4 , HIE SUXIA1 OREGOXIAy, PORTLAND, OCTOBER 25, 1903.
TAFT WILL IV1N
Bf BIG MAJORITY
Forecast Shows Election by
295 Out of 483 Elec
toral Votes.
ODDS ARE AGAINST BRYAN
Only Landslide Can Give Him w
York and Tlwn He Must Carry
Oilier Northern Slates In
diana Safe for Taft,
(Tontlnued from First Pane.)
or lo:. now. though the resuilt will not
br announced until November 3.
tine thin Is certain, if anything Is cer
tain in the political world, and that is
that Mr. Bryan cannot hop to win unless
he curries New York. He may win in In
dUnsi and Ohio, and even In hi" home
Mat". Nebraska, and In Maryland, witn
the other states that are normally Demo
cratic, and yet without the aid of the Em
pire State the peerle-s leader Is almost
sure to go down to defeat. And the indi
cations are that he will lose New York.
Uoivrnnr Hushes has been making a vig
orous campaign in New York, and Mr.
"hauler, according- to the best advices,
rns to have been solng back In the last
two weeks.
At the. same time it seems almost
certain that Mr. Hughes and Mr. Taft
will stand or fall together In New
York. If one wins, so will the other;
If one loses, the other will lose also.
The Iipmocratic campaign managers
have cut down their estimates during
the last week.
Ktlma(os by State.
reports from the various states, ex
cepting from some In the solid South,
whre it Is hardly possible that the
traditions of the past will be broken,
considered In alphabetical order, re
veal the following conditions and Indi
cations: San Francisco. Cal. Conservative
republican leaders declare that t'all-
fornla will go Republican at the com
ing election by from 30,"00 to 45.000
' plurality, and that all the Republican
Congressmen will be elected. Mr.
Hryan's chief strength will come from
the labor element, which will not ac
cept Mr. Taft because of his injunction
- decisions.
Kenver. Colo. Colorado's five elec
toral votes probably will be cast for
W illiam J. Bryan, unless something ei
i traordlnary shall happen before elec
tion day. A bitter fight Is being made
.against Senator (iuggenheim's domina
tion of the Republican party In Ienver
and the state, the fight having the
! hacking of William C. Evans, ex-Re-puhltran
boss and president of the Den
ver City Tramway Company His fol
lowers will voto or the Democratic
' legislative ticket.
Hartford. Conn. Connecticut will
give V. H. Taft and S. Sherman a
substantial plurality without doubt. A
plurality of from 25.0OU to 3o.00 is
looked for. as Mr. Taft Is popular In
this state. The four Congressional dis
tricts undoubtedly will return four Re
publicans and the "at large" Represent
ative will be a Republican. The Leg
islature will choose a successor to
Vnited States Senator Frank B. Brandt-gee.
a Republican, who is a candi
date to succeed himself.
Delaware Is Doubtful.
Dover. " Del. Delaware, faces an un
usual condition this year, which almost
places her in the doubtful column.
While the organization Republicans
claim the usual majority of 30u or
more on the state ticket, and conserva
tive Democrats concede at least 1000
Republican majority for all except
State's Attorney, many Democrats are
claiming the state by a small major
ity. Chicago, 111. In Illinois W. H. Taft's
plurality will be at least 7.".000, with
lou.ooo as a probability.. Sixteen of
the 2.i Congressional districts are cer
tainly Republican, and there Is small
chance of Republican defeat in two
others, while a third is probably Re
publican. Five of the districts are
Democratic, and one other probably
will elect a Democratic Congressman.
A reasonable estimate would give the
Republicans 19 Congressmen and the
Democrats six. Governor Deneen will
run about I0.000 or SO. 000 votes behind
Mr. Taft. according to present form.
Speaker Cannon has been kept at
home throughout most of the campaign,
nusy with his own personal affairs, for
tiie first time In several Congressional
elections, but the Democratic managers
admit that they have small. If any.
chance of defeating him. His re-election
Is regarded as almost a certainty.
Indiana for Taft.
