THE BIORNTXG OREGOXIAW, MONDAY, APRIL 22, 1918. 3 U. S. BONE DRY IN 1920 PREDICTED Four More States Required to Carry Entire Nation for Prohibition. WETS MUST WIN THIRTEEN 11 More Months Allowed by Anil Saloon League for Ratification of Amendment That Will Put Fnd to Demon Rum. BT ARTHUR M. EVANS. CHICAGO. April SI. ISpeclal.) America will be bona dry by March 12. unless the camel falls down and breaks hlf hump. March 1. 11. or leas than It month from now. 1 the data set by the Antl Kaloon League for the Untitling up of the ratification or the national ary amendment by tbe atatea. It will no into effect one year after tbe states ntlfv. From all the slicna tbe predictions of the rirTi mre conservative. Old Man Barleycorn is trrogcy and la hanaina- onto tbe lamp post. Already the drye have hammered the West into a position wbere the West most hold 11 out of 1C wet statea In tact. or. to pot it conversely, the drya need only to bans; onto what they have and put four out of 1 wet states on the water neon, and It will be ood- Btcht. nurse" for tbe demon rum. Eleveai Already Dry. Here's the situation right now: It takes ! statea to ratify the dry amend ment. Eleven atatea have already rati fied. Of these, five are wet etatea or were wet wben they nipped the eprink ler. Tbe 11 are Dry. Mississippi. Vir ginia, South Carolina. North Dakota. Montana. South Dakota: wet. Kentucky, Maryland. Texas. Delaware and Massa chusetts. Georgia, a dry state, will open Ita legislative aesslon In June. It Is a fore gone conclusion that It will ratify. Thia will put IS statea on the list. Twenty states, now bone dry, will start their legislative sessions next January. On ratification every one of the 2 la regarded aa a lead-pipe cinch. They are Alabama. Artiona. Arkansas, Colorado. Idaho. Indiana. Iowa, Kansas, Maine. Michigan. Nebraska. New Hamp shire. New Mexico. North Carolina, Oklahoma. Oregon. Tennessee. Utah. Washington and West Virginia. When these 3 dry statea ratify It will make a total of 33. Fmmr Mere Jleeded. The drya will have only four more to go. In other words, they have to cap ture only four out of the 1 remaining states, all of which at present are wet In varying degrees of moistnesa. Kivs of the 1( will vote on state-wide prohibition next November, and four of the five at least are considered aura ot going dry- Tbe Louisiana Legislature will meet In May. and there la more than a chance that It will ratify. In at least three atates. notably Illinois, the drya may elect dry Legislatures next Fall. Hera are la wet atatea In which the last atand of old King Alcohol will be made. The table ehows the present per centage of population living In dry ter ritory and the percentage of area with out saloons. Statea That Are la Daaat. The question simmers down to this Are there 11 states In the 1 which the weta can hold Intact? Pnpo- rry latlon area Istloa area) Popa- Dry Louisiana ..l im. icnnnectlcut .is 71. Florida.. ..Brt i lOhlo 42 . MinnMoia .HO 12. I Pennsylvania IS r. "Nutida ...14 It. IV.rmont ....W .V Wyoming .:i4 1". WMoniln . Mluourl ...63 U. INf-w Jersey.. " Illinois 43 7S. i.New York... 7 7. California 5i IR. Island 3 i'. Vote on stste prohibition next November. All these statea hold legislative meet ings next January except Loulsian which meeta next month, and Florida, which will meet next April. GERMAN MASSES DESIRE PEACE. DESPITE PLEA OF RULING 'GOD Common People Admit That Belgium Atrocities and Sinking of Lusitania Were Responsible for Prolonging Bloodiest War in History. I 5 4 SLACKER SENT TO PRISON J. Corlgan Wears Camouflage Beard to Escape Detection. KALAMA. Wash.. April II. (Special.) J. Corlgan. slacker from CowUti County, who was arreated by Sheriff ritudebaker recently, waa tried before Federal Judge E. E. Cushman Wednes day and sentenced to 10 days In the Federal prison, after which he must aerve In the Army. Corlgan la a well-educatedvoung fel low and came her from Chicago to escape conscription. Growing a beard to camouflage hla correct age. and wearing the rough clothes of a logger, he sought to escape detection while working In a logging camp on Lewis Kiver. He gave hla age aa 32. One man. however, became eusplcloua of him, and Sheriff Studebaker Vu not! fled. On being questioned by the Sheriff the man broke down and confessed the truth. U-BOAT DRIVE IS FAILURE Germany Said to Be Disappointed Over Success of Campaign. WASHINGTON. April