VOL. XLIV.NO. 13,1)96.
PORTLAND, OREGON, TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 1, 1&04.
PRICE ' FIVE CENTS.
HER VOTE SURE
Oregon for Roosevelt
by Big Majority. .
WILL BREAK RECORD
Is Now Placed Between
27,000 and 28,000.
IT MAY REACH : 30,000
Chairman Baker So Predicts
if Total, is 100,000.
APATHY IS JNOT NOW FEARED
Campaign for Prohibition is Expected
to Bring the Electors Out Esti
mates Are Given In the
Several Counties.
PXESIDEXTIAL TOTE SINCE 1872.
Dem. Rep. uclon. Plu.
1872. Pres. 7.7KJ 11.818 4.085R
1876. Prcs.H.168' 15.203 l.OMR
18SO. Pres.19,948 20.C19 C71R
1864. Prcs.2-t.604 28,600 2.258R
1883. Pres-2S,522 33,291 6.769R
182. Prcs.14.2t3 S3.002 ..... 50.7MR
18W. Pres. .... 48.770 46,602 2.117R
.1800. Pres. .... 40.B2& 83,585 13,141R
Oregon "will give tRoosevelt andFair-
banks a plurality over Parker and Davis
of between 27,000 and 28,000, according to
forecasts -which have been received from
Oreeonlan correspondents In the several
counties. The estimates are drawn from
politicians -of both, parties and correspond
in a noteworthy manner with the plurali
ties received by the Republican candidate
for'Supreme Judge last June.
Democratic politicians concede that Ore
gon is overwhclmihgly for Boosevelt and
Fairbanks, but trim down the pluralities
predicted by Republicans. Front all parts
of Oregon come reports that voters are
apathetic, causing Republican leaders to
fear that a light vote will be polled and
the real Roosevelt plurality will not show
itself at the ballot-box. The campaign
for prohibition tinder the local option law
is full of lively interest, however, and
will bring many electors to the polls who
would otherwise stay away.
Chairman Frank C. Baker, of the Re
publican State Central Committee, thinks
the county estimates which are herewith
appended, rather too conservative. In his
opinion the plurality in Oregon will
amount to 30.000 if 100,000 votes shall bo
cast. In the Juno election the Republican
plurality for Supreme Judge was 24,217 out
of 93,000 votes. "Whatever the total vote
in the state, Mr. Baker says the Republi
can plurality will be at least 30 per cent
of all that shall be cast. , In the June
campaign, Mr. Baker predicted 20.000 plu
rality and results showed that his fore
cast, which had been regarded as too
high by many persons, was k1y too low.
The estimates in the several s?unties
are as follows:
B 5 g.
COUNTY.
Baker
Benton
Clackamas
Clatsop
Columbia ..........
Coos ...............
Crook .............
Curry
Douglas ...........
Gilliam
Grant
Harney ............
Jackson ...........
Josephine
Klamath
Lake
Lane
Lincoln ...........
Linn
Malheur ..........
Marlon
Morrow
Multnomah ....
Polk
Sherman ..........
Tillamook
VroaUlIa
t'nlon
"Wallowa ..........
"Wasco ............
"Washington
"Wheeler
TamhtU
450
3S0
257i
872
674
C56
582
223
175
5.J00
1.S94
300
L2001
4.200
750
600
2.S89
1.800
1355
V.225
600
400
200
1.000
868
1S6
416
225
.. 450
100
500
300!
250'
' 275
1.800
1.720
SI
4S7
3,809
281
175
"37
224
358
763
5,33
KKW
275
27C
4,709
L220
2501
1S5
1.400
425
2,0301
3
9.000
7.62S
24.089
550
490
3G6
353
2.600
400
450
1.0G3
i.ooo;
650
250
805
474
4.451
!17 1.540
1.200
1.064
1.004
3.4
L200
225
coo;
21 fi
605 3,190
Totals 127,375124.217
ESTIMATES OF CHAIRMEN.
Baker Predicts a Big Plurality, Sweek
That He Will Be SurprtMd.
NEW YORK. Oct 3L (Special.) The
Times today publishes the following dls
patch from Chairman Baker, of -."the Ore
gon State Republican Committee:
"My prediction is that, if we poll as
many votes next month as we did in
June, namely, nearly 100,000, President
Roosevelt's majority In Oregon "will be
33,000. The people don't agree that protec
tion is robbery, and can see no reason
why this should be changed. The Demo
cratic state organization or this state
have locked up their headquarters,
thrown the key into the well, and the
last seen of them they were making for
the tall timber."
