Morning Oregonian., October 31, 1904, Image 1

PORTLAND, OBEGON, MONDAY, OCTOBER 31, 1904.
PRICE FIVE CENTS.
VOL. XLIV. 2sT0. 13,695.
w m m m. m.
Ufftn
ELEGTIONjS SURE
Roosevelt Will Have
Large Majority.
CAN LOSE NEW YORK
House Will Be Republi
can by 34 Votes,
PRESIDENT LEADS TICKET
Shows Greater Strength in
Many States Than Party.
SOCIALIST VOTE ON INCREASE
New York Herald Says Republican Is
sues Are Favored by Rural Voters
Indiana Won by First Vot
ers and Farmers.
POIX OF SEW XORK HERALD.
For
California ....
Connecticut
Idaho
Illinois
Indiana
Iowa
Kanasas
Maine
Massachusetts.
Michigan -
Minnesota
Nebraska
N. Hampshire.
TCew Jersey. . .
Roosevelt.
JOiKorth Dakota.
4
7
3
Ohio 23
Oregon 4
Pennsylvania -.34
Rhode Island. . 4
south Dakota.. 4
Utah 3
Vermont 4
Washington ... 5
Wisconsin ...... 13
Wyoming ..... 3
Total
.257
For Parker.
Alabama...... 11
Missouri 18
Arkansas ..... 0
Florida c;
Georgia: ...... 13
North Carolina. 12
South Carolina. 0
Tennessee 12
Texas . 18
Kentucky .
13
Louisiana .. fltVlrgtnla
12
Mervtauili'
Mississippi
Total . 159T
Probably Republican.
Colorado SlWest Virginia.. 7
Delaware 3l
Montana 3 Total 18
Probably Democratic
Nevada 31
New Tork. frith 39, unpertain and
in the- "balance.
NEW TORK, Oct. SO. (Special.) The
Herald, which has been supporting Par
ker, and the Tribune, which is strongly
Republican today publish elaborate polls
of the entire United States, each showing
Roosevelt will be elected by a handsome
majority.
The Herald's poll, which Is more care
fully made than any other, and usually
more accurate, shows the following re
sults:
Roosevelt, 257; Parker, 159; probably Re
publican. 18; probably Democratic 3; ex
tremelv uncertain. New Tork. 29. Com
menting on Its poll the Herald says:
"The Herald's nonpartisan poll of the
country indicates that Roosevelt and
Fairbanks will be elected and that tho
Houso of Representatives will be Repub
11 can. It also discloses the almost even
chance that Roosevelt will lose the elec
toral vote of his own state. President
Roosevelt has a majority of 18 sure votes
and Parker lacks SO of having a clear
majority.
No Signs of Landslide.
"This campaign has been likened to that
of 1893 when there was a tremendous and
unexpected upheaval, and Cleveland car
ried states that had never gone Demo
eratic If the indicated, result is to be
changed It must be by the work of in
fluenca beneath the surface which no
amount of Investigation can fathom.
There are no signs on the surface to in
dlcate, such upheaval.
"Roosevelt will probably carry New
Jersey by 27,000. Conecticut seems almost
certain to go for Roosevelt by a large
majority. Delaware Is only doubtful be
cause of apathy. A full vote should giv
the Republicans the largest plurality the
state ever had.
Negro Issue In Maryland.
"Maryland is unquestionably In the
Democratic column, due almost entirely
to the race issue. This is the only state
in which the President appears to be
weaker than his party. The President
treatment of the negro there Is being used
to his disadvantage.
"West Virginia is probably Republican
on National issues. There would be no
doubt about it, but for the injection of
state tax issues into the campaign.
"The sturdiest struggle of the campaign
outside New Tork has been in Indiana.
Parker won the Gold Democrats by his
St. Louis convention telegram; Bryan has
brought the Silver Republicans to support
the National ticket, but the first voters
scd the larger proportion of the farmers
wrSsupport Roosevelt and will prove the
contro;Sff Influence In Indiana.
"While Colorado Is extremely doubtful
on state issues, .with the probability of
Governor Peabody's defeat, it is probable
Roosevelt will carry the state, and may
carry Peabody with him.
