i SI iH VOL. LII-XO. 1.-5.979. , - POKTLAXD, OREGOX, SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 10, 1913. .PRICE FIVE CENTS. ' ! nAMwirTr i iMnrn nrr pwia artrt 7 EVENTS MAKE TAFT m OPTIMISTIC 780 Votes on First Bal lot Predicted. M'KI.MEY IS EARLY AT WORK Both Insurgents and Demo crats Disaffected. CAUCUS "GAG" UNPOPULAR Many Changes Have Been Noted In Part Month, All to Advantage of President Movement Toward Rand-wagon Ilrxlns. BT HARFtT J. BROWN OREGONIAN NEWS BUREAU. Wash ington. Feb. . There li no disguising tli fact that friends and supporter of President Tft are looking a bead with much more optimism than prevailed during January. Several causes hare brought about this change, but nothing has clone more to inspire hope than the apparent slump of Koosevelt senti ment in certain quarters. Coincident l:h this, however, comes evidence of K'"ini( illsafTection in the Democratic rr.n. with a fair prospect that the I mocracy. when the Presidential cam l .if. opens, may be split as wide open n . the Republican party a year M n I t. Majority ' 341 Predicted. l;-presentat!ve McKlnley. of Illinois, loan.ieer of the President's campaign, inferred today with Secretary Hlllea -. I W. Murray Crane, of Massachu setts, and the three agreed, after a ireful canvass, that the President would have 7s0 votes In the conven tion on first ballot, or 41 more than a majority. McKlnley began work early, and planned to see many of the party lead era In Washington. Quarters for the Taft boomers have not been secured, but within a few days McKlnley ex pects to open offices. Although Republican leaders said to day that It waa too early to talk about the plans of campaign after the Chi cago convention, many friends of Mc Klnley were of the opinion that If President Taft Is renominated. Mc Klnley will be his choice for chairman of the Republican National committee. McKlnley probably would be acceptable to all the old-line party leaders. Some of these leaders objected to Postmaster General Hitchcock and to Hllles. both prominently mentioned" heretofore for National chairman. l ittle Multiply. From various quarters come little indications that the Roosevelt strength has been over-estimated. First was the Oklahoma convention; then came the reversal of opinion on the part of the Republican city committee of St. Louis; then Senator Scott, of West Vir ginia, after declaring that Roosevelt would sweep West Virginia, gave out an Interview saying that West Virginia; would be for Taft. and most of the Re publican leaders of that state have come to Scott's support, leaving Gover nor Glasscock the only active Roose velt booster In the public rye. Three are only a few of the Incidents that have served to encourage the President and his friends, so far as Re publican sentiment Is concerned. The quarrel among Republican Insurgents la another thing that has brought them cheer, and It Is now asserted, with some show of foundation, that a large ele ment In the Insurgent faction Is favor able to President Taffs renomlnatlon. It will be recalled that 14 out of 34 In surgents In the House recently voted In line with the Taft view of the Demo cratic steil tariff bill, and refused to stand by the radicals for popgun tariff legislation. Isaargrits H ot Agree. The grvitrst cause of friction In In surgent circles, however. Is the multi plicity it candidate for the Preslden- .il nomination. I-a Follette. who onre had tie bulk of this fsrtlo.i with him. now l-jllrc a hopeless little bond, sn.l to no apparent purpo. other than aavertmni;. ! Follette Is sore at H"if!l. who really "busted" the Ia K.