Alexander Sweek, of the Democratic
.Committee, wires:
"Roosevelt will not receive as large
majority in- Oregon as the Republican
ticket last June. There, is no enthusiasm
for him among conservative Republicans
in this state. A number will vote for
Parker, and a great many will stay at
home. Parker will receive the normal
Democratic vote, with some additions
from the Republican ranks."
Baker County. -
RA-K-TrrR mTT. Or.. Oct. 3L Chairman
"Vourz. of the Republican County Commit
tee, claims the county by 423 plurality for
Roosevelt and Fairbanks, and Chairman
Fuehs. of the Democratic Central Com
mittee, does not dispute tne ciaim. Ad
herents of both parties are apathetic.'
Neither party has held a political meet
ing. The only campaign speaker who "has
come this way is Senator Fulton, and ho
passed through.
The total registration is ana tne
Mtlmnted total vote Is about 4300 with
a Republican majority ranging from 250
to 450.
Benton County.
CORVALL1S, Or., Oct. 31. (Special.)
Republicans claim that some Demo
crats will vote for Roosevelt and that
the gain will not bo offset by Republi
can, losses. The estimated Republican
plurality, if there shall be a full vote,
is likely to be 250 or more. About 1000
Prohibition votes will be cast, and
perhaps an equal nttmher of Socialists.
It "is widely "Believed that 'the- county
will go prohibition.
Clackamas County.
OREGON CITY. Or., Oct. 3L (Special.)
Many Bryan and Hearst Democrats will
vote for Roosevelt. Watson and Debs
will detract from Parker's strength.
Clackamas was the Populist stronghold
when that party was a political factor,
and it is onet of the strongest Socialist
counties in the state. O. D. Eby, chair
man of the Democratic County Central
Committee, expects a very light vote, but
does not think Roosevelt's plurality will
exceed 800. The following is considered
a conservative forecast of the vote:
Roosevelt. 2300; Parker. 800; Debs. 700;
Watson, 300; Swallow, 100.
Clatsop County.
ASTORIA. Or., Oct. 3L (Special.)-Not
a single public meeting has been held by
any of the political parties, and so far
as can be ascertained none is contem
plated. In 1900 McKinley's plurality was
C3S. This year the vote will be about as
follows: Republican, 1500; Democratic,
700; Socialist. 150; Prohibition, 60.
Crook County.
PRINEVLLLE. Oct. 31. (SpeclaL)
Democrats manifest no interest la- the
Presidential campaign.
Douglas County. i
ROSEBURG. Or., Oct. SL (Special.)
Far more interest is manifested in the
prohibition question than in the Presiden
tial election. Local option carried in this
county last June by a majority of 717,
but about 1500 voters registered no choice
in the matter. Both sides are claiming
a majority. Local sentiment seems even
ly divided, with a majority of the active
business men in the towns against pro
hibition.
- - Gilliam County.
CONDON. Oct. 3L (Special.) Edward
Dunn, chairman of the Democratic County
'Central Committee, estimates Roosevelt s
plurality at 100 votes. Jay Bowerman,
State Senator-elect, estimates 275 plu
rality.
Grant County.
JOHN DAY. Oct. 31. (Special.) A good
many Republicans are in the mountains
with sheep, and may not turn out to vote.
On the o trier nana, many ijryan .demo
crats in the mines will not come to the
noils. The most reliable forecasts are
as follows: Republican, 875; Democratic,
525; Socialist, 100; Prohibition. 25; People's.
25. This makes a total of 1540 votes, and
gives Roosevelt 350 plurality. If the voto
shall bo any heavier than this, it will bo
brought out by the prohibition question.
as there Is little interest in the Presiden
tial election. ' .
Jackson County.
ASHLAND, On. Oct. SI. (Special.)
Neither of the great parties has held any
meetings. Democrats are apparently
without hope of success. The total vote
last June was 3613, and the vote next
week is expected to fall somewhat below
that total. Conservative Republicans ex
pect, and prominent Democrats concede
a majority of not less than 400 for Roose
velt and Fairbanks, and will not be sur
prised if it reaches BOO.
Klamath County.
KLAMATH" FALLS, Or., Oct. 31. (Spe
cial) "Voters registered since June num
ber 86, of whom 46 are Republican and 25
Democrats.
Lake County.
LAKE VIEW. Or., Oct. 31. (SpecIaL)
A conservative forecast of the Pres
ldentlal vote is: Roosevelt, 680; Parker,
415;-Watson, 223; Swallow, 10.
Lane County.
EUGENE, Or.. Oct. 3L (Special.)