"In view of the fact that the Democrats
have carried Nevada repeatedly since the
advent of Bryan, tho state Is put in the
probable Democratic column.
Larger Majority in the House.
"The Republicans apparently -will be
able to retain the House of Representa
tives by a larger majority than at pres
jaU Nothing but an unexpected land'
slide could change this Indicated, result
The Republicans 'now have a majority of
34. The Herald's correspondents show the
Republicans will elect 30 members or the
House and the Democrats 164, with 12 dis
tricts doubtful.
There have been several notable fea
tures In the campaign. One has been the
strength which the state contests have
added to the Democratic cause all over the
country. In almost a dozen states state
candidates are ' unquestionably stronger
than the. National candidates. On the
other hand. In almost every one of these
states President Roosevelt Is stronger
than his party.
This Is notably the case In New Tork,
where it Is not Impossible that Hlgglns
will run more than 60,000 behind the Na
tional ticket. It Is also true In New Jer
sey, Rhode Island, "West Virginia, "Wiscon
sin and Indiana.
Parker Has Lost by Silence.
Judge Parker has suffered largely be
cause he is unknown to the great mass of
oters and because early In the campaign
he adhered to the policy of seclusion,
which Is deplored by Democratic mana
gers everywhere. Until the 'silent vote
makes its intentions known on election
day. It will be impossible to surmise what
has been the most effective Issue. Re
ports do" not show that imperialism and
the Philippines have been taking Issues
with the masses. On the other hand, the
big stick' and the Republican cry of Liet
well enough alone' have been effective in
rural- communities.
"The question of trusts, which Parker
ignored early in the campaign and which
he. has brought to the front on the sub
ject of campaign contributions, Is seem
ingly attracting much attention.
"Tom "Watson, candidate of the Peo
ple's party, and Debs, candidate of the So
cialists, have been attracting considerable
attention and arc confident they will poll
large vote.
"The Socialist vote has been growing
for several years. Debs has been appeal
ing particularly to the working classes,
and in states like Indiana the Socialist
vote will be largely increased. It will be
drawn from both parties, ,but probably
more from the Democratic party. Indi
cations received show that "Watson's vote
will not cut a very considerable figure, ex
cept possibly in rural counties in New
York. The general impression is neither
Debs nor "Watson will be able to poll
enough votes to change results in any
doubtful state."
TRIBUNE CLAIMS NEW
YORK
in the
Gives Roosevelt 314 Votes
Electoral Colleges.
NEW TORK. Oct SO. (Special.) The
Tribune's elaborate poll gives to Parker
only 151 votes of the solid South, classes
Maryland and Nevada as doubtful, and
gives to Roosevelt the remaining 314 elec
toral voted. The Tribune comments as
follows:
"At the outset of the campaign New
Tork, New Jersey, Connecticut, "West Vir
ginia arid ..Indiana vero douMfur .states.
forts on these states. "Wisconsin also, be
cause of the Republican split, was In
eluded in the list. But the collapse of the
Democratic National campaign several
weeks ago fully shattered any hope they
may have actually cherished about any of
these states.
"New Tork, New Jersey and Connect!
cut long ago passed out of the doubtful
column. "West Virginia and Indiana were
longer in doubt, but indications from both
states make Republican success certain
there. Taggart's Influence on the floating
vote of Indiana in other words, his abil
ity to buy the election seems to be about
the only hope left Despite the Demo
cratic assertions, the National ticket
never was In danger in "Wisconsin, and
the most conservative estimate gives
Roosevelt 50,000 in that state."
CONTENT WITH ADMINISTRATION
Voters in the United States Do Not
Desire a Change.
NEW TORK, Oct SO. (Special.) The
Heald prints the following forecast by
Chairman Babcock, of the Republican
Congressional committee:
The Republicans will elect 220 mem
bers of the next House. I feel absolutely
confident of this, and in making my est!
mate I do not take into account the
doubtful districts.
"The controlling thought In the minds
of voters this year is that they do not
want a change. They are satisfied with
existing conditions. The country is pros
perous. All classes are contented. Farm
ers never experienced a more profitable
year than that which is passing.