-IIett- boom, and almost as sore at '.'ummlr.s because the Iowa man as v.iine to enter the rare against him. l:o..velt Is tired of La Follette. and r'Rirds him as too rsilir.il for serious ir-nf. deration: Cummins ho'xls a similar pinion of "KIkMiuk Hol." inl the KiMuevelt part:an and the Cummins partisans share the views of their .i..f. It is therefore safe to say that the Insurgent ranks are "all shot to pieces." nnd out of ths chaotic condition Presi dent Taft is i:ly gaining recruits. For the opinion Is growing that a three cornered insurgent tit; lit will only re sult In the defeat of all Insurgent can clUates. and make certain the renoml cation of President Taft. And after all. Insurgent politicians are only human. They want to be on the winning side. Hence the trend towards the Taft bandwagon. naadwaaoa Seats Popular. Senator Norris Brown, of Nebraska, waa the first to climb aboard. Others less known have followed, and It la generally believed that ultimately the I strength of Senator Cummins will be thrown to the Administration, for Iowa (Ceaciud.d ea rase 2.) i unnccuUlDQ AWAIT "I. W. W." INVADERS SAX DIF.GO PKTKRMIXED TO ENFORCE ANTI-SPEECH LAW. Vljrllanc Committee Will Be Organ ised to Turn Back 10,000 Said to B on Way to City. 6 AN DIEGO, Cal, Feb. . Another demonstration by persons opposed to the enforcement cf an antl-freo speech ordinance which went Into effect here yesterday wss held In the business sec tion of the city tonight. About 1000 persons were held In check by force of 700 regular and special policemen !n uniform. As rapidly as speakers mounted their platform they were marched off to Jail and held in detention without ball. A dozen were arrested In this way. This makes tS arrests since last night. The prisoners will be charged with conspir acy under the state law. It was announced that between tOOO and 10.000 members of the Industrial Workers of the World soon will be headed this way to protest against the new law. willing. If necessary, to go to Jail. As a resist, plans are being made tonight to organize a vigilance commit tee armed with horsewhips to turn the Invaders back when they reach the out skirts of the city. MORSE MAY SAIL TODAY Report Financier Will Seek Kerens on Enemies Denied by Son. NKW TORK. Feb. . Reports were current today that Charles W. Morse would sail tomorrow for Bad Neuhelm. perhaps on the Oceanic, having de cided that It was best to start for Europe at once, instead of remaining here for a week or 10 days, as he first proposed. Regarding a report that Mr. Morse might re-enter Wall street, his son. Harry, made this statement: 'My father has never said a word not even to my mother about going Into business again. The stories that he Is planning revenge upon those who fought him In the financial world are ridiculous. He Is too sick a man for anything like that." HOME BANKS STILL GAIN Portland Clearings for Week Are 910,418,000 Four Decline. Substantial gains were made in bank clearings this week by nearly all large cities In the United States. According to Bradstreet's report there were only fcur out of 60 cities that showed a decrease, these cities being Kansas City. St. Louis. Indianapolis and Fort Worth. Portland made a gain of 16.4 per cent, the total clearings being $10,413,000. The clearings at Seattle were $11,032. U00, with a gain of !5.1 per cent. Both Tacoma and Spokane showed small gains. The total bank clearings In the United StaUa were 13.460.999.000 as against 13.165. 948.000 last week. The gain over the totals for the correspond ing week of last vear was f 150.87S.000. PRICE OF SILVER SOARS Eust Indian Syndicate Preparing to Sell for Needed Coinage. NEW YORK. Feb. 9. The price of silver In the New York market touched 60 1-8 today, the highest since Novem ber. 3907. the quotations having ad vanced fractionally over those of last week. A quotation of 69 cents an ounce In February. 1907. was the rec ord price 1 recent years. Authorities la the financial district credit the rise to the activity of a powerful syndicate in India. The Indian government's supply of the metal for coining Is believed to be low, and large pooling operations are said to be under way with the purpose of selling to the mint when demands of coinage become pressing. PREMIER YUAN IS AGREED lleport fay lie Will Karor Repub lican' Plan for Abdication. I1NDCN, Feb. 10. The Times says that news received In London Is that Tremler Yuan Shi Kal, after having consulted with the Dowager Empress, has agreed to most of the modifica tions made by the Nanking govern ment to Yuan's proposals lor the abdi cation of the Kmperor. The newspapers in Pekln report that Wlllard Straight, acting on behalf of an American group of financiers. Is concluding the details for a $3,000,000 loan to the revolutionists in Nanking, taking as ee.