12 T1IJK HUSDAI OKJiUOMAA', I'OKTJLAMJ, .NUVliJIJJJSK 3, 1013. El .U ADMITS RESULT OF DOUBT Forecasters Admit Possibili tiss of Changes and Hold Silent Vote Enigma. ' STATE SITUATIONS COUNT Taft's Known Views on Tariff May Help Him With Protection Dem ocrats BrIIlant Campaign jranagement Lacking. f Continued From First Pee.) renters around the vast silent rote in the Republican part? and the silent In dependent vote that Is present in every campaign. No one knows how this silent 'tote will go. No one knows whether It will be cast to any consider able decree, or whether It will be un recorded, and if it Is cast, no one knows for which candidate the bulk of It will be cast. The light Republican- primary vote in riiunv elates, on its face, fore shadowed a light Republican vote In November, but the light primary vote does r.ot necessarily mean a light vote on Tuesday. Further uncertainty grows out of the presence of the third party In the field parly whose candidate Is tremendous ly popular with a large element of the oeoDle. but whose strength as the leader of a bolting party is difficult to ascertain. Having broken with the Republican uarty. Colonel Roosevelt win not eet near the vote he would have received had he. and not Taft, been nominated by the Republican Na tional convention at Chicago. It is also certain that he will not. in some states at least, get the vote he received In the primaries, when he was running as a Republican and not as a third party candidate. AVAS.HIXGTOX IS DESERTED Secretary libber Only Cabinet Mem ber in Capital Election Day. WASHINGTON, Nov. 2. The close of the campaign finds Washington prac tically deserted of ail high Govern ment officials. President Taft, after voting In Cincinnati, will not return to the capital until next Thursday. Mrs. Taft and Miss Helen Taft probably will hear the" returns at the Summer White House at Beverly. Robert, the eldest son. at Harvard. and Charles, the younger, at Horace Taft's School, prob ably will not Join her. Secretary Fish er, of the Interior Department, will be the only Cabinet officer in Washington on election day. and, "sitting on the lid." he will be acting President. Tie Secretary's long trip to Hawaii pre vented his registering (n his home ward In Chicago, so he cannot vote. Neither can Secretary N'agel, who. campaign ing for several weeks for President Taft. lost his chance to register. Secretary Wilson, of the Department cf Agriculture, will vote at his home, Traer. Ia. He has been campaigning In the Middle West. Secretary Knox will return from his Western trip In time to vote In Pitts burg, and Assistant Secretary of State Huntington Wilson will vote in Chi cago Secretary Stims"i will vote In New' Tork. as will Attorney-General Wlckersham. Secretary Meyer votes at Hamilton. Mass.. pnd Assistant Secre tary Winthrop at Jericho. L. I., in the Ovster Bay district. V-arml Thompsoiv President Taft's secretary, after his speaking tour, will cast his ballot at his old home. Iron ton, and Lewis L. Layltn. Assistant Secretary- of the Interior, at Columbus. Assistant Secretary Allen, of the Treas urv Department, has gone to Vermont to "vote, and Assistant Secretary Curtis will vote in Boston. That part of official Washington which does not vote remains in the at titude of an Interested spectator. Gov ernment departments always are par tially depleted on election day. This vear It is estimated upwards of ?000 clerks have been grained leaves of ab sence to go home to vote. Virtually every member of Congress Is out of Washington. Most of them have been In their home districts look ing after their fences during the cam paign. There is no National headquar ters of any party In Washington and, with practically all officials out of the city, old observers predict the coming clectjon day will fce quiet. WILSON THEEE LEADING- CANDIDATES FOR PRESIDENT PHOTOGRAPHED SMILING. f4 1 . - ... - Northern state east of the r . -;: v,:. v.. . . ... v; , r lould not surprise me , " - , 1 - V, the electoral ote of . , ' Union. We are dead , t t , . . of 26 state-. in t'lese ' e conducted pre lnct , J. " , ; P""" led positively mat the - r ? v , f " pre.in.ts carried b ft fT v ' k ' X', A ed to be for Wilson l t i ' T , - ' " Ined Republican pre- h. ", i ,f . ,'v v?, $y$Zp: , " - " to be for Taft and f ,t". ' . 