"The opposition has failed to impress
the voters with their attacks upon the
President's policy with reference to Pan
ama or the Philippines.
"I find that the President In the West
era and Northwestern country is much
stronger than his party. He has made
a most excellent candidate by his p'osl
tlve Americanism and by the frankness
and candor with which he treats public
questions.
"The campaign has been conducted on
both sides with great vigor, although
has been difficult to arouse the masses to
a point of excitement This I Interpret to
mean that they axo" contented with the
administration of affairs at Washington.'
The Herald says supporters of Tom
Watson expect tho Populist candidate to
poll 1,500.000 votes in the United States
World Does Not Predict.
NEW TORK. Oct SO. (Special.) The
World does not make any prediction on
the outcome of the election. Its poll gives
Roosevelt 201 votes, Parker 153 and 116
doubtful. In the doubtful column the
World places:
Colorado, Connecticut Delaware, Idaho,
Indiana. Montana, Nevada, New Jersey,
New Tork. Utah. West Virginia, Wiscon
sin and Wyoming.-
Eagle Sticks to Parker.
NEW TORK. Oct 30. (Special.) Ed!
torlally the Brooklyn Eagle says:
"There Is to be a change in party
auspices under which affairs have been
administered at Washington. The Eagle
is sincere in the belief that Parker will
be elected President"
Zeigler's Condition the Same.
STAMFORD. Conn.. Oct 30. The con
dltlon of William Zelgler. of New Tork.
who was thrown from his" carriage" sev
eral weeks ago; and who is at his Sum
mer home at this place, remains about
the same.
ASLEEP ON DUTY
Republicans of Pierce
Show Great Apathy.,
GAMBLERS PUT UP FIGHT
Outcasts From Northwest Are
in Their Last Harbor,
MEAD'S LEAD WILL BE SMALL
Business Men Have at Last Been
Roused by Danger of Foster's De
feat, and Are Bringing Votes
to Head of the Ticket.
TACOMA. Oct 29. (Staff Correspond
entBad but not hopeless Is about the
situation In Pierce County, so far as
Mead and a good portion of the Republi
can state ticket Is concerned. A normal Re
publican majority In this county would
be about 3000 to 3500, but the head of the
state ticket will. In all probability, run
from 2500 to 3000 votes under these figures.
The Democrats confidently assert that
Mead will be defeated in Pierce by from
500 to 1500 votes. These claims, I think.
are unreasonable, but It Is easily dls
cernlble that the Democrats are put
ting up a harder fight In this county than
in any other county in the state. A hard
fight does not necessarily mean success
or anything approaching it but in this
particular case, the Democrats have
following of more formidable proportions
than they have ever before lined up In
the county.
Refuge of the Outcasts.
This following has been massed by
main strength and money, there being
more of the latter available than In any
former political fight ever made In the
county. This is due to the fact that
Tacoma Is the only city of prominence
in the Northwest where gambling is per
mitted.
"When a rigid .enforcement of the state
law closed gambling In Spokane, the
knights of the green-cloth, with CI
lhtli-J.-tiriis.ffburicovTiltT.-rrn&ojeiemX.
.tlielrrUxuiaho&fautMmtmi'taeiuei,eiR23.'7
bouncers and other hangers-on, came over
to the Coast Then Mayor Balllnger closed
Seattle and a family row over poolroom
privileges closed Portland.
Tacoma thus became the Mecca for all
of this riff-raff of outlawry and they have
flocked here In swarms from east, north
and south. The city administration Is in
the hands of the Democrats and from all
reports that are in circulation, never
before has vice been levied on so heavily
for campaign funds.
Gamblers' Money Against Mead.
Everything from the slot machines to
the big faro games Is now turning the
profits Into the fund that is being used
to defeat Mead. Naturally all of the
vast horde of gamblers and other outlaws
who are here are not In a financial con
dition that will warrant them in con
tributing cash to the cause, but numeri
cally their strength Is of proportions that
cannot be regarded lightly, and the small
fry and hangers-on will be handled and
voted by the saloonmen and boss gam
blers In any manner that Is agreeable to
the .Democrats.