Many Democrats have not sufficient cn
couragement to go out of their way to
voto for President. It Is interesting to
note that, in me Autumn registration
political affiliation was expressed as fol
lows: Republican. 129; Democratic, 25
Prohibition, 8; Socialist, 4; those noncom
mittal. 62.
Lincoln County.
TOLEDO, Or., Oct. 31.-r-(SpecIaL)
Republicans expect Lincoln County to
give Roosevelt and Fairbanks a plu
rallty of not less than 350. With fa
vorable weather, a voto of about 200
above normal is expected. The vote on
prohibition promises to be close, with
the chances slightly favoring the dry
clement.
Linn County.
ALBANY, Or., Oct. 3L (Special.) No
work has been dono in this county by
either party. Linn County, for many
years safely Democratic, In recent years
has been gradually won over to the Re
publican ranks. The National ticket will
run ahead of the normal Republican plu
rallty.
Malheur County.
VALE, Or., Oct. 31. (SpeclaL)
Bryan and Hearst Democrats will vote
for Watson. Prohibition will probably
lose.
Marion County.
SALEM, Or., Oct. 31. (SpeclaL) Marion
County will probably go Republican by
at least 1400 plurality, with about 5600
votes cast. Owing to the indifference of
a great mass of the people, political lead
ers on both sides find it difficult to make
estimates. Republican County Commit
teeman H. D. Patton has asked precinct
committeemen for estimates, but has not
received replies. Democrats are paying
no attention to the drift of affairs. In
June, 1904. Marion County gave Her-
(Coneluded on Pare Four.)
AILS IN THE HI
"California Arrow" Is
Great Success.
AERONAUT UP 200 FEET
He Circles in Every Direction
at St Louis, Fair.
DESCENT IS MADE EASILY
"o Return to Starting Point, a Stiff
Breeze Has to Be Breasted, but
Machine Staggers Only a
Moment.
ST. LOUIS. Oct 31. After rli-pHnir !n
every direction at a height ot 2000 "feet.
above the Cascades, in sight of thousands
of cheering, enthusiastic spectators on
the World's Fair Grounds, A Roy Kna-
bensnue, of Toledo, In command of the
airship "California Arrow." today re
turned to the place from which he started
over the same course that he had come.
covering the three miles and a half of the
round trip under his own power and
demonstrating the claims of the inventor.
Captain Thomas S. Baldwin, of San Fran
cisco, that the "California Arrow" Is not
only dirigible, but that it can. make head
way against a moderate breeze.
Knabenshue started from the aeronau
tic concourse at 3;37 P. M., and returned
after his remarkable flight at 4:05 P. M.
On the return trip the alrshiD moved
slowly over the exact spot from which it
had arisen 28 .minutes previously, and
glided about 100 feet further "west, where
is settled gracefully to the ground.
The descent of the airship was the sic
nal for a demonstration the equal of
which has not been seen since tho wheels
of the World's- Fair started last April m
response to the pressure of a kev by
Jt-resiaem Kooseveit Dozens of eager
hands were outstretched to grasp the
frame of 'tho airship and the flying ma
chine, with its daring navigator, was car
ried around the concourse upon the shoul
a ers of shouting men. Hats were thrown
into the air. and when Knabenshue called
for three cheers for his home town, they
were given with a will, and another
round followed for Knabenshue and
Baldwin.
First Attempt a Failure.
Tho successful flight camo as a climax
to a day full of discouragement Baldwin
and Knabenshue had worked for 26" hours
without sleep in order to prepare for the
flight and the first essay at an ascent
with Baldwin himself In command of the
airship had ended disastrously, the ma
chine failing suddenly to the ground arid
breaking one of the blades of the pro
pcllor. After a hasty examination, Bald
win announced that th endamage could be
repaired at once, and said Knabenshue
would attempt another flight In a half
hour. The crowd, which was being mo
mentarily augmented, cheered the an
nouncement and patiently awaited while
the repairs were being made. At the
time Baldwin had stateoT" the airship
was again brought from the aerodrome
and hastily groomed for tho flight At a
signal from Knabenshue, the airship was
cast loose and the motor started. Tho
"Arrow" rose slightly and easily, lt3
prow directed toward the west When
at a height of about 25 feet Knabenshue
turned the rudder, and the aerial craft
answering to Its helm, pointed south and
continued its flight without Interruption
v Knabenshue. at that time, was not
nign enougn to clear tne aeronautic fence,
and as he rapidly approached it the
crowd held its breath, fearing the craft
would be dashed against the barricade
and the aeronaut badly injured or per
haps killed.