Indianapolis, Ind. Looking at the
situation from the best Information ob
tainable, which Includes data received
from all parts of the state by both
the Democratic and Republican state
committees. Indiana is reasonably In
doubt In respect to the Governorship
and Legislative control, but is safe for
Jlr. Taft on a reduced majority. This
condition is due to the fact that the
saloon and brewery elements are lined
up with the Democrats almost solidly
In favor of Mr. Marshall for Governor
and for the Democratic Legislative
tickets In all of the counties in the
state, hut their opposition does not ex-
lend to Mr. Taft, and the National
ticket will suffer by the orpasition only
from the inconvenience ol voting a
scratched ticket or the Intense feeling
that might Impel a voter to vote a
straight ticket when, as a matter of
fact, he had no grievance against the
ticket in Its entirety.
Des Moines, la- There has been little
activity and It is not expected that a
f-.il! vote will be polled. Conservative
politicians estimate that the Repub
lican vote of the state will not exceed
JTTj.ocO and on this basis It is esti
mated that Mr. Taft wi',1 carry the state
by something like 50.000 plurality.
Top. ka. Kas. As near as it Is pos
sible to determine at this time. Kansas
will give Mr. Taft a majority of any
where from 30.000 to 40.000. certainly
not ever the latter figure.
Kentucky Probably Democratic.
Louisville. Ky. Chairman Ben John
son, of the Democratic state Congres
sional committee states that Kentucky
will give Mr. Bryan and Mr. Kern a
plurality of between ;n.?00 and 30,000.
Chairman Robert H. Winn, of the Re
publican state Congressional committee,
claims that Mr. Taft will get the elec
toral vote of Kentucky, but he gives no
figures. The conditions In Kentucky
tit's year point to a victory for the
Democrats as almost certain.
Augusta, Me. There ran be no doubt
that the Republican electors In this
state for Mr. Taft and Mr. Sherman will
bo chosen b5" a plurality of at least 20.
on. Baltimore. Md. Chairman Parraii. of
the Republican atate committee con
fidently expects 5000 to 8000 plurality
for Mr. Taft, basing these figures upon
reliable reports' from every part of the
state. He also expects to elect four of
the six Congressmen. The Bryanites
are making big claims. They have cer
tainly gained strength In the eastern
counties and In Baltimore County. For
12 years Maryland hs not been a sure
Democratic state on National Issues.
Boston. Mass. The apathy which char
acterise a Presidential campaign In a
state firmly fixed among the assets of any
one party Is strongly in evidence in Mas
sachusetts this year. This Is brought out
pointedly by a decrease of nearly 4uu9 in
the registration of Boston, as compared
with 1SKH, while other cities have failed to
show the gains anticipated. A few others
show actual losses.
Lansing. Mich. Mr. Taft is not regarded
as being at all in Sanger in this state,
Hia plurality, however, will he less than
one-half that given to President Roose
velt. Taft and Jarobson In Minnesota.
St. Paul. Mtnn. Mr. Taft will carry
Minnesota by from 30.00J to 40.0CO majority,
estimating the total vote at 300.000. as
compared with 283.000 in 1904. J. F. Jacob-
son will be elected Governor by at least
23.000 over Governor Johnson.
St. Louis. Mo. Missouri will cast Its 18
electoral votes for William J. Bryan No
vember 3. It also will return at least 12
Democratic Congressmen from Its 16 Con
gressional districts, will choose a Demo
cratic Legislature, which next January
will select a Democratic United States
Senator, and will elect a Democratic state
ticket. Including Governor.
Helena. Mont. While the Democratic
and Republican campaign managers In
Montana each claim the state by 5000 to
10.O00 plurality, the best unbiased judg
ment is that the state Nationally Is In
doubt, with the chances favoring Mr.
Taft.
Lincoln. Neb. Nebraska will cast be
tween 230.000 and 2M.0U0 votes. As between
the Republicans and Fustonlsts, any man
who la In 1 position to be reasonably well
posted and can put aside his partisan bias
long enough to make a fair prediction
will say the result will be close, not to
exceed 10.000. and probably not over 8000
either way.
Carson. Nev. The fight in this state Is
quiet. Mr. Taft may carry the state by
a small majority. -Mr. Bryan's backdown
on silver and other matters pertaining
to this state may defeat him.
Concord. N. H. Mr. Taft and Mr.
Sherman will carry New Hampshire by
10.000 plurality. This is one-half what
Theodore Roosevelt got over A. B.
