, ... .-t, n ,nm TPTfTPF VTYK CF.NTS. . : PflRTT AD OREGON. TUESDAY, OVEJIBER 3. 190S. .. VOL. XLVIII. NO. 14.933. fOhTLAM, uuii, aij,zx , - BOTH TO F ESTIMATE Hitchcock and Mack Give Last Forecast. INDICATIONS OF LANDSLIDE Democrats Sure Bryan Will Be Swept to Victory. ODDS, HOWEVER, ON TAFT rw York Man Wagers $30,000 Against $5000 Ohioan Will Be Elected Few Other Presidential Bets. "Information which has reached m. during '' fw COB vinrtf m. beyond the shadow of doubt that William h! Taft will have eloe to 325 votes In the elect oral collet. I have felt from the beginning of the campaign that he would be victorious and 1 am now confident of it. "FRANK H. HITCHCOCK. Republican National Chairman." "There ie a landslide coming for Bryan. I am Just as certain of It as I am that Mr. Bryan Is a candi date. It will sweep htra'lnto off tee Just as Grover Cleveland was swept Into the White House in 18P2. "NORMAN' E. MACK. "Democratic National Chairman." NEW YORK. Nov. 2. Special.) On the v of election at the close of one of the most remarkable campaigns ever known In the country, the managers of bottr canvasses, expressed the confident belief that their candidates will be elected. In support of their claims both Na tional chairmen produced telegrams from state chairmen and National committee men from all parts of the country. These messages poured Into the head quarters all day and Indicated clearlv that both Mr. Taft and Mr. Bryan are going to b elected. Plans Are Worked Out, That Mr. Hitchcock firmly believes that liis prediction will come true was evident from his manner. . When he greeted the newspaper men late this afternoon he was all smiles, and he declared that to morrow he will wear a still broader smile. His work was finished and he talked freely about the troubles that have beset him during his four months' service as National chairman. He said that his plan of campalim had worked Out just as he had expected It would and that he was perfectly willing to let the results today show whether his ideas or those of older campaigners, some of whom took Issue with him. were the more practical. Mr. Mack, who managed the Demo cratic campaign, was Just as optimistic as Mr. Hitchcock, but there was not the air of confidence about the Hoffman House headquarters that was noticeable in the Metropolitan tower, where the Re publicans are located. Talks With Bryan. "I talked to Mr. Bryan today on the long-distance telephone." said Mr. Mack, "and he feels absolutely certain that he will be elected. Unless our In formation is all wrong, hs Is certain to be swept into the White Honse by a landslide. Keenest politicians in the past have failed to detect landslide symptoms, and that is what will be said this year." Floods of cash to bet on the results of the National and state elections poured Into the Hoffman House and other centers for such speculation to day and tonight, but the total was not one-fourth of the sum usually on tap on the eve of the choosing of a Presi dent. There were many beta on aide Issues and a few large ones on the Presiden tial result. In fact, the largest single bet made In the Hoffman House was that of 130.000 against 5000 that Bryan would not be elected. There was a flood of Chanler money In the Wall-street district, which. forced the odds on Hughes from 10 to 7 back to 10 to . at which they closed at 3 o'clock. Many men unknown to the Broad-street curb brokers came down town today to bet on Chanler. and they boldly offered to take all the 10-to-8 money on Hughes offered. The curb men objected to betting with strangers, and few bets were placed. Few Bets on Big Issue. On the Stock Exchange. 120,000 to IIS. 000 on Huithcs was wagered. In lota of IC000. isnoo and I50O0. Taft closed a S-to-1 favorite in Wall street. Alfred J. Kohn, of No. 44 Broad street, on be half of a client of a Stock-Exchange house, offered to bet any part of liCO.OOO. in b'ocks of $10,000. on Taft at odds of 5 to 1. There was practically so betting on the Taft-Bryan contest. FIGHT RAGES AROUND CHURCH Ctah for Taft. but American Party Will Scratch Knight. SALT UKB C1TT. Utah. Nov. 2. -The ADHERE INAL (Concluded oa Pace 2 - - . . i POLICE TABOO ON ELECTION BETTING SCHILLER'S, . HEADQUARTERS FOR ' GAMBLERS, RAIDED. Two Men Caught Making Bet, To gether With Stakeholder, Taken to Jail. Schiller's cigar store. Sixth and Washington streets, the rendezvous of the sports and the betting fraternity, was raided about 6 o'cloVk last night. Just as an election bet was being made. As a result there Is high In dignation In the betting world. "I'll go. you ten that Taft doesn't carry the state by 15,000." Arthur Pease said to Jim Matches. "I'm on" said Matches, reaching for his wallet "I win." declared an individual who