Tin: OKtCOH SUNDAY JOURNAL. iO...Ui:l), LUi.'U.'. j..: If CEflSUS IL BE TAKEN; 10 SHOV GROWTH Portland Realty Board Backs Plan , to Learn Facts About City's Progress During the Past Six Years. ., NATIONAL MARKET FOR TRADE LOANS An innovation bas been . started in r alt y circles of Portland, backed by the Portland realty board and promot ed by -Arthur I.lstreet. former manage ing editor of Collier'e Weekly and edi tor of "the Pandex of the Press, the ef fect of which, veil prohably .he.nation wide hameiy, the taking of a real tate census of the city. " Thla-eenswe -wtlt- -be--?omprUnive report of the development of the .city the last six years and Will be prac tically a stock taking tank, that will .give an accurate 'synopsis of the real estate . situation In Portland. ; In connactipn'with the work thai is being dpnej In Portland, Mr. Street said: "I am preparing a comprehensive study of the realty development of the city far 'the past si years, practically the entire period of realty development ' aine the. Lewis & Clak exposition, ana ending December 31, 1912. To Show Complete Beoord. 'I have searched the records for the past seven years, hut as yet have pre , pared no final totals, t have 20,000 card Index records. One of tho ob jects of this research Is to determine what class of people have come to tha city recently' and what sections ihe have located in. This first step of the work will deal exclusively with resi dences, and I have divided these Into several , classes, namely, those which have cost less than ttDOO, leas - than - -2600, 4es than 13500, less than '$6000. Jess than 110,000 and over, $10, 000, This also includes flats, apartments, : otela and lodging houses. "I have found that 85 per cent of the dwellings erected ftf'that time have cost $2500 or less, and that in the past three years there has a been, a notable increase in the numher of dwellings costing1 more than' $3500. This can be taken as a good indication of the pros perity of the city. "One of the most important features of the work will be to show the density of improvements and the Comparative number of Improved pieces to the un Improved sections. If one section has too much vacant land, the burden is then -greater on tha transportation com pany, and the sewer systenij as it com pels the transportation company to op erate at a. 'loss through the section and I. makes the assessments for sewers too high On the few people who have to pay for Its extension through the va cant sections. By having this data in proper shape, realty dealers can make an effort to build up these sections with ,. eat profit to themselves and to the investors. , . ' . ' "The distances of certain districts . from the canter of the city and the ex- can be determined 'at ,a glance by the tables that will be prepared," . Mr. ' Street has bieri in PoHBsnd for - six months and' hair been working" on this census for the past 'three months. In that time he. has completed the study of all additions to the city; of vhich the initial letter is "A." - Thh plan will be followed out until all parts of the city have been covered. Mr. Street- came- here te make a study of i!.e ec -lomlc conditions of the. whole Pacific coast lie has prepared a formula, based oi the population of the United States, by which he has determined that the Pa cific coast states west of the Rocky mountains should have a population of , 83,000,009 people.and that they are des tined to have that number. That the Panama canal will produce this great influx of people is the contention , of Mr. . utreet, . and. an Immigration fourlimes greater than has ever before been ex perienced is predicted. Gives Density of Population, Referring again to the work of se curing this data, Mr. Street said that of the ST districts on which he al ready has figures, the density of im provements range from 2 to 66 per cent. In Alkln's addition to East Portland, which lies between Holladay and Haw thorne avenues, the density of improve- ", mcnt is 73 per cent of the number of lota. In Albina, the development Is 74 per cent. In Aitamead the percentage is fcut 3 and in Alta Vista it is'J.S per cent In Annabel, the average let 86 per cent - In the rich addition of Ardmore, . where the new dwellings have aver aged in cost $8878, the development is 1 per cent 'The relative cost of buildings tn . Alnslee place Is $8500, in Aiken's addl- , t'on S4SS0 and in Alta Vista $5200. Over 2U0 homes .have been erected in Albina . in the time mentioned and the average