J
K
V
VOL. XXXV.-XQ. 45. PORTLAXD, OKEGOX, SUNDAY MORNING, XOVE3IBER 5, 1916. : PKICE FIVE CEXTs!
l
SIGHS INDICATE
HUGHES ILL 111
Prevailing Sentiment in
48 States Analyzed.
270 VOTES BELIEVED SURE
Chicago Tribune Obtains Re
ports of Unprejudiced Po
litical Observer.
STRONG REACTION IS NOTED
Early Democratic Gains Off
set by Reaction to Re
publicans at Close.
SUMMARY OF" FOllECASTS OF
CAMPAIGN' MANAGERS.
William R. Willcox, Repub
lican chairman Predicts Hughes
will have majority of at least 100
ln electoral college, and that it
imay be more.
Vance McCormick. Democratic
chairman Estimates that 30
states are surely Democratic, nine
more probably Democratic and
three doubtful. He concedes only
six states to the Republicans.
Alvin T. Hert. Western Repub
lican manager Predicts Repub
licans wilt carry SO states. Insur
ing majorfty in Electoral College,
with "probability" of carrying
Nebraska, and possibility of Col
orado, Maryland, Montana, Ne
vada and Arizona.
Senator Walsh. Western Demo
cratic manager Predicts Wilson
will have greatest popular major
ity ever given a candidate for
President.
John C. Everman, Republican
Congressional Cam Dai en secre
tary Believes Republicans will
control next House by majority
of 45.
BY ARTHUR SEARS HENNING.
(Published by Arrangement With the
Chicago Tribune.)
CHICAGO, Nov. 4. (Special.)
Hughes and Fairbanks will be elected
next Tuesday, according to the sur
face indications of the prevailing po
litical sentiment in the 48 states.
If Wilson and Marshall should win
it will be because of a much greater
shifting of Republican voters to Dem
ocratic ranks in the closely contested
states than has been detected by
painstaking investigation.
These Democratic gains have been
reduced materially in the last fort
night by a reaction in favor of
Hughes and have been offset to some
extent from the start by the swing of
Democratic votes to the Republican
National ticket.
Unprejudiced Reports Obtained.
The Chicago Tribune has obtained
detailed reports on the, conditions in
every state on the eve of the elec
tion. These reports were prepared by
unprejudiced political experts whose
(Concluded
on Page 7. Column 1.)
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I t , . "".""""
DOLLAR LOSES 31
CENTS IN VALUE
CHARITIES FIND PURCHASING
rOWEK MUCH REDUCED.
Staple Foods Listed on Basis of Xu
tritive Value Show Large In
crease In .Price In Year.
CHICAGO. Nov. 4. (Special.) The
American dollar has lost 31 cents in
purchasing power in the last year. One
dollar goes no further than 69 cents
went a year ago when used in buying of
food, according to an investigation
which has been made by district secre
taries of the United Charities. The in
vestigation began with the comparson
of the povernment table of food values
in calories, a table prepared by scien
tists of the University of Chicago, and
another table worked out by the United
Charities. t
From these tables the district secre
taries listed all staple foods upon their
proper nutritive basis. The same offi
cials are now considering the relative
costs of clothing and household furnish
ings.
r lve cents apiece for eggs and 50
cents a pound for butter next month is
said to be the prediction of James E.
wertz. a Chicago produce dealer, who
is reputed to be the largest owner of
eggs in the world. Wertz also declared
that there is no corner in eggs and that
the present and expected hieh nrir..
depend entirely upon the relation of
tne supply to the demand.
RECORD PAYMENTS MADE
Garfield County Mortgages Satisfied
In Two Months $209,000.
POMEROY, Wash.. Nov. 4. (Special.)
The cash payment on mnrli..
Garfield County during September and
October aggregated J209.422.43, accord
ing to the records in the County Audi
tor's office. Of this amount $111,749.50
went to satisfy mortgages on real es
tate, and the remaining J97.67S.9a
release incumbrances on personal prop
erty. v v
This is a record of debt-pavine- r,rh.
Y. 1 . . .
"ver Deiore equaled durin
rig an
enure year.
GRAPE CROP CUT SHORT
Loss to Raisin Industry Estimated at
More Than $2,000,000.
FRESNO, Cal., Nov. 4. That h.l.n
25 and 30 per cent of the 1916 muscat
grape crop, valued between two and
two and a half million dollars, is a
total loss to the raisin industry as the
result of the early rains, was announced
here tonight by Wylle M. Giffen. presi
dent of the California Associated Raisin
Company.
Wineries have bought some of the
damaged grapes to . the extent of
Sl.000,000. .
