Page A4 Opinion o rila nò ( ß iw r u r r (Elje ^fortlatth (iDhserrirr USPS 9 5 9 -6 8 0 Established 1970 STAFF E d it o r C P in h ie f , u b l is h e r Charles H. Washington E d it o i Larry J. Jackson, Sr. B M u s in e s s anager Gary Ann Taylor A sst . P ublisher Michael Leighton C o rt E d it o i Joy Ramos C November 07, 2001 IJortlanb (Obstruct r e a t iv e D ir e c t o r Paul Neufeldt 4 7 4 7 NE M a rtin L u th e r King, Jr. Blvd. Portland, OR 9 7 2 1 1 Opinion articles do not necessarily reflect or represent the views of (Tl|v|4orthuth (Phaeruer Economic Recovery Proposals will Fail Oregon by J eff T hompson Oregon’s economy, in re­ cession with 6.4 percent un­ employment and more layoffs to come, could use some help. With our economy going from top dog to just “dog” in a year, Oregonians are eager for government to deliver eco­ nomic stimulus. To be effective, stimulus should be temporary and deliv­ ered to people who will spend it. The Republican and Bush proposals do neither, dedicat­ ing 90 percent of their long­ term cost to tax cuts aimed largely at upper-income house­ holds and businesses. Most of the upper-income tax cuts oc­ cur after the recession likely will have ended, and, like the tax cut earlier this year, the money will likely be saved, not spent. The business tax cuts are too long-range to accelerate investment. No strings are at­ tached, so there is no assur­ ance that any of the compa­ nies receiving hundred million dollar windfalls will forego layoffs or make additional in­ vestments. The proposed one-time tax rebate, aim ed at low and m iddle-incom e households, would be effective, but it is quite small compared to the other tax cuts. The federal proposals also include additional spending on u n em ploym ent in su ran ce, which could be an effective stimulus. Unfortunately, the current proposals are practically use­ less for Oregon. The House 11th. By August, Oregon had 50 percent more unemployed workers receiving benefits than a year earlier. These workers would be ineligible for Bush’s extended and in­ ’ Oregon’s Congressional delegation and state leaders need to put money into the hands of people who will spend it—low and middle income families V - J e f f Thomson, Oregon Center for Public Police proposal is just one-third the size of the stimulus enacted during the mild, early 1990s recession. States w ouldn’t have to spend the money on increased benefits, but could use the funds to shore up existing unemploy-. ment trust funds or cut taxes on employers. The staid Con­ gressional Budget Office ex­ pects that only 30 percent would actually be spent as ad­ ditional benefits for workers. The adm inistration’s pro­ posal lim its additional unem ­ ploym ent benefits to w ork­ ers laid off after Septem ber creased benefits. Even eli­ gible workers would only get these benefits if O regon’s unem ploym ent rises to 7.8 percent. What can the State of Or­ egon do for us? Oregon is con­ stitutionally prevented from deficit spending, and has no rainy day fund to draw upon. The Governor’s goal to boost tourism is laudable, but with a worldwide economic downturn and a major military conflict heating up, it’s hard to see how even our best efforts will in­ crease tourism. In any event, additional tourist dollars are not a substitute for the high-paying manufacturing and technology jobs that we are losing. Any razzle-dazzle that the Governor’s newest task force might muster will pale in com ­ parison to the damage already done though deliberate inac­ tion. Not halting the $254 m il­ lion personal income tax re­ bate due by December 1 will administer a fiscal drag on the economy. Most of the tax re­ bate is destined for upper-in­ come bank accounts where it will be saved, not spent. Moreover, state spending will be cut deeply - the exact opposite of stimulus. The re­ bate also eliminates our ability to leverage federal dollars, and will trigger $35 million in in­ creased federal income taxes next April, pulling funds out of Oregon's economy. A quick end to Oregon’s and