5 " 1l 1 I I h"'- " ,,X- - ff ' " I ALL THREE BITTER Ss- - 0" J of a singl Allegher.les. It at all if we ge every state in t certain, howevei 26 states we h polls and ascerti total UpuDiica Wilson or repo equals the com cincts reported Roosevelt. We will carry Ohio, Illinois. v is consln. Michigan. Indiana, Iowa, Aim onrl. Kansld. North uaKo:aM uan fornia. Oreiron and Washington, in aa dition to many other states.' Medill McCormlck. or the r-rogressive committee, announced that tne thiid nartv was assured of a plurality In 24 states. The Roosevelt landslide is on. said Mr. Mccormick, "and nothing on earth can stop It. Our forecast is entirely too conservative, but we are not claim njc anything of which we are not ngn down to the Krour.d certain, In addition to Illinois, New xork and California we will most certainly aet 21 additional states, with a great orobabillty that this number will be oushed close to the 30 mark." ILLINOIS BETS FAVOR Klnventh Hour Tide for Taft Is Felt. State Race Important. CHICAGO. Nov. 2. Final reports from all of the 102 counties in Illinois indicate that the National election will be affe'eted to a large oegree by the fighs to control the next Illinois Gen eral Assembly, which is to select two United States Senators. Bttlng odds favor Governor Wood row Wilson on the National ticket and Governor Charles S. Deneen. Repub lican, on the state ticket. This is off set to considerable extent by reports favoring "Coldnel ' Roosevelt and the Roosevelt Progressive .ticket. Also an cleventu-hour tide for Taft gave cour ag? to the Republican managers. K"y O. West. Republican state chair map. aid The Republicans will control the C.i neral Assembly and elect two Sen ators." Chauncey Dewey. Roosevelt Progres sive State Senator, said that Roose velt would have a plurality in Illinois of 150.000. Joseph E. Davles. director of the Democratic campaign in the West, said Illinois would glee Wilson the 450.000 votes cast for Bryan four years ago. and in addition 40.000 to 50.000 Republican and Democratic votes not cast for Bryan. Of the 629.000 cast for Taft In 1908. said Mr. Davles. Colo nel Roosevelt will get approximately 370.OO0. President Taft will not get inir? than 240.000 votes. The Republican managers said Presi dent Taft would get 315 electoral votes, the Democrats said Wilson would get as many votes as Taft and Roose velt combined In 26 states and the Progressives claimed 24 states for Roosevelt as a certainty, with prob abilities of three or four more. David W. Mulvane, manager of the Tr.ft headquarters In Chicago, said: "Mr. Taft will be re-elected, receiv ing 315 electoral votes. This will be despite the fact that the Republican party has been bitterly assailed in re vengeful fashion by a man who pre viously received its highest honor, rpnn a square Issue between a united Republican party and the Democratic partv on the issue of protection against free "trade tiie result wouid never have been In doubt." Mr. Davles, director of the -Democratic campaign In the West, declared: "The Demcrats will win this elec tion even if we don"t get the support NEW YORK CAMPAIGN" All Three Parties to Curry ignt Over to Monday Xiglit. NEW YORK. Nov. 2. The candidates for Governor on the Republican, Demo- ratie and Roosevelt Progressive lick ts will carry the fight through with out cessation until lute Monday nignt. Th. three-cornered fight for the Gov ernorshln has drawn Presidential and vire-PreFldentlal candidates to the platforms and has divided the vote of the state so that predictions are not as freely made as usual. The Roosevelt Progressive party has made a strong appeal to the voters for upport of the state ticket. Activities that have reacnea into an corners of the Nation came to a head here tnriav with the National head quarters of the three leading political parties. So far as the chairmen of the Democratic. Republican and Progressive parties are concerned, tne campaign ended tonight. There remained to be carried out tomorrow. Monday ano Tuesday the detailed plans tor get ting out the vote." policing contested election districts and preventing frauds, K,.t h.u matters are In the majority of cases reposing now In the hands of local chairmen and state and district managers. The promise of victory percnea upon very headquarters banner tonight. In- nirAri hv telegrams from ccairmen hroughout the state, the Democratic, Republican and Progressive- cnairmen, reanectivelv. asserted either that vic tory was In their grasp, or the condi tions were such that a tide of votes to their respectie candidates mignt do ex pected in the election Tuesday. CLAIMS MADE BY CHAIRMEN" Wilson and miles Predict Majorities, Dixon Says "Landslide." NEW TORK. "Nov. 2. William K. Mrrnmbi. Iemocratic chairman, as serted today that Governor Wilson would carry the Nation by an "as tounding majority." Charles D. Hilles. Republican chair man, declared that President Taft was "assured of a majority in the electoral college." Senator Dixon. Roosevelt Progress ive National chairman, said: "The Nation will be astounded by the enormous vote of the Roosevelt and Johnson party next Tuesday. The election returns of four years ago count for nothing In the present con test. All Indications point to a Roose velt landslide. No one longer ques tions that either Colonel Roosevelt or Mr.