The saloonmen and gamblers are never
strong enough to carry an election with
out assistance from some of the respect
able elements of society. In fact are fre
quently turned down when they have
such assistance. It is needful, however,
and In the fight for Turner the jingle of
the gamblers' and Hquorsellers' gold
chimes harmoniously with the supplica
tions of the Rev. T. J. Eshelman and
other religious workers, who are out la
boring for the Turner ticket
War Horses Are Out of Sight.
This 'decided activity on the part of the
Turner men and money would be less ef
fective if there was a little less of the
"Please - go - way - and - let-me-sleep" air
about the Republicans. General Apathy
seems to be in full command around head
quarters, and there is surprising lack of
Interest shown. I called at Republican
headquarters yesterday and, seeing no fa
miliar faces, asked the youthful-looking
man at the helm if Walter Christian had
been in the vicinity recently. He .said he
never knew a man of that nam.
I had met a Democrat a few minutes
before who expressed his opinion of Chris
tian's fight for the State Senate by saying
that "Walter will not know that he has
been running after the returns are In.
did not believe tho Democrat but here
was one of Walter's own party who didn't
know he was running, and 'the election
Btill ten days away.
Remembering the retiring nature and
unobtrusive ways of Walter Christian, I
excused the young man in command and
asked of the whereabouts of Charles Bed
ford, who has been doing Republican poll
tics in Pierce County since Blackwell ran
the hotel.
"Bedford, Bedford," said ho, fnever
heard of a man of that name."
Knew a Farmer by That Name.
Then I thought of Easterday. 'eloquent
learned, genial "Joe," whose party loyalty
was never questioned, and whose Repub'
llcanlsm never bore a prefix.
"Does Joe Easterday ever come in
here?" said I.
The young man's face showed a gleam
of intelligence for a moment and he said
he knew a farmer of that name "out
Puyallup way." but he seldom came to
town. Three times and out is usually
my rule In such cases, but I exceeded the
limit by asking the young man If he had
. ever saw or heard of Senator Foster. He
Jhad heard the n&m but was sure the
Senator "seldom cornea round here.
Another unfortunate factor for the Re
publican state ticket in Pierce County Is
the lack of newspaper support The Iiedger
has . throughout the campaign remained
silent or voiced such faint praise that it
was more damning though less spectacu
lar than the opinion It expressed the day
following the convention.
Foster's Fate In the Balance.
In the foregoing has been presented the
dark side of the Pierce County situation.
There Is another aspect which Is less
gloomy, in fact it is growing brighter
every day. It Is daily becoming more- plain
to Pierce County that the election of
Foster to the United States Senate 13 an
Impossibility If Mead is turned down In
the county. It is, of course, far from as
sured that Foster will succeed himself
even in the event of Mead carrying Pierce,
but his chances will be Infinitesimal If
his own county gets away from him.
The necessity for Foster and. Pierce
County to make a good showing for Mead
is due to the fact that by far the larger
portion of the Foster strength is In the
Northwestern counties which are In the
Mead stronghold. Mead's friends in these
counties have served very plain notice
on the Pierce County Republicans that
unless Mead receives a good safe major
ity in Pierce, Foster or any other Pierce
County Senatorial candidate will receive
scant consideration at Olympia next Win
ter.
Business Men Get Busy.
A large number of the Tacoma business
men view the prospective loss of the Sen-
atorshlp with a feeling akin to horror, and
since the notice was served on them,
they have become very busy. They have
organized a business man's club which
started off with a membership of 500 and
is expected to reach 2000 before election
day. Their work has already been so ef
fective that some conservative Republl
cans estimate that Mead has gained 1000
votes In the county within the past ten
days.
Another feature of the situation which
Is causing the Republicans some alarm Is
the fear that In the nrobable redlstficting
of the state next year. Pierce County's
apportionment will be made on the basis
of her vote for Governor. With such i
contingency not only possible but ex
tremely probable it is a very Important
matter for Pierce that she would pile up
the largest Mead vote possible.
Political Career Against Him
The Democratic objection to Turner la
less pronounced in Pierce County than in
King, but there are a number of ultra-
Bryan men as well as old-line Democrats
who will repudiate Turner on account of
his ;varlegated political career.