SI. Disap pointment In Germany over the lack of success of the submarine campaign is pictured as severe In dlspatchea yester day from Swltaerland. Bitter criticism of the Admiralty, the dispatch says, has followed the realization that the under sea war is not accomplishing what waa claimed for It In the beginning. One dispatch saya: The accounts In the Berlin papers of the recent debates let It be clearly perceived In spite of tbe censor the severity of the criticisms which have come to light. The German admiralty waa attacked by the deputlea of almost every party, while 'Admiral von Capelle bad constantly to resort to the plea of extenuating circumstances for the pow erlessnesa of tbe German navy to ob tain the results calculated." BT BLANCHE SLOCUM. (Copyright. 1918, by The Tribune. Company.) N Germany today you hear that "Bel- glum waa a blunder and that The Lusitania" waa a blunder, and such confessions are not merely the unbur dening of contrite hearts, they express hatred of the German imperial govern ment the government that has mis managed this war. and, by misman aging it, raisea up new enemies, made the name "German" a hissing and a by word among all na tions outside the central empires and brought down In tolerable woea upon the German people. But even among those Germans who now call the inva slon of Belgium i crime little Is known regarding German atrocities in seiBluni infl inuu- strous outragea committed, not In vio lation of army orders, but in strict obe dlence to army orders. On the other hand. Germans still swallow the stories of frightful things done to German sol dlera by tbe Belgians yes, and to Ger man Red Cross nurses. "Terrible people, the Belgians," you heard Germans say later on. "Nobody can manage thara." German officials said this, firmly convinced that It was unreasonable of the Belgians not to lie down more amiably under German op pression. Not that Germans called it oppression, bowever. If they forced Belgiana to make ammunition for tbe German army It waa "because the poor wretches were starving." If they stripped Belgian mills of machinery and took It to Germany It waa because the machinery atood idle: why leave It there when it contained metals the father land sorely needed 7 Kaiser aaaetlana Atrocities. At the outset nothing In - German newspapera Indicated that Germany had violated the neutrality of Belgium. According to the German press, Bel. glum bad already taken aldea with the allies. When German officials went through the Brussels archivea the pa pers printed In full the documenta that were expected to prove It. They proved no such thins. Keenly on the lookout for convincing evidence, and finding none. Germane were left wondering. Did Germane regard the conquest of Belgium as likely to end In annexa tion? Some did. One day when I had brought up the subject, not of annex ation but of violated neutrality, I was old: We have no outlet to the sea." To the speaker's mind this seemed to justify Invasion. Even today King Albert Is no hero n Germany. It would astonish most Germane to discover how he has been worshiped elsewhere. But thejr per fectly understand today why Belgium resisted, and "hey have long since out grown the mood that Justified the vio lation of Belgium on grounda of mili ary necessity. And those who said In the beginning that stories of German atrocities in Belgium were got up by the British In order to make America join the allies have lived fo see America do ust that and to feel that, while Bel- glum was by no meana the chief cause of Amerlca'a action. It was neverthe- ss one of many contributing causes. Ran Brutality Stirs World. And not of Amerlca'a -action alone. The whole world over Germany's treat ment of Belgium stimulated anti-Ger manism. When nation after nation loop up arma against Germany, Ger many heard repeated the aame charges of brutality toward Belgum. n each Instance they appeared, to some de gree, the explanation of hostile senti ment. Germany had got Antwerp, but not Paris, and had lost her good name. When a German subnfarine sank the Lusitania it waa at first reported that the vessel had struck., mine. Then came official admission along with tbe now familiar excuses: "They were warned." "The Lusitania was a British warship armed with cannon," "She carried passengers as a protection for enough shells to kill 5000 Germans, "We never expected her to go down so quickly: it was exploding ammunition that sent her to the bottom before the passengers had a chance to escape.1 At that stage no one seemed to reckon with tbe consequences. When President Wilson's note arrived Ger mans thought he was bluffing. They continued ao to think when jiote fol lowed note a whole series and noth ing happened. They have got their eyes open now. And Uielr consciences are troubled, not only aa concerns the Lusitania, but as concerns submarine warfare in gen eral. To be sure, they will give papier mache U-boats to their children and call submarine warfare "wonderful," yet alwaya they say, "It's an awful thing, but what else can we do?" Belgian People Suffer. They begin ..to question, however, if there Is not "another motive for Ger many's undersea warfare 'besides ne cessity. I would sometimes corner a German and say, "You Germans mean to keep. .up this until only German ahips are afloat. Your object Is to seize the world's ' maritime carrying trade when the war comes to an end and monopolize It aver after." At that my German would look surprised, but I thought that what surprised him was less the Idea Itself than the discovery that a foreigner had detected It. I got the Impression that it waa an Idea al ready In hla mind. At any rate, he failed to deny it. This was significant, for Germans are always on the defensive some times cleverly as regards undersea warfare. If they talked about It less, I should have had more faith in the sincerity of their arguments. And If they talked about Belgium less. should have had more faith in their arguments about Belgium. This eter nal "We had to do it" has a false ring, especially when they keep bring ing up the aubject without provoca tion. It haunta them. They can't let it alone. Living In Germany and talking with all classes, from servants up to the very rich, and quitting German sou only In January. 1918. I saw the popu lar attitude toward the Invasion oi Belgium and the sinking of the Lusi tania change little by little till I wit nessed a complete right-about lace. What brought this about? Judgment sobered by time? Conscience, slow to act at first, but tremendously active at the last? Such was not my Impression. thought the change brought about not by an increase oi enngnienmeni within the German head or by a new tenderness In the German heart, but rather by a huge vacuum in the oer- man atomach. The Belgian outrage, committed in order to shorten the war, prolonged the war. The Lusitania outrage, com mitted to shorten the war. helped bring America In. and now the war must con tinue still longer. What gigantic, what stupendous blunders. How cruel in their effect on the German masses! For the German Imperial government was right at one point: Unless the war was quickly ended, Germans would go hungry. The German masses want peace. Tne hungrier and raggeder and more wretched they grow the more desper ately they want It- As they look back they tell themselves: "Except for Bel gium and the Lusitania we might have peace today" BDLSHEVIKI RULE CITY OF PETRDGRAD! Whirlwind . of Radicalism Sweeps Russia and None Know for How Long. W.uuUvjjr si S U )! SOVIETS MEET AT NIGHT Six reasons Smolny Institute Changed From Lonely, Deserted Barracks Into a Busy. Humming? Hive, Heart and Soul of Revolution. IA DESPAIR German Claims of Victory Fail to Encourage. FUTURE OUTLOOK GLOOMY People Unable to See Hope When War Shall Knd. as Debt Will Be so Great and Xeeds for Supplies Will Be Hard to Satisfy. KALAMA PEOPLE OVER TOP Celebration to Mark Close of Third Liberty Loan Campaign. KALAMA. Wash.. April "1. Spe claL More than 250 Kalama people have made subscriptions to the liberty loan, according to the latest figures, and Kalama'a subscriptions now total aa against her quota of 117.000. Carrolla, In Kalama'a district, has sub scribed t:S. with a quota of $200u. and Is entitled to an honor flag. .Next Wednesday morning the people of Kalama will celebrate tne close ot the campaign with a big rally, at which Canadian. British and French war vet rans will deliver addresses. The 40 plece band from the naval training sta tion will furnish music WASHINGTON. April II. The feel ing In Austria is one of despair, de spite the claims Germany Is making to what the offensive will accomplish, ac cording to an official dispatch from France. "In spite of all the sensation the Ger mans are making in Austria about their offensive." says