- Wilson will be elected President Taft will certainly be a bad third In the race, with Debs pushing hlrn closely for third place In Connecticut, Illinois and Indiana. "The last 10 days have seen a tre mendous drift towards Roosevelt in every part of the country. Facing political revolution as we do. there can be no certain yardstick of measure ment as In former years. Based on most comprehensive reports from every state chairman of the Progress ive partv -It now seems certain that Roosevelt will carry 25 states, having a total of "297 electoral votes. Wilson will carry 12 states having 130 elec toral votes. Ten states, having a total of 104 electoral votes I believe to be doubtful." CALIFORNIA. RESULT DOUBTFCL Roosevelt Supporters Confident, bnt Wilson's Chance Looks Good. SAN FRANCISCO. Nov. 2. California closed today the last week of what perhaps has been the most remarkable political campaign the state has ever known. Estimates of the coming result at the polls were flatly contradictory and the most disinterested observers agreed that the situation was -vague and puzzling. Progressives supporting Roosevelt and Johnson held to their original dec laration that the state was overwhelra Inglv" on their side. Wilson men as! serted that the Democrats had steadily gained strength since the Sacramento convention and the decision of the Su preme Court excluding Taft electors from the ballot: that south of the Tehachapi Roosevelt sentiment had been dwindling until it no longer could hope to overcome the majority that would be brought to meet It from the north. Betting odds favored Roosevelt and Johnson, with even money on San Francisco rly. Governor Johnson's managers have assured him that his cause in his home state Is safe. These are the things that make the campaign, difficult to gauge: That women vote for the first time In a National election. That Taft electors were barred from the ballot. That Taft. and La Follctte support-1 also claimed the election of E. G. Dunn p.s governor by 20,000 plurality and a Joint ballot majority in the state legis Iature. Chairman Franke, of the Roosevelt Progressive state committee, said the race between Wilson and Roosevelt in Iowa would be close. He declined to give figures. Chairman Rawson, of the Republican state committee, would make no statement. Republican Progressive Nominee for Sheriff CLAIMING OHIO Campaign of Oratory Has Been Con tinnous for Xine, Months. CINCINNATI. O., Nov. 2. Leaders of each of Ihe three larger political par ties at the close of the campaign to night were ready with claims of victory. The campaign from an oratorical star.dDotni. lia been waged continu ously for the last nine months. Presl dent Taft. Colonel Roosevelt, Governor Wilson. W. J. Bryan. Governor Har mon and a score of lesser dignitaries, i nitt-d States Senators, Cabinet mem- hpra .nd Congressmen have kept a must a continuous trail of special trains criss-crossing the state. "SXXSYLVANIA QUESTION ABOVE! WOODKOW WILSON AND WV H ROOSEVELT. TAFT. BELOW THEODORE ers In unknown numbers. were sure to vote for Wilson. That the primary results, in which Roosevelt and Johnson were twice suc cessful by huge pluralities did not In dicate the silent vote. That Governor Johnson himself. In a fight critically concerning his pwn ad ministration, was absent from the state, and thereby his cause lost its most vigorous campaigner. Speakers of National reputation were rare In California during the campaign, though Colonel Bryan and Governor Marshall both visited the state brieHy. In the forensic sense it was a quiet campaign, but in the newspapers the fight was waged bitterly, with nearly all the Taft papers openly supporting Wilson. WILSON FAVORED IN MONTANA Governorship Campaign Really Most of Interest In State. HELENA, Mont., Nov.- 2. Political indications during the last few days indicate that the electoral vote of Mon tana will be cast for Woodrow Wilson, while Theodore Roosevelt probably will run second and Taft a close third. Chief interest in the Montana cam paign centers in the governorship. The supporters of each of the candidates claim victory.- Sara V. Stewart, Demo cratic nominee, apparently Is In the lead, with Frank J. Edwards, the Roosevelt Progressive candidate, mak ing vigorous Inroads into his strength. Harry L. Wilson. Republican, will be considerably ahead of his National ticket in all probability. The vote on governor will be close. Less Interest is being taken In the preferential vote for United States Sen ator. Apparently this vote will adhere closely to National party lines. In the Congressional contests It is generally believed that Thomas Stout, Democrat, will win, with the contest for the other seats close between Congressman Charles N. Pray, Repubucani J. M. Evans, Democrat, and Thomas M. Ev erett, Progressive. NEW JERSEY WAR INTERESTING National and State Contests Promise Excitement. TRENTON, N. J.. Nov. 2. In Govern nor Wilsons own state of New Jersey, whose 14 electoral votes are claimed by Democrats, Republicans and Progress ives alike, there will be' decided also on Tuesday whether the next Governor of the state, should Wilson win. and the next United States Senaor will be Democratic or Republican. In addition, voters of the state will elect the lower