1G THE SUNDAY OREGOXIAN, FOItTLAXD, JANUARY 1.1, 1922 II. S. SHIPBUILDING BELOWPRE-WAREBB Returns to December 31 Cov ered by Lloydrs Register. WORLD FEELS DEPRESSION 2"o Jlcport Available for Germany, hut That Country Probably Second to Great Britain. So-marked has the shrinkage in ehlDhuildine now become that this country today actually has a. smaller percentage of the total construction of the world than it had before the war, says a statement by Lloyd's Register of Shipping, covering the returns for the quarter ended De cember 31 last. While the depression is general. It Is pointed out, the most marked ef fects are shown in the United States, Three months ago France, Holland end Italy were all constructing less tonnage than this country. Today each of them Is building more than American yards. Iso returns are available for Germany, but the total of construction there is probably sec ond only to that of the United King dom. World Shipbuilding Declines. As compared with the preceding fluarter, the total shipbuilding throughout the world at present shows a decline of more than 1.000, 000 tons gross, of which the British decrease represents about 640.000 tons, the American about 215.000 tons and that of the other countries com bined about 225.000 tons. The total for the United States, however. Is now only half what it was three months ago. while the British de cline is only about one-fifth,' and that of other countries only about a tenth from the total of the preceding quarter. It Is stated by Lloyd's Register, however, that the present world con struction figure does not show, the full extentr-of the contraction in ship building, as work has been ordered suspended on more than 1,100.000 gross tons, of which more than 700, 000 tons represent work in British shipyards. Pre-War Figures Approached. While the total of world construc tion haB not yet fallen to the pre war figure, it is rapidly approaching it. In comparison with the present aggregate of actual work In prog ress, of 3,335.000 gross tons, the total under way on June 30, 1914. was 2.S46.000 tons. The present British total of 1,918,000 tons compares with 1.747.000 tons in 1914, and the Ameri can aggregate of 216,000 tone with 148.000 tons. The present total for the United States contrasts with 4,186,000 gross tons for the first quar ter of 1919, when this country was building more than all the rest of the world combined. The United Kingdom now holds that position, with about 60 per cent of the aggre gate building throughout the world. Returns from all countries of con struction which is being done under the supervision of Lloyd's Register and Intended to be classed, with that society show an aggregate of 2,980. 937 tons, of which 2,091,356 tons are In the United Kingdom. More than two-thirds of the seagoing tonnage placed throughout the world Is there fore being classed by Lloyd's', and 80 per cent of that being constructed in the United Kingdom. Fewer Tankers Built. Further decreases are reported in , the construction of tankers, the world total at the beginning of the year being 793,000 tons, as compared with 931.000 tons in the preceding quarter. Iurlng this period the aggregate of oil carriers building In the United States dropped back from 222.000 tons to 103. 1)00, while In other countries, excluding Great Britain, the decline shown was from 182.000 tons to 153, 000. There was a slight advance in the total of the work under way in the United Kingdom, the present total being 636.000 tons, compared with 627,000 in the preceding quar ter. , The great scarcity of new work Is evidenced by the returns of Lloyd's Register, showing that during the last quarter work was begun on only 64.000 gross tens of vessels, white in the same period hulls representing 466,000 tons were launched. In the last quarter of 1920 work was begun on D03.000 tons, while 676,000 tons ere launched. Italy's Volunu) Great. - Excluding Germany, the greatest volume of shipbuilding In any coun try outside the United Kingdom is being done in Italy, followed closely by France and Holland. Japan is now building only 145.000 tons. Con struction has also fallen off sharply in the British dominions. How work in a number of the countries com pares with a year aeo Is shown la the following Jble: Jan. i. -22. jn. 1. '21. , .. .ins.s2 aan.nno . .'tr2.::3 n7.ooo ... 8KI.S79 4.S0.OO0 . .. 66.4H9 IBilfloo ICuly ... Kmnc. . Holland British Dominions. j-ne 3.3J&.000 tons actually under construction in the world today com. pares with the peak of 8.048,000 tons attained in September. 1919, as a loss of 4,700,000, or nearly 60 per cent.' JAPANESE SEES TERMINALS J. Furtisawa, Capitalist, Inspects Vegetable Oil Mills Plant. J. Furusawa, Japanese capitalist and Industrial magnate, was the guost of the traffic bureau of the port and dock commissions yesterday on a tour of inspection of the marine terminals of the city and the plant of the Portland Vegetable Oil Mills com pany. Mr. Furusawa Is managing di rector of the NlHstiin Oil Mills com pany of Dalren. Manchuria and Is one of the largest producers and exporters of vegetable oils of the orient, and Is financially Interested In many other Important Industries of the far east. After inspecting the facilities pro vided here for storing, handling, ex tracting and refining vegetable oils, he attended the luncheon of the City club at the Multnomah hotel In com pany with H. L. Hudson, manager of tho traffic bureau. Canadian Observer Floated. . VICTORIA, B. C, Jan. 14. The Ca nadian government merchant marine steamer Canadian Observer, which went aground at Deep bay. Discovery passage, B. C, was floated by a ris ing tide Friday morning. The vessel was not damaged. She Is outward bound from Ocean Falls, B. C, to San Francisco Tides st Aitoria Sunday. High. Low. i-.yi A. M....8T feet':1T A. M....2 2 feet 2;00 P. M...10.0 leet;s:.1.