BALLOT BOXES GO BY MAIL
Parcel Post With Insurance Feature
Used in Linn County.
ALBANY. Or., Nov. 4. (Special.)
The parcel post has- been utilized in
Linn County in sending out ballot
boxes and election supplies for the elec
tion next Tuesday. In this manner
Sheriff Bodine sent out the election
supplies for 18 precincts yesterday.
The boxes were sent insured so that
the Sheriff will have a check before
election day that all of the boxes have
reached their proper destination.
STUDENTS TO AID ALL IES
Hundred Stanford Men Volunteer for
' Ambulance Service.
STANFORD UNIVERSITY. Cal., Nov.
4. One hundred Stanford men. under
graduates for the greater part, volun
teered today for service in France with
the American ambulance corps. Forty
eight signed up definitely for service;
the other 52 have yet to obtain the
consent of parents.
Expenses are to. be paid by a group
of wealthy San Franciscans. The terms
'of service will be six months or more.
IN THE WEEK'S
LAST HUGHES RALLY
IS HEIGH DF GLORY
Theater Rings With Re
publican Cheers. .
PARTY YELL AND SONG MINGLE
Governor and Representative
McArthur Speak.
MULTORPORS TURN OUT
General Beebe Leads Vni formed
Marchers in Buttle Cry Chair
inn n Selling Cites Distress
Due to Democratic Parly.
Enthusiasm marked the formal close
of the Hughes campaign in this county
last night, when a crowd filled the
Eleventh-Street Theater and, with
cheers and applause, encouraged the
speakers and pledged their support to
the Republican standard-bearer. Few
meetings of the year have been more
notable for the spirit manifested than
that of last night.
Governor Withycombe and Represen
tative McArthur were the chief speak
ers. They made strong arguments why
Charles Evans Hughes should bo elect
ed next Tuesday and the Hughes sen
timents they expressed were approved
in unmistakable fashion by the big
crowd present.
Cheer for Hughes Ring.
The speakers gave particular refer
ence to the tariff issue and made re
peated reference to various concrete
cases wherein the Northwest has suf
fered through the operation of the
present Democratic tariff. Lumber.
shingles, livestock, wool, dairying and
other industries peculiar to Oregon
have been seriously damaged, they de
clared.
The meeting was well attended and
the crowd was enthusiastic. The names
of Hughes and Roosevelt were cheered
the echo whenever they were men
tioned.
ine speaKers were escorted to the
building by the white-uniformed Mul-
torpor Club, commanded by General
nanes jv. 5eete and led by a brass
band. On arriving there the band
played patriotic airs. The Ad Club
i""-1 original campaign songs
ana airs. Koblnson . with her timely
recitations provided some excellent en
tertainment. Ben Selling Presides.
Prominent Republicans, including
Ralph E. Williams, Thomas B. Neu
hausen. Charles B. Moores. nivM tw
Dunne. Captain W. II. Hardy. Judtre EL
V. Littlefield and others occupied seats
on the stage.
Ben Selling presided and was given
splendid ovation when he made his
appearance. He departed briefly from
his introductory speech to offer a lit
tle campaign argument of his own.
Just four years ago tonight." he
said, "this city was prosperous. Labor
was employed, business was good, real
estate had a value. We had more pros
perity in the last four years of Repub
lican rule in this country than we had
in any previous 10 years in its history.
"But soon after the inauguration of
President Wilson business became de
pressed, factories were closed and times
were bad. Many men. and good men.
too. were walking these streets with no
food and no place to lay their heads.
In a few short months we served more
than 400.000 meals to jobless men at
the Workingmen's Club. "Were it not
for the Europtan war these men would
be with us yet. Now they are em
ployed, but it is because of the war."
Mr. Selling told of a recent trip to
Europe, where he saw men and even
women working for 30, for 20 and for
(Continued on Page-10Column 1.)
NEWS THESE FEATURES STOOD FORTH ON THE VISION OF CARTOONIST REYNOLDS.
INDEX OFTODAFS NEWS
The Weather.
YESTERDAY'S Maximum temperature, 50
decrees: minimum. 40 degrees.
TODAY'S Occasional rain; moderate south
westerly winds.
Politics.
Chicago Tribune forecasts election of
Hughes. Section 1. page 1.
Portland's final Hughes rally big: success.
Section 1. page 1.
Western headquarters closed; both sides
predict victory. Section 1. page 8.
Portland betting swings to Hughes. Sec
tion 1, page 3.
Michigan worklngmen remember first days
of Underwood tariff. Section 1. page 4.