was standing right near and who had been an interested onlooker at the betting for some minutes. At the same time he flashed his star. The money had Just been handed to E. Diedrich, Jr.. clerk at the place. The officer. Crampton, a new member of the department. Immediately ar rested bettors and stakeholder and took them to the atatlon. There was an immediate scattering of the sports as the the officer flashed his badge. There were also some mut terlngs of a caustic order but these were lost on the policeman who hur ried away with his captives. At the Police Station, Captain of Police Moore was not inclined to be harsh with the offenders letting them off on the depositing of $20 bail apiece. The bet money was held as evidence. Under the law it can be confiscated, so both the bettors lose. Is the Pease-Matches bet off as a result of the confiscation of . their money or do they have to replace the sums? Was the question that was worrying the sports at a late hour. Mayor Lane last night declared he had not Issued an edict to suppress betting. Chief Grltxmacher said the arrest was made because gambling at Schiller's had become too notorious. FIGHT TO DEATH IN TUNNEL Italian Workman Carved to Death After Desperate Struggle. NEW YORK, Nov. 2. In one of the galleries connecting the tubes of the Pennsylvania Railway tunnel In East Thirty-second and Thirty-third streets was found yesterday the half nude body of an Italian workman who, the police Investigation shows, was mur dered after a desperate resistance. Except that he was known to his fel low workmen as "Jim" and that he had been saving money with which to return soon to Italy, nothing Is known of him. The motive for the crime was rob bery and the man's throat was cut by his murderers. His clothing was torn off by them In efforts to find if money was secreted on it. but they over looked several hundred dollars hidden in a pocket. ROPES MAN FROM TRAIN Drunken Cowboy Kills Mexican and Flees to Mountains. EL PASO, Tex.. Nov. !. (Special.) Jesse Ake, a cowboy considerably the worse for a load of bay whisky," Is a refugee In the mountains and officers are hunting him on a murder charge. This afternoon as a Santa Fe work train was passing between Lava and Crockett loaded with Mexicans. Ake rode up on his horse and roped Ramon Aragon. whom he dragged from the train. Aragon was killed in the fall. The train was running 20 miles an hour. Ake galloped off towards the Organ Mountains and Deputy Sheriffs at Hillsboro. Las Cruces and other places have been notified to follow him. ACTRESS DIES OF POISON Ada Beamer Commits Suicide Over Love Affair. OAKLAND. Nov. 2. Miss Ada, Beamer., an actress, died today at a sanitarium in Alameda from the ef fects of an overdose of morphine. It is thought by the police that the wo man committed suicide because of a love affair. It Is believed she belongs to a wealthy family in Pennsylvania. PISTOL DUEL IN DEPOT One Southerner Fatally, Other Slightly Wounded in Virginia. ROCKY MOUNT. Va.. Nov. 2. As the result of a pistol duel in the Nor folk Western depot yesterday be tween Dr. J. Semple Cahlll and Robert Smlthera. both prominent, the latter probably will die while Cahlll re ceived a bad flesh wound. H. L Davis, a bystander, received a wound in the ankle from one of the shots. SUFFOCATED BY FLAMES One Man Dies. 32 Families Home less In Theater Fire. NEWARK. X- J . Nov. 3. David Oling wood met death by suffocation earlv to day In a fire that destroyed Starr's Audi torium, a vaudeville theater, at Fifteenth street and Morris avenue. Ollngwood lodged In a tenement adjoining. Thirty-two families, mostly women and children, were carried from the tenement by fire men TAFT BY 75, ODD HUGHES BY 30,000 Final Forecast Shows New York Safe. GOVERNOR'S ODDS LENGTHEN Chanler Money Shies and Fi nally Takes to Cover. TAFT'S HELP INVALUABLE Presidential Candidate Turns Many Votes to Hughes by Timely In- tervention Little Bosses Are All Lined Up. BT LLOTD r. LOSERGAN. NEW YORK. Nov. 2. (Special.) Taft by 75.OU0. Hughes by 30.000, and a Legis lature that will elect a Republican suc cessor to Senator Piatt, areNew York State indications tonight. Despite Mack's claims, leading Demo crats have privately conceded the state to Taft for several days. Hughes stock took a big boom even before the candi date's final whirlwind tour of the city to night. Odds on Hughes lengthened all day, due to the report that Tammany's best figures showed 60.000 for the Gov ernor. This was based on a confidential poll, taken at Murphy's order. During the late afternoon what little Chanler money there was In sight was driven to cover. Republicans do not claim such a plurality, and fear a trick. Not one leader looks for over -40,000, and many figure the Governor's