-i P. M....J.0 foot Report From Month off Columbia River. NORTH HEAD. Jan 14. Condition ot the -a at i P. M., smooth; wind, north, Xour miles. INEXPERIENCED INVESTORS ARE CAUTIONED TO GUARD AGAINST ALLURING PROPOSITIONS Strong-Arm Salesmanship Put Behind Certain Bond Issues Is to Be Avoided, as Well as Stocks That Axe Not Based Upon Tangible Properties of Well-Known Value, BT STANLEY A. BEADLE. This la the eighth article In a aeries on the subject of "Thrift, Banking and In vestment. r "K THE preceding article we dis cussed the qualities inherent in every bond, with the view of de termining each Individual investor's requirements and thus aiding him to invest wisely. In this article the con verse viewpoint will be taken so that the reader may learn some points on how not to Invest. Between the two he should be enabled to steer a safe middle course. Before elaborating on the wiles of promoters offering . alleged Invest ments and their ways of presenting "securities," a wojd or two anent the "strong-arm," or "one-call," salesmen Is In order. The stock in trade of these chaps is not the stocks or bonds they have for sale, but a strong per sonality. They are so carried away with self-confidence and a working knowledge of their powers of persua sion that frequently their talents are perVerted to the extent of unscrupu lous tactics applied to marketing a comparatively worthless security. As a certain popular cult would term it. "malicious animal magnetism." Many volumes have been written on the subject of "personality," particularly in relation to salesmanship and suc cess. Personality Is Defined. It is well to understand the mean ing of the word personality before going further. The basic noun per son is of Latin derivation, from the word "perBona," which means a mask. The suffixes "al" and "ity" to the English word person means, there fore, the mask or outward character istics of any -individual. Individual ity, however, is the inward character stripped of acting, expediency or per sonality, as it Is commonly under stood. True Inward earnestness, with a decent self-respect and regard for the welfare .of one's fellows, ' would dot permit the possessor to deprive another of his hard-earned savings in exchange for a "security" of nebu lous value. Any bond salesman worthy of the name Is largely pro fessional in his functions andIInan cial researches. He could nof, there fore, if he values his business repu tation and hopes to build or retain a clientele, employ any but the most ethical methods in selling his securi ties. Furthermore, no reputable deal er in bonds would knowingly engage a salesman of questionable character. or retain him If his methods savored of chicanery or dishonesty. As a general proposition, the se curity itself is the ultimate consid eration. The vendor can,"in a meas ure, be set aside while weighing the pros and cons of the desirability of any bond offering. The averageyln vestor cannot, of course, know the se curity market sufficiently well to act entirely on his own Judgment In the selection of bonds. He must, per force, fall back upon, the greater knowledge and the Integrity of the bond house or bank making the of fering, although it is expected that he will exercise ordinary caution and common Bense before actually buying any bond. In its finality it is not only the security but the house be hind the security and its guarantees to their clients. More Profit Common Argument. A common argument of the "super- salesmen" mentioned in the second paragraph is that "money In savings banks earning 3 to 3 per cent might Just as well earn 10 or 12 per cent" or any other Income they may choose to mention. Let us take one of these 12 per cent "investments' and analyze it. The charlatan promoter, amateur and professional, has greatly diversified his operations during the last lew years. From oil he win turn to min- ng, from mining to Invention, then to the railroad, and to real estate and sometimes he has been found inter ested in all of these simultaneously. Some of his other favorites, as they have been announced in certain east ern newspapers, wnicn seem not to care to what perverted use their ad vertising columns are put, are rubber culture, banana growing, lumber de velopment and the multitude of enter prises which may be put tinder the general classification of Industrials. A prominent New York banker, deal ing in the highest grade of invest ment bonds, once remarked to the writer, prior to the growing confi dence In bonds as investments which exists today, that he noticed a steadily SHARP RALLY IN WHEAT SHORTS FORCED TO COVER IN CHICAGO MARKET. Prices Weak Most of Day on De clines at Buenos Aires and' Liverpool. CHICAGO, Jan. 14. Local shorts, driven to cover, caused a sharp rally in the last IS minutes of today's wheat market and pulled prices back to about where a weak market started:" Uralns were unusually dull and provisions were weak. Final prices were o lower to 'Vie higher in wheat, o lower In corn., fractionally lower in oats, and 10 to 30 points off In provisions. Wheat was in the doldrums throughout most of the session. Lower prices at Buenos Aires and Liverpool caused some selling at the start and with support lack ing the market sagged readily. Transac tions were neither numerous nor exten sive, however, and the decline was checked on scattered buying. Corn ffnd oats were extremely dull and changes were inconsequential. There was some local selling of