THE MORNING OREGONIAN, TUESDAY, MAT 2, 1922 QUBLE IN 4 MATED 6 1-2 TIMES Value of Soviet Currency Drops to One-Twentieth. NEW DATA IS OBTAINED Depreciation Proceeds Thrice Fast as Inflation as Result of Large Issues. BY JOHN J1AWABD KETXES, Fellow and Bursar. Kings college, Cam bridge; editor Economic Journal, Lon don; author of "The Economic Conse quences of the Peace" and "A Revision of the Treaty." (Copyright, 1922, by the New York "World. All Rights Reserved. Published by Ar rangement.) GENOA, May L (Special Cable.) I am able to supplement my previous articles on Russian finances by some further Information which has been supplied by M. Preoballensky. a mem ber of the collegium of the commis sary of finance and chief financial ex pert on the Russian, delegation to Genoa. The following table, which includes figures for the issue of paper money since the beginning of last December, gives the whole position succinctly. As before, a gold ruble signified not a quantity of gold but the internal purchasing power of a gold ruble in 1813. Perhaps this table can claim the distinction of giving the first monetary statistics which have ever been expressed in units of trillions: be maintained, everything depends on the assets against which the notes are to be issued. On this point there are two schools of thought in Moscow. Store of Value Proposed. One school holds the notes should be issued only against gold or foreign currency arising out of the export of goods and delivery of goods actually available for export. The other school holds the bank should also issue small denomination notes in exchange for soviet treasury notes at a fluctuating rate, depend ent on the purchasing power of the latter in terms of gold rubles from time to time. The object of the second school Is to provide a reliable store of value within the country itself, a normal function of money which the soviet note admittedly supplies no longer, and so stimulate the usual Instincts of individuals towards the acquisition of a little wealth. It is interesting that the bolshevlsts should come to recognize the neces sity for this incentive. Fluctuating Market Certain. In either case, the soviet ruble would have a fluctuating market value in terms of the stable bank ruble. But the doctrine of the second school opens the way to gradual de terioration of the bank ruble along the same course as the soviet ruble. and it appears essential to outsme observers that the stricter doctrines of the first school should be rigor ously maintained, at least for some time to come. Tf onlv this bank can De tounaea on sound lines, It seems to point the way to suitable machinery for em ploying foreign credits to the best advantage. Suppose, for example, the bank were to establish a reserve fund in London, of which half were furnished out of its own resources and half out of credit from the British treasury, then sterling drafts against the fund could be supplied to importers approved by the bank of Russia with which to pay English exporters, approved by a joint committee of the Dank and the British board of trade of London; and if the proceeds of Russian exports were paid by the bank into this re serve it could form a revolving fund TO POSTPONE DEBTS Interest to America Will Be Met as Usual. NEW BUDGET CUTS TAXES Chancellor Says Turning Point Has Come and Redemption of Bills This Year Unlikely. Notes outstanding In trillions of rubles on first of month Notes Issued during month. In trillions.... Per cent additions during month...'........ Thousands of paper rubles equal to one gold ruble on first Per cent depreciation during month Total note issue on first of month in mil lions of rubies Dei. Jan. Feb. Mr. 21 22 22 22 11 17 29 48 12 19 23 65 70 65 48 107 170 420 1,060 57,103 147,100 152,690 98,450 April. 22 71 The table shows that the Inflation of the currency to six and one-half ;imes the previous volume within four months has been accompanied by a fail in the value of the paper ruble to l-20th. Paper Money Value Kails. Thus enormous Issues of paper money have shaken confidence to such an extent that depreciation has iroceeded three times as fast as In flation with the result that the pres nt aggregate value of the note issue, namely about 5,000,000 sterling, on vpril 1 was quite insufficient for the teeds of the country. Consequently outside of the towns barter still persists, much of the rev nue Is collected In kind and we have ne paradox of the. greatest volume of ote issue ever known leading up to in Insufficiency of money. During the first ten days of April, vhlch is the latest date for which a :gure is yet available, the value of ie currency depreciated a further 17 . er cent. Some Recovery Predicted. But Russian experts argue that rovided they can moderate the issues f currency, as to which they express praiseworthy determination, the itherlng in of the harvest will be companied by some recovery in the alue of the paper ruble. One other set of figures is of great "terest, at any rate to students of irrency. By issues of paper money e state is able to levy surreptitious nation on its subjects and thus ob iin command of real resources. But how far can this process be irried before It repeats itself? In ussia the experiment has been ished to the last extremity and it ; Instructive to inquire how much al resources the soviet government is been able to extract from first to last by this instrument of taxation. Purchasing Power Discussed. If the fresh note Issues of each erlod be translated into terms of ieir pre-war ruble purchasing power : the date of each issue, I am in armed that the purchasing power -.us secured by the state has amount ie to the following sums: Nineteen hundred eighteen. 