the country’s recession will require effective fiscal stimulus. Oregon’s Congres­ sional delegation and state leaders need to put money into the hands of people who will spend it - low and middle in­ come families. The current proposals on the table badly miss the mark. J e f f T h o m p s o n is a n e c o n o m is t a n d p o lic y a n a ­ ly st w ith the O regon C en ter f o r P u blic P olicy. H e can be rea ch ed at jth o m p s o n @ o c p p . o rg . Congress Fails Airline Passengers and Workers U.S. Rep. E a rl B lu m e n ­ a uer, D -O re . is s u e d the fo llo w in g sta te m e n t T hurs­ d a y a fte r C o n g ress p a sse d the R ep u b lica n a irlin e s e ­ c u rity bill, sa yin g it fa ils to exp a n d the ro le o f f e d ­ e ra l law e n fo rc e m e n t a n d ensure the sa fe ty o f a irlin e p a sse n g e rs a n d w orkers. “ 1 am sad d en ed th at we m issed an o p p o rtu n ity to w ork in a truly b i-p a rtisa n fashion. H ad w e passed the O b e rsta r-G a n sk e b i-p a rti­ san su b stitu te v ersio n o f the bill, id en tical to w hat the S enate p a sse d 100-0 three w eeks ago, w e co u ld have had an av iatio n se c u ­ rity bill signed by the P resi­ dent tom orrow . “T his bill is a step b a c k ­ w ard in term s o f p ro v id in g the train in g , p ro fe ssio n a l­ ism , and un ifo rm p ro te c ­ tion that the A m erican p u b ­ lic deserv es to m ake our skies sa fe r.” 5 0 3 -2 8 8 -0 0 3 3 Fax 5 0 3 -2 8 8 -0 0 1 5 e-mail rew9@paVandobse1ver.corn subscnption@paVandobsener.can ads@porVandobsener.oorn P ostmaster : Send address changes to Portland Observer PO Box 3 1 3 7 Portland, OR 9 7 2 0 8 We Must Control Weapons to Reduce Terrorism Threat The use of airliners and an­ thrax as w eapons against Americans makes it clear that certain people intend to inflict mass casualties on the United States - and have no moral barriers to using the deadliest weapons they can obtain. That, according to Jane Cramer, should galvanize U.S. policy toward stopping the spread of weapons of mass destruction that terrorists and rogue states could acquire. “Thank God it w asn’t a nuclear bomb that went off o v e r M a n h a tta n ,” says Cramer, UO assistant profes­ sor o f political science. To prevent a tragedy worse than Sept. 11, she says, the United States must emphasize the control of nuclear, biologi­ cal and chemical arms-which recent administrations have not done. As examples, she cites fal­ tering U.S. support o f the Bio- logical Weapons Convention and the Cooperative Threat Reduction Program, which was formed to control and elimi­ nate the vast arsenal of the former Soviet Union. Cramei adds that the cur­ rent administration’s pursuit of N ational M issile D efense (NMD), along with its disre­ gard for the Comprehensive Test Ban and Anti-Ballistic Missile treaties, endangers the global coalition needed by the United States to stop terrorism and proliferation. “We can’t be unilateral any­ m ore,” she says. “We will never effectively fight terror­ ism without real world coop­ eration, and NM D offends every other country.” Terrorists and rogue states are unlikely to develop ballistic missiles that NMD could inter­ cept anyway, she says, be­ cause of the prohibitive cost and technical sophistication , involved. She suggests that the United States abandon NMD and in­ stead support global non-pro ­ liferation efforts. “Everything changed in a big way on September 11,” she says. “We should re-evalú­ ate our foreign policies now that we truly need friends.” C ram er can be rea ch ed b y p h o n e a t 5 4 1 -3 4 6 -4 6 2 6 or v ia e -m a il at jkcmnK’r@darkwing.uoirgoiiediL Periodical Postage paid In Portland, OR Subscriptions are $6 0 .0 0 per year D E A D L IN E S ■ FOR ALL SUBMITTED METERIAIS ARTICLES: M onday by 5 p . m . ADS: Friday by noon The Portland Observer wel­ comes freelance submissions. Manuscripts and photographs should be clearly labeled and will be returned if accompa­ nied by a self addressed enve­ lope. 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