corn. . Holders offered provisions when early reports from the stockyards showed lower prices for live hoitw. The Chicago grain letter received yes terday by the Overbeck & Cooke company j of Portland follows Wheat Selling In tit way or liquida tion was the feature of the trade dur ing the first hour. Offerings were well taken and at the close the market was strong on buying stimulated by re-ports from the seaboard that considerable ex port business Is likely to be done early next week In both American sod Canadian wheat. One message claimed Argentine wheat was being offered at the gulf at $1.20, but the possibility of Importing any quantity Is remote and this report was without influence on this market. TnJH American relief administration announce I that It will accept offers of American and Canadian spring wheat for seeding pur poses Monday. The Greek order for up wards of 2,000,000 bushels is expected to be given early nest week and It was inti mated that some additional business la likely to be disclosed over the week-end The usual falling off in the milling de ma rid was experienced at the week-end, but It will undoubtedly resume next week. Corn Support was lacking In this mar ket today and hedging against purchases ot cash grain In the country was suffi cient to bring about a small decline. An easier tone also obtained In the cash de partment; with prices about half a cent lower. We continue to feel that advan tage should be taken on recessions to make purchases. Oats Without feature following the general trend of other grains in a small way. The cath market was somewhat easier with demand less. Leading futures ranged as follows: WHEAT. Open. High. Low. Close. Ma $1.HH $1I17 $1.10t $I.U Jul t8Dji LIMJa ,881s 1.001a diminishing demand for securities such as he dealt in. but there appar ently had been no difficulty at all on the part of the industrial promoter in disposing of his great variety of cumulative preferred stock some of them with dividends "guaranteed" Issued against business ventures of no , established reputation whatever. He added that such ventures ought to be backed by business men, with their own capital, but that after a few un fortunate experiences with them, such as were practically Inevitable, the public would see the fallacy of such Investments and turn again to invest ment bonds. Guaranteed Stacks Allarlng. Stocks to which the term "guaran teed" is so frequently attached now adays, undoubtedly are alluring to the average person seeking to em ploy his surplus or savings at as high a rate as possible. Yet there Is notn ing that may prove more hollow and baseless than many of the guaran tees which are offered. Even the best of them have been known to turn out valueless through some slight legal technicality, and the unfortunate part of it Is that their weaknesses are never discovered until difficulty arises until it Is too late for the In vestor to save himself. Investigation shows that many of the Bmall Issues of stock under this classification, which have been sold to the public within the last two or three years, are guaranteed by sub sidiaries to the issuing companies formed for that specific purpose 'and usually exhibiting formidable look ing for balance sheets, which seldom, however, stand close analysis. The fallacy of such an expedient is clear, when- one stops to consider that a guarantee is only needed in case of failure and that failure of the com panies issuing the stock in these cases would mean immediate destruc tion of the guarantees. Promotion Hits High Level. And now we are getting closer to our analysis of a "12 fer cent guaran teed investment." About 10 years ago a coterie of Chicago men announced a project to build an electric railway from Chicago to New York. Railroad development had. until that time, been generally supposed to have reached a stage where the ordinary methods of "wild cat" finance flo longer would be associated with it, yet here was a proposition, which Its originators said, was to revolutionize the railroad business of the world. They sold to some 14.000 gullible in dividuals between 87,000,44)0 and $8,000,000 worth of stock but they built no railroad. Shut out from the advertising columns of the respect able press of the country, they then published their own "newspaper," a sample copy of which will bear analysis as containing some of the best examples of those statements which have to be always looked upon with suspicion. In the leading article of the edition In question, under the caption. "Prog ress of the Work," the exploiters of this fanciful railroad, which, by the way, Is projected to run as the crow flies, between the two great commer cial centers of the country, addresses a fervid appeal to the stockholders for their continued support, insisting in the strongest manner possible on their sincerity toward the work they have undertaken and asserting that the proposition as an investment is so good that nothing can prevail against the persistence and energy of the men back of it. Propaganda Is Eloquent. "In the midst of a financial storm, which shook the country," they plead, "opposed by powerful interests, be littled by an ignorant or subsidized press, forced again and again to de fend their stockholders from the depredations of wreckers and thieves, we have actually secured franchises and created railroad property worth several millions of dollars, which will go on earning money for its stock holders and' their descendants for ever." Several Items of miscellaneous news follow, from the localities near which one terminal of theToad Is supposed to be under construction, and then a skillfully constructed argument on how a great merger of Chicago trac tion properties may be taken as a most emphatic Indorsement of the air-line project, and the opportunity It has, as well as a recognition of the enormous business which the road will bring. But the piece de resistance of the edition Is a full page advertise ment headed: "Preferred stock will advance In price. Last opportunity for CORX. 62 74 .53 H ,B2 .82 1 644 .544 .54 54 .64 OATS. 31 V4 .3SH .23 .88 ..... .38 .394 .38 .38 May . July . May July PORK. January ...16.00 j to 16.00 18 10 May ltt.HJ 18.30 16.25 10.26 LARD. March ..... .1T 9.17 0.12 SIS May 0.40 9.40 S.32 9.37 RIBS. . January .' j.12 May 8.35 8.83 8 32 8.32 - . fash prices were as follows: Wheat No. 1 hard, $1.10. Corn No. 2 mixed. 