V TlIE ST7XDAY OKEGOXIAX, PORTLAND, FEBRUARY 1912. 4, VOGLER PREDICTS ROADSTER SEASON Wholesale Agent Says Little Cars Will Have Unprece dented Sale in 1912. POPULAR DEMAND CHANGES Elimination of Tire and Other Op erating Expenses Figures Large ly In Regaining Lost Popularity. Reversing tba order of thlnjri that obtained during 1111. roadsters will fcara unprecedented popularity with prospective motor car purchasers In of the Inventor. That It Is possible to produce rubber from turpentine Is the announcement of a German scientist who already has a small piece of the elastic substanca which he says was artificially made. The cost of the piece of rubber Is admitted by the professor to be much greater than the price of a few rubber trees. A conservative American publication Is authority for the statement that the Invention of an artificial rubber process Is close at hand, and that the cost of such rubber will be about one-third of the present cost of rubber. So popular has the shaft driving fea ture on electric ears become that the first manufacturer to adopt the non chain Idea In this country, so far as the electric Is concerned, has brought suit to stop the use of the shaft drive by rival manufacturers. The improvement In the design and mechanical part of the electi-lo has been most pronounced during the past year. There Is a strong demand from mo torists for equitable Insurance rates and terms for their automobiles. There Is a vast amount of Insurance written each year on automobile risks, but many who have had occasion to settle with Insurance companies claim that the word "risk" la a misnomer. Inas much as the companies do not risk very much. It seems that It la almost a sure thing for them. In the early days the risk was far more hazardous than now. What the motorists want la a policy with a lot of restrictions removed and a more rea sonable rate. News comes from Phlla- BRIGHT VIEW TAKEN Maker of Premiers Shares Prevailing Optimism. COMMERCIAL WAGONS LOOM Smith Predicts That Increase In Sales of Business Cars Will Be Greatest Ever Recorded In Industry. Considering the Immensity of the In crease In the sales of automobiles re corded In the past four years, motor car manufacturers will be fortunate If they experience a season with a aales Increase that will be as large as noted recently, declares H. O. Smith, president of the Premier Motor Manufacturing Company. Mr. Smith, who has been Identified with the automobile Industry for a number of years and Is ranked FAIR MOTORIST ENJOYS DRIVING MACHINE AT FAST CLIP. "l" Ml" SBPlWWWWaS". ' ' III! Hill II I II vfc. . MISS CKRTRCDK ROST AT THE WHEEL OF EHU JfEAL'S MICHIGAN -40." 111 If the present trend of their (emends contlnuvi. This belief Is held because of the many small cars that have been purchased for Sprlns; de livery and the numerous Inquiries con cerning the difference In cost of main tenance that have come to the dealers turtng the past few months. It is quite impossible to Judite lust what particular type of car Is destined to find extensive favor." said F. W. Vogler In dlscusslns; the possibilities sf the remaining five months of the ltll season. "It Is safe to say. how ever, that more roadsters will be sold than ever before." added the North weet distributer for the Reo, Silent. Knight-Steams. Apperson and Premier. ast year was a poor one for this model. The popular demand went to the five and seven-passenaer machine, with the two-seaters' dropping away below their established average. Qserr Capers Played. "Just to show the change In the whims of 'the buying public, take, for instance, the business done In 110. Kow, that season waa a good one for machines of the two-passenger type. Consequently, manufacturers and deal ers alike figured that the succeeding season would produce a substantial In crease In the demand for roadsters. Their forecast, however, went wrong. Instead of having an Increased popu larity, roadsters found little favor both with those who purchased automobiles without having owned a machine be fore and those who were experienced acotortsts and wanted to change their car.- Asked for an explanation of the re turn to favor of the roadster, the wholesale agent pondered a few mo ments and then replied: "I suppose that many different rea sons could be assigned to account for this, but It seems to me that It la because the buyers' are figuring closer to the dollars and cents than formerly. This is became so many people who have a moderate Income have found the automobile to be a great help and affords much pleasure at a reasonable figure. Instead of being an expensive luxury. Blw Alaaed at Lbibtt. "It Is admitted that the tire ex pense la one of the heaviest that the motorist has to contend with. It Is only natural, therefore, that owners will seek every opportunity of lowering this outlay. Consequently, If a two passenger car suits their Immediate needs It means that this expense Is cut to its minimum, for a four or five passenger machine will be more ex pensive la tire wear than a two-passenger car. "Last season the five-passenger auto mobile was far more popular with buy ers than the machines capable of seat ing only four. Now, however, the four passenger car Is coming