Issue In Washington Is much In doubt.
Section 1, page tf.
vvuson closes campaign with cry or "co
ercion." Section 1, page 4.
Yamhill County campaign closes with en
thusiastic rally at Carlton for Hughes.
Section 1, page 8.
Memories of hard times sway many voters.
Section 1, page 13. . ,
Straw votes show Hughes far in lead In
state. Section 1, page 9.
Soapbox wit draws street crowds. . Sec
tion 1. page I.
Mrs. Hanley Is at home with her babies.
Section 1. page 14.
Mexico.
Vllllsta Cdlonel and two companions exe
cuted. Section 1, page 6.
Oregon troops at f'alcxlco build Winter
quarters. Section 1. page 6.
American physician at Santa Rosalia killed
by Villa bandits. Section 1, page -.
National.
American dollar loses lit cents in purchas
ing power in year. Section 1, page 1.
factric Northwest.
Third annual horticultural show held at
Agricultural College. Section 1, page 7.
Domestic.
Britain said to have nipped German peace
move. Section 1. page 5.
hports.
Harvard easily defeats Virginia. Section 2.
page 2.
Defensive tactics u-d by both Washington
and Oregon elevens. Section 2. page 1.
Multnomah rallies and defeats Vancouver,
13-6. Section 2, page 2.
Illinois defeats Minnesota 14-H In Western
conference. Section 2. page 3.
Oregon Aggies rush Whitman to 23-0 de
feat. Section 1!. page 1.
Boxing rard arranged for Friday night.
Section 2. page ti.
Bezdek's men face hard games towards
close of season. Section 2. page 3.
Walter A. Gobs heads list of Portland ten
nis players. Section , page A.
California University wallops Southerners.
27 to 0. Section '1. page tt.
Amnt-ur Athletic I nlun will adopt rigid
rules. Section 2. page 5.
Three little girls able swimmers. Section
2. page 5.
Salt I.ake. leads in total runs scored. Sec
tion 2. page 4.
Mike Gibbons once earned only (13 a week.
Section 2, page 3.
Stanford team needs rally to win from
Santa Clara. Section 2. page 5.
Teams battle to scoreless tie at Kugene.
Section 1. pae 1.
Washington State mauls Idaho, 31 to 0.
section 2. page 2.
Commercial and Marine.
Car shortage stops wheat buying In North
, western markets.7 Section 2, page 15.
Chicago lower on lightness of export trad
lug. Section 2, page 13.
Stock market Irregular, with lighter trad
ing. Section 2. page 13.
Bullying of 46 new ships crsates big de
mand for wireless operatora. Section ,
age 16.
Mllla organize stevedoring company. Sec
tion 2, page 18.
Portland and Vicinity.
Four women are hurt when train hits auto
at Lents, section 1, page 1.
Battery A men ask why they are kept at
border. Section 1, page 18.
Wire will flash plea for Western women to
vote for Hughes. Section 1. page 18.
Jitney men to Invade council chamber In
force. Section 1. page 13.
Car shortage causes given by Interstate
commerce commission. section 1. page
11.
Drys in all parts of country cite Oregon
Improvement under prohibition. Section
1. page 12.
Auditorium pipe organ is wonderful. Sec
tion 1. page 14.
Firemen's two-platoon campaign secretary
answers Chief Holden. Section 1. page 19.
Assessor Reed predicts defeat of single tax
by ICMI.OOO. Section 1, page 18.
Suit brought for protection of heirs to Chan
ticleer Inn property. Section 1. pae 23.
Shippers and railroads are . to take same
stand in Spokane rate case. Section 1.
page 20.
Tax rate In Portland estimated at 27.13
mills. Section 1. page 22.
Railway Age-Gazette criticises Adamson
law. Section 1, page 22. .
List of polling p:aces In Multnomah County
Section 1. page 17.
Longshoremen call off strike and will re
port for work tomorrow. Section 1
page 1, '
Weather report, data and forecast. Sec
tion 2. page J.
Norwegians make coal from paper mill resi
due. Section 1, page 7.
ELECTION DAY TO BE FAIR
Washington Forecast Favorable to
Nearly All Parts of Country.
' WASHINGTON. Nov. 4. Fair wea
ther is predicted for nearly all parts
of the country on election day.
This forecast was made in a bulle
tin issued by the Weather Bureau at
Washington today.
LONGSHOREMEN TO
RETURN TO WORK
Strike Is Called Off and
Scale Adopted.
PARITY WITH SOUND ASSURED
Unions Decide to Make Order
Effective Tomorrow.