48iJ48tfc; No. 2 yenow, 4 ij 4Si e. Oats No. white. 375438a; No. S white, 33 33c. Rye, nominal. -Barley. 53 0 56c Timothy seed, $50 7. Clover seed, $12.50jj18. Pork, nominal. Lard, $0.02. Ribs, $7.75.T5. N Minneapolis Grain Market; MINNEAPOLIS, Jan. 14 Cash wheat No. 1 adark northern. $1.3001.33; No. 2, ll.3TCM.S0: No. J, $1.10ijrl.27 No. 1 north ern. $1.281.30; No. 2. $1.241.27; No 3. $11701.22; No. 1 hard Montana, $1.23 1.25; No. 1 durum, 8349640. Barley. 4063c. Flax. No. 1, $2.0'i jf 2.1214. Futures, wheat. May, $1.18; July, $1.124. Carlot Grain Receipts. CHICAGO, Jan. 14. Carlots Omaha Wheat 10, corn 150, oats 16. Minneapolis Wheat 220, corn 74, oats 46. Winnipeg Wheal 50, oats 114. Duluth Wheat 9, corn 34, oats 9. Kansas City Wheat 132. corn 61, oats 6. St. Jouis Wheat 27, corn 90. oats 5S. Clearances Wheat. 944,000 bu. ; com, 372,000 bu.; oats, 77,000 bu. ; flour, 77,000 barrels. New York Grain Market. NEW YORK, Jan. 14. Wheat, spot easy: No. 2 red and No. 2 hard, $1.204; No. 1 Manitoba, $1.274; and No. 2 mixed durum, $1.0014 c. 1. f. track New York, to arrive. Corn, spot, easy; No. 2 yellow, 60 V4c; No. 2 white, 6ttc; No. 3 mixed. 6514c o. I f. New Tork, all rail. Oats, spot barely steady; No i white, 476p474c. Other articles unchanged. Winnipeg Grain Market. WINNIPEG, Jan. 14. Cash wheat. No. 1 northern, $1.144; No. 2,1.08; No. 3. MSc; No. 4, 0.1 N,c; No. 6. 8644c; No. 6, 7Hc: feed, 92c; track. $1.1194: oats. No. 2 white, 43V4c; No. 3, 40 Vic; May, $1.0914; July, $1.074. Seattle Grain Market. SEATTLE, Jan. 14. Wheat: Hard white, soft white, white club, soft red win ter, $1.09; hard red winter, northern spring, $1.10: eastern red Walla. $1.06; Big Bend bluestem, $1.12. City delivery Hay: Timothy $23. D. C. $21. mixed, $21, alfalfa $17, D. C. $23. straw $13. barley whole $33, ground and rolled $35, clipped $40, chick starter, $64, chop, ail grain $35. cocoanut rneal $28. corn $33934, corn, cracked and feed meal $37, cottonseed meal $44, linseed meal 5S, mash mixture, egg $40040, scratch feed stockholders to secure a 12 per cent guaranteed Investment at present prices." "Hundreds have money In savings banks," "the advertisement continues, "drawing from 3 to J-vercent in terest, which might Just as well earn 12 per centjiuring the next It months. More than that they now have an In vestment on which Uyy can realize a revenue of S per cerfT a year during the next 18 months by the mere mak ing of a 12 per cent investment. Jan uary is the best time for depositors to draw their savings from the bank. it being the close of an interest period. As 7 per cent dividends and S per cent interest begin . to accumulate from the very day the preferred stock is purchased, there should be no lost time. . . . . No one familiar with the situation can question the busi ness opportunity which confronts our stockholders or the ability of the first division of the road to earn more than 7 per cent dividends." Catch Third Is Inserted. 'Let us see about this 12 per cent "Investment." The 36 miles of road, the first division of the system, let it be remembered. Is not yet in opera tion. Whence comes, then, the 7 per cent dividends promised? They do not en me now, and there is no assur ance that they ever will. The catch is in the word "accumulate." The preferred stock Is bf-fche "cumulative" type, whose characteristics already have been defined in a previous arti cle. The dividends will .accumulate to the credit of the holder of th stock, and will have to be paid before anything is distributed to the hold ers of the "several million dollars of common stock; but they are not an obligation against the company until such dividends are declared. The a per cent interest probably will be paid for the is months, as promised but how? On this aolnt the an nouncement is not explicit. The pro moters are frank in saying that the interest offei Is made with the ex press purpose of hastening the sale of the stock, although It is difficult to reconcile this statement with the one at the head of the advertisement re garding the rise in the price of the stock. Those who purchased on this announcement doubtless found at the end of the 18 months, when the in terest had ceased, that the promised rise was merely in the price at which the stock could be bought from the company that it did not mean a rise in the market price. There was na market. Whole Spaeme Bad .Dmn.N Unfortunately there have been thousands of people who have been able to fix in their mind's eye this absolutely straight railroad in oper ation between Chicago and New York, with the public clamoring for tickets to ride on it, with merchants insist ing on having their goods shipped over It, with the express companies paying high for contracts with it, and with the government giving the bulk of its mail to It. They never have stopped to consider that at the prices obtainable for the stock of the air line, it would take between $300,000, 000 and $400,000,000 of stock to buy Its terminal in New York alone, to say nsthiirg of building its line from there to Chicago. There is another phase of modern railroad promotion, which almost al ways possesses the earmarks of legi timate and promising enterprise, but with which the investor should pro ceed with xtreme caution. We refer to those projects admittedly con ceived for their strategic value alone. Several years ago some capitalists planned a railroad in one of the west ern states. They succeeded in inter esting not only eastern but foreign capital, built their road to tap some more or less important coalfields and sold to the public several million dol lars of first mortgage bondp largely on the representation that the new road must sooner or later be taken over at a good price by one of the larger transcontinental systems, with which they had been successful in getting a connection. The bonds were sold at a fairly high price, but al though there Is no evidence that the proceeds of the sale were dishonest ly used they are today of only nomi nal value. , Railroad Falls to Pay. The railroad on which they were se cured, of course, failed from the first to earn its fixed charges; the state in which the road was built forbade the sale to the larger system and a receivership was the result with prac tically no hope for a reorganization in which the Interests of the bond holders couHbefully protected. $41946. soya bean $60, wheat $42, Pugt sound $40. Grain at San Francisco. SAN FRANCISCO. Jan. 14. Grain Wheat, milling. $1.831.95; feed, $1 85 1.95; barley, feed. $1.224 1.274 ; ship, ping, $1.301.37V4; oats, red feed, $1.40 1.50; corn, white Egyptian, $1.72!- 1.774: red mllo, $1.57 bid. Hay Wheat. $17,019; fair. $14917; tame oat, $l,VgplR; wild oat. $1113; al falfa, $13916; stock, $8912; straw, $10 12. n Chicago Livestock Market. CHICAGO. Jan. 14. (United States Bu reau of Markets.) Cattle receipts, 1000; compared with week ago: Beef steers and fat she stock 15 to 25 cents lower; bulls steady to 15 cents lower: canners and cut ters about sady; veal calves, -steady to 25 cents higher; stockera and feeders 25 to 36 cents higher. Hog receipts, 15.000; largely 15 to 25 cents lower; holdover moderate, mostly lighter weights; market closing 26 to 40 cents lower than Friday's average; top $8.10; bulk. $7.50 to $7.85; pigs 25 cents lower: bulk, desirable, $8.00 to $8.25. Sheep receipts, 4000; today's receipts nearly all packers direct; compared with week ago all classes 60 to 75 cents higher. Kansas City Livestock Market. KANSAS CITT. Jen. 14. (United States Bureau of Markets.) Cattle receipts. 650 for week: Beef steers 2550 cents higher; top. I860; killing and stock calves fully 23 cents higher: she stock steady to strong: bulls and canners strong: stockers and feeders strong to 15 cents higher; fat cows and heifers 15 to 25 cents higher. Hog receipts, 1600; fairly active, mosth 15 to 20 cents lower than yesterday's av erage; packers bought all hogs: best 160 pound weights $7.70; 210 to 3(H) pounders $7.60 9 7.60: bulk of sales $7.2597.60: top $7.70: packing sows 25 cents lower; bulk $5.76ft8.00. Rfieop receipts. 200; vfor week: Sheep $1.00 to $1.60 higher; lambs 60976 cants higher to $12.50. Omaha Livestock Market. OMAHA. Jan. 14. (United States Bu reau of Markets.) Hogs, receipts. 7O0O: mostly 1626 cents lower; 170 to' 200 pound weights, $7.3597.50; bulk of sales $7.0097.30; top. $7.50. Cattle receipts, B50; compared with a week ago: Beef steers steady to 25 cents lower; she stock generally steady; bulla strong to 25 cents higher; veals mostly 25 cents higher; stockers and feeders 15 to 25 cents higher. Sheep receipts, none. Compared with a week ago: Lambs 60 to 75 cents higher; Sheep and yearlings, $1.50 to $1.75 higher; feeders 75 cents to $1.00 higher. Seattle Livestock Market. SEATTLE. JanaJ4. Cattle and bogs steady, no receipts, no price changes. Cotton Consumption Larger. WASHINGTON, D. C, Jan, 14. Cotton consumed during December amounted to 611,000 bales ot lint and 41,608 of linters. compared with 295.202 of linj and 27,287 of linters consumed in December a year ago, the census bureau announced today. Phone your want ads to The Ore gonian. Main 7070. Automatic 660-36. WEEK SEES TRADE MICE RESTORED Pick-Up of Orders in Steel Is Predicted Freely. OUTLOOK IS OPTIMISTIC Sloncy Rates Cause Rise in Prices for United States Bonds, in New Tork Markets. BT STUART P. WEST. ."(Copyright. 1922. by The Oregonlan.) NEW YORK, Jan. 14. (Special.) Mar ket movements during the past week have not thrown much new light upon ttie out look for the new year, but they hive ef fectually disposed ot any hesitation that mifht have been felt because of the dis appointing drop of prices in the opening days of 1922. The opinion expressea s week ago has been fully borne out, namely that the sagging then In the stock market was partly the natural reaction after a month or more of advance, and partly an expression of rather unreasoning, dis appointment in speculative Quarters, be cause the new J(ear did not begin imme diately with revival on the stock exchange The week has seen the balance restored. Professional tradero had sold out their stocks by the beginning of .the eriod, and many of them had gone short. The talk ot further reaction was so in the air that the public was frightened off the buying side, but the more Important stock owning Interests were not selling. Holdings Bought Back. - In fact, on the part of this element, there was considerable buying back of noldlrgs on which profits had temporarily been taken In December. Thus the inside position of the market became very strong again, and