It. ic greater popularity than the five-passenger ex perienced In the past. "In former years the prospective motor car purchaser usually selected a machine with the Idea of having one big enough to treat his friend to oc casional Joy rides. A man with an au tomobile then was considered a great deal more than the owner of a chug chug wagon now. Anyway, the man buying an automobile today is think ing only of his personal needs. If without a family, he usually selects a roadster. If a four-passenger car Is large enough, he does not go In for a bigger car. In buying an automobile these things should be given careful consideration, for they help to lower the cost of operation and upkeep. Con sequently, the person will be more sat isfied with his purchase. Haaeet Way Prevea Beet. "Contrary to the general belief, a good salesman never will try to en courage a man to buy an automobile f larger capacity than suits the prospect's- needs or a machine that is too expensive for his purse. The tem porary gain would be greater if such methods obtained, but In the end. both the salesman and the owner are the losers. One of the greatest things Is to create a wider demand for the ar ticle. This cannot be brought about by making dissatisfied owners, which are a natural result of, the system men tioned before. A man with something that is too expensive for his Income will not be a booster for. the business. The same applies to a man with a larger machine than be needs. On the ether hand, with a model or make that meets his requirements In every respect, he will be an enthusiastic mo torist, boost your car and make count less sales that the dealer or salesmen sever would get In touch with." Art I Octal rubber Is the latest promise delphla that a number of automobile dealers have become Interested In an automobile Insurance company. Back of and handled by men who know the Ins and outs of the automobile busi ness, such a venture should be a suc cess from their viewpoint and should meet the demands of the owners. I DEMAND IS PERSISTENT POPULARITY OF S ELF-STARTER GROWING FAST. Mechanical Cranker Fills Long-Felt Want In Perfection of Automobile. In this season of 111 the self-starter has taken a hold on the automobile In dustry like a Kansas cyclone on corn cribs and grain stacks. The mechani cal cranker has had a whirlwind Intro duction; so much so that a small ltll machine' without a self-starter Is get ting to be a rarity. Different makes are almost as numerous as various brands of breakfast foods. The long-pestponed but now almost universal adoption of self-starters on cars selling at $1000 and over Is almost marvelous, when It Is considered that the air pressure and mechanical sys tems have been on the market for sev eral years, and that the air pressure system has been In fairly successful use on a six-cylinder car the Wlnton for several years. One wonders at ths sudden and In sistent demand for self-starters at this time snd the surprising response of automobile manufacturers In meeting this demand. It la apparent that there is some valid reason behind the public demand for self-starters besides the as sumption that It Is undignified to crank a car. There is a reason for the overwhelm ing demand that autos be equipped with this latest and most popular device, and probably It Is found In the difficulty of vaporising Into an explosive mixture the poor grades of gasoline now to be had. This Is particularly the reason during the Winter, when frigid air In the cylinders and the ice-cold metal of the Intake manifold, piston head and cylinder walls cause a large percent age of the sprayed gasoline to be pre cipitated on the metal parts as non explosive gasoline liquid. The heretofore expedient of filling the radiator with hot water In order to warm the cylinders had most decided advantages In facilitating starting, but It was impractical when In front of a theater at 11 o'clock, and upon a few other occasions. The self-starter has Invaded the automobile Industry with a rush a veritable stampede because now, in the explosive gas self-starter, the great need for one has been cheaply and ef fectively supplied. Self-starters weigh ing but three and four pounds, so light that the expense of the system prac tically ends with Installing It, are part of the regular equipment of up-to-date cars or can be supplied at from $2S to ISO. The reason for the wide adoption of the acetyllne gas self-starter Is owing to Its overwhelming success rsther than to its lightness, cheapness and free dom from trouble. The acetyllne gaa used from the tank that supplies the searchlights Is nnaffected by any de gree of cold and explodes as readily in the cylinders as the Illuminating gas at home Is lighted by a match. The high temperature of the explosive, be ing many hundred degrees.