-urlty therefor the Canton-Hankow Railway, says a dispatch to the Dally Telegraph from Pokln. HOWELL ANSWERS CHARGE Bridegroom Denies He Wedded Miss AmiMrons Tor Her Money. LOS ANGELES, Feb. 9. (Special.) George Howell, whose matrimonial al liance with Margaret Armstrong, of Spokane, led to the Probate Court, where she petitioned for a guardian, and to her petition for annulment of marrlege. filed his answer today to the annulment proceedings. He denies the various allegations set up In the complaint, among others that he threatened to kill himself unless she married him. and that his 0bjet In contracting the marrlase was to gain control of her property, a paying f'.ower store In Spokane. CAVALRY REDUCED BY VOTE OF HOUSE Army Bill Cuts Off Five Regiments. FIGHT IS NOT YET ABANDONED Friends Will Renew Effort on Measure's Final Passage. 3980 MEN ARE AFFECTED r.'nllMrd Force Would Be Mu.tcred Out, but Officers Transferred to Other Brandies Pica for Aeroplanes Is Made. WASHINGTON. Feb. 9. A reduction of the cavalry force of the United States Army from 15 to 10 regiments, with a consequent reduction of the enlisted force of the Army by S9S0 men, waa voted Into the Army appropriation bill In the House late today after a bitter fight. The cavalry reduction amendment was presented by Chairman Hay, of the military affairs committee, who was In charge of the $88,000,000 appropria tion bill, but It did not bear the in dorsement of tiie committee. It was vigorously opposed by the Republican side and it probably will be the cause of another fight when the bill Is put on final passage. If retained In the bill, the amendment would become ef fective July 1. 1912. Tea Regiments Made Maximum. Mr. Hay declared that the United States Army was too heavy with cav alry. Where the British army had a cavalry force equal to one-sixth of the Infantry, he said, the American cav alry was equal to one-half of the in fantry strength. N The Hay amendment would estab lish a maximum of ten regiments of cavalry. The enlisted men in the five regiments thus to be dropped would bo mustered out. but the officers would be retained and absorbed Into other regiments of cavalry, or Into other branches of the. Army without reduc tion of grade. Chairman Hay esti mated the amount saved by the reduc tion would be $4,376,253. Opposition ! Vigorous. Representatives Prince of Illinois. Kahn of California, Butler of Pennsyl vania, Anthony of Kansas, and other Republicans attacked the amendment. They declared that If any change In the proportion of cavalry was to be made. It should come only after the Army authorities had reported a com- (.Concluded on PK I . - : .....TSSISTTTlllimSSSSSStllllll ' ' ' INDEX OF TODAY'S NEWS The Weather. TBSTERDArS Maximum temperature, 00 degrees; minimum. 4a decrees. TODAY'S Occasional rain; southerly wtnds. Foreign. Visit of British War Secretary to Germany watched wrth interest. Pass 5. National. . Monev trust" investigators to call Bryan as first witness. Psse 2. Public hearings of Lorlmer case end la love (east. Pane 2. Rouse votes to abolish five regiments or cavalry. Pace 1. Cortelyou denies Piatt Influenced Wn in Lewis case. Pace 5. Texas' protest halts State Department's In tended permission . to Mexico to move troops. Pace 1. Adjudication of land claims are ordered reported upon wiihln year. Page 1J. Polities. Taft supporters declsre President's re-eleo-tlon is assured. Pace 1 Domeerto. Captain of Uner Persia loses command be cause of soandal on ship. Pace t. Ban Diego vigilantes will meet "L W. "W." hosts wlta horsewhips. Pace L "Count" and "Countess" Raihlou, known In Portland, In Jail at Colorado 6prings. Pacs 5. . Jack Johnson admits he seretly married white woman year aco. Pag 4. Pport. McCredie lands clever twirler In trade for Murray. Pace ' Purses amounting to 300.0OO are up In Inter-Mountain Racing Circuit. Pace 7. Venn OreKc says he will not play as out law, l ace 7. Pacirio Northwest. Orchard Company receiver discharged and Blehl, of Portland, fails to keep promise. Pace 8. Subcontracts let for Harrlman extension