Parker In 1904. but Mr. Taft cannot
hold all the Roosevelt strength In this
state, while Mr. Bryan has a greater
following than Judge Parker.
Trenton, N. J. Mr. Taft will carry
New Jersey. The next delegation In
Congress probably will .stand 7 to 3
In favor of the Republicans, with a
chance of capturing the eighth mem
ber In the Sixth District.
Landslide Bryan's Only Hope.
New York As nearly as one may
judge from the mixed conditions In
this state. Mr. Taft and Mr. Hughes
will get its vote for President and for
Governor. Nothing but a landslide
could give the state to Mr. Bryan, and
yet there are symptoms In this cam
paign that do not preclude Just that
thing. For instance, all the bitter
fighting opposition to Mr. Bryan has
disappeared. Wall street Itself refuses
to get excited about the election.
Bismarck. N. D. North Dakota will
be carried for Mr. Taft by 15.000. There
will be some disaffection and some
voters will change to Mr. Bryan, but
the Republican majority will be nor
mal. Cincinnati. O. Ohio probably will go
for Mr. Taft and Governor Harris.
Everything seems to Indicate, however,
that the Democratic candidates will
receive greatly Increased votes. It Is
undoubtedly true that there Is great
disaffection In the labor element,
among the negroes and among the
Foraker Republicans. The blanket bal
lot that will be used will help Mr.
Bryan In the cities.
Oregon Safe for Taft.
TinnH rtr Oretron is safe In the
Republican column for November 3.
Although the Democrats are making a
hard ngnt ana nave wuureu bi
j i . intdpAat snd Active work
throughout the state, they do not hope
for a Bryan victory in Oregon, unless
something unforeseen should occur.
Republicans nave maae ineir biukho
a nna T, ft " Bets are being made
In Portland daily at even money that
Mr Taft will not carry the state by
more than 17,500.
Providence. R, I. With normal con
ditions, Rhode Island is. on National
issues, Republican. While the hard
times of the last year will have some
effect, it is benevea .'if. i an i
Sioux Falls, S. D. The Republicans
ui. nlrntn. will srtve Mr. Taft
a plurality of from 25.000 to 30,000,
while the iiemocriiia mue wu
1 i.Qt fi- Rrvnn will not carry the
gtate do not concede that Mr. Taft
will have a plurality or sooo or iu.uuu.
Tennessee Shaken but Vnchanged.
1. ........, Tdnn Tennessee will give
, liniuuiui-n 'i '
a Democratic majority in November from
1(10110 to 25.000 for the National ticket- The
recent visit of Mr. Taft through East
Tennessee will make the Republican vote
larger in that section, but there is abso-
. ... it t it mannrw Rertoufl-
luieiv no 1 - " - ' -
ly Democratic success through the re
mainder of the state.
Salt Lake. Utah. Unless there is a pon-
. , i ...... which thorn ts no
Ileal ren'iuwuii. --
present indication, Utah's electoral votes
will be given to Air. isn.
. . m-.. vrt Th, hsiibT Rcnnhllcan
majority will be given Mr. Taft in Ver
mont.
i - i 1 va Virginia According to
" - - "
careful estimates of astute Democratic
politicians, will give Mr. Bryan in No
vember a majority oi zo.vu. nciuuiiiii
concede him a 20.009 majority.
.Seattle, wean. wninKion
We Tell
Show this to your doctor and ask
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Orindelia Bobosta
White Pme .
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4 Grains
Safflcien to
We have no secrets! We publish
the formulas of all our medicines.
J. C. AYER CO., Manufacturing ChemUts, IgwejjMaM
the Taft column, when the votes are
couniea. nis win ubu
publican Congressional delegation, a Re
publican Legislature and a Republican
United States Senator to succeed Levi
Ankeny.
Plurality Will Be Smaller.
Wheeling. W. Va. Though President
Roosevelt had 31.850 plurality over Judge
Parker In 1904. there are few West Vir
ginia Republicans who dare to hope for
a victory for Mr. Taft by as great a
margin over Mr. Bryan. Senator Klkins
and Senator Scott, as well as State Chair
man Mathews, have gone on record with
predictions ranging between 25.000 and
ao.ono for the National ticket.