lead will not ex ceed 16,000. The Democratic panic is one of the campaign's surprises. Preachers Talk for Hughes. Politicians are watching with interest what effect the many sermons of yes terday wilr have on the voters. Nearly every minister in the metropolitan dis trict in their pulpit talks yesterday de clared that Hughes should be elected. Dr. Parkhurst attacked women teachers who oppose Hughes as no better than common grafters. The Democrats say thi intemperate talk will gain them votes. The Indications now are that the Re publican city organization will loyally support Hughes. The leaders fear knif ing him would destroy any . chance of success in the Mayoralty election ne-t year. "Vote the straight ticket," is the order passed along by the district lead ers today, and they say it will be obeyed. How Taft Helped Hughes. 'The state was safe for Taft. and Taft made It safe for Hughes." This Is the view of Republican leaders on the eve of election. They express great confidence In success all along the line, and the (Concluded on Page 5.) KIND OF EMPLOYMENT BRYAN'S ELECTION MIGHT GIVE T I WATCH. TOR ELECTION RETURNS The Oregonian. will announce the result of the Presidential election tonight by means of signals from the top of The Oregonian tower. Red fire will be used to indicate the success ' of Mr. Taft; green fire the victory of Mr. Bryan; or alternate flashes of rrrea i and red fire if the result shall be in doubt. Watch for the following signals : EIGHT O'CLOCK Red fire . for Taft's election; green fire for Bryan's election; green fire followed immediately by red fire, if the result is doubt ful. . TEX O'CLOCK The same code of signals. TWELVE O'CLOCK The same code of signals. If the result shall be known with reasonable certainty BE FORE 8 o'clock, there .will then be a signal of red or green fire, as the case may be. But in any event the signals will be flashed as arranged above. Watch The Oregonian tower at 8, 10 and 12 o'clock to night. The Oregonian will likewise bulletin by stereopticon the returns as they come in to night. . The full Associated Press bulletin service will be given. It can be seen nowhere in Portland except at The Oregonian building.' Xo other news or bulletin service is so good, so prompt. The service will begin at 6 P. M. and con tinue late. ABRUZZI TO BE ADMIRAL Queen-Dowager's Opposition to Mar riage Will Be Vain. ROME, Nov. ' 2. (Special.) The Duke of Abruzzl will be promoted to rank of Rear-Admiral about Novem ber 15, the date which coincides with the publication of his book on the Ruwenzorl expedition Into Africa. The correspondent is assured that the delay of the Elkins-Abruzzl wed ding is not due to any hitch or to fresh difficulties raised by members of the royal family who are opposed to the union. The objections of the Dow ager Queen Margherita. It is said, are absolutely powerless to prevent the marriage or to persuade the Duke to break his engagement, as his deter mination and aptitude for overcoming obstacles are well known. Queen Margherita never opposed the marriage openly. She disapproved of the match, but as the King, who Is the head of the family, gave his consent, her disapproval has disappeared. STATES Ofl COAST IN TAFT PHALANX Jttle Doubt All Will , Go Republican. ESTIMATES VARY GREATLY Republicans Predict Plurality in Oregon of 22,975. DEMOCRATS CLAIM IT, TOO State Chairman Ryan Thinks Bryan Will Have 2050 Plurality Taft Likely to Win Washington, Idaho and California. HOW COAST STATES WILL GO. Oregon Taft certain to carry state. - Republican etima.te gives Taft 22.975 plurality. Democratic estimate gives Bryan 2050 plurality. Washington State sure for Taft. Republicans claim, by 80.000 plu rality. Three Congressmen and Gov ernor will be RepufSllcan. Idaho Taft will carry state. Re publicans claim 20,000 plurality for Taft and 15.000 for Brady for Gov ernor. Democrats claim 10.000 lead for Bryan and Alexander for Gov ernor. California State will go for Taft. Republicans claim 40.000 for Na tional ticket: Democrats 20.000 for Bryan. Legislature will ba Republi can by reduced majority and two Congressmen are In doubt. Oregon is claimed by both jthe Republi cans and tae Democrats in their election eve estimates, but there is a discrepancy of 25,000 votes in the estimates of Secre tary McArthur, of the Republican organi zation, and Secretary Ryan, of the Demo cratic forces, as to what the result actual ly will be. At Republican headquarters yesterday. Secretary v McArthur revised his original estimate as to the plurality Taft will re ceive in the state and now predicts that Oregon will give the Republican nominee a,plurality of 22,975. Secretary McArthur's original figures placed Taft's lead over Bryan In this state at 22.575. Later