tnlswas clearly enough re vealed In the price movement during the latter barf of the week. The first ten days or two weeks of January is always the inventory-taking in, terval. It is not a time when normally business operations are starting up. The fact, therefore, that so far the new year has brougnt no inaications 01 luwner uaue recovery Is not. In the leat surprising Steel snd Iron authorities say the mills are running on a somewhat less percentage of active capacity than they were last month. But they still believs that after the Inventory period is over orders will commence to pick up. What la true o! steel is true of muny other lines. It will not be until the latter part of January and the early part of February that much will De known, one way or the other, as "to whether hopes of trade im provement has been warranted. Money Rates Influence Bonds. In past years January has more often than not been a month ot rising prices, both in stocks and bonds. This was the rule when money rates were the para mount influence. Money flowing back from the Interior to swell the Wall-street (supply was a stim,lu to investment and in encouragement also to speculative ac tivities. Frequently those January booms would last over into February, to be fol lowed by reaction extending through the month of Starch. Then the money sup ply would again be diverted for temporary use in the spring trade and in the spring crop planting, and restriction otaa-bank credits would be the rock upon whiCTi the Wall-street campaigns would come to grief. But these old-time schedules no longer apply now. There is no precedent which counts for much with the strain and ex haustion of an unparalleled war. The course of money rates has been, and will continue; the main Influence upon bond prices. Thls-week has seen United States war loans, some of them at the best price ever reached, others at highest level since the turn in the investment situation ossne saveral months ago. Stocks Reflect Optimism. The stock market Is not concerned as it used to be with the money market, but rather with the courso of trade. Its ad vance this weak is tantamount to a vote of confidence that those are right who think that 1922 will be a year of slow, gradual Improvement, that competition for new business will be sharp enough to keep down prices so that there will be no larw orofits. but that for manufacturing "and mercantile establishments which have written off their losses ana are in gooa shape at the banks. It will be a favorable year. - The change in the French government, from a group disposed to work disinter estedly for economic restoration In Europe to a group which takes a much narrower and more selfish view, is certainly not a pleasing development. It has lad no more effect an the markets generally, only because financial circles have never al lowed themselves to become too encour aged about what would be accomplished at Cannes or at the stilt more Important ennf.rence which is to meet In Genoa th month after next. The party and thlaj Includes the commercial ana iinanciai in terests of the whole world that would like to see the German reparations modi fled; so that the German markets couldJ opened up. has received a setback. German Exchange Drops. How severe this check will prove re mains to be seen. The decline In German exchange during the week is. ,of course, one symptom which carries its own in terpretation. On the other hand, the strength of sterling and the way In which French franca have stood up in the face of the political crisis, are suggestive of hope that the plans to bring about a gen eral commercial conciliation through Eu rope will not be seriously Interferred with The federal reserve banks did Dot mark down their discount rates at this week s meeting as anticipated. ut action 01 un sort can hardly be delayed with the reserve percentage up to nearly 75 per cent, as against 71 per cent a week ago, and 4H per cent last year at this time. In con nection with the recovery In the banking p.,llirn the figur-s lor the yea's ex 1 Is and imports of gold are of Interest. Ex cess of Imports over exports were $67, 317 000 In 1021. where In 1020 they were 1112 000.000. This altogether unprecedented addition to our gold stock representing of course, the settlement of trade debts by tbe rest of the world has been an even larger factor than either the reduc tion of $7,600,000.00 in rediscounts at the federal banks, or the $900,000,000 decrease in note circulation. BAN FRANCISCO PRODUCE MARKET F rices Corrent on Vegetables, Fresh Fruits, F.tc, at Bay City. SAN FRANCISCO, Jan. 14. (State di vision of markets Fruit Apples. 84 and 4-tler. $1.40 3.50; navel oranges $2.505; lemons, $1.50 3.75; grapefruit. $2 6094.75; cranberries, box,. $4.5093.50; pears, box. $293.60. ' Vegetables Artichokes, case, $10921; aeans. pound. 10 918c; carrot, sack. 90c 1; celery, crate, $3.:0n Oil; cucumbers, small box, $1.209 3.M: CKKPlsnt, pound. (9l.c; lettuce, small crate. fl2.."in; mushrooms, small box, 309 5c; olives, pound, 5y9c: onions, brown, cwt.. $5.60 6; white globe. $6.5091' 7.T.0; peas, pound. 15917c; bell pepsw.rs. pound. 092."ic; po tstoes, $2.0092.85; pumpkins, sack. 75c $t; rhubarb, box, $2.53; squash, sum mer, smalt crate. $3l3.50; hubbard, sack, $19150: sprouts, pound, 7''a.9c: spinach, pound. 9910c; tomatoes, crate, $2.2.2..'0. Poultry Broilers, 83 9 38c; roosters, young, 24932c; old, 17 9 20c: hens. 2Hj 2c; ducks, 22 9 25c; turkeys, live. 86 9 41; dressed. 40 9 50c. Receipts Flour, 6932 quarter sacks; wheat, 849 centala; barley, 2759 centals; corn, 1116 centals; hay, 50 tons; potatoes. 6132 sacks: onions, 120 sacks; hides, 38; oranges and lemons. 