529,000, 0 gold rubles; 1919, 280.000,000; 1920. .6,000,000; 1921, 143,000.000; January o March, 1922. 6).000,000. According to the estimate men oned in my prevsous article, the so et government experts will raise In .is way during the second quarter of 22 the equivalent of 30,000 000 gold ibles. Thus the total for the whole riod amounts to about 1,300,000,000 ld rubles. How much cleverer is the modera on of the bourgeois governments. How much more successfully they uploy this surreptitious instrument uf taxation. Others Raise Larger Sums. During the same period the gov rnments of France and Germany ach raised by the same methods ajger sums than this. All these figures exhibit with re narkable frankness the collapse of lethods adopted hitherto. What is he plan for the future? The Rus ans are not converted to the opinion hat even a soviet state needs a -aolcsome currency and they are try .ig to frame a policy accordingly. The trend of their Ideas is as fol ows: Notes issued at present are not . ank notes but treasury notes. With the return to monetary econ- mics, the bolshevists have instituted i new state bank, the primary func- on of which is to deal with foreign xchange and finance imports and ex . orts. It is proposed that this bank issue t new note which should be cashable or foreign currency at a more or ss fixed rate by holders who have I legitimate trade demand for such trrency. If such encashability is to jjfcv jRed Fox Wlfe-BCl Formula of a wtjy ? si pharmacist of If BJdTeoure; Try the JJrug Store First" on the lines of the Cold exchange standard. Confidence la Predicted. Out of the business contracts, thus established bet-ween individuals mu tual confidence would grow up if it was deserved, and trade might gradu ally develop on the only possible per manent basis, namely, that of personal confidence between individuals and corporations in the two countries. But no one at Genoa, eo far as I can discover, is interested in practical details of this kind. The whole dis cussion is concentrated on the ques tion of whether, in spite of war and revolution and the complete boule versement of the existing order, a pretense cannot be patched up for the benefit of foreign creditors that nothing has changed. The idea that, in spite of all that has happened, foreign creditors are going to be paid as though nothing had happened, is, coolly considered, improbable. Discussions at Genoa have no value and are remote from the realities. The latest proposals of the French do not provide and are not intended to provide any basis of agreement. But even if, as seems increasingly likely, we . and the Italians break away and offer our own more reason able scheme there are still immense difficulties in the way. I see no s'gns of our offering the Russians a sufficiently tangible inducement for them to take on themselves the heavy burdens of the past. Russia Can't Pay Now. And even if we bribe or threaten them Into repeating some formula about the old debts It will have no value in practice. Russia can pay nothing now, and formula or no for mula our own private investors are not so fool'sh that they are going to lend her in the near future any con siderable sums. I doubt therefore whether in any case all this discussion about debts can lead anywhere for the present. If Russia recovers sufficently, provided she thinks it worth her while of meet ing part of her liabilities, and If by that time experience has sufficiently been restored here for there to be a possibility of new private investors coming forward, then it will be time enough to consider details of compo sition with the old bondholders. The right method now is to start afresh, to abandon International con ferences and encourage individual countries and their citizens to make tentative experiments with the aid of moderate government credits as to whether the new Russians are or are not the sort of people with whom it is poss'ible to do business. LONDON', May 1. (By the Assocl ated Press.) Sir Robert Stevenson Home, chancellor of the exchequer introduced in the house of commons today the budget for the fiscal yea 1922-1923, embodying estimates fo 910,775,000 revenue and 910,069.00 expenditures. The expenditures in elude 25,000,000 for contingencies. This much discussed budget con talned only one surprise. Reduction In taxation, for which there has been strong agitation, came as expected. One shilling in the pound Is taken off the income tax, four pence off the duty on tea, which reduces the duty from one shilling to eight pence on the pound, and a cor responding reduction of one-third in the duties on coffee, cocoa and chic ory. The reduction in the Income tax is a concession to the upper and mid die strata of the community, while the other reductions are particularly for the large section of the popula tion whose incomes are below the In come tax paying level. Debt Payment Postponed. The important surprise which the chancellor gave the house was the announcement of a temporary chan of policy regarding the payment of debts. After showing that the external debt now standing at nearly 11,000,- 000,000 had been reduced by 274,000, 000 eince March, 1919, he gave it as his opinion that the turning point had come and the taxpayer should not be asked to redeem any debt this year. Explaining this policy, he con tinued: "It involves, firstly, suspension of the sinking fund and secondly, that we should meet our obligations to wards the holders of securities by re borrowing for the purpose. 