tost ,is $2667; in Albina Homestead, there have been 105 homes, at an aver age cost of $2278, and in Arbor Lodge ihere have been 59 homes at an aver- . age cost of $988. "One of the important results of the investigation will be to show whether or . not Portland has made proper provis- ions for the increase of population." American Commerce and In dustry Handicapped for the ,JWant -of Modern . Credit ."System. .. . ...... BY GEORGE W. SEMMOXS, President of the Simmons Hardware : " Company of St. Loufs. Commerclfil jwper Is our Btaple bank able security, it pla"y exceedingly important part in our great credit struc ture, and so is one of the most potent factors in our 1 prosperity. It speeds faster the wheels of industry. Through It, expentlan In the volume of business la made possible, in many cases it en ables the Introduction of our products abroad, thus being of Invaluable assist ance in keeping our trade balances on the "right side of Ihe ledger. 'M my opin ion,' it is eo valuable a contribution to buaiuesaJflterafita-Jhat Its .sewlll con tinue steadily to increase and to broaden. . generally speaking; bank loans --may be divided into two classes: Loans on paper secured by stock exchange coUa-t-eralrand on eommeral .laper, ecurd by one or( more names. Each of these classes may 'be subdivided into paP' payable on demand, and ions or short time paper. ' The paper secured by stocks and bonds is.' as a rule, not used in com merce and industry, but in speculation. It is one of the evils of our present banking system that under it Idle bank funds flow to New York to be loaned there on call, with stock exchange secur ity. And It ia oho of the 'system's cry lug justices to the American business man that loans secured by stocks and bonds are Cheaper in this country than loans which go to furtherthe opera tions of commerce and industry. The reverse holds true In Europe, There, commercial paper commands the lowest rate of interest, as It should. The merchant-receives accommodation more cheaply .-than the. speculator. . Currency Based on Commerce 1 1 ' George W. Simmons, president of the Simmons Hardware company of St. Louis. hue mm ISllWTEDCy IIIE New Hotel Building-Is EE Downtown' Building Activity Shows That City. Is on: - Qnimrt FHeie nf Prcntritv I J. Fred Larson . Declares. , ha reouired to fill Its need, to Its city correspondent -profit tor rediscount. tower Interest Sates, Eut by establishing .a broader market for such paper, interest rates would be lowered in this country. If the market were still further broadened, to become international as well as national in sflnpe, Interest rates obviously would be still further lowered. The American merchant would have to pay less tor me it is "Portland real estate men and mer chants are not as optimistic as they ought to be," declared J. Fred Larson, president of the Portland Realty board and a member of tha firm -of Umbden stot.lt & Larson, j In reviewing the realty situation in t Portland, and the prospects tho City has, relative to' the realty market, "Mr, Lai-son has the following to say; Ait there- fa- ens -businessdepending H for success and profit on general con ditions it Is that of real estate, selllng it and getting in the collections. "There Is nothing mysterious about the business, the, real estate operator must supply desirable' lota at prices and on terms that attract, and whether or not the lota are desirable and the prices and terms attractive depend upon general conditions. "Lots will not be purchased for In vestment or speculation unless the pur chasers convince themselves that the denmml is at, or will increase to u point that the lots can be resold at a nanitni nf.cHKH.rv for his business. borrowed caol This gross disadvantage to American taJ n)UBt mteT jnto the expense of con business arises from the fact that we have no broad rediscount market for commercial paper, such as ia the foun dation of European credit machines. Abroad, this market forms the basis of note Issues. Our note issues are bond- secured, and the daily adjustment of the demand and supply of money pri marily results Irt aft increase or decrease of call loans on stock exchange collat eral; If there is pronounced contraction and liquidation, then stocks and bonds are dumped onto the market, which sags under their weight Disturbances are inevitable. JIow much- nor logical would be' note issues based on commer cial paper, which depends for liquida tion, not upon the narrow confines of the stock market but upon