-effectively warms the cylinder walls and the motor continues to work on Its usual diet of gasoline. One of the- most successful self starters Is the one used on the Cadil lac It Is an electric device, and. de spite the adverse criticism from com petitors, has proven Its reliability In more ways than one. The compressed air system, as used by the Chalmers "If and the Wlnton "Six." both on a different plan, la declared by many prominent automobile engineers to be the equal of any device on the market. The money seat back home by Hungarian einlfrani Id the tnlled States last year wu about flVOOO 000. mrlng tae 10 years betweea lsoO and 110 such remittances r.a-ni the enormous sum of above I'iiX-ooo.uoo as one of Its leading authorities, holds optimistic views regarding the outlook for the lslt season.. However, he does not think the percentage of increase will come up to that of the laat few years. "It would not be reasonable to expect the Increase In demand for automobiles In ltll to equal the percentage In crease of the laat few years," aaya Mr. Smith. "When we conaider that In 109 thla country absorbed more than twice aa many aa In 1S0S, and In 1910 four tlmea as many as In 10. and in ltll slightly more than In 1910. It could only be pronounced a favorable outlook If we have promises of a demand equal to or slightly In excess of the best year we have had up to this time. It is safe to say that thla la a fact. "Another very wholesome indication Is found In the fact that a year ago almost every purchaser seemed skep tical aa to the stability of the list price of the motor car. List prices did not drop, but. like every other year, each manufacturer has given a little more value for the money than In previous years. List Prices Stable. "This year It Is the exception, and an almost-unheard-of occurrence, for the prospect to express any doubt as to the stability of the list price. "Most of the old and best-established manufacturers have abandoned the an nual model. Their product has been practically standardised over the last few years, and while there have been minor changes and modifications the cars have not differed materially In their essentials, and the manufacturers themselves have realised that It Is un fair to ainounce a new model which la. In fact, the old model with slight modi fications, when by so doing they depre ciate from IS per cent to 40 per cent aa a selling proposition the purchases made by their customers a few months previous. "Even the casual observer can note the great Increase of the conservative element among; automobile buyers, which goes to show that the motor car la becoming universally regarded aa a vehicle or conveyance aolving the trans portation problem aa nothing elae has. Demand Exceeds Supply. "It la aafe to predict that thla coun try can absorb several hundred thou sand motor cars more than are In use now. The whole problem Is that of edu cating the public to the possible ad vantageous uses of motor cars' fast enough to absorb each year's produc tion. "We are living In the most progres sive age of the world's history. There is not an exception to the rule that the agencies which have In a practical way facilitated transportation have never been given up and abandoned and obso lete methods come In vogue again. "While the users of the pleasure ve hicle will gradually and steadily In crease, we can expect rapid changea and great strides In ths development and exploiting of the commercial car. There will be a marked Increase- In the number of these. used this year, and one la absolutely aafe In predicting that the Increaae from year to year will be much greater than waa ever true with the pleaaure vehicle." AUTOISTS GIVEN' TIRE ADVICE "Bull Dog' Pilot Cautions Owners to Keep Tab on Small Cuts. "Tire mileage can bo Increased by paying attention to little things." said Dr. Charles O. Porclval. who Is driv ing the Abbott-Detroit "Bull Dog" around the world. "Small surface cracks In the sides of the castlnga ahould have attention before serious damage la done. There, are many preparations on the market which will close these up so that water and other substances cannot work in and ruin the fabric and In a abort time completely destroy the tire. "Another valuable point la proper In flation at all tlmea, and atlll another la to Increase the slxe of the tires used, or. If that la not possible without chsnging the rims, use an over-slxe. The inflation of tires rests solely with ths driver and owner. Remember more air pressure Is needed with five pas sengers and baggage touring than run ulng around the city pavements with one or two passengers and no baggage. By paying careful attention to tbeee little polnta the mileage and life of the tires can be almost doubled." TSie Valueless High Duty Elmore has made good in Oregon Nothing Can Equal Elmore Service A large, roomy, S-paesenger car, with plenty of power, which sells at $1600 F. O. B. Portland, fully equipped. NO REPAIR BILLS on the ELMORE Get a demonstration it will be a pleasant surprise. Dulmage & Smith 48-48 N. TWENTIETH ST. GOLD MEDAL IN SIGHT PATHFINDERS NOW OX IjAST LAP OK HARD GOING. Pacific nigbrway Trallmakers Con quer Worst Part of Route to City of Mexico. About the hardest occupation on earth Is building roads. Anyone who, single-handed, has tried to clear a practicable trail through the woods for even 200 feet knows what blistering, backaching effort It Is. One only needs to watch ths gangs at work on large highways to get a vivid Idea of the dif ficulty of it. Chester Lawrence Is a newspaperman by profession, and Telesphore J. Beau 6t earns his livine; ordinarily