the dispatch. they are preserving a definite apprer elation of the painful situation with which the monarchy Is struggling. The full difficulties are Inextricable. Heavy clouds are gathering is Bohemia and among tbe Jugo-blava and even the decisive and rapid victory promised by the Germans would not bring much relief to the present perplexities of Austro-Himgary. "This Is at least the opinion of the arbiter Zeltung. of ienna. which says: After the war we shall have to pay Germany a huge sura In interest. But we shall also still be tbe debtors to France and to England, to which we shall owe huge sums. Our agriculture will need machinery from America and Algerian phosphates. In order to be clutbed and shod, we shall need cotton from America and Indies, wool from Australia and South Africa, hides from America and Russia. e shall need cereals from Roumania and Ukrainla, meat from the Lnlted Mates and the Argentine, oleaginous plants from the tropics, coffee from Brazil, rubber from the Congo, copper from the United Statea and nickel from Canada. And for all that we shall have to pay and uae foreign nations for transport whose freight rates will be high. "But how shall we pay these billions? In goM? We have none. In merchan dise? Our exports are Insignificant as compared with these Importations. Issue a foreign loan? A loan ot several billions is the only means of re-establishing our exchange and who will lend It to us? Germany? She will have enough to do to secure our annual debt of 1. 300.000.000. Holland and Switzer land? They are small countries. "Our entire economic future will de pend upon whether . the American money markets are open to us or closed. But we cannot force America to lend ua money. Tbe soldiers of Hindenburg cannot advance to the other side of the ocean. We shall only have. then, these necessary billions If America Is friendly to us after the war; if there Is between the United States and ourselves no disputed ques tion." The conclusion which the Socialist paper makes la that the famous Hln-, denburg offonsive can only procure for tbe central empires a "hunger peace." SEATTLE MAN HEADS LODGE Royal Arcanum Elects Grand Coun cil Officers for Year. TACOMA, Wash., April 21. (Special.) Grand Council officers of the Royal Arcanum for the state of Washington were elected before adjournment Fri day. The next meeting will be held in Seattle. Officers elected were: 1 Grand regent. Tom H. Brown, Seattle: vice- grand regent, J. L. Beckwith, Vancou ver; grand orator, C. A. Palin, Tacoma; past-grand regent, Murray G. Crawford, Tacoma: grand secretary, K. J. Brandt, Seattle; grand treasurer. L. M. . Glid- den. Tacoma: grand chaplain. Dr. Grove, Spokane: grand guide, C. B. Carmtchael, Seattle; grand warden, John J. Murpny, Seattle; grand sentry, J. W. Davies, Se attle: grand trustee, Paul B. Hyner, Tacoma. Deputy Supreme Regent C. W. Brock, of Berkeley, Cal.. installed the officers. BRITISH REPLACE LOSSES King Reports Army Has More Guns and Munitions Than Before? Drive. LONDON, April IL The Ministry of Munitions has received the King's commands to convey to the officials of the ministry, to the employers and to the munitions workers throughout the country, both men and women, his majesty's high approval of the exer tions made during this critical time and his satisfaction at the remarkable re sults achieved. The losseajand expenditure of muni tions during the battle already have been made good, without any undue de pletion of the normal reserve. There now are actually "more serviceable guns, machine guns and airplanes with tbe British armies In the field than there were on the eve of the German attack. RIVETING RECORD CLAIMED Crew of Mobile Shipbuilding Co. Drlve9(1230 Rivets in 9 Hours. MOBILE. Ala,. April 21. What Is held to be a record on composite ehip riveting was reported today at the plant of the Mobile Shipbuilding Company. A crew of five workers yesterday drove 1250 rivets In nine hours. A report with the names of the crew was telegraphed to the Shipping Board at Washington, claiming the riveting record for American shipyards. The rivets driven were twice the usual num ber done in one day. FIRE AM0UNTST0 LITTLE Blaze at Wood Camp of Cottage Farm Quickly Extinguished. SALEM. Or.. April 21. (Special.) A fire which broke out late last night In the wood camp of the Cottage Farm of the State Hospital and threatened to destroy two years cutting of state wood, was put out by large gangs of men sent In by Superintendent Stelner. and the loss probably is not more than 25 cords of wood. Its origin Is unknown, i BY LOUISE BRYANT. irnnirrlrhi. IBIS, bv Public Ledger Company. Copyright Canada. 