Waving his cap to assure those who
were following his every move, Knaben
shue moved toward the rear of
the-alrshlp. The "Arrow" pointed Its
prow upward and, answering the pull of
the propellor, soared lightly above the
fence and rapidly gained an altitude of
about 1000 feet Knabenshue again
changed the direction of the craft and
passed over the crowd in the concourse,
After proceeding a half to three-quarters
of a mile westward, Knabenshuo
turned the airship about and again
passed over the concourse, at the same
time increasing his altitude until lie was
about 2000 feet above the earth. Sailing
first to the northwest and to the south
east occasionally making complete turns,
Knabenshue continued in a generally
eastern direction until over the Cascades,
the center of the World's Fair grounds
and about a mile and a half in a direct
line from the point of starting.
Sails in Teeth of Breeze.
About that time the barely perceptibl
breeze that had been blowing from the
northwest increased to about eight miles
an hour and veered to the north. In
order to return to the starting point, it
was necessary for Knabenshue to breast
this breeze. He attempted several times
to turn to the left and then suddenly
swung the jjpdder sharply In the other
direction and the Arrow came into the
wind, staggered a moment and then,
gaining power, came toward the con
course at a speed that caused the spec
tutors to cheer and throw their hats Into
the air. The demonstration was observed
by Knabenshue, who leaned far out and
waved an empty ballast bag.
Without deviation the "Arrow" con tin
ued on in the teeth of the breeze, gaining
speed and rushing toward the concourse
in an imposing manner. When, within-
few hundred yards of the concourse. Kn.
benshuc moved .forward, the "Arrow'
responded immedltIy to the downward
shift and sailed toward tho ground with- ,
out a dlminlshment of speed.
Knabenshue entered the. concourse from
the east from a height of about 200 feet.
and slowing the speed of his motor, di
rected the airship directly over the
wooden, trestles that had' "supported tho
Arrow" before the flight started. His
momentum" was too - great to admit of
stopping exactly in .the. place from which
he made the ascent, but the airship set
tled to the ground within 100 feet.
Baldwin. 'Extremely Optimistic.
Captain Baldwin was extremely optim
istic regarding the "future of his airship.
He said:
"Now, I will not , "be, content to leave
before I have had several trials for that
$100,000 prize. The conditions are rather
severe, but I think the "Arrow" can make
the required distance within the time
limit
"As a result of today's flight I have
unquestionably Qualified for a trial. Kna-
tbenshue went up with Instructions not to
go far from the aeronautic concourse and
then bring the ship to the ground after
a trial of a half hour. He came within
two minutes of obeying my instructions
to the letter."
Can tain Baldwin had his alrshiD Backed
for shipment, deo&inV the rules govern
ing the--contest too severe, when the Ex
position directors prevailed upon him to
make another trial.
Fair Again Pays on Debt.
ST. LOUIS. Oct 31. The Louisiana Pur
chase Exposition Company today reduced
the balance due upon the united States
Government loan of 51,600.000 to $191,851 by
depositing $500,000.
ARBITRATION NEARLY PLANNED
America and .France Will Begin Ne
gotiations After Election.
WASHINGTON. Oct 31. France and the
United States expect to begin the negotia
tion ot an arbitration treaty at Washing
ton soon after the Presidential election.
The treaty will be known as the Hay
Jusserand treaty, and. according to the
present programme, will follow closely the
lines of the British-French arbitration
treaty. Some time ago the French govern
ment through its Ambassador at Wash
ington, informed Secretary Hay that
France was ready and. willing to Conclude
such a convention whenever it was the
pleasure of the United States.
It Is believed that Italy will be found
favorable to the negotiation of arbitration
with this country and also Great Britain,
though in the case of the latter country.
it Is expected that the initiative this time
must come from the American Govern
ment MTJST FACE HEW CHARGES.
Agitation Against French MInfster of
War Is Increasing.
PARIS, Oct 3L The agitation against
Minister of War Andre Is increasing In
intensity. 3L Guyot do VOlenuve, the
Deputy whose charges brought on the
critical vote In the Chamber, gave notice
today that he will present now charges
against -General Andre on Fr.day.
A complaint has been submitted to the
Minister of Justice, charging that De VII-
lenuve Issued letters in which were dis
closed the system of spying on tho pri
vate lives of officers.
HAY'S NOTE WELL RECEIVED
Diplomats Expect Powers Heartily to
Favor Peace Conference.
WASHINGTON, Oct 31. Secretary
Hay's npte to the powers inviting them
to convene In conference at; The Haguo
has been very cordially received by the
Diplomatic Corps.
Although they have not yet received
any official expression from their govern
ments, several European diplomats of
rank today predicted -that the note would
call forth cordial replies from tho Euro
pean Chancellories, or at least the ma
jority of them. ,
AMERICAN CONSULATE BURNS
Most of Records Destroyed
Building at Amoy.