Turner's lieutenants are having some
difficulty in lining up the labor vote and
it will not be so unanimous for the Spo
kane millionaire as that of the gambling
and saloon fraternity. There is also difficulty-
encountered in making the members
of the Lumbermen's Association believe
. . - . , . ., .
I" ' - '
election of Turner. Viewed In its worst
possible light, and It seems hardly prob
able that Mead will come out of Pierce
with less than X00 majority and there is
an excellent possibility that this figure
may be doubled. B. W. W.
DISCONTENTED IN COLOMBIA.
President Reyes Seems to Have Lost
Control of Situation.
PANAMA, Oct 20. Advices from Cauca
report that there is great discontent there
and throughout Colombia. Apparently
President Reyes, with his political ene
mies In the majority in both Houses of
Congress, cannot control the situation.
Paper currency Is being Issued In un
limited amount
Amador Has a Clear Field.
PANAMA. Oct 30. The resignation yes
terday, of Tomas Arias, Secretary of State
of the Republic of Panama, apparently
ends the division of political parties, here.
Pablo Arosemena, leader of the opposi
tion. said to the Associated Press:
."Opposition to President Amador Is lm
possible now."
It Is reported" that Santiago Guardla,
Minister to Costa Rica, will replace Arias,
CONTENTS OF TODAY'S PAPER
Political.
Roosevelt's election by a generous majority
conceded by the New Tori Herald. Page 1.
Estimate of the New Tork Tribune puts the
President's borne state in Republican col
umn. Page t
Republican battle-cries have urged on the
farmers and first-voters. Page 1.
Pierce Republicans roused from apathy by dan
ger of Senator Foster's defeat. Page 1.
National.
President Rooewvelt issues a call for a second
peace conference at The Hague. Page 1
Administration's foreign policy has made the
American flag respected abroad. Page 1
Recently built United States battleships said to
have vital points exposed. Pago -4.
War la the Par East.
Prance was mainly Instrumental in bringing
North Sea matter to arbitration. Page 2.
Feeling Is growing in London that the Russian
Admiral fired on his own vessels. Page 2.
Attack on Port Arthur 6ets fire to town; smoke
less powder magazine burned. Page 3.
Manchurlan armies are in very close touch.
Page 3.
General.
Rear-end collision on the illsiouri Pacific kills
three and wounds 23. Page 4.
Japanese Minister Talcahlra is operated upon
for appendicitis. Page 3.
Thousands crowd the New Tork. subway on
excursion trains. Page 3.
Archbishop Elder is dying ' in Cincinnati.
Page 8. t
Paclflc Coast
Southern Oregon timber claimants alleged to
have been victimised. Page 11.
TamhlU County is considering the subject of
school district consolidation. Page 11.
Sports.
Three big college football teams of Edit are
defeated, by minor. Institution. Page 9.
Portland and Vldalty.
State Senator George C Brownelt is acting
Governor of Oregon. Page 12.
Preacher thinks divorce Is often a good thing.
Page 10:
Hon. Simon Wolf r Jakes several addresses.
Page 4.
Expensive street Improvements are planned for
East Side. Page 10.,
Population, of Portland is estimated by new
"Woman whose name was connected with baby
ln-grip case explains. Page 10.
"Weather of this October extraordinarily fine.
Page,7.
Prohibitionists and U-prohlbltleIts forecast
election results. Pure ia
OUR FUG A
World Now Respects
United States.
VALUE OF "BIG STICK"
What the President's Foreign
Policy. Has' Done.
DEMOCRATIC VICTORY IS BAD
John Barrett Tells What Has Been
Accomplished by the Present Ad
ministration What Reversal
Means to All.
By John Barrett United States Minister to
Panama, in Chicago Tribune.