House of the Legislature and will de termine the political complexion of the State Senate, now Republican by a ma jority of one. Should Governor Wilson win In the National election, the next President )f the Senate will succeed him as Gov ernor upon his resignation and would continue In office until after the Fall election of 1913. The President of the Senate is a Republican. New Jersey will elect 12 Representa tives to Congress this year. Instead of 10 as heretofore. The present delega tion from the state consists of seven Democrats and three Republicans. NEW HAMPSHIRE TO BE CLOSE Fig-lit for Legislative Control Is . Most Important. CONCORD, N. H.. Nov. 2. The con test for legislative 'control Is attract ing much attention In the final hours of the campaign in New Hampshire, as In the event that none of the five candidates for Governor receives a ma jority of the popular vote the choice will lie with the legislature. Party managers agree that the vote on Presidential electors win De un usually close. ARIZONA - OUTCOME DOUBTFUL Democrats Confident, Roosevelt Men Hopeful, In Newest State. PHOENIX, Arix., Nov. 2. The first Presidential campaign In the newest state in the Union came to a close to night, with the Democrats confident, the Roosevelt Progressives hopeful and the Republicans apathetic. There were closing rallies by all parties in most of the large towns. . Adherents of Governor .Wilson claim- s the state by pluralities ranging from 500 to 2000. Roosevelt Progressives assert that Roosevelt will have a plu rality and Taft supporters acknowledge that their leader will be third in the race. The re-election of Representa tive Hayden. Democrat, is practically conceded. No other officers will be elected. The constitutional amend ments providing the recall of judges and giving the State the right to en gage In industrial pursuits are ex pected to carry. The vote on woman suffrage will be close. COLORADO GETS FIRST CHANCE Voters Will Express Preference for U. S. Senators on Tuesday.' DENVER, Nov. 2. For the first time Colorado voters will express their pref erence for United States Senators, of whom two will be elected by the Leg islature this Winter. v The Republicans hfcve made their campaign on the issue of protection for Colorado Industries. The Democrats uphold the Wilson policies on tariff and other Issues, and oppose the Repub lican conservation theory as detrimen tal to the interests of the West. The Roosevelt - Progressives - support the Roosevelt National platform and poli cies. Thirty-two initiated and referred bills and constitutional amendments are on the ballot. The Presidential vote will be close. IOWA RACE PROMISES CLOSE Democrats See Nothing but Wilson; Others Roosevelt. DES MOINES, la.. Nov. 2. Chairman Reed, of the Iowa Democratic state committee, said tonight that about 475,000 votes would be cast. He etaimed 210,000 for Wilson and conceded Roosevelt 140,000 and Taft 125,000. He j jshlnstou Party to Cut Down Heavy Vote for Taft In 1908. PHILADELPHIA. Nov. 2. The Re publican. Democratic and Washington party leaders each claim their candi dates will carry the state. In 190S Taft received 745,779 votes in the state, and Bryan 448,782. The Roosevelt party candidates In Pennsyl vania will be voted for principally un der the name of the Washington party. Besides the National ticket, great efforts have been made by the Demo crats and Roosevelt Progressives to elect their state tickets. VERMONT CAMPAIGN CHILLY Democrats Have Taken Practically No Steps to Arouse Voters. MONTPELIER, Vt. Nov. 2. Since the state election Vermont has seen com paratively little campaigning. Roosevelt Progressives and Republi cans have had rallies In some cities, but the Democrats have taken practically no steps to arouse the voters. NORTH DAKOTA IS PROBLEM State, Normally Republican, May Go for Any Candidate. GRAND FORKS, N. D., Nov. 2. North Dakota is normally Republican in Pres idential elections by 35.000. Roosevelt Progressive, Republican and Democratic parties each claim vic tory at the coming election. SOUTH DAKOTA IS . PUZZLING Roosevelt Republicans In Control bnt Wilson Men Are Sure. SIOUX FALLS, S, D., Nov. 2. The South Dakota situation is puzzling Ac cording to the claims of rival mana gers, it is anybody's state on Presi dent. The Roosevelt men. who are in con trol of the machinery of the -Republican party of the state and who had-. five GEO. N. DAVIS mmwl si k nJ((sltfBflf JV'"'' '"' , FOR CIRCUIT JUDGE DEPARTMENT NO. 4 Mr. Voter: If you vrant to elect a dependable man and law yer to the Circuit Bench of this District, you can make no mis take in voting fdr Mr. Davis. tie is a man of character, ability and experience in his pro fession, and would grace fittingly the position of honor to which he aspires. We earnestly urge you to vote for Mr. Davis and a clean bench. . v (Paid Advt., by Davis Booster Society.) ? ff ' 1 ' if ' Y ' T '.::-I7 -? . a'"'" ' ' Read What Millie R. Trumbull Says of