MEDIATORS TO GO HOME
Coaling Problem Is Believed to Ito
Kas' r Settlement, as Port and
Men Are Now Nearly of
Same Mind on Issue.
Portland is placed on a parity with
Puget Sound in the matter of charges
for handling cargo of all vessels
through t.,e action of Longshoremen's
Lnion No. 6 laet night In voting to
end the strike and report for work to
morrow morning, the scale to be 60
cents an hour straight time and 75
cents an hour overtime.
The move accomnliohn. i .
' 1 mo iiitftin
what commercial interests have striven
Tor and have been unable to bring
about. Much credit
adjustment of the situ. tin., i. .
V O Connor, president of the Inter
national Longshoremen's Association,
and officers of the union, who have la
bored diligently during the past week
to bring employers and emplove, to
gether., and a special meeting of more
than 225 members of Local No. 6 ended
last night with a vote to start anew.
Other In Ion. j KfTori.
The determination to jo their ss.iare
toward ridding the port of the differ
ential complained of is not confined
to Portland, but extends to the mouth
of the Columbia. Astoria and Rainier
unions concurring !n the decision.
"The understanding was arrived at
when the men learned of logical argu
ments offered fcr th ......1 ......
tho entire river district be placed on
an equality with their northern com
petitor. Puget Sound." said Mr. O'Con
nor last night, "Now it Is a matter
for the commercial interests of the ter
ritory, and all vitally concerned in di
recting the trade, to undertake the
elimination of whatever other features
remain that are alleged to drive busi
ness from here.
Coaling; Problem Is x.
"One of those, as I understand it Is
the matter of coaling vessels on the
same basis as on Puget Sound. It
seems to me that can be taken care of
by methods already under consideration
by the port authorities.
"I feel that the men have exhibited
tho proper spirit In agreeing to put
Portland on the map once more, and if
both sides will forget the past I feel
confident it will be easy sailing."
All details of the settlement were not
made public last night, but In the long
shoremen going on record as agree
able to resuming work on the scale
that Is identical with Puget Sound, it
is felt that the termination of the labor
difficulty naves the wnv ....
- J V .VIILCI ieu
action In bringing about benefits that
will return to Portland her former trade
in deepwater zones once normal condi
tions are restored abroad.
Obstacles Believed Removed.
The Port of Portland Commission, is
understood to be prepared to undertake
the rnalinir nf vascpIb r n V . .
as in the north, and that la viwri nnw
as the last obstacle.
The longshore strike was called June
1. and while the men returned to work
on a compromise for a short time the
second walkout took place about June
9 TV, .rl.l.,.1 - . 1 . -
. mo uiibiuai uuuia.iua H TIC lor H O
cents an hour straight time and l an
PoncItidvi on Page s, fuluinn 'J.
("" vS s7Vr -
I
TRAIN HITS AUTO;
FOUR WOMEN HURT
MOUNT SCOTT CARS WMECK MA
CHINE IN" LENTS CRASH.
Accident Occurs as Party Is Return
ing I Voi ii Funeral Two Vic
tims Seriously Injured.
Four women were injured, two seri
ously, in a collision between a Mount
Scott train and an automobile driven
by W. B. Sloan, of Bellrose. Or., at
Woodstock avenue and Ninety-second
street Southeast, in Lents, at 6:15
o'clock last night.
The injured were: Mrs. L. H. French,
of Bellrose, broken collarbone and
bruised head; Mrs. A. Fields, of Wil
son, Or., wrenched back: Mrs. Anton
Ritzinger. of Kendall station, thrown
from automobile and bruised, and Mrs.
W. B. Sloan, head bruised slightly.
The automobile party were on their
way home from a funeral when the
accident occurred.
The first the auto party saw of the
car was when it came around a blind
corner on Woodstock avenue. Mr.
Sloan tried to cross the track ahead of
the car, but it struck his left hind
wheel and threw his machine onto the
sidewalk, where it skidded up against
the Multnomah Stato Bank.
Patrolman Reid called the Ambulanc
Service Company and Mrs. French, Mrs.
Fields and Mrs. Sloan were taken to
the Good Samaritan Hospital. Mrs.
French was unconscious from fright
and shock. Mrs. Hitzinger was taken
home by a friend.
Mrs. French. Mrs. Fields and Mrs.
Ritzinger were riding In the rear seat
of the machine. Mrs. Sloan was with
her husband, who escaped without in
jury. Mr. Sloan Is an employe of the Pa
cific Telephone & Telegraph Company.
His automobile was badly wrecked.
BETTING FAVORS HUGHES
Odds Ten to Seven in New Vork,
Willi Unlimited Offerings.
