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Martin
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April 15, 2015
O PINION
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UPHOLSTERY
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$25 - $49
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Diplomacy Defeats War for a Change
If agreement
holds, peace is
possible
P HYLLIS B ENNIS
With their ground-
breaking agreement
over Iran’s nuclear
enrichment program,
negotiators in Lau-
sanne, Switzerland scored a major
victory for diplomacy over war.
Both sides made major conces-
sions. But Iran’s concessions are
far greater.
Tehran agreed to severe cuts in
its nuclear infrastructure, reduc-
ing its current 19,000 centrifuges
for enriching uranium to just over
5,000. It also consented to trans-
form several controversial facil-
ities to meet Western demands to
weaken Iran’s nuclear capacity.
Crucially, Iran will permit the
UN’s International Atomic Energy
Agency to conduct unannounced
inspections.
In return, the United States and
its partners agreed to suspend their
international sanctions over a pe-
riod of years. They’re also tacitly
accepting that the Non-Prolifera-
tion Treaty grants Iran the right to
enrich nuclear materials for power
and medical treatments.
If the bottom line is nuclear
security, this agreement is a big
winner. U.S. intelligence agencies
BY
— all of them — agree that Iran
ceased all weapons-related nucle-
ar research over a decade ago. And
now, under the agreed-upon terms,
it would take at least a year for
I Iran to enrich enough uranium
f for a bomb.
Even then, as my friend Ste-
p phen Myles quipped, “They’d
s still, ya know, have to build a
E ERPE¿JXUHRXWDZD\WRKLGH
it all from the inspectors all
over their country, and convince
the international community to sit
idly by for one whole year.” That’s
just not going to happen.
Yet there’s more at stake here
than sanctions and centrifuges. If
the agreement holds, it could lead
to a real breakthrough for peace in
the Middle East.
If Washington and Tehran can
maintain normal — even if not
chummy — diplomatic relations,
a whole host of thorny problems
become easier to resolve. Joint
HIIRUWVWRHQGWKH¿JKWLQJLQ,UDT
stop the catastrophic escalation
underway in Yemen, and create a
real international diplomatic cam-
paign to end the Syrian civil war
would all become possible.
Extremists in both the United
States and Iran oppose the accord.
Iran’s Supreme Leader supports
the deal, so hardliners there have
been quiet. That means the biggest
threat to the agreement succeeding
comes from the pro-war faction in
the U.S. Congress — mainly, but
not only, Republicans.
Sen. John McCain of Arizona,
for example, urged Israel to “go
rogue” and attack Iran. And other
lawmakers, following their infa-
mous letter to Iran threatening to
undermine any agreement, contin-
ue to lead efforts to impose new
sanctions. What they really want
is a chance to tank the accord.
They’re loud, but they’re on the
wrong side of public opinion.
A Washington Post poll con-
ducted before the agreement was
struck found 59 percent support
for a negotiated settlement. A full
70 percent of liberals, two-thirds
of Democrats, and at least 60 per-
cent of moderates and indepen-
dents all favored a deal. Even Re-
publicans — divided more or less
evenly — are far more supportive
than their party’s warmongering
members of Congress.
What’s next? To ensure the
agreement holds, it will be cru-
cial for supporters of diplomacy
to mobilize that public support,
strengthen the backbone of waver-
ing members of Congress, chal-
lenge extremist positions in the
media, and most of all, warn all
Americans of the consequences of
failure.
Diplomacy defeated war in
Lausanne. Now we’ve got to pro-
tect the peace.
Phyllis Bennis directs the New
Internationalism project at the In-
stitute for Policy Studies.
The Law Offices of
Patrick John Sweeney, P.C.
Patrick John Sweeney
Attorney at Law
1549 SE Ladd
Portland, Oregon
Portland:
Hillsoboro:
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Email:
(503) 244-2080
(503) 244-2081
(503) 244-2084
Sweeney@PDXLawyer.com