re
markable how much . Interest has
been shown In Oregon cattle this
autumn.;
Mr, Laws, former Oregon state
Jersey cattle club president, and
Mrs. Laws are selling their 37
head of registered Jerseys because
of Inability to get help. The sale
starts at 1230 and a benefit lunch
will be served before the sale.
Hallowe'en Party
Given at Jefferson
1 JEFFERSON ' The. business
men and others sponsored a free
picture show in the Masonic hall
on Halloween. Later a- bonfire was
built on the Masonic hall lot and
wienies, were roastedV. f;"::
1 A few did get away, in spite of
the J additional police. H For i some
outbuildings were .': overturned;
and the .windows on main street
were decorated, some in white and
others were smeared with black
paint -::
!'3 '
State to Lend Hand in
Securing Foreign Books
CORVALUS, Nov. l 'Librar
ies of the state system of, higher
education will cooperate in a na
tional program for obtaining sci
entific and educational periodicals
and books .from foreign countries
as soon as the war -ends. A fund
recommended by Lucy M. Lewis,
director of libraries, was set aside
by the state board of higher edu
cation at Us latest meeting to in
sure the participation of the Ore
gon institutions in this plan! for
an equitable distribution of valu
able foreign materials that have
not been available since the out
break of the war.
Oregon Sure for COP
Says State Giairoian
GRANT PASS, Nov.- 2.-P-
Oregon will go 100 per centfre
publican on the national ticket this
fall, endorsing Dewey and Bricker
and all republican congressional
candidates, Nlel R. Allen, state
central committee chairman,' pre
dicted today. . ? Zp:
' The state's agricultural i areas
are almost airtight for Dewey, he
said after visiting most countries
in Oregon. Labor janks, he as
serted are less solid for Roosevelt I
than in p 40. . t J
- r -.
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91c B.X,$1C3
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DRESSING f Jmrlll
350
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Peand Bdler, Ileal Boaslibry 32c
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Cider Vinegar OU Mfll 1-SL Jug 52c
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GingerLread Ilix 'ui 9U. IBe
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Kilchsn Crali Fbnr (-lb.
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YaCJ Exeeiient for Baklnr LLo. 71 C
PeHI- Deschates Ne. 1 P If
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y 15-lbv sack 55
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