2MH) boxes; livestock. 1030 head. - QUOTATIONS, ON DAIRY PRODUCE Current Prices Ruling on Batter, Cheese and Eggs. BAN FRANCISCO, Jan. 14. Dairy pro duce exchange closed NEW lUrlrv, Jan. I. Duller, iirm, creamery higher than extras, 20 38 c ; creamery extras, S79374c; first, 32x9 36 So. Eggs, steaay. Cheese, firm. CHICAGO, Jan. 14. Butter, higher: creamery extras, 34c; firsts, 28 9 33c; sec onds, 25927c; standards, 32c. Eggs, higher: receipts, 7199 cases: firsts. 38c; ordinary firsts, 32934c; miscellaneous, 30 9 37c; refrigerator firsts, 22925c. SEATTLE), Jan. IC. Eggs, select local The Orient is nearer now Enjoy greater9 speed and comfort across the Pacific on your ships NOW is the time to plan a trip to the Orient. Nownew American ships have made more ac cessible fo you the mysteries, the fascinations, and the sheer beauties of the East. New U. S. Govern ment owned ships have cut a thousand miles from the journey. Now in 1 1 days you can go from Seattle) tft Yokohama gateway to wonderful Japan. Luxurious appointments prevail on these great ships 21,000 ton oil-burners and they offer all the comforts and facilities of the very best hotel. They are among the finest ships afloat. The service aboard is unexcelled on the seas. And this year, with the value of the American dollar at its peak, you can do more for less than ever before. You' should send the inform ation blank below and learn about the opportunity American ships have brought to Americans now. For accommodationt and tailing tt addrat ytntr local agent or The Admiral Line JT State Street, New Tork City L. C. Smith Bldg., Seattle. Walk. Mfinaoing Orern tnr fnr U. S. SHIPPING Information Office 1 ou unu o unaer no oongatun. ranch, white sheila, 30 32c; do mixed colors, 3c; pullets, 2St(-i. Butter, city creamery cubes, 33c? bricks or prints. 34c Large Decrease in Excels Reserves. NEW TORK. Jan. 14. The actual con dition of the clearing house banks and trust companies for the week shows that they hold $10, 158,300 in excess of lrnal requirements. This is a decrease of $40,- 565,870 from last week. Naval Stores. PAVAVMAH, Ga.. .Tan. 14. Turpentine firm. K3c: nalc. receipts, 32; ship ments 6; stock, 12,732. Rc.sln firm ; sales, 729 ; receipts, 102fl ; shipments, ltS7; stock. S5.101. Quote: Port Calendar. To Arrive Ftemer ' Seine Ma.ru Colusa He in Maru Borg.and m. s.).... Admiral Rodman... Nitcheroy Merlden West Xotui Nyansa Tli, Koo-eve;t (m. s.) 'Admiral Evans ... Moerdyk Ktlgar Luckenbacb. . Nepnnset Fuku Maru Mnxlro Tricolor Saint Joseph Cape Romain Haute Luckenbacb... Hawick Hall West Henshaw .... Kennecott m. s.)..., Harry Luckenbacb. . . Steel Ma-lner H. S. Grove Rakyo Maru , To Depart F at Portland. From .Norfolk . . , San Fran. . . . Japan .ChriHtl&nla .. , Seattle .Vancouver .St-Httie . San Fran. . . . .Gaiventon . . . .Antwerp .... . San Diego. . . .SfHttl .New York. .. New York... .Orient ...... . San Fran . . . . . Sun Fran. . . . .Europe . Baltimore .New Orleans. .Orient .Eureka , New York. . . . , New York . . . , New York. . . New York... .Orient Due, .Jan. 15 .Jan. 15 .Jan. 15 .Jan. 15 .Jan. 16 .Jan. 17 .Jan. 17 .Jan. 17 .Jan. 18 .Jan. 18 .Jan. 19 .Jan. 10 .Jan. 20 .Jan. 20 .Jan. 20 -Jan. 21 .Jan. 21 .Jan. 21 .Jan 23 .Jan. 24 .Jan. 25 .Jan. 25 ..Jan. 27 .Jan. 30 .Jan. 30 .Jan. 30 .Jan. 30 roin Portland. For. Date .Orient Jan. 16 .Orient Jan. 17 .S. F.-Way....Jan 18 .San Diego.... Jan 21 ,.San Fran Jan. 23 . Mt'X. ports. . ..Jan. 23 Steamer Brazil Maru West Keats Admiral Rodman. Admiral Evana... Rone City Mexico Vessels Id Port. Steamer American Bablnda (M.S.).... Krarport Brazil Maru Ed more Georjfina Rolph . . . . Daisy Mathews.... llamer Hanna Nielsen ... Henriette (sell.)... Holland Maru Johau Poulsn.... Julia Luckenbacb. Kinkasan Maru Klso Maru La Purislma Las ega Montague - Mexican . Oregon Fir (sea.). r. J Hanna Shasta ........... Undaunted (sch.) . . West Keat Berth. .Terminal No. 1. Terminal No. 2. , Dry doc It. . Port.aitif Flour, mills. , Vegetable oil dock. . A 1 rer dock. . Harvey dool'. .Shell Oil dock. . Inman-Pouien mllL . Ciark-Wilaon miiL . Irving dock. .Wesi port. . WeMport. .St. Helens. . Harvey dock. .Standard Oil dock. . Peninsula mill. . Terminal No. 4. .Astoria. . Clark-Wilson milU .Gas dock. .S. P. siding. . Penlmuia mill. .Terminal No. 4. "Tri ai ' 1 J4 (Rpgular service between Tortland, Maine; Philadelphia. New York and I.oa Angeles, San Francisco, Portland Seattle and Taooina via the Panama canal.) North Atla western rv ?. o. s eauv-ton sicci K.vsiuoi VU From Portland. Or. WEST IM.F.TA.. . Jan. 2 t lll.ll IMKROH, Feb. 12 SPKllV t.Klh;i,l. . Feb. 17 Vnw It'iirth.r THE AD.MIR AL LIMU, 101 Third Street. COMPANIA NAVIERA MEXICAN A S. A. Announces Snillna; of 10O-A 1VO. 1 U.OVDS STKEI, S. S. "MEXICO" On or About January 23. l'-'2 Freight and passenger (first-clasa and uteerHfre) service. From Portland, Or., to the following Mexican ports GUAYMAS, MAZATLAN, MANZANILLO, . " ACAPULCO, SALINA CRUZ As Freight offerinRs May Warrant. For Freight Hates, Apply to PAN-AMERICAN LINE 806 Lewis Bids;. SI B AtiK.VTS Phone Bdwy. 3.SS7-4H70 Oregon-Pacific Company Agents tor TOYO KISEN KAISHA And Joint Service ot HOLLAND-AMERICA LINE and ROYAL MAIL STEAM PACKET COMPANY Bailings fdf Japan, China and West Coast South America, and United Kingdom and European Ports General Freight and Passenger Office 103 WUcei Bids. Broadway ."29. Portland, Or. BOARD 130 AP Washington, D. C. Write for Booklet Tour Government W the nam of every pronpectiv traveler. If you ar considering an ocean voyage anyvKere, tend the information blank note. You trill receive without cost the Government booklet of authentic travel informa tion and literature telling of thing to ce in foreign land. B, T K. F. O. H. T. K, $4; M, 1475; N, WO. $3.75; WW, $. Dried Fruit at w Tork. NEW TORK, Jan. 14. Evaporated apple-, firm. Prunen, qotM. Apricots and peachea, firm. HnlHtns. dull. DAILY METEOROLOGICAL REPORT PORTLAND, Or., Jan. 14. Maximum temperature, 30 degree, minimum tem perature, 28 degrees. River reading, 8 A. M., 38 feet; change in laM 24 hours, 0.3 foot rise. Total rainfall 3 P. M. to 5 P. M )).) none; total rainfall since Sep tember 1, 11)21, 20.33 inches; normal rain fall Since September 1, 22.4t Inches; de ficiency of rainfall since September 1, V.rzx, 2 11 Inches. Sunrise. 