NEW YORK. Nov. 4. (Special.)
Hughes continues to be the favorite in
the election betting. The prevailing
odds at the close of the market today
were:
Ten to seven that Hughes will bo
elected.
Five to three that Hughes will carry
New York state.
Three to one that Whitman will be
elected Governor. , S
Ten to nino that Wilson will carry
Ohio.
Unlimited sums of Republican money
was offered today In brokerage houses
and on the Broad-street curb market at
odds of ten to seven that Hughes will
bo elected President.
FAMOUS FRENCHMAN DEAD
Marquis de Breteuil, I'riend of Kins.
Had American Wife.
PARIS. Nov. 4. The Marquis Henri
do Breteuil. a famous personage in
Parisian society and Intimate friend ot
the lato King Edward of Hngland. Is
dead.
Marquis de Breteuil married Miss
Garner, of New York. 25 years ago. He
enjoyed the friendship of many mem
bers of the royal family of Xngland
and frequently entertained them in
France. He served with distinction in
the Franco-Prussian War of 1S70, was
a Knight of the Legion of Honor, and
twice was a member of the Chamber of
Deputies.
BRITAIN TO MAKE STEEL
Independence of America by Next
March UorecHst.
LONDON. Nov. 4. By next March
Groat Britain will be independent of
American steel, said Dr. Christopher
Addison. Parliamentary Secretary of
Munitions, in an Interview, discussing
the work of the Ministry of Munitions.
The augmented munitions programme
for the coming year, said Dr. Addison,
would require 315.000 additional men
workers and 100.000 more women.
TEAMS BATTLE IN
10 TO 0-0 TIE
Big Coast Classic Is
Punting Contest.
EUGENE GRIDIRON QUAGMIRE
Oregon and Washington Elev
ens Equally Matched.
BEZDEK MEN MISS CHANCE
Slippery Pigskin Lost on Visitors
One-Yard Llnc Beckelt Fig
ures in Only Long Run.
Uunibles Are Numerous.
BY ROSCOE FAWCF.TT.
EVGENK, Or.. Nov. 4. (Special.)
Oregon and Washington battled to a
0-0 tie this afternoon in a game that
ran the gridiron gamut from mud lo
mediocrity and back lo mud again.
Close to 6000 spectators braved the
wintry weather lo witness the big
football game of the Coast and most
of them filed away In the muck and
rain, colder, quieter and more dampish
than when Ihey entered the enclosure.
and. on the whole, much disappointed
at the exhibition.
Kincald Field was a quagmire as
result of an all-night soiree of rain.
Although the clouds dried up in the
forenoon, tho heavens began to leak
again about midway in the good battle.
As a result, fumbling was frequent on
both sides toward the close.
Teams Kvrsly Matched.
The open style of pl:y forward
and double passing was hardly
touched, and on the few occasions (he
rival strategists attempted something
fancy; imagine a flying fish trying to
sink a battleship and you have the
picture.
Analytically speaking, there was lit
tle to choose between the two elevens.
It was a tic game a game of much
punting, and that's all anybody couid
make out of it. However, it must b
said It was a much more evenly con
tested affair than that other famou.1
0-0 battle between Washington and the
Oregon Agglcs a couple of years ago
more even from an Oregon viewpoint.
Fans Receive Scares,
Followers of both camps received
their scares. Oregon had a splendid
opportunity to win In the third quar
ter when Chlng Johnson muffed on
of Beckett's punts on his own 30-yard
line. An Oregon player recovered, and
with the wind blowing quite a breesn
toward the Purp;o goal, to the south
only 30 yards distant, the wearera of
the chrysanthemums in the grandstand.!
and bleachers uvt up a terrific hulla
baloo. Parsons tore off five yards around
left end; Montieth pierced tho right
side for one. and "Shy" Huntington
ato off three yards on right tackle.
With the ball on Washington's 21-yard
line, and one yard to go. Gil Dobic'a
Adam's apple must have experienced a
terrible few seconds. "Shy" Hunting
ton threw away the golden opportunity
by fumbling on the fourth down, and
Washington immediately punted out of
danger.
Oregon came within s hen's hind leg
of victory once before late in the sec
ond quarter when Parsons fell on an
inside kick on Washington's one-yard
line.
Kumlale Saves liny for Iiohle.
Johnny might just as well have tried
to catch an eel with boxing gloves. The
ball squirted out from beneath him
and Risley fell on W. Risiey was not
eligible to touch It. however, us lie
wes In front of Beckett when he
punted, and the officials rightly ruled
(Concluded, on Page 1. Cnlumn l.