3ut this will not add to the genera,, burden of debt. Bill Prom America Drops. The chancellor explained that the external debt consists almost entirely of debts to the United States and Can ada and certain allie3 who owe Great Britain much more than she owes them. The debt to the United States was equivalent to 1,301,875,000 two years ago, when the exchange was 330, but, he pointed out, it was now reduced to 946,S20,000 with the ex change at $4.40, and when the ex change was restored to par, as he hoped, the debt would be 856,030,000. Incidentally, Sir Robert remarked: "We are saddled in the present year with a new burden in the shape of interest we have to pay on our debt to the United States. That we shall meet without question. ' The house cheered this statement. He also called attention to the fact that the budget had run taken notice of any possible payments from Ger many, because the government would regard those as windfalls. BRITISH TO DEAL ALONE (Continued From Firat Page.) ACTION UP TO RUSSIA (Continued From First Pag-e.) ing out their own destiny. There Is no desire to interfere In their Internal affairs. The principle that Is in volved Is one that we cherish here. Its application has been somewhat complicated by the organized efforts on the part of the soviet regime to interfere in the domestic affairs of other peoples. "With respect to Intercourse, it is quite evident that you are under a serious misapprehension. There are no legal obstacles to trade with Russia. The obstacles that exist to trade with Russia are due to the situation in Russia, which is in the control of those who dominate the affairs of Russia. Some time ago I pointed out the essential conditions for a return to productivity in Rus sia. That was not a tormula; that was not an artificial conception; that was simply a statement of fact. Rus- l needs credit, but it is idle to expect credit unless there is a basis for credit. That basis for credit can not be supplied from the outside. That basis for credit has got to be supplied inside of Russia, Matter Up to Leaders. "Political recognition follows the establishment of a sound basis for intercourse. Political recognition is dependent upon the existence of & government that is competent to dis charge, and shows a disposition to discharge in its international obli gations. This whole matter is in the control of those who dominate the affairs of Russia- We are most de sirous to do what we can to aid in Russia's recuperation, but they must establish the basis for recuperation." later in the day. Still the Belgian, held out, and the memorandum will go to Russia without their consent. As it stands the document de mands that the soviet deliver to for eign nationals whatever property they formerly owned or a definite equivalent. Weighty Decisions Faced. Weighty decisions in this connec tion will rest with the arbitration committee appointed by the bond holders. Russia and Chief Justice Taft of the United States supreme court. The committee will be the biggest court of claims ever insti tuted and will have many years work ahead of it if the ultimatum is accepted. However, as I have said, the starch is taken out of the document by Mr. Lloyd George's1 willingness to agTee separately, if common agree ment is impossible, and Russia's new policy of accepting the best terms private concessionaires will offer. If the soviet can sign up a number of other agreements like that with the Shell oil group, it will have a precedent which will force the Ge noa conference to accept similar terms as a new basis for negotiation. members of this commission will represent all the bondholders and the Russian government, respectively. The commission will have power to remit interest and decide all ques tions affecting foreign bondholders and Russia's ability to meet her ob ligations, a time limit will be fixed In which bondholders may make their own arrangements with the Russian government, if they desire, mixed arbitral tribunals, one for every in terested nation, will be set up to deal with the question of the property of foreigners which has been nation alized; the chairman of each would be named by the chairman of the mixed arbitral commission- In the plan adopted, practically everything which savored of capitula tions or infringement on Russia's sovereignty was waived. The French suggestion of a provisional adminis tration, pending Russia's establish ment of courts on the basis desired by western Europe, was not approved. Labor day was a real labor day for the Genoa conference. The sub-commission on Russian affairs rushed Its consideration of the Russian recon struction plans and came through late tonight with approval of the draft of the proposals. Belgium alone held out on the sec tion relating to the treatment