the day to day consuming power of the entire na, tlon? - v if The commercial paper arising out 'ot my business, and out of most other in dustries, runs from thirty to ninety days. It may be based upon tne actual shipment of goods or it may be based solely upon the commercial standing of the man who maker It In the first instance, it is likely to be two-name papers The manufacturer or merchant WHP mi ... daraarul .the promissory note of the merchant to whom he sends It and to whom he gives a credit, say, of 60 days. When h receives this note, he may indorse It. and then discount it at his bank. Or, he may draw on the second merchant at 80 days'' sight, in which case the second raerphant accepts it by writing across its face the word "accepted," with his name arid the date; and It then become an instrument convertible into cash by discount Credit for .Productive Industry. In either of these' cases, we have" two name caper, based on actual goods in transit from the producer to the conA sumer, and dependent for payment, in the last analysis, not merely upon the commercial integrity of the men Who made it, but upon the ability of the pub- j ic to consume the goods it represents. In the case' of one-name paper, the wisdom, of a bank granting a loan de pends upon what it knows of its 'client If the total amount desired is moderate in comparison with the client's total assets, and especially in comparison with hl current receipts, it' is a good loan. There Is none safer. It should bo understood that the selection by banks of such paper should be careful ly made. They aust have the facts about the business of the concern ask ing the loan. Usually banks have a bureau of information devoted to this purpose, called a credit department, thoroughly posted as regards the com mercial paper offered to it. This department may, in some in stances, call for a full statement of the concern's business, or may even employ outside accountants to go over its books. It may,, if it sees fit, demand to know whether the loan required is based upon an actual commercial transaction, and may demand evidences of the transac tion. It is oftert found advisable in cases of large loans on commercial paper to split ,the loan into a number of "notes," which are sold by note broktrs to different banks. If not infrequently happens that a sme.ll bank will buy four or flve'pleces of well known commercial paper in this way as an investment for idle funds; and In that ease, if some unexpected de mand Is made upon the bank, so that It needs funds promptly. It will send as ducting every large business. If Inter est rates are increased, the cost mustbe increased of every article into whose production or distribution the use of borrowed capital enters. The lower interoal rates prevalent in England and on the continent give mer chants and manufacturers there an un mistakable advantage over their compet itors in the United States. England's unrivalled monetary system and her low rates of interest to industrial enter prises are large factors in her commer cial supremacy. The Panama canal, opening vistas of new business opportunities to America, is on the verge of completion. Will we permit it to become an added help to foreign nations, or will we, by adopting a scientific banking system, iquip our selves to reap full advantage of it? That ia a question for the people of the United States to answer. It should be answered before the canal is completed. The answer should be in the form and, expert remedial of competent legislation Commercial loans Paid in 1907. Commercial paper already has proved of such value to us that not to broaden Us field Is folly. It is now liquid within certain tiw, being qonvertihio into cash with more or tees ease in times of industrial confidence. And even in times of stress it has demonstrated its wor,th. i I was Immensely impressed with this during the panic of 1907. At that time we had large outstanding commercial ac counts, which, although they were not secured by commercial paper, were closely akin to It. We simply stopped buying goods; and as we had always paid cash for everything, we had nothing but current expenses to meet. At ma turity of our current accounts, those who could not pay in full would send us, say, one half, and a little later another remittance and so on. I apprehend that not two per cent of the commercial pa per floating at that time went unpaid, or was renewed. It is readily apparent that commercial paper bridges the Interval between