With
WASHINGTON, Oct 3L The State De
partment today received a cablegram
from Amoy, China, announcing the de
struction of the American Consulate there,
together with valuable papers. The mes
sage came from Consul John H. Fesler at
Amoy, and reads as follows:
"Consulate burned with most of rec
ords." CONTENTS OF TODAY'S PAPER
Political. f
Oregon will give Roosevelt between 27,000 and
28.000 plurality. Page 1.
Parker addresses big rally in New York.
Page 1.
Democratic papers complete poll of New York,
which shows state Is very close. Page 2.
War la the Far "East.
Greatest battle of the war Is near at hand at
Mukden. Page I.
Japanese again tighten lines at Fort Arthur.
Page 6.
Brltteh commissioners find attack on trawlers
"wanton and deadly." Page 5.
Domestic
California airship makes a successful flight at
St. Louis. Page 1.
Engineers In Illinois mines strike, and 50,000
men are affected. Pace 3.
Jury In Ames' case again disagrees, and ex-
Mayor, indicted for Era fling. Is likely- to
go free. Page 3.
Sports.
Gans wins from Brltt on foul In fifth round.
Page 8.
Pacific Coast
Tacoma telegrapher, defending himself and
mother, shoots drunken father. Page 4.
Supreme Court renders important Insurance de
cision. Page 4.
Harry F. Miller, charged with land fraud, Isl
Page 4.
Portland aad Vicinity.
Publicity work of Lewis and Clark Fair will
be taken up on broader scale. Page 14.
Republican rally on East Side will be big
affair. Page 12.
Orrille D. Jennings -wins divorce suit against
his wife. Page 0. ,
Captain ot Fire Department will be transferred
as penalty for assault Page 9.
Record of Police Department for month of Oc
tober. Pace 0.
Mining men. will ask. amendment of Eddy law
by Legislature. Page 12.
Merger of street-car companies in effect to-.
day. . Page D.
Halloween is celebrated with due frivolity.
Page 10. v.
Cooimcrdal. aad Martoe.
Oregon-hop pool Maored. Pge13.
Large goMA experts caaee was Knew la stocks.
.Page j a.
Heavy Raaataa wheat 8&ieBta deaoralle
markets. Pace 13.
Sab Trusteed pi saarkst gtotteA. Pace 13.
Grate tmi liwiif serte f. Oeieetr. S IX,
GOES ON STUMP
Parker Makes Speech
.in New York.
LARGE CROWD GREETS HIM
Methods" of Coilecting Cam
paign Funds Discussed.
REPUBLICANS ARE ASSAILED
Democratic Candidate Also Takes Up
Tariff and Trusts, and Denies
That His Party Is Unqual
ified to Rule.
NEW TORK, Oct 3L-Judge -Parker to
night made his first platform appearance
away from his home at Esopus since his
nomination as the Democratic candidate
for President He addressed a monster
mass meeting held in Madison Square
Garden, where his reception was attend
ed by a demonstration seldom equaled
both in the intensity and the duration of
the enthusiasm displayed. Net only was
the appearance of Judge Parker cheered.
but every mention of his name by speak
ers who preceded him provoked outbreaks
of applause.
The tumult of unrestrained enthusiasm
which accompanied Judge Parker's en
trance to the Garden was in contrast to
the close attention given him during his
speech of not more than half an hour.
He. had but to raise hl3 hand to gain con
trol of his audience. Though his voice
was not strong, it Is said he could be
heard in every part ot the building.
Judge Parker's speech was of a- char
acter Intended to appeal to the popular
demand, as well as to the audience which
gathered upon invitation of the Parker
and Davis Business Men's Association,
under whose auspices the meeting was
held. It dealt with methods of collect
ing campaign funds, and in this respect
the candidate took severely to task his
Republican opponents, following the lines.
of a speech made recently at Rosemount
on the same subject Jle discussed the
tariff and trusts. Ho told of his own
participation in political campaigns, and
asked his audience if it w.ould not like
to return to what he termed the old-fash
ioned principles, and his effort was
scathing arraignment of the presentAd-
mlnistration from the Democratic point
of view.
Line Begins to Form Early.
Two hours before Judge Parker was
scheduled to arrive at Madison Square
Garden.it was evident that there would
not be one seat vacant In the large struc
ture. At 4:30 P. M. the line In front of
the Madison Square entrance began to
form. The doors were not opened until 6
o'clock. Under control of 50 policemen,
the crowd entered the building in an or
derly manner.