re ports from throughout the state have caused him to increase that estimate by 400. Multnomah County Is claimed for Taft by 8000, while Marion is expected to give the ex-Secretary a plurality of 1600. Secretary McArthur predicts a lead for the Republican nominee of 1200 In Wash ington County, which is one of the strongest " Republican counties in the state. The estimate of Secretary Mc Arthur prophesies that Taft will carry every county in the state. The same degree of activity which has (Concluded on Page 6.) YOU, MR. WORKINGMAN CUPID KIDNAPED; CARRIED TO SEA ELOPERS AXT PASTOR TAKE TO OCEAX IX LAUNCH. Young Couple Married While Waves Toss Them Around Parents Compel Second Marriage. LOS ANGELES. Cal., Nov. 2. (Spe cial.) Miss Louise Motheral, 16, pretty and remarkably well educated for her years, eloped last Wednesday with Clinton A. Pedrirk. a piano-player in a cheap moving-picture show, and the two boarded a launch at San Fedro and went through a marriage ceremony three miles out at sea. Rev. Frank Bugbee, former assistant rector of Christ Church, and a well-known min ister, officiated, by his own admission, and the District Attorney's office was informed today that he informed the young people that the union would be legal. By request of the girl's paTents, Mr. and Mrs. Frank Motheral, well-to-do people, the police and Sheriff's officers have been seeking her night and day without success. This evening she and Pedrick appeared voluntarily before one of the city prosecutors, and after an investigation ,as to perjury having been committed by any of the parties concerned, it was arranged that the couple should secure a license and be united according to law, which was done. The minister is being severely criti cised for his part in the proceedings. EDNA MAY KEEP HER AUTO But Must Not Sell It Lest Cred itors Claim It. NEW YORK, Nov. 2. (Special.) Edna Wallace Hopper, the actress, ac companied by Albert O. Brown,, of the bankrupt brokerage firm of A. O. Brown & Co., appeared before Judge Holt, In the United States District Court today, when the court heard a motion for an order directing Miss Hopper to turn over to Reyeiver Little field the automobile and 125,000 Insur ance money which Brown gave her prior to the failure of the firm. Judge Holt sustained the contention of Miss Hopper's counsel that the court had no jurlsdictlpn, and denied the mo tion, but granted an order restraining the actress from disposing of the ma chine and" policy within 30 days after the appointment of a trustee in bank ruptcy, so as to give the trustee an opportunity to bring suit, If he wishes. JAPAN SEEKS ALLIANCE Strong Desire Causes Premature Re port It Is Imminent. TOKIO. Nov. 2. (Special.) The Jiji Shimpo alleges that the conclusion of an American-Japanese agreement Is imminent. However, there is good authority for saying that negotiations with that end in view have not even been opened. It is felt that the idea Is a good one and that steps toward realizing It may be taken after the Presidential election in the United States. While the Japanese fervently hope for the formal cementing of National relations with America, this-does not Imply that they have any misgivings because there Is no written alliance, as they recognize the difficulty Amer ica would have in entering into any foreign compact. ROBS CHURCH POOR-BOX Meanest Burglar Caught in Butte With Telltale Key. BUTTE, Mont., Nov. 2. (Special.) Charged with systematically robbing the poor-box of St. Patrick's Church, and caught by Father Kennedy and a Janitor, F. L. Todd, who says he hails from Spokane, is in Jail under a bur glary charge. By means of a pass-key that fitted the two doors necessary to enter whe-e the poor-box Is, Todd Is supposed to have looted the box for several months. When arrested this morning, he had $9.35 in small change In his pocket. The key was found in his hat. ELECTION DAY WEATHER Fair In All but Eleven States, Which Include Northwest. WASHINGTON, Nov. 2. Fair weather in all but eleven states is the final fore cast for election day, made tonight by the Weather Bureau. Moderate tempera ture will prevail in all states. Showers are indicated for Tuesday in Georgia, Ala bama, Western Florida, .Mississippi. East ern Louisiana, the mountains of Tennes see, the Carollnas, Washington, Oregon and Northern Idaho. WOMEN TAKE AIRSHIP TRIP Zeppelin Takes Daughter and Duch ess on Aerial Voyage. rFRIEDERICHSHAFEN, Nov. 2. Count Zeppelin made an hour's successful trip In his new airship today around Lake Constance. He was accompanied by sev eral women, including Duchess Vera of Wurtemburg and his own daughter. Fifty Million More In Use. WASHINGTON, Nov. 2. The monthly statement issued fey the Controller of the Currency shows that at the close of busi ness on October 3L 1908. the amount of National notes in circulation was $666, 844.192. an increase for the year of $55, fS3.72 and a decrease for the month of $3,768, US. LAST WORD SAD IN TAFT'S Devoted to Labor, De spite Gompers. GREAT NIGHT AT YOUNGSTOWN Ohio City Resplendent With Pomp of Parade. GARBLE MITCHELL'S WORDS Gompers Omits Vital Phrase From Hi9 Telegram on Labor Cam palgn Monster Demonstra tions at Many Cities. YOUNGSTOWN. O., Nov. 2.