the production and the consumption or goods, and gives the merchant or manu facturer ready funds for the continuance of his business, without waiting for the purchaser or consumer to whom he has extended "30, 80 or 90 days' credit, to make payment. Further than that, it encourages him to use his money more freely in tha way of experiments in im proved methods and improved machin eryfeeling confident that he can be safe from financial embarrassment in to doing. I know of a case In which the manufacturer of one of the important products of the country so Improved his processes as to reduce the cost fully one third. This was. made possible solely by the fact that, through the use of com mercial paper, the manufacturer was enaBled to get the money with which experiments were made to devise there tofore unknown mechanical appliances. A National Credit Bureau. Commercial paper is so important a part of our Industrial fabric that I be lieve the American Barkers' association should establish some- kind of a bureau of Information to scrutinize .the bust nece of tho concerns issuing 'it. In this way a great deal of reliable Information could be placed at the service of those desiring to invest In such paper partic ularly banks information not only as to the concern's assets and current re ceipts, but as to the extent of the lonns Lots will not bo purchased for homebullding unless the purchasers are permanently located In Portland and the future looks promising. To my mind ft sure sign of general business condi tions Is activity In downtown building, the development of business property. "If ttiere is Utile or no development In the business district of any city, the condition of business generally, in that town, is not encouraging. On the other hand, if tho development is marked, then optimism and enthusiasm should prevail. "The men who erect big stores, new office buildings, warehouse!, are men who are close to the fundamentals of business. They usually know what they are doing. Certainly those new build ings would not be erected unless the demand justified. 'Consider, in this connection, the new buildings of all kinds erected in Port land's business district the past year and consider, in addition, those planned for the present year. - -Go a step farther and consider that the prosperity of tha tenants of these new buildings depend on greater popu lation, greater general business activity, then realize that Portland's population Is increasing; that each month's fig ures show that business is increasing und it is apparent that the builders of these new buildings are conservative in their optimism, also that the optlmistio nal estate operator is just as con servative and sure of his ground. "There is less vacant surfaoe in tha city's limits than a year ago, the pop ulation has increased and the number of lots unsold smaller. ' "We have taken stock as It were, wa find our shelves a smaller number of lata and what Is more important we find we cannot dupltaate these iota ftt Fine Structure t . - v, , - I . , ' - ' ; -" It I " s ' " S if f-! - irTs -1 1 i' B 1 I ' : I I i ? ! Z i ' 1 III I jiLHlliUiUl mm Realty Board Will Devote Wext Meeting to By-laws Dis cussion. . i View of the rccentjy completed Will&rd hotel, erected by the Shasta In vestment company, at Park and Morrison Btrpets. This 13 a aeren story structure, wtiteh cost In the neighborhood of $150,000 and la one of .the latest and most substantial Improvements on Morrison street. The building was constructed to allow the adluion or taree more stories If needed. Ilurley-Mason company were tho builders and Doyle, Patterson & Beach were the architects. NEW REAL ESTATE DEALS MADE IN PAST WEEK An important realty deal that was announced during the past week was the purchase by J. H. Tipton . from M, C Davis of a lot at the northwest corner of First and Clay streets, Improved with a two-story frame building, for a consideration of $45,000. Mr. Davis took in exchange 25 lots in Meadow, hurst and a new eight-room home in Hollywood. During tha week .the exchange ofa half block on Belmont and East Eigh teenth street for a block of ground opposite the city hall at Walla Walla, a 3?0-aore tract near Oregon City and two lota in Yale addition to Portland was made by T, 3, Leonard to the OreT the same price real estate values are if??," ePa The deal Involved going up. In face of these actual con ditions, it seams to me that our. real estate men and merchants era not op timistic enough. "We are growing as