The Democratic nartv Is maklnc a most
serious blunder In criticising President
Roosevelt's foreign policy. The conten
tions of the Democratic press and cam
paign speakers on this subject cannot
stand the light of facts. They may take
advantage of the general lack of acquain
tance throughout the United States with
conditions abroad, but when these are
known and understood there can result
nothing but praise and admiration for the
President's policy. No man who goes be
yond the shores of the United States, or
who, staying at home, has pride in his
Nation's standing abroad, can sympathize
with the Democratic exploitation of the
President's so-called Imperialism. If it
were possible to give every person who is
skeptical on this point a trip around the
world, especially to the Far East and to
South America, he would return loud In
ids praises of President Roosevelt
If. by any combination of circumstances,
the President Is defeated at the coming
election. It will simply mean that the
American people have too little regard
for their standing, dignity and Influence
beyond their own borders. The. Nation
would be, in other words, like a man in
a community who has no respect for the
opinion of his neighbors, and remains
selfishly within his own doors, shaping
his acts entirely according to his own per
sonal desires. President Roosevelt has
made the United States not only respect
ed but admired and trusted by every gov
ernment throughout the world excepting
possibly one or two which have pursued
the. tactica of..iujhwaymn Jn, dealing
rith -tJiB-Ujutetl States.
"We hear much about the "big stick
from Democratic speakers, and yet these
orators are the ones who would first call
for the President's protection If they were
in trouble in other lands! The" critics that
inveigh against the President's imperial
Ism are the same class of men who would
first clamor for the protection of the flag
if they had interests abroad which were
in any way assailed because of American
Impotency of action.
American Flag Greater Than Others
If they who today are stumping the
land against President Roosevelt could
have gone to foreign parts in the old days
when the flag stood for nothing, when
American merchants and travelers were
everywhere snubbed, when our Army and
Navy were the laughing stock of the
world, when we had no influence. In the
qouncil of nations; and if, then again,
they could journey around tho world now.
when the nag means more than the stan
dard of any other nation, when our mer
chants have access to all markets, when
our Navy Is respected In every port, and
wnen our aavice is sougnt in every con
clave of powers, they would In sheer sense
of stricken conscience renounce their
present attitude and pray for tho success
of a party which has accomplished this
mighty change, and of a leader whose
name is honored In the XZ&ft remote por
tions of the earth! It 13 not a case of the
"big stick." It Is a case of a big neigh
borly spirit That Is today the insplra
tion of Theodore Roosevelt In his treat
ment of foreign nations and peoples.
Policy Causes No Alarm Abroad.
Who is it that .talks about the "big
stick"? "Who Is It that makes all this
clamor about imperialism and about vio
lation of the Constitution In our foreign
affairs? Who Is it that Is protesting?
Usually, If there Is a ruffian at large upon
the street or if there" Is a bully having
hiH swav. the complaints come from those
who are tyrannized qver by the ruffian
and the bully. Applying the comparison
to our relations with foreign countries, It
Is remarkable and convincing that we
hear no cry of the "big stick" from th
nations that should te irigntened By it
We hear no complaints from Central or
South America, unless It be from som
country that has no regard for treaty
obligations and the comity of Intematlon
al negotiations. Wo hear no valid .protest
against imperialism from the people of
the countries whicn are pictured Dy ui
Democrats as suffering from the Presi
dent's attitude. Of course, we are told of
the speeches and remonstrances of certain
aritators and political factions In such
countries, but they are Inspired, in truth.
bv influences Hostile to tne .President in
the United States. We receive rfb real,
actual protest from the controlling and
thinking men of those lands where the
Administration is accused of wielding
hard, imperialistic hand. The critics who
shout in a loud voice about the "b!g
stick" are like the men and boys who sit
on the fence and watch a contest or fight
between others, but never dare to take
part themselves, except to. applaud or de
nounce those actually engaged, according
as their sympathies prompt them. If they
were obliged: to exercise the continual re
sponsibility of President Roosevelt , In
guarding and .advancing American inter
ests abroad, and if they had to stand the
blame or censure for each act they would
sing a different song.
United States Hated by None.
Speaking specifically now of Preside'nt
Roosevelt's foreign policy, let us note
few interesting facts in regard to Cen
tral and South America, If the policy of
the Administration L such as Is -described
by the Democrats, why Is It that we fin
nearly all of the -Latin republics anxious
for the re-election of President Roosevelt?