1918. by Public Ledger Company. PUOUanea Dy arrangemeiu.;. Smolny Institute, headquarters of the Rnlahevikl. Is on the edge of Petrograd. Tears ago it was considered "way out in the country," but the city grew out to meet it, engulfed it and finally claimed It as its own. Smolny is an enormous place; the great main build ing stretches in a straight line for hun dreds of feet, with an ell jutting out at each end and forming a sort of elon gated court. Close up to tne norm ell snuggles the lovely little Smolny convent, with Its dull blue aomes wiin the silver stars. Once young lames ot noble birth from all over Russia came here to receive a "proper" education. I came to know Smolny very well while I was In Russia. I saw it change from a lonely, deserted barracks Into busy, humming hive, heart and soul of the last revolution. I watched the lead ers, once accused, hunted and lmpris oned. raised by the mass of the people of all Russia to the highest places In the nation. They were borne along on the whirlwind of radicalism that swept and Is still sweeping Russia, and they themselves do not know how long or how well tbey will be able to ride that whirlwind. ... Tramp of Proletariat Tteaonads. Smolny was always a strange place. In the long, dark hallways where here and there flickered a pale electric light thousands and thousands of soldiers and sailors and factory workers tramped with their heavy, mud-covered boots every day.' All the world seemed to have business at Smolny. The once polished white floors over which tripped tbe light feet of careless young ladies became dark and dirt-stained and the great building shook with the tramp of the proletariat. I ate many of my meals in the big mess hall on the ground floor with the soldiers. There were long, rough wooden tables and wooden benches and a great air of friendliness pervading every thing. You were always welcome at Smolny If you were poor and If you were hungry. We ate with wooden spoons, the kind the Russian soldiers carry In their big boots, and all we had to eat was cabbage soup and black bread. We were always thankful for it. too, and always afraid that perhaps to morrow there would not be even that. We stood in long lines at the noon hour chattering like children. "So you are an American Tavaritche well how does it go now in America?" they would say to me. Lenlne Holds Himself Aloof. Upstairs in a little room tea was served night and day. Trotzky used to come there and Kollental and Splro donova and Kamineff and Volodarvsky and all the rest except Lenlne. I never saw Lenlne at either of these places. He held aloof and only appeared at the largest meetings and no one got to know him very well. But the others I mentioned would willingly discuss events with us. In fact, they were very generous about giving out the latest news. In all the former classrooms type writers ticked incessantly. Smolny worked 24 hours a day. For weeks Trotzky never left the building. He ate and slept and worked in his office on the third floor and strings of people came in all day long to see him. All the leaders were frightfully over worked; they looked haggard and pale rrom toss or sleep. In the great white hall, once the ball room, with its graceful columns and liver candelabria, delegates from the Soviets all over Russia met in all-night essions. men came straight from the rst line trenches, straight from the fields and the factorres. Every race in Russia met there as brothers. Men poured out thetr souls at these meetings and they said beautiful and terrible things. "Something's Got to Be Done." I will give you an example of the speeches of the soldiers: A tired, emaciated little soldier mounts the rostrum. He is covered with mud from head to foot and with old blood-stains. He blinks In the glaring light. It Is his first speech, and he be gins It like this, in a shrill, hysterical shout: "Tovarltchl! I come from the place wnere men are digging their graves and calling them trenches! We are forgot ten out there in the snow and the cold. We are forgotten while you sit here ana aiscuss pontics: l tell you the army can't fight much longer we can't hold out much