fast as any thar town in the country; our future Is Juat as oertain, out our growth will pa greater and our future more satisfying, if every one will forget the disappoint ment that a few weeks' quiet Business has caused; and instead, observe tha de velopment that is going on on a.il sides become convinced that the develop ment will continue and benefit all. "In other words, every one do their part to boost and help the growth and make the spirit of Portland prosperity something that Is on every one's lips," New Bank Building at Astoria Will Be Beautiful Structure """uIai-W-W' 'it IX. v ' If extended to it from various sources. Commeiclal paper would .then beoeme the most desirable paper any bank could buy, so far as regards safety. I believe that when We have a new banking system tor we must have one if we are to avert another panic-r-Jt win oo perreotiy proper to have some arrangement under nareful provJslpnf ana regulations whereby the banks may rediscount their commercial paper with a cooperative agency. . This would-provide them with prompt relief In times of stress, and would help to prevent money panics, tsucn a provision certain ly should be a part of any measure looking to a revision and improvement or our present bankintf system. J. H. NASH TO TAKE TRIP FOR HIS HEALTH J. H. Nash, of iU Railway Exchange building, has just announced the sale to Philip s, Schneider of a one-story and full basement reenforced concrete build ing at Fifty-fourth avenue and Seventy second street, for a consideration of 12.000. six stores occupy the building, ana me income is II7B per month. The building was erected one year ag,o, and is strictly fireproof. The pur-, chase was made as an investment Th.0 sale was made on account of the plans of Mr. Nash to make an extended vieit in California, and in the east on account of his health. In the 10 years that Mr. Nash has been in the city he has ac cumulated $160,000 through real estate H? it m m iiLywrw.iw iSa jfcJ ss taisiArt(NK SCHOOL DISTRICT BUYS LOCATION FOR BUILDING A deal has Just been closed In tha office of the Slauson-Cratg company for saio to Kcnool District No. 3, Mult nomah county, of an acre tract In Park- ose, on which is to be erected a new schoolhouse to accommodate ihs school cnuaren or that district. as the present schoolhouse in that , dmtrlct is tnadetiuate, it was decided to jtnako a six mill assessment for the lund of $5400. The pronossd hutitiina is to ba a four-room frame structure, so built that additions can ha mii tiom time to time as the need for it , occurs. The building will be ready for 1 uccuvancy next ran. Terspectlve of $40,000 building that Is being erected at Astoria bv Th Rcnndfnavian.4m0rina vhu 1...1U1 ; .,...' . " - " -. JW . Utll V, :.' I -,U4iuu -.-Mf - a-wMfltff TrwtefMindgrtnrfltf erttonof-Etmr schacur &"SoT or r6rimndrir"1 l ft tWrt HtnMf? WAAHf AMnJ MA.MMAi. (...liJl.... J, . - ... ... . '.. . . l. T,-Y VSB I " "v ov-J,J i.-u v""ino uuuujiig, toe exterior or wnicn will be nnlahed la gla?ed brick and ma totta. The -Interior finish will be in mahogany, and" the fixtures win be 'of white . Italian roar TheJlrst floor will be for bank purposes1, the second floor' for. offices and-the building will bo (oriftructcd to ttand the addltioa of two stories, lithe business demands, t DEAL FALLS THROUGH .. CHURCH $2500. RICHER One real estate deal that Involved Tvu,uVU, una epueereq to D almost a certainly because 12800 had been posted for an optlonr-feli through -last week when Otto Goldsmith and associates of ' tors city ratieq to pay the bal- nmiB uvie lor me tmuarian cnurch nrnn. enth and yamhlll street, The balance due was to have' been paid last Monday, but when it was not forthcoming the option money wa au, omatiraily forfcltrd and the Unitarian .hureh is jlgher 3us that amount. TO BUILD FINE HOME IN BEAUIVfONT ADDITION A magnificent home, to be of the colonial type of architecture, is to be erected In Beaumont addition for Dr. O. J, Griffin, formerly of Beaverton, and a permit for the structure, which, is to cost 18000, has been taken out by the Anderson Construction company. The house 'a to ba 38x28 feet with a balcony porch supported by massive colonial columns at the front and ports cochere at tho side, extending across the roadway leading to the garage in the reir,, .. . The JnterUr-ef the home has been designed by Mrs. Griffin, and 'Will "be one of the most complete and convenient homes In the city, Construction work Is to etart at once, The next weekly meeting