7:50 A. M. ; sunset, 4.51 V. M. ; total sunshine, 0 hours 1 minute; pnjwlbl sunshine, 9 hours I minute. Barometer (reduced to sea level), 5 P. M.. 30.2U inches. Relative humidity: 5 A. iM., 74 per cent; noon, 63 per cent; 5 P. M.. 55 pr cent. THB W BAT Ha ft. 6. K fl Wind is s a I 3 STATIONS. gj 2 3 !S i ? I : ; Wasthia I II -IHI it iear itlnudT 20:0.00 . ,W 3ll T. I2;sv Zil'O.OOI. . 411:0. H:C2iSW .".4,0. 0O. . K ah o.oninii w B 0.0OI. .1 64 O.0II . .la 4II0.0O 181 NW Ifoston 'alirary Chicago Denver H'lear Pt. cloud) ICiear Pt. cloudy Clear Des Moines. Kureka .... Galvrittori .. Helena .... Juneaut Kansas City Cloudy l-leur .-Clear tan - St 0.OOI14IN w Clear Los Angelesi It'i). no . . sw iiN 0.00 . . NW l0 0.01)1. . w Stlj T. 24.NW ittt n no 4 Cloudy Marshllelil Mi-rtford . M innenpoU Pt. c oudv Cloudy Pt. eloudv New Orleans Clear New York. 34 '0. l) IS soio.ooj. . HKiO.OO . . K'lear North Head V M 1 1.' I e u r Phoenix ... Pocatelio . . Portland .. . Knsehurff Sacramento St. Louis, . . Salt l.uke... San Diego. . N li't. cloudy NWiClear 2U 0 .00(1 .ti' II . Ull It' irM.u,. 44.0.74.. N Pt. cloudy 411 O.OlH. . kSK ICloudy 'O.UO.SIii.NW Clear 2k!o.ooi NWiClear ii;ti.oi. mi o. Oil!. anio.ooi. S Pt. cloudf S. Francisco NW (Cloudy Sesttie Sltkat . Spokane Tacoma Tatooh INB Clear 2h;....i. INI T. . sti'n on!. NWlCloudy ! loudy Isl 420.00!3H:NE iClear Valdezt .... Walla Walla Washington Winnipeg 12N . mo. ool. 8l 0 01); . 12 0.0OI. W (cloudy S Clr NW Clear Taklni il il) . 00 N Cloudy tA. M. today. JI M. report preceding day. FORECASTS. Portland and vicinity Fair and con tinued coid; northerly winds. Oretron Fair except probably rain southwest portion ; continued coid north and east portions; moderate northerly winds. Washington Fair, continued cold; mod ernT northerly win. is. I MSMt-T wsf M' W'.'''r- VK-uw-'-VVfi; O-C JirwrTir- ' 'f -r.-JT Boston. Orceon : .ntlc and teuft"" v& i-" i;Tnfii:n Kroin From From Portland, Me. Boston. J'htla. AflTIOAS Jn. 2H Feb. I Feb. 41 nil Ml I'rb. Ill Feb. IS Feb. SO I.KI1IC.II Feb. 2 Mar. I Mar. 7 Information Annlv to Pacific. Coaot Agents, I'hone Broadway MSI. 1 1 INFORMATION BLANK To U. S. Shipping Bosrd loformsttoo Ofljce Washington, D. C 130 AP Ple arnd without obllratton the lT. S. Government Booklet pivinir travel f&cUanU also information regarding' the U.S. Government hip. I am cousideriniT a trip to The Orient to turopei. to South AnirricnG. I would travel ut rlHa. d O. M D. Goinir alone'.) with funnly V2 with otheraQ I have definitely decided to iron, lam merely considering the pottibility of a trip . if I ffo date will be about My Ka me My Street JVo. or R. F. D, Town State , V" Passenger and Freight Service to California Through Suillnss to San Krnnolaco, I. os Anajelra nnd Sun DleKo. Leave Munlt ipul Dock No. 2. 4 1. M. SS. Admiral Evans - Jan. 21 SS. Senator ----- Jan. 28 SS. Admiral Evans - - Feb. 4 And fcvery Mulurduy Thereafter. I.ornl Service to MtRMII IK1.I), 111 IIKK A. AM) SA.N' !' RA Ml SCO Admiral Rodman - - Jan. 18 Every 14 liny) Therenfter. Fast Trans-Pacific Passen ger and Freight Service Yokohama, Kobe, Plinnavhal. llongkung and Mnnlla "Hills: from brattle. SS. Silver State Feb. 4 SS. Pine Tre State, Feb. 18 SS. Wenatchee Mar. 4 For full Informntlon apply to 101 Third St., Corner Stark 1'hone Hdwy. 04NI. SMI FRANCISCO TO THE ORIENT oriU..S.(governmentShtps """heSunhineBelt Sailings from San Francisco To llnnnUiln. Yokohama, Kobe, Shanghai, Manila, and lion Konc. Umpire State Feb. 7 IlooKlrr State March 4 tiolden Sllite Mnrch 25 T. 4f9lw!is, Umtta, .S'tnoapurs. Calcutta and Colvmb m Wolverine Stale Jan. IS t or Itseriptiv booklet, mdrlrtm PACIFIC MAIL S.S.Ca MS California St., San Francisco, I'al. 10 Hauover Suuare, New York City Managing Optrattm for U. S. SHIPPING BOARD, Newark to Soufli America onHlS.QovzrnmentSliips Fastest Time to Riode Janeiro. Montevideo and Buenos Aires. Hinet ships- American service American food Amerii-an comforts. Sail inrs from I'ier , llobokrn. routhern t'roNS. . , . Jan. 10, Mar. 16 Aeolus Feb. t. Mar. SO Iliiroo Feb. IK, Apr. 13 American Lesion. .Mar. 2, Apr. 27 ' Fnr drtrriptli' booklet, addrest Munson Steaosliij) Lines 67 Wall St, New York City Manaoiwt Ciprrnfnr for LU. S. SHIPPING BOARDJ HONOLULU From Seattle. 8. S. I.urllne (lll.OOII toim) Feb. !.Mh. laliln Katrs, :0 and I00. MATS ON NAVIGATION CO. Seattle, (And All Authorized Ticks Offices). AUSTRALIA ttoiioliiln, ISuva, Sew ZmlanU, The I'ulaliul l'utrii.t-r Mrmiicn R. M. . M U. AKA K. 31. ft. MAKIKV 20,0K) Toiih. I3,5ttu Tuita. bail From Vnnroavrr, is. Far rate Htiil haihnai oopl v Can. Pmr. KK TI.U.I a.. n... I 1 ... "tus.. I diun-AuMmHan Ko at Mail Line, 741 tianlii.Ka bt. rt.t, itur.itivrr, H.-i:. ASTORIA AND WAY POINTS Ft earner borvlr. Lt. nall.T (Fxeept Saturday) 7:!tA P. L plndld Sleeping Accommoditlotu. Connections Made for Al. Nona and boutta ttraca Points. Fare 1.K5 Karh Vsmy, 3 Kmind Trip. JdVr-ht. Dork. Broadway 634A. 1h9 llarkius Transportation Co. 111 te:.v? V i 4