Milwaukee. Wis. Notwithstanding the
claims of the Democrats that -Wisconsin
may go for Mr. Bryan, .the Badger State
will be In the Republican column when
the votes are counted next - month, but
the plurality of 106,000 which Mr. Roose
velt received lour years ago win oe
greatlv cut down. Mr. Taft probably will
carry the state by from 50.000 to 75.000.
The situation in -Wisconsin is badly
mixed.
Cheyenne, Wyo Despite Mr. Roose
velt's majority of 11.5SS out of a total vote
of 30.657 in 1904. Wyoming in the 190S
Presidential contest appears to be In the
doubtful column.
HERALD SATS TAFT WILL WTN
Democratic Paper Concedes Bryan"!
Defeat With Ne-w York "-Lost.
NEW YORK, Oct '24. (Special.) 'the
Herald, which is inclined to favor W. J.
Bryan and other Democratic candidates,
makes a forecast of the election, bused
on figures collected by its own agencies,
which gives New York State to W. H.
Taft by 80.500 on the basis of 79.800
plurality for Bryan below the Bronx,
and 160,400 for Taft outside New York
City.
It gives Taft 280 electoral votes and
Bryan 156, with 47 doubtful.- Nebraska
and Kentucky are listed with Demo
cratic tendencies and Indiana. Colorado,
Montana and Wyoming are said to lean
toward Taft. Ohio Is awarded to Taft.
The forecast on the House of Repre
sentatives is Republican 219, Demo
cratic 172, a loss of four Republicans
and a gain of five Democrats.
The. Herald figures Indicate the re
election of Governor Hughes by a plu
rality of 5500, Chanier's plurality below
the Bronx being estimated at 115,900
and Hughes In the rest of the state at
121.400.
O'CONNOR FOUND GUILTY
Colorado Secretary of State Sent to
Jail for Contempt.
OENVER, Oct. 24. Secretary of Stat
Timothy O'Connor waa found jruilty of
contempt of the District Court by Oeorge
W. Alkn today and ordered to be con
fined In the County Jail until such time
as he shall obey the orders of the court
in regard to the official ballots for the
November election.
The sentence followed O'Connor's re
fusal to place the anti-Guggenheim and
busineft men's tickets on the official bal
lots. These tickets carry the names of
the regular Republican candidates for
Presidential electors and state officers
but different nominations for county
offices and legislature. An appeal will
be taken from Judge Allen's ruling to
the Supreme Court which had heretofore
failed to settle the controversy in re
gard to the ballot because the four Judges
Bitting In the case divided evenly.
The State Supreme Court this afternoon
granted a writ of habeas corpus applied
for by O'Connor's attorneys and the Sec
retary of gtate was released from the
custody of the Sheriff upon $500 bonds.
He will appear before the Supreme Court
Monday morning at which time the court
will take up all the matters connected
with the controversy which led to the is
suance of Judge Allen's order.
DENIES COMMISSION POWER
Ilarrlnian Lawyer Argues In Rail-nd-Ocean
Rate Case.
SAN FRANCISCO, Oct. 24. That a
Joint rate between an ocean carrier
and a railroad could not be a "legal"
rate, therefore there could be no vio
lation of It, was the point raised today
or Peter F. Dunne, in the United
States District Court, in the case of
the Pacific Mail Steamship Company
and the Southern Pacific Railroad, in
dicted by the Federal grand Jury upon
116 counts of havlnfc violated the In
terstate commerce laws. The Southern
Pacific and the Pacific Mali, both belonging-
to the Harrlman system, were
charged with carrying" matting from
Kobe, Japan, to Chicago and Columbus,
O.. at less than the published tariff
rates.
In arguing a demurrer to the Indict
ments, Mr. Dunne contended on behalf
of the defense that an ocean carrier
engaged in foreign trade was not
amenable to the regulations of the In
terstate Commerce Commission, and
that the Commission had no Jurisdic
tion over, a joint rate made by a
steamship company and a railroad on
foreign traffic. United States Attorney
Robert T. Devlin will reply for the
Government next Wednesday.
Mead's Speaking Dates.
OLYMPIA, Wash.. Oct. H. (Special.)
Governor Mead will deliver political
addresses next week at Cheney Mon
day. Medical Lake Tuesday, Pullman
Wednseday, Pomeroy Thursday, Walla
Walla Friday and Ellensburg Saturday.