In less than two hours standing room
was at a premium, and many persons
were turned away unable to get near the
Garden. Few women were in the main
body of the hall, although the boxes gave
the appearance of a society gathering.
The decorations In the garden were the
same as those used recently in the Re
publican mass meeting. No reservations
of seats were made, except in one sec
tion Immediately in front of the speak
ers stand, where were assembled the
members of the Parker and Davis Busi
ness Men's Association and their guests.
At each end of the Garden were stationed
bands, which? played alternately popular
and patriotic selections. Isldor Straus3
presided.
When he referred to Judgo Parker, It
was several minutes before he could pro
ceed. The audience arose and waved
flags and shouted itself hoarse. He then
took up the subject of tariff reform.
which alone he declared to bo sufficient
to indues the great mass of thinking
voters to cast &elr ballots for Alton B
Parker. The demonstration of the few
moments before was repeated and out
done. The throng cheered for 13 mln
utes, pausing long enough only to gain
breath for a renewed outbreak.
Terrific Cheering Starts.
Hoke 8mith, of Georgia, ex-Secretary
of the Interior, was then introduced. Mr,
Smith had Just "begun a discussion of
President Roosevelt's policy when, at 9
o'clock sharp. Judge Parker entered the
building. He was accompanied by a com
mittee of 50 Democrats conspicuous in
state and National campaigns, and the
party had been, given an ovation which
was begun at the Hotel Seville, Avhere
the candidate has headquarters, and con
tinued until he reached the Garden. He
entered the building by the entrance be
neath the platform, but before he came
in view of the audience the signal of his
approach had been given, and the terrific
cheering started. Everybody in the bulk!
lng sprang to his feet The applafcse was
one continuous roar. Chairman Strauss
made no attempt to introduce him. It
was impossible distinctly to hear the
bands half-way across. the Garden until
the leader caught the spirit of the occa
slon and. piayea sucn selections as
"There'll Be a Hot Time," " 'War Down
in My Heart Tve Got a Feelin for. You,
and some of the patriotic selections as
welL The audience Joined in song. After
16 minutes came a moment's lull, and
Chairman Strauss tried 'to quiet tke dem
onstration, but failed, aad the band
played tauntingly "I Was Ofily Toaateg.'
Another minute passed, and Ju4ge Parker-
stepped to tho frontr-feut this teaded only
to excite the .audience, which rfMed to
subside until. '24 minutes of imrMe en
thusiasm had pasred.
Mr. Smith permitted his speeea tar ataod
unfinWhed. Parker foMowe blm
script to the letter, but delivered hl3
speech. In a forceful manner, despite the
fact that it was read to his audience.
At the conclusion of Judge Parker's
speech he was given a prolonged ova
tion. When he left the hall for the Man
hattan Club many people also departed,
but thousands remained to hear the other
speakers, who were Benjamin E. Shively,
ot Indiana, and Attorney-General Cuneen,
of New York. Every one was anxious to
shake Judge Parker's hand, and finally
the crush about him became so great
that it was necessary for the police to in
terfere. Judge Parker was escorted to
the Manhattan Club, where he met a
number ot people at an informal recep
tion.
ADDRESS Or JUDGE PARKER.
He Discusses Tariff and Trusts, and
Denounces Republicans.
NEW YORK, Oct 3L The address of
Judge Parker at the great Democratic
rally tonight was as follows:
Moro and more, as the canvass has pro
ceeded and the unjust stewardship ot the Re
publican party has been made clear, am I con
vinced that in this election we are confronted
with issues which, must be determined rightly.
it we are to avoid grave consequences to our
country. I am not speaking from any selfish
point of view. I am speaking with the con
viction of a man who has taken into .review
the questions before the country, lafgeiy la a
Judicial way, and the conviction has grown
stronger as the days have gone by, and I have
examined the-record of the Republican party
and the defenses put forth for its justification.
and that to let this party go unrebuked Is to
Invite the establishment of new and dangerous
principles and standards for our guidance aa
people. Our return to old-fashioned ways
cannot. In my opinion, be too precipitate, un
less we are prepared to ehut our eyes to tne
consequences that will follow If we proceed
further along a path that is full of danger to
our future. We need what patriotism, devo
tion to principle and high moral Ideals .have
until late always given us a government of
law and constitutional restraint, and not of
caprice or reckless adventure.
In an early utterance I have referred In de
tail to what Is notoriously going on In the
matter of collection of funds by the Republican
party for the campaign. Now I know, as. you
know, that money is required In order to ce-
fray the expenses of a campaign. Under right
conditions. Its collection and. expenditure are
eaually legitimate. But the epectacle ot de
manding campaign funds now presented to this
country la, when rightly regarded, of a char
acter to shock the moral tense. "We shall do
well to pause for a moment to ask whither
we are drifting In our Indifference to right
standards, and to our old-fashioned sense of
propriety in such matters.