west from Ontario. Paxe o. Washington penitentiary warden would ed ucate all vconvlcis under 25 years of ace. Page 1. Mrs. May Arkwrluht Mutton scores sx presliient Koosevelt. Pace S. Passencsr fare discrimination alleged ex isting on Southern Pacific. Page 6. Commercial and Marine. Hops now 10 cents under hlch point of season. Pace 17. Profit-taking rertuces early calns In wheat market. Page 17. Undertone of stock market firmer anfl hears cease attacks. Page 17. Plglron production Is steadily Increasing. Page 16. Robert Wakefield notifies shlpmen that he will keep bridge Interference at mini mum. Pegs 14. Portland and Vicinity. Elks' convention leads to great advertising of PortiBnd and Oregon. Page 10. Governor asked to name committee to in vestigate Multnomah County affairs, pane 12. Eset Side business men want commrm-user on East First street Southern Pacific tracks. Puge 10. Walter M-Tedie. Beaver manager, secretly weds ilrs. Etta Kelts at Vancouver. Wash. Page 10. Circulators of Taft petitions meet great suc cess. Page 12. Mr. and Mrs. W. B. Ayer are hosts at dance, first to be given in Multnomah Hotel. Page 4. Governor West tells Central Labor Council It made reinstatements In letter warning settlers away. Page 4 ALLIES COMMAND COASTS Italians Hampered In Action by Turks and Arabs. TRIPOLI. Feb. 9. The coasts of Tripoli and Cyrenaca still are com manded by the Turks and the Arab al lies to such an extent that Italian ac tion Is greatly restricted. The Italian crulsei Cltta dl Catania, which re turned here today, reports that she bombarded seven small posts and Turk ish camps near the shore and that large numbers of armed Arabs were observed. TJNCLE SAM "STOP IT! OR I SHALL HAVE TO STAND OF TEXANS BALKS MEXICANS Plan to Move Troops Is at Standstill. WASHINGTON HEEDS PROTEST State Department Stops When Governor Colquitt Speaks. EL PASOANS FEAR BATTLE Madero Reported to Contemplate Reinforcing- Himself In Xorthern Chihuahua, to Which Reb els Might Object. WASHINGTON, Feb. 9. Diplomatic complications arose today between the State of Texas and the United States Government on one hand and the Mexi can government on the other, which temporarily, at least, will not allow Mexico to move any troops over Ameri can territory In connection with her revolutionary disturbances. Secretary ot State Knox tonight made further inquiry from Mexico through the American Embassy at Mex ico City, asking the specific purpose of the military expedition for which permission Is sought to travel from Eagle Pass, Tex., to El Paso, Tex., In order that points In Northern Mexico, to which the rebels have out Interna tional railroad communication, may be reached. Texans Fear Conflict. Governor Colquitt, of Texas, pointed out to the State Department in his message today that residents of El Paso were apprehensive that rebels at Juarez might resist the entry of Mexi can troops from American territory and precipitate a battle endangering Amer ican lives and property. Secretary Knox assured Governor Colquitt that no permission would be granted until the matter had been studied carefully and Indications to night were that it would be adjusted in a leisurely, diplomatic manner. Ad vices reached here that no troops had started on the proposed expedition and none would do so until the question had been decided. ' Arrangement curly Completed. The State Department practically had completed arrangements for the expe dition. Instructing the Treasury De partment to notify the customs , of fl eers and' the War Department Its' bor der patrol, that the troops might be ex pected in a few days. The orders were similar to those is sued last year in conjunction with the safeguarding of the Irrigation projects (Concluded on Page 6.) USE THIS CLUB. CONVICTS UNDER 25 WILL BE EDUCATED WASHINGTON PENITENTIARY WARDEN PLANS NIGHT STUDY. Novel Plan Announced From Walla Walla Institution if Board of Control Sanctions Proposal. WALLA WALLA, Wash.. Feb. 9. CSpeclal.) Providing the Board of Control sanctions the scheme, . Warden Reed, of the State Penitentiary, an nounced his intention today of establishing- a nlgnt school at the penal In stitution of which