of the Port land R-'fllty Board, which is to be held next Friday, will be given over exclu sively io tbe discussion of the proposed Plans to incorporate the realty, board for the purpose of giving it a etandlnj In court. The constitution and By-laws have already been prepared, and now only await the approval ot the organl-" aatlon to perfect tho incorporation. This was decided, upon Friday after noon et tiie first regular meetlng.of the board held this yeaf. One of the im portant matters that- ame up at the ntii!g was the rToroniendflUen of the Art ttratiun--tommitt-.ee f-,th-- realty bewd that bereafter ach applicant tot arbitration should sign aa agreements to abide by th dv!ton ef the arbitrajF I tion cQ,mnlttee. This matter wea re; forred to the esecutlv. tjopimlttee. v Another matter of , imports ruce waa to unanimously extend-tr- number- of realty men Of Minneapolis, . who ' ari , contemplating'an excursion' to the west, an Invitation to visit Pnrtlned, end a . receptinn committee was named-to en tertain them., "''' . Among the speakers were Jf. '.1. Street, Tom Richardson and J N, Clark. Mr, Clark was the principal ruker of the day. be baring hem asked to otak? a talk on observation he hiid made while in 1oa Angeles. The greatest thing that I observed on this trip was the spirit of "boost that was to be seen- on every hand in thpt f-ltj', tie said, "Low Angeles is be ir.g advertised all over the world, and It is my . firm opinion that a more roti ctntratfd effort should be made to ad vertise Portland. ' "I have spent barrels of menpy, on advertising, portiaps loo nvach, but I have f'jund that I have never lost a cent by It ; " ' "Another thing that I have observed. Is that Portland is riot taking advantage, of the opportunities. Los Angelea thinks more of Portland than Portland era do themselves. Still another thing Important tn my observations ot Ioa, Angolcs Is the speedy system of clos- say. 'I vi M buy.' than he haa algnedfS hlc name to a note or a contract, and his money ts paid over. Here it takea three weeks or a month, and many dals go asiray in that time.' ( 1 Because an imeprtal ukase Issued by the czar requires them to give a mili tary nalute to all army officers, all the students of the military medlosl academy at ityctt have gone on striK The ukase provides among other things that when students meet an, officer In a street car they must first ask h)e permission to be seated. Pan franelsee broom makers have received a 19 per cent increase in pay. PACIflG IRON WORKS BTBVCTUBA.& STSXI ABCXXTZCTtrBAX ISOM , tmmtdiata Delivery L ' ' Portland, Or.. Are You As Zealous About the Earning Capability of Your Money as You Are of Your Brain and Hands? You would jump at an offer increasing your salary two and a half times at one clip. That is to say, if you were working now for $100 a month, and along came another offer for $250 a month, all things being equal, you would not hesitate, Scarcely any man would. It wouldn't be policy to do sck - We are here to get all we can, honestly. If you were as particular how your money is employed and as zealous about its power to "earn more money, why shouldn't you feel the same way. If "a savings account is earning 4 for yon, and you knew that the amount of your balance could earn bette'r than 10, you would take your money out of the sav ings bank and Invest it where the 10 was assured, wouldn't you? It is in this connection that we "take the opportunity of stating that the tock of a building company like ours, secured at-evcry stage of the game by first-class, gilt-edged mortgages, that has never failed to pay a dividend every three months, averaging 10 per cent, is two and a half times better than a savings account that earns only 4 per cent. The stock of this company is just as safe, far more profitable and just as de sirable as a savings account. But, be fore asking you to accept a bare state ment to that effect, we will ask you to call or write for our statements, litera ture and other documents. Make Your Money Earn Two and a Half Times as Much Every dollar of our stockholders' money is invested in homes, or hoinesites upon which homes will he built, and all is secured by approved mortgages against tlie lot and the home for which wo furnish the money to build, If safety is what y;ou seek, we furnish it. If'it is profit, wo also provide that. - - Send for Our Monthly Kcport Issued Wednesday 1 INVESTORS' ApD TRUST Builder of Homos , 407-408 YEON BUILDING, PORTLAND BUILDING COMPANY "I