Roosevelt and Cortelyou.
Congress creates a new Deartiaent of Com-
merce and Labor. Of that department the
President of the United States appoints a sec
retary. That secretary was his orlvate secre
tary. Within that department provision Is
made for the collection from large corporations,
Including the -sc-called tructs. of Information
which, it is to be borne In mind, is to be
snbmltted to the President for public or pri
vate use as he may direct
By grace of the same executive, this secre
tary, through whose -department this informa
tion Is collected, becomes the chairman oice
Republican Katlonal Committee. His chief
dnty .has been, and ts still, to collect funds.
for the purpose, ot oecurjng the election of
the President, And it Is now notorious mat
there has result!" from thla organized, im
portunity xrtiaiever may be the precise -way in
which' It Is mads effective an overflowing
treasury to the committee, of which boast is
openly and continually made.
Although this may be satisfactory to the con
science of Republican leaders, it must I firmly
believe, be condemned as nothing short of
scandal, not only by myself and the Demo
cratic party, but by the American people aa
welt
It Is said by Mr. Hay that the 'character ot
Mr. Lincoln furnishes the standard for Mr.
Roosevelt In his conduct as President i tio
not have to pause to hear your thundering no
when I ask. "Would Lincoln have done or per
mitted this to be done 7 The whole perform
ance Is a shameless exhibition ofra willingness
to make compromise with decency in order
that sums ot money .may be gathered to
gether sufficiently vast to Justify the Insolent
boast even now that there Is no question as
to the success which by such a course the
Republican managers so confidently predict
The performance is entitled to the credit that
it in no cense partakes of hypocrisy. It is
as bold as It Is Improper and Indefensible.
Declares Party Can Be Trusted. i
Judge Parker protested against the cry
that the Democratic party cannot be
trusted to deal with the business Inter
ests of the country, and pointed to the
record cf the Cleveland Administration
to disprove this assertion. He continued:
"We stand aa a country upon the threshold of
a great foreign trade. Our natural- resources,
the industry, the enterprise and the ingenuity
of our people, our ability to command labor
from every quarter of the globe, our strength
and the flexibility of the Institutions founded by
us on the light lines, all combine to supply an
almost Infinitely increased demand for our
products.
But foreign trade cannot be won by a people
which consents to put Itself Into the leading
strings of second childhood. It cannot become
the heritage ot manufacturers who must be
paid a bounty in order that they may mulct
their own countrymen. It is not to be won by
selling at heme at prohibitive prices which
check consumption and thus lessen production.
merely that products made by the same work
man In the same factories may be sold, with
freight paid thousands of miles away, for a
fifth, a. quarter, a third less.
We are approaching the parting of the ways.
Either we want as we certainly need, a for
eign trade In articles honestly made by honest
and Industrious workmen as- the result of
steady and lucrative employment, and honestly
sold on all marketr or we may look, forward
to a time, not remote, when only a fraction of
our existing machinery and powers of produc
tion can be utilized, and when idleness and
demoralization must of necessity, come as the
effect ot our own shortsighted policy.
In due time our farmers, who now furnish so
large a proportion of our exports, will either
reach, the limit ot productive power or our own
population will consume what the country can
grow. What then, will become of our de
lusive balance of trade? "Where, then, will our
artisans find remunerative employment? "Where
other peoples save advantage of great eco
nomic opportunities how shall we, wearing in
dustrial handcuffs, meet our responsibilities to
our own people?
DIPLOMAT IS DODTG WELL.
Physician Attending Minister Taka-
hira Has All Hope.
NEW YORK, Oct. 3L Dr. William T.
Ball, after visiting Japanese Minister Tak-
ahira tonight, authorized the following
statement:
"The condition of the patient is- favora
ble. His condition tonight Is, just what
should, be expected in the progress df the
disease."
All the members of the suite are visibly
encouraged by this news. Mr. Hanihara,
the third secretary of the Washington Le
gation, at once telegraphed the statement
to Washington aad ToWo
The Minister slept some during the af-
k ternoon and took as much nourishment
as the physicians would allow.
Taft Spaakx en Philippines
NBW YORK. Oct 31. Secretary Taft
sooke on xM- PhlUppiBe question to
large -aodSeace In Mount Vernon tcnlght
"Jttdea Parker's recent, statements About
the MandaJ' h said,
X Mii feed Mver tots
BIS BOTTLE SUM
Japanese-Will Resume
the Offensive.