he is the head', edu cating in all branches up to and in oludlngr the eighth grade all convicts under the age of 25 years. According to Mr. Reed's plan, the school will have Its quarters In the old dormitory formerly used by the wo men, and capable of accommodating 12S to 150. Convicts over 25 years of age; who desire will be allowed an opportunity of attending the schools, but no convict under 25 will be ex cused from attending unless he can show he Is proficient in the studies taught In the eighth grade. The plan of securing Instructors has already been arranged but this por tion of his scheme Warden Reed does not care to make public at present. He Is now engaged In ascertaining the convicts who will be enrolled as pu pils and is confident that the opening attendance at the school will be be tween 75 and 100. MEETING 25 OVER CENSUS Sherwood Grows Beyond Railroad Tracks Since 1910 Count. "Although the official census for 1910 gives Sherwood a population of only 115. including men, women and chil dren, the attendance of men at the meeting of the Sherwood Commercial Club Thursday night was 140 and all were bonafide Residents." said C. C. Chapman, who returned yesterday from a visit to the meeting in Sherwood. The official city limits of Sherwood end at the railroad track and the town has grown across the railroad track until now Its population Is larger out side the city limits than Inside. The meeting Thursday night was held for the purpose of taking step3 to increase the city limits and to inaugurate a pub licity campaign. The Inspiration for the new move ment Is the approaching electrification of the Southern Pacific line through the town and the Duslness men are pre paring to enlarge and beautify Sher wood and make It one of the best of the suburbs of Portland. BRIDEGROOM IS STRICKEN Naval Ofricer, Married on Sick Bed, Ivives but Few Hours. LOS ANGELES, Feb. 9. Lieutenant Commander Samuel B. Thomas, United States Navy, son of the late Rear-Admiral Charles M. Thomas, and attached to Mare Island, died at the California Club at 6 o'clock this afternoon of pneumonia. Lieutenant Thomas arrived In Los Angeles January 5, in readiness for his marriage to Miss Grace Melius, a prominent society girl of Los Angeles. When talking with friends at the Call, fornia Club that afternoon, he was stricken. Lieutenant Thomas' condi tion was so materially improved on Wednesday that it was decided the marriage should take place as at first planned. Accordingly, In the presence of the parents of thebride and a few intimate friends. Lieutenant Thomas and Miss Melius were married Tuesday night. Bishop Johnston of the Pro Cathedral officiating. . NORWEGIAN CABINET OUT Proposal to Make Peasant Dialect Literary Tongue Angers. CHRISTIANA, Feb. 9. The resigna tions yesterday of the Ministers of For eign Affairs, Justice, Commerce, De fense' and Public Instruction were due to their opposition to the movement to make the peasant dialect Norway's literary language. This movement has been enthusi astically supported by Premier Konow, who. in a recent speech, characterized opponents to the change fanatics. This incensed the Conservatives and Liberals in the Storthing, who, with a majority of authors and scientists, favored retention of the modified Dan ish tongue as the literary language of the country. They asked the Premier to resign, and when he refused they requested their representatives in the Cabinet to give up their portfolios. NEW SERVICE LUMBER BOON North Pacific t'oa.'t to Benefit in Deal Through Soo Line. ABERDEEN, Wash.. Feb. 9. (Spe cial.) With the agreement recently reached between the O.