by the shattering of California road records and the demonstration of Cadillac in vincibility. Neither one Is sspeclally fitted by nature to excel as a road maker. Until a recent date neither expected to have such an experience, not being listed In the rogues' gallery. But on their return from the trip they are now undertaking, to pathflnd Pa cific Highway from San Diego to the City of Mexico, they will be qualified to give cards and spades to the college s-rsduate highway engineer. Ever since they left the beaten ways-of the North they have been alternately building roads and getting their 30-horsepower Cadillac to negotiate them. Not ideal roads, with camber and drainage ditches and oil-sprayed surfaces; mere ly roads clearings extended laterally along-the earth's surface that will per mit of forward locomotion. Two thousand miles have been cov ered by the pathfinders since they left Los Angeles. They are now forcing their way over the Sierra Madre Moun- ' tains, the range which divides Mexico north and south, following a trail never traversed by more than burros. It was necessary to follow the sea coast down to Mazatlan before a break could be found in the mountain wall. Outfitting and preparing for this hard est part of the run for two days, they turned to Teplc and entered the great hills. .Engineers have told them re peatedly that they will never get their car through; but Lawrence and Beaudet bad been Informed likewise that they would never get as far as Maxatlan, so they are keeping right on. Once across to Guadalajara, the rest is compara tively easy. Only a few hundred miles through the fertile plantations of the interior, and the City of Mexico will be reached and the gold medal offered by the Pacific Highway Association will be won. ' Rough calculations of some of the best authorities estimate the amount of new-crop oil for the whole of the Islana of Mlty lene at JO.000.000 okes, or 6d.767.811 pounds. For ths year 1011 It to estimated that 3.200.000 pounds of frosen meat, chiefly from South America, was imported into Switzerland. The first 1912 0. C. Cole has arrived. Equipped with Ward Leon ard electric lighting- system, IVixSVi .motor, 122-inch wheel base, 86x4 tires, Firestone demountable rims, Bosch magneto, genuine silk mohair top, $50.. Cox windshield. Compare this car. TWITCHELL MOTOR CAR CO. 15th and Washington Streets Phone Marshall 4266. L afftJ GL1DDEN TOUR WINNER WE GIVE SERVICE Maxwell, owners do our advertising. More than 503 satisfied owners now in Oregon Maxwell Messenger $ 67S Maxwell Mascot . . S1200 Maxwell Special . . $1550 t QUIPPED UNITED AUTO COMPANY 534-6 Alder St. Phones Main 4337, A 7171. PENNSYLVANIA VACUUM CUP TIRES fr r pery streets are 1 THE BEST NON-SKID tires IN THE WORLD. They will not skid in any direction and are guaranteed for 4000 . miles actual service.' A. J. WINTERS CO., Agents 67 6th Street, Bet. Oak and Pine Auto Supplies Auto Tiro snd Tuba) Repsirins; White Motor Car Co. Motor Trucks and Touring Cars ALL SIZES Corner 19th and Washington Sts. It's the Man Behind Who Knows All the Latest Styles in Hose FOR AUTOMOBILE RADIATORS Archer & Wiggins Company Oak Street, Corner Sixth . . Dispensers of Auto and Sporting Goods AUBURN Auburn Motor Car Co. EOBT. SIMPSON, Mgr. 505-7 Burnside Street A 7339. Main 2674. BALLOU 8 WRIGHT Largest Stock Antomobile Accessories M. & W G. & J. and Hartford Tires, Monogram Oils 80-82 Seventh St, Cor. Oak. Portland, Or. Atterbury Truck Columbia Carriage & Auto Works, Agts 209-211 Front Street. Phone Main 2892. General Auto Repairing. Bodies and "Wheels Built to Order. BOWSER GASOLINE and OIL TANKS storage: systems for pibliu ad pri- VATK (iiBAKM, Stoddard. Agt, 305 Owlusabis BldST. Halm 147 Braly-Du Bois Auto Co. IMMEDIATE DtLiVERY Phones A 3881, Main 4889 31-33 N. 19th,' Near Washington Crowe Auto Co. Sixteenth and Alder Streets RAMBLER STUTZ MARION K-R-I-T MAIS TRUCK (Gear Driven) The Best American-Made Track Distributers for Oregon and Southern Washington. JOHN DEERE PLOW CO. Northwest Distributors, EAST MOEEISON AND SECOND STS. Phones: E. 3887, B 1625. FORD The car that comes fully equipped Best for the Money Ford Motor Car Agency A. J. Edwarda. See. and Mar. E. Stfc sad Hawthorne Avenue. Phone East 0X8. TIRES ValeanUlnsr Retreedln. R. E. BLODG EXT. 28-81 Jt. 14th. Mala 7003. OVERLAND CARS J. W. LEAVITT & CO. 5Z9-B31 Washing-ton St. Distributors (or Oregon, Washington, California and Nevada. THE AMERICAN 1912 CJiDERSU'G. A Car far the Dlscrlmlnatlns; Few The Safest Car en Earth. 6AUAGK STORAGE REPAIRING. Nob Hill Garage & Auto Co., Inc. 080-VO Kearney St, Betweea Twenty-first and Twenty-second. IP APPEBSON STEARNS REO NORTHWEST AUTO CO. DISTRIBUTORS F. W. VOGLER, President Fifteenth and Alder Sts. Phones Main 7179, A 4959. PREER CUTLERY & TOOL CO. Headquarters for Shop Supplies and Automobile Tools 74 SIXTH AND 311 OAK STREETS Schacht Motor Car Co. COMMERCIAL AND PLEASURE CARS ' COR. FIFTH AND HOYT STS. Our Motto: "Quality and a Square Deal" Western Hardware & Auto Supply Co. SEVENTH AND PINE STREETS Vulcanizing, Hardware and Auto Supplies. , Phone: Main 8828. Home A 2016. MOTORCYCLES INDIAN AND EXCELSIOR BALLOU & WRIGHT, 80-82 Seventh Street, Cor. Oak