-The last word of his campaign has been spoken by W. H. Taft and he is now speeding to Cincinnati to cast his vote tomorrow. "Vote the Republican ticket and pre serve prosperity, protection to American industries, business integrity and the rights of labor." This was the-message with which Mr. Taft finished his fight The close of the campaign In this city tonight was, in magnitude and enthus iasm, a fitting climax to all that had gone hefore. The six and one-half hours Mr. Taft spent in Youngstown were crowded with political events, resplendent with the pomp and show of party organization and a carnival of hilarity, noise and gen eral abandon by the populace. Enthusiasm at Climax. Three speeches were required of the candidate In the Park Theater,- the Grand Opera-House and the publio square. Preceding these, he reviewed a parade miles in length, composed of thousands of uniformed marchers. He was then the guest of the prominent Re publicans of the city at the Youngstown Club at a dinner. The last day of the campalim was re markable In that there was an increse v rather than a diminishing of the crowds and enthusiasm wherever he went. Be ginning his work at Dunkirk, N. Y., this morning, he made addresses at Westfield, N. Y., Erie, Pa., Ashtabula, Garretts vllle, Cleveland and Youngstown, O. The Cleveland meeting was a monster affair, and was preceded by a parade which was reviewed by the candidate, who passed through the lines In an automobile with. Mrs. Taft. Faithful to Labor's Cause. The meeting In the Cleveland Armory was presided over by A. L. Faulkner, president of the National Order of Win dow Glass Makers. Mr. Taft's epeech here was a repetition of his arguments to show why there should be no change in the policies of government as applied by the present Administration, In addition to which he took advantage of the op portunity to emphasize, as he had done throughout the day, that, notwithstand ing opposition to him and the Republican party by Samuel Gompers, he would, if elected, maintain his great sympathy for and interest in the welfare of organized labor. He said: I want to ay that it does not make any difference how much Mr. Gompera ma? misrepresent my position; It does not make any difference how much he misrepresents the position of the Supreme Court of the United States I suppose I ought not to feel hurt, because I am running tor office. (Concluded on Page 6.) INDEX OF TODAY'S NEWS The -Weather. T ESTER DAY Maximum temperature. 64.2 degrees; minimum, fVS.2 degrees. TODAY Rain; southerly winds. Foreign. Rumors that Von Buelow may persist in resignation. Page 5. Abruzzl to be made Admiral and will marry despite mother's opposition. Page 1. . Chinese boycott of Japan enforced by widespread conspiracy. Pace 3. Foil tics. Hitchcock and Mack adhere to forecasts of election result. Page 1. Bishop Hamilton upholds Cannon's denial in liquor controversy. Page 5. Taft closes campaign by speaking at Youngstown demonstration. Page 1. Bryan voices doubts of owr. election In speech in Kansas. Page 2. Chairmen complete -ampaign work and discuss result. Page 2. Democrats fight hard lor control of House. BrnKespeaks at great demonstration on "return to Lincoln. Page 2. Domestic. vt- Hains says her letters and diary were garWed by husband aud his brother. Paste 5- Areument heplnn In Moree trial. Page 5. AD POL. SUMMARY Elopers go out on launch to gat married. Sport. Coast League P'rkf "p'ag.'T" A" Americans at baseball. Page Jimmy Brltt get. decision against Summers at London in ten round... Page ,. Multnomah Club shuts down on members SM. ? on by ore of S to O. Page- 7. Commercial and Marine. Argentine shortage will affect wheat pHces in Northwest. Page li. Chicago grain markets dull. Page 15. Stock prices advance to highest point oC year. Page 15. Floor exports for November will be heavj, Nlcomedia flrst to clear. Page 14. Portland and Vicinity. Both parties claim plurality In Oregon. Openmg of North-Bank road to be observed by notable banquet. Page 11 Jackson Reirt placed on trial for murder In Juvenile Court. .Page H. East Side clubs choose Broadway as be?t location for new Alblna bridge. Page 10. Board of Health aeka Federal Inspection of city milk. Page 14. Annexation of East Side district Involved in today's election. Fuse S