-W. R. & N. and the Soo Line, a new transcontinental railway service from Grays Harbor. Portland. Tacoma and Seattle and all Intervening points to the Minnesota transfer, will be opened within a few days, according to a statement made today by L. E. Paskill, freight agent of the Soo Line, who is In the city to day. ' The agreement means that lumher manufacturers south of Seattle will be able to invade the vast market existing In Southern Canada and at the same time, can route through to Minneapolis at a rate no higher than other com peting lines which cover the Southwest Washington territory. HAM'S WARD IS SEEKING FORTUNE Girl Betrothed of Late Railroad Wizard. SEARCH FOR WILL IS FUTILE Wife of Heir to $2,000,000 Is Released From Workhouse. SPOUSE IS "CELEBRATING" ' Millionaire Whose Death Has Caused Scramble for Money Is Said to Have Planned to Marry His "Niece" This Month. NEW TORK, Feb. 9. (Special.) The villa of Edwin Hawley, in Babylon, L. I., was practically turned Inside out Wednesday in a hunt for a will by Miss Margaret Cameron, the young woman who for years presided over the rail road financier's Summer and other homes. The young woman was known in Babylon as Hawley's niece and ward. It was positively asserted that when Edwin Hawley was stricken with the illness that ended his career he was making elaborate plans to marry his protege. Wedding Plans Made. The wedding was scheduled to take place this month, also runs the rumor. It was for this reason, it is alleged, that Hawley neglected to execute the will that had been tentatively drawn by his counsel. Attorneys for Miss Cameron have put In a claim for part of the estate. It is said she will be provided for. Mrs. Alice McAllister, housekeeper for Hawley, said today she had been Informed by Hawley's ward that the couple would marry in February. Miss Cameron was still at the Hawley home today with Mrs. Walter S. Crandell, wife of one of the nephews and sev eral other members of t lie family. ltelatlve Is lteleased. ; Mrs. Adeline Crandell, wife of Fred erick H. Crandell, who is heir to one fifteenth of the Hawley estate, was re leased from the county workhouse on Blackwell's Island today after spend ing almost three weeks as a prisoner, convicted and sentenced for disorderly conduct and malicious mischief. Mrs. Crandell said she had not heard a word from her husband. She had been Informed, though, that he had borrowed $100 to' buy a suit of clothe Immediately after he had learned of his Inheritance. None of Mrs. Cran dell's people had been able to trace him beyond the point where he got $100. Their explanation was that he was celebrating his inheritance. Frederick H. Crandell was a castoff nephew of the financier and husband, who comes Into a $2,000,000 share of the estate through the failure of his uncle to make a will. In his unexpected absence, therefore, Mrs. Crandell sought a lawyer to secure protection for her interest In her hus band's inheritance and that of their fiva children, now in Chatham, N. Y. HAWLEY HEIRS IN HARMON 1 Agreement Is Made to Creiite Hold Ins Trust of Securities. CHATHAM, N. Y., Feb. 9. (Special.) Another conference of the Hawley heirs waa held here today. It was at tended by the heirs living in Chatham and Charles Seymour, of New York, nephew of Hawley. It was practically decided to create a holding trust with the agreement that none of the securi ties shall he dispose! of within five years to protect railroad Interests and the securities themselves. Tho heirs are working in harmony and the plan also has the sanction of 3rederirk H. Crandell, of New York, the cast-off nephew. ' The provisions of the will niado by Hawley in 1009 but not executed, are known. It provides for a division of the estate into five portions, one each for his two brothers and three sisters, one sister. Mrs. Homer Orandoll, of Chatham, having died years ago. Her portion will be divided among her three children, Mrs. J. H. Puge, of Chatham; Walter and Frederii-k Crandell. of New York. There were no charitable be quests or bequests to any one In his office. Neither did lie will anything to his ward. Miss Margaret Cameron, or $1,000,000 to Mrs. Frederick Havilaml of New York, formerly Miss Florence Hanor, of Chatham, to whom he is re ported to have been engaged while she was a school girl. Had the wMl been executed the es tate would have been practically as It will now be disposed of under the in heritance law of the state. INAUGURAL DATE CHANGED Arizona Will Now Knler Vnfon on St. Valentine's Day. GLOBE, Ariz., Feb. 9. Inaugural day in Arizona lias been changed from Mon day, February 1. to Wednesday, Feb ruary 14. according to a statement made by Governor-elect Hunt here to i