W. H. Fitzgerald - You mothers of girls know Millie R. Trumbull: she has a high place of esteem in this town: she probably wouldn't lie about a -man's character, or seek to force a reprobate on the public. She knows Fitzgerald as a man and good citizen. Here is what she says about him: At various times during the past few weeks the newspapers have given space to editorials and articles which take one back to the times of old "mud- slinglng'" politics. Mr. W. H. Htz gerald. candidate' for Sheriff on the Republican ticket, has been accused of possessing all the attributes of disso lute characters that his associates belong-to the ranks of the anti-social class, that his morality Is questionable, etc., until the average reader would come to the conclusion that he has no standards either as a man or a citizen. What Mr. Fitzgerald's political affilia tions are I do not know, but I do know iH.ff..aM tha rrtnn T have known him and watched him as a worker and leader in organized labor ranks for a number of years. His leadership is that of positive conviction, quiet, self- contained, conservative, very far from the ranting radicalism so popularly associated with union labor leaders In the minds ol tne ltfnorani. xna eoi.u- tive ability Is unquestionea. as evi denced by the number of times he has filled office In his own union and in the State Federation of Labor. A rigid enforcement of the laws on the statute books Is the best we can expect of any official, and to this Mr. Fitzgerald lias pledged himself. If we want i different conditions, we must change the laws. As to his personal character, I have never known him to be other than a clean, straightforward, honest man, al ways fighting for better living and working conditions for the man. woman and child who must work for their daily bread; always ready to lend his influence for progressive measures that were for the uplift of humanity. It Is painful to read the aspersions against the personal character of a man who has sacrificed for his principles as has Mr. Fitzgerald, merely because those principles are not indorsed. This mun has a wife and children and a home, and these should not be humiliated sim ply because of a difference of opinion In economics. Honest defeat isi one thing, but defeat is not honest which Is brought about through methods which are unscrupulous and through false accusations which blacken character and bring unhappiness and humiliation to home and family. MILLIE R. TRUMBULU' Defeated Candidates Indorse Fitzgerald TO THE VOTERS OF MULTNOMAH COUNTY: ixr0 triA undersigned, were candidates for the Repub lican nomination for Sheriff at the April primaries. W. H. Fitzgerald, the successful candidate, conducted a clean, vigorous and manly contest and yon the nomination fairly. The determination, energy and love" of fair play displayed bv Mr Fitzgerald impress us with the conviction that he is entitled to the support 01 tne itepuDiiuaiia ui iui County in the coming election. ' (Signed) (Signed) (Signed) (Signed) (Signed) Signed) N. H. BIRD, WILLIS FISHER, W. B. HOLLINGSWORTH, H. C. MCALLISTER, JOHN McKERNON, W. C. NORTH. Statement From Mr. Fitzgerald As a final word to the voters of Multnomah County, I wish to state that, despite the campaign of vilification and misrepresenta tion that has been waged against me, I am still standing by my original platform and will enforce all laws with strict impartiality. If I am 'elected Sheriff, I will enter the office unpledged and un promised to any individual, faction or class, but simply as an officer chosen to enforce the law for all the people. Slanderous reports to the contrary' notwithstanding, I have never solicited or received any campaign contributions from the saloon interests. If elected, I will not permit the saloons to run on Sunday, as my chief competitor, Mr. Word, did while he was Sheriff, and they will receive no favors from me while I am in office. I have endeavored to conduct my campaign in a clean, respectable manner and have refrained from doing any thing that would cause me to forfeit or impair the respect of a large number of the best people of Multnomah County, who have honored me with their support in the past. I expect to. merit this confidence and, with all of the earnestness at my command, again promise the Multnomah County taxpayers that, if I am elected Sheriff, they will never have any occasion to regret supporting me, and the really honest men who are now opposing me will regret that they were misled by a few unscrupulous politicians who have stopped at noth ing in their efforts to besmirch ray reputation and -impugn my integrity. Soliciting the votes of all who believe in fair play and who are desirous of a strictly business administration of the Sheriff's office and the enforcement of all laws without unnecessary hysterics, spec tacular effects and grandstand playing, I am, respectfully, , W. H. FITZGERALD, Republican Progressive Nominee for Sheriff. (Paid Advertisement.) s1