Wednesday afternoon lie will deliver
an address at the unveiling of a monu
ment to mark the first camp of Gov
ernor Isaac I. Stevens on Moran Prai
rie, near Spokane
Bloodroot .
Rio Ipecao .
Citno Acid
Terpin Hydrat
3 Grains
a Grains
2 Grains
1 Grain
4 Drachms
Glycerin, O. P.
make one flaid ounce.
fix ;js
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l- -,,V,'c
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SUICIDE CUTS ARTERIES
TELEPHONE MAX FOUXD IX
TERMIXAIi YARD 'DEAD.
Allen C. Murray Kills Himself Be
cause of Failure and Disap
pointment In Lore.
Despondent because he had lost his
position and because of failure to win
the affections of a young woman in
Kentucky, A. C. Murray, until recently
a switchboard man in the employ of
the Pacific Telephone & Telegraph
Company, committed suicide at an early
hour yesterday morning by slashing his
wrists with a knife and bleeding to
death.
Although the Coroner and police be
lieve the case one of suicide, an Inves
tigation Is being made to discover. If
possible, any evidences of foul play.
None was discovered yesterday, while
many reasons existed, according to the
police, that might have caused the
young man to end his life.
The body was found yesterday morn
ing at Park and Hoyt streets. It was
perfectly nude and lying upon a lum
ber pile perhaps 20 feet from a freight
car. J. W. Bodlne, night foreman In
the terminal yards, made the discovery
and Sergeant Kienlen and Deputy Cor
oner Dunning made a careful examina
tion of the premises. Some of his gar
ments, soaked with blood, were found
inside the car and others were found
outside. On the outside was also found
a small pocket knife with which he Is
supposed to have severed the arteries
of his wrists. .
It Is believed by the officers that the
deed was committed Inside the car and
the man, in a frenzy, began to disrobe
In an effort to hide his Identity.
In his clothing were found a letter
from D. S. Murraj", general superintend
ent of the telephone company at San
Francisco, severely upralding him for
his past conduct, and an identification
card, directing that D. S. Murray, his
brother, be notified in case of accident
Officials of the telephone company
Identified the body at the morgue. A.
C. Murray had been In' the employ of
the company for several years and
formerly worked at Salt Lake and in
several Idaho towns. It Is said that he
had been drinking heavily In recent
months.
Murray was 35 years old and unmar
ried. Officials of the company are ar
ranging for the funeral.
Will Revise Marshfleld Charter.
MARSHFTEtD. Or., Oct. 24. fSne-
I
Y
Now Is Your
Stock-Reductipn Sale
25Off on All Men's Suits
Nothing Reserved This Includes Blues
$15.1)0 MEN'S SUIT OR OVERCOAT NOW
$16.50 MEN'S SUIT OF OVERCOAT NOW
$18.00 MEN'S SUIT OR OVERCOAT NOW
$20.00 MEN'S SUIT OR OVERCOAT NOW
$22.50 MEN'S SUIT OR OVERCOAT NOW
$25.00 MEN'S SUIT OR OVERCOAT NOW
$27.50 MEN'S SUIT OR OVERCOAT NOW
$30.00 MEN'S SUIT OR OVERCOAT NOW
$35.00 MEN'S SUIT OR OVERCOAT NOW
By Coming Early, You Will Have a Large Stock'to
A, J. Ricfiardlson Co.
283-285 Washington Street, Opposite Woodard, Clarke & Co.
T TOW about this winter overcoat
.n matter? Have you decided on
what you're going to have? And
on what you're going to pay for it ?
And on where you're going to buy it?
All these questions can be easily answered if
you say you're going to have the best your
money will buy.
That means a
Hart Schaffner & Marx
overcoat.
A choice of one of the new smart styles in
that make.
It means that you'll pay anywhere from
$15 to $40 for it.
And buy it here.
Very simple, very satisfactory to you.
This store is the home of
Hart Schaffner & Marx clothes
Saml R
clal.) Marshfleld has taken up the
matter of framing a new city charter
and Mayor Straw has appointed a com
mittee of citizens either to revise the
old charter or prepare a new one to
submit to the Council. Those named
by the Mayor to do this work were
Dr. C. W. Tower, J. E. Oren, William
Grimes, Dr. E. Mingus, C. J. Mlllls, Ar
thur Williams. J. S. Coke, C. F. Mo
Knight, John Bear. F. II. Clark, J. A.