longer! Something's got to be done! Something's got to be done! j. ne otiicers won t work with the sol diers' committees and the soldiers are starving ana ine allies won t have a conference. I tell you something's got to be done or the soldiers are going Hums . Then the peasants would gefun and beg for their land. The land commit tee, they claimed, were being arrested by the Provisional Government. They had a religious feeling about the land. They said they would die fighting for the land, but they would not watt any uuKer. ii was not given to them now, they would go out and take it. "Peace, Land aad Bread," the Cry. And the factory workers told of the sabotage of the bourgeoisie, how they were ruining tne delicate machinery so that the workmen could not run the factories: shutting down the mills so they would starve. It was not true. they cried, that the workers were get ting fabulous sums they couldn't live on what they got. Over and over and over like the beat of the surf at the seashore came the cry of all starving Russia, "peace, land and bread!" I think it would be very unjust to blame the leaders for any of the steps they took, because my observation was that they were always pushed into these actions by the great will of the majority. It is certainly foolish to think also that the peasants were Isolated from Smolny. One of the most spectacular events that happened In Petrograd since the revolution was the two-mile parade of peasants from 6 Fontanka, where they were having the meeting of the All-Russian Peas ants' Congress, to Smolny, just to show their approval of that institution. The parade was decided upon after a speech of Lenlne. So many different organizations had offices in Smolny. There worked the now - famous military revolutionary committee in Room 17, on the top floor. This committee, which performed some extraordinary stunts during the first days of the Bolshevik uprising, was headed by an 18-year-old boy by the name of Lazarimov. It was a busy room, couriers came and went, foreign- ifsa good friend: 1 Steadies nerves 2 Allays thirst 3 4 5 6 Aids appetite Helps digestion Keeps teetb clean It's economical Chew it after every meal The Flavor Lasts! ers stood in line to get passes to leave the country, suspects were brought in. ' Antonoff, the War Minister, had an office in Smolny as well as Krylenko and Dubienko, so it was the nerve cen ter for the army and navy, as well as the political center. In the corridors were stacks of literature which the people gobbled up eagerly. Pamphlets, books and official newspapers of the Bolshevik party like Rabotchl Foot and the Isvesta by the thousands were disposed of daily. Soldiers, dead-weary, slept in the halls and on chairs and benches in un used rooms. Others stood alert and on guard before all sorts of committee rooms, and if you didn't have a pass like the one reproduced here you didn't get in. The passes were changed fre quently to keep out spies. In many windows were machine guns pointing blind eyes into the cold Win ter air. Rifles were stacked along the walls and on the stone steps before the main entrance were several cannon. In the court were armored cars ready for action, Smolny was always well guarded. No matter how late the meetings lasted, and they usually broke up about 4 o'clock In the morning, the streetcar employes kept the cars waiting. When the heaviest snow storms blocked up the traffic, soldiers and sailors and working women came out on the streets and kept the tracks clear to Smolny. Often it was the only line running in the city. II have often heard that Smolny was the bought establishment of- the Ger man imperialists. I have tried to give a true picture of Smolny. It was not the kind of a place that an imperialist of any sort would have been comfort able in. I never heard any leader or any of the thousands of soldiers, work ers or peasants who came there express one trace of sympathy for the German government. They had, however, the same feeling that President Wilson has about speaking of the people of Aus tria and Germany over the heads of their autocratic military leaders. (Continued tomorrow.) THOMPSON'S Dees Curve Lenses Are Better 'Trademark Registered) THE SIGN OF PERFECT SERVICE Eyes carefully examined and properly fitted with glasses without the use of drugs. Complete lens grinding factory on the premises. 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