FRESH TROOPS ARRIVE
Engagement Will BeGneatest
of War Tfius-'Far.
FORCES OF EQUAL -STRENGTH
Kuropatkin Is Confronted by an Ex
ceedingly Difficult Problem, and
s Reverse Will Render HI
Position Critical.
According to .Russian reports the
army of Field Marshal-Oyama confront
ing the Russian forces In thevlclhlty
of the Shakhe River has-been rcln-
. forced by 40,000 to 60,000 men from
Port Arthur and Tap&n. .BarUec re
ports have indicated that General
Kuropatkin has received nearly equal
accessions to his force, although
yesterday's dispatches from Mukden. In
timate the contrary and convey the
Impression that the present moment
find3 the Russians not fully, prepared, to
meet a Japanese, advance that may
be expected -to begin any hour.
A Russian advance seema to be re
garded a? questionable. Owing to the.
fr.ct that the period since the close at
the battle of Shakhe River has- been
devoted by the Japanese to a- strenu
ous . prosecution of the work of en
trenching. The contending armies are
.within close touch, and any outpost
' brunh or "reconnatsoaace may bring on
a general engagement There Is much
cannonading of positions on both aides.
Poutlloff (Lone Tree) Hill being a
marked storm center.
ST. PETERSBURG, Nov, L 35 A.
M.) Everything indicates that both the
Japanese and Russian armies south of
Mukden, 'are- ready for a resumption of
hostilities. If, Indeed, fighting lias not a!-.
ready begun. General" Kuropatkin reports
that' the Japanese have received reinforce
ments from the south and - Feng Wang
Cheng. Their concentration seems to have
been accomplished, and they are ready to
resume the offensive, both east and west
of the railroad. There Is no official es
timate of the strength of the Japanese
reinforcements, but correspondents place
it at 40,000 to E0.C00.
It Is believed the Japanese force has
been very largely augmented both from
Port Arthur, where an engineering siege
has been begun, and Japan, whence it is
understood every available man la being
drafted. It seems to be assured that the
Japanese will be able to meet General
Kuropatkin on almost If not quite, an
equal numerical footing. The mere fact
that they are again threatening a double
flanking movement Indicates Field Mar
shal Oyama's confidence in the sufficiency
of the force at his disposal.
Greatest Battle Yet Expected.
It Is believed here that the second bat
tle on the Shakhe River will prove to be
as much bigger and more serious than
the first as- the first was more serious
than the battle of Llao Yang. General
Kuropatkin is confronted by an exceed
ingly difficult problem. He Is pitted
against a Japanese force stronger, even
despite its recent losses, than that oppos
ing the southern advance. If Kuropat
kin now succeeds in checking or even
breaking the Japanese formation it will
open large possibilities for the brief re
mainder of the year's campaign. On tho
other hand, a Russian reverse now would
render the position exceedingly critical.
The dispatches indicate the resumption
of fighting on both extremities of the
Russian front The night of October 30
the Japanese attacked the Russian en
trenchments east of Slnchinpu, but were
repulsed, though the bombardment-continued
throughout the night The Japanese
advance has also begun against the Rus
sian positions at Tunganon, a. mile and
a half north of Bentsiaputze, where they
encountered a heavy Russian fire. Thus
it appears that the Japanese are becom
ing aggressive along the whole front from
Bentsiaputze on the extreme east to Sln
chinpu, which Is west ot the Shakha
Biver, where that stream bends south af
ter crossing the railroad. . This probably
constitutes the extreme Russian west
making the battle front about the same as
when General Kuropatkin began bis
southern movement.
The latest reports frcm Port Arthur
are by no means, encouraging. General
Stoessel is making a good defense, but the
Japanese are approaching now by paral
lels confessedly close to important Rus
sian fortifications.
While this form of attack, is less spec
tacular" and less costly in men than re
peated assaults, it is no less conclusive "
ra ultimate results; denan&Iag a sleepless
defense and being almost laapossible to
frustrate.
Rv-jrerts Japanese Are Repufewi.
ST. PETERSBURG, Oct 3L -General
SakbarofiC, in a dispatch to the ger.ral
staff, dated today, says:
"A Japanese attack on tba Rcwtaa ea
trenebments necta ot SHnehlnpw October
39 was repulsed. T1m Japanese artillery
commenced the soiabardment of eight po
sitions at about 39 o'clock at -Bight aad
kept It up until 2 o'clock; this noraitr.
"A Japanese advance against ths Rus
sians near the viliag of Tubo wm dis
covered test niht aad wo qMt by tlw
Russian artttlsry. -f -
bsalth ot tas troops 4a
i tr