Matson, J. T. Hall, N. S. McFarland,
Father E. Donnelly and John C. Mer
chant. MINERS CAN'T BUY STOVES
Rj-an'f Answer to Bnek Company in
Boycott Case.
INDIANAPOLIS, Oct. 24. Depositions
were filed today to. be used in the con
tempt proceedings against Samuel Gom
pers, Frank Morrison and John Mitchell,
growing out of the Buck Stove & Range
Company case. The depositions were
taken on behalf of that company. Among
those whoHe depositions were taken was
W. R. Ryan. National secretary-treasurer
of the United Mine Workers, with
headquarters in this city. His testi
mony was in relation to resolutions op
posing the stove and range company
that had been adopted by the Norfolk
convention of the American Federation
of Labor In November. 1907. and the
convention of the United Mine Workers
of America In this city last January.
In relation to the possible effect of the
resolutions, he said the miners had not
been in a position to buy stoves since
the financial depression.
Crossed Plains in 1850.
OREGON CITY, Or., Oct. 24. (Special.)
John Francis Miller died at 10 o'clock
this morning at the Good Samaritan
Hospital In Portland, after an illness of
a year, aged 73 years. He was born in
Maryland, and came across the plains
with his parents in 1850. His father,
Samuel Miller, bought a claim on the
west side of the Willamette, two miles
from Oregon City, and the deceased lived
there and in Portland until his death.
He Is survived by three children: Miss
Hattie, Lyrton and Elmer Miller, of
Portland:1 a brother, Thomas Miller, of
Oregon City, and three sisters, Mrs. J.
L. Barlow, of Oregon City; Mrs. Mar
garet Pllsbury, of Portland and Mrs.
Henrietta Kelly, of Seattle.
Preparing for Free Delivery.
M M INNV1LLE. Or.. Oct. 24. (Special.)
United States Postal Inspector Thomas
J. Flavin was here today looking the city
nMllminarv tn mnk'me a. report to
the department upon the advisability of
establishing a free man delivery iui -viu-ict
..ilia Tii TvitoffinA at this Dlace
has passed the requirements as to annual
and Overcoats
osen
CORNER THIRD AND MORRISON STS.
receipts. The dwelling houses and a por
tion of the business district have been
systematically numbered, and the side
walks in the outskirts of the city, while
Inadequate in some instances, have been
ordered by the Council in anticipation of
the visit of the Inspector.
Names Were Transposed.
SALEM, Or.. Oct. 24. (Special.) In
yesterday's dispatch giving an account
of the suit by an automobile owner
against a farmer for damages, the
names of the parties were Inadvertent
ly transposed. . C. W. Cutsforth was
the owner of the automobile and M.
Benjamin the farmer against whom the
1400 Judgment for damages was re
turned. Stops Suits Against Thaw.
PITTSBURG, Oct. 24. Two of Harry
Thaw's creditors were restrained from
proceeding with cases against him,
which are now pendipg in the Federal
Court of the Southern District of New
Tork, by an order of Judge Young In
the Federal Court here today. The
suits affected are one for $50,000,
Bow To Brown Hair
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One bottle of this walnut-Juioe hair-stain
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Mrs Potter's Walnut-Juice Hair-Stain Is
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years' practical experience and we back
up every bit of it with our well-known
reputation for doing
HONEST DENTISTRY
The best Dentistry is none too good
for you. Our success is due to uniform
high-grade work at reasonable prices.
TEETH , ..
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PAINLESS EXTRACTION 50
SILVER FILLINGS 50C "P
GOLD FILLINGS Sl.OO "P
22K GOLD CROWN 85. OO
GOOD RI'BBER PLATE 85. OO
THE BEST RUBBER PLATES. .8.00
NERVOUS PEOPLE
and those afflicted with heart weak
ness can now have their teeth extract
ed, filled with bridge work applied
without the least pain or danger.
All work guaranteed for ten years.
Chicago Painless Dentists
32.T-4 WASH. ST.. COB. TH.
Pi.or.es Main SS80, A 534 X
Office hours. 8 A-. M. to fi P. M. -Lady
Attendant. Sundays. 9 A. M. to 1 P. M.
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