to be given to the property of foreigners nationalized by the soviet govern ment. This is a vital point in the pro posals and has been stubbornly con tested. France finally subscribed to the project proposed by Great Britain, where the use of the property will be restored wherever possible and in other cases compensation will be ar ranged through mixed arbitral tri bunals. Belgium stood firmly for the prin ciple of restitution and went on rec ord as protesting, declaring that the vested interests of Belgians in prop erty in Russia amount to 100,000, 000 and that Belgians will never again invest in Russia unless restitution is made. In the discussion relating to the treatment of foreigners, the adminis tration of justice and the general lib erty of foreigners to travel and en gage in enterprises in Russia, it was decided to abandon those sections of the London experts' report which re ferred to certain measures whereby the immediate restoration of Russia would be facilitated. Among the provisions in this report thus given up was that requiring the consul of a foreign country to ratify the decision in a criminal case af fecting the citizen of the consul's country before such decision could be carried out. The delegates agreed today that such a measure would be a distinct violation of Russia's sov ereignty. Similarly it was agreed that the suggestion to insist upon exceptional treatment and protection for foreign workmen in Russia and Russ'an workmen employed by foreign compa nies would be unjust in its operation and harmful to the liberty of the trades union movement, not only in Russia, but throughout the world. Concerning the general question of treatment of foreigners, a paragraph was inserted setting forth that inas much as perhaps restitution of Rus sia depends upon the re-establishment of freedom of movement and honest and equitable administration of jus tice, the Russian government prom ises to undertake the establishment of these conditions immediately.. Visiting Irish to Be Entertained. night for a reception to be tendered the members of the Irish republican party, headed by Countess Markie vicz, due here Thursday at 6:15 A. M. hotel and at 10 o'clock will leave for a i ip over lug tjoiumDia nignway. They will return here for dinner and Knights of Pythias hall and labor temple, to which the public Is invited. o aamission win oe cnargea. Fir knots for furnace and fireplace. Edlefsen's. Broadway 70. Adv. 57 TACT'S AID IS TO BE ASKED Naming of Chairman of Russian Arbiters Is Desired. GENOA, May 1. (By the Associated Press.) Chief Justice Taft of the United States spureme court will be asked to name the chairman of the mixed arbitral commission to be es tablished for controlling the debts owed by the Russian government to foreign bondholders, according to the plan arranged today. The other Home late? No, not too late. You can have a perfectly prepared, perfectly de licious hot meal on the table in just a few minutes. No work. No fuss. No time. Simply heat and serve. HEINZ Spaghetti Ready cooked, ready to serve Oil Tanks Are Received. HOQUIAM. Wash., May 1. (Spe cial.) Tanks have been unloaded at the site of the Union Oil company's new distributing station here and will be set up at once. The city building department has issued a per mit for building work, which it is estimated will cost $15,000. The com pany has a large site not far from the Cow Point property of the port commission and has direct railroad connections of its own, with three lines. EMERGENCY traffic a police on duty 1 1 iWSi a r t t -mr-rTBHi .VVal.- Introducing also a little brother-act entitled, "Bantam The New Playsutts for Boys." Now every boy can have a playsuit with the "boy idea" built into it. Nary a girlish feature about Bantams. Yet there's enough red trimming and natty design to please mother's eye. Other features: double drop j seat, double knees, two roomy pockets. Ask your dealer to show you Bantams 1 thryAnean a dollar more wear for an extra quarter. f y 4 song of May time Happy day! when kiddies first slip into Kute Kuts for their endless season of play. Happy day for mothers, too ! To the child it means a playsuit free and easy nothing to chafe or hamper the movement of her little body. To the mother it means a playsuit smart yet practical in which chil' dren can romp to their hearts'" content and yet look "dressed' up" all the while. Kute Kuts made playsuits fashionable. The wide Dutch peg, narrow red piping, shiny metal buttons, handy patch pockets, high curved waistband with cunning pleats front and back these give Kute Kuts their distinctive style. And what gives them wear? Sturdy, close-woven fabrics, stoutly sewn seams, traditional "Can't Bust 'Em" workmanship with "every stitch guaranteed." Playtime no longer means mending time to mother thanks to Kute Kuts. Why not usher in playtime for your youngsters today by asking your dealer for these stylcplus'wear playsuits? Priced surprisingly low, too! At most good stores in a wide range of patterns and play-proof materials. fAN'T bust' EM UNION MADE KUTE KUTS PEG-TOP PLAYSUITS Made by Eloesser-Heynemann Co. San Francisco Los Angeles Portland Manufacturers "Can't Bust 'Em" Overalls, Trousers, "Argonaut" Shirts, etc Kute Kut design patented U. S. P. tent No. 56470. 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