It is an undeniable and remarkable situ a
tion that, with the exception of Colom
bla. all of the 19 Iatin nations are mani
festing an attitude favorable to President
Roosevelt we can assume that the Lat
In-American newspapers are fairly good
gauges of public opinion. In the United
States we can largely Judge the temper of
the people by the prevailing tone of c
press. 4 By applying the same rule to Cea.
tral and uoutn America we discover al
. most a unanimous press favorable to the
President Now and then some organ of
particular faction assails him violently.
but all of the great newspapers editorially
express themselves as believing that It
would be for the best Interests of Latin
America that be should be re-elected. The
principal representative dailies of Mexico.
Lima, Santiago, Buenos Ayres, Monte
video, Rio Janeiro, Havana and Panama
have contained from time to time edito
rial views emphasizing the fact that the,
promotion of friendly relations and the
development of commerce between their
countries and the United States will bts
subserved and furthered by the success of
the President in the coming election. It
Is Impossible to cite a single powerful
newspaper In Xatln America, that sympa
thizes with the Democratic Idea of the
big stick" and that opposes President
Roosevelt on any such ground. If their
future and their rights are In danger, as
the opposition "spellbinders" contend, and
if they are cowed and shrinking with fear
in the presenco of this tyrant of the
mighty club, why do they not say so, and
why do they not assume a cringing atti
tude? The real cowing and the cringing
will be the characteristic attitude of these
speakers when the election Is -over and
the people have given their verdict
Known Throughout Al! tho Orient.
A word about China, Japan, the Philip-
nines, and the Par East In general. It
was only a few years ago when, as a
United States Minister in that part of the
world. I, with my colleagues in other
countries, saw the United States regarded.
as a secondary power, and our commerce
considered as of little Importance among
the 600.000.CO0 human beings that debouch
on the shores of the Pacific Ocean Just
across from our own Pacific Coast of Cali
fornia. Oregon and Washington. Up to
the time of our occupation of the jiuup
plnes the United States failed to stand
for that moral, political and commercial
influence- that is so gratifying to the heart
of every patriotic citizen. Then followed
a succession of events, culminating in the
present policy of the Administration to
protect the integrity of China and to Join
with the other nations In safeguarding
foreign commerce and Influence which, as
specifically outlined by that great Secre
tary of State, John Hay, has wori the ad
miration and plaudits of all lands and
peoples. If an American travels now into
the most remote sections of China, Japan,
Slam, Corea, India, or the Philippines he
will find not only that the United States is
everywhere known and respected, but that
our commerce is increasing by leaps and
bounds with resultant permanent benefit
to American labor and capital.
America Respected Around World.
There is today no nation in all the
world that is so loved, and respected in
Asia and in South America as the United
States. Even a blind, deaf and dumb man
traveling around the pathway of empire
cannot avoid being convinced of this- fact
Why, then, all this outcry against the
President and the "big stick?" Why all
this clamor about Imperialism? There can
be no change for the better; Democratic
success at the polls, If we could judge of
the probable policy of that party from Its
exponents, would mean a change for the
worse. Our prestige would, be lowered and
without doubt our commerce would be de
creased, with resultant Injury to Amer
ican labor and capital. The average la
boring man may think that he is only
concerned with home policies, but it is of
the highest necessity that he should also
consider the foreign, relations of ths
United States. He should stand for Roose
velt the protector and the promulgator
of markets abroad, for the products of
American labor, as well as for Roosevelt
who stands for the protection of the le
gitimate rights of labor at home in its
relations with capital.
If a radical change In our foreign in
fiuence and prestige Is brought about by
yictory of the Democratic party In No
vember every laboring man In the United
States must count upon a curtailment of
American exports and a corresponding
curtailment of wages and the output of
factories, shops and mines. It will be
jump into the dark for the laboring man
to vote against Roosevelt. And so we
might argue convincingly that the manu
facturer and the , capitalist must stand
firmly for the success of Roosevelt be
cause th-j growth of foreign markets
means added returns to the Investment
of the manufacturer and the capitalist
The $2,000,000,000 which is approxlmately
the value of our foreign export trade in
cludes at least 60 per cent of the whole as
wages, when, therefore, it 13 realized
that $1,200,000,000 is thus divided annually
among tne laboring men in this country,
it can be appreciated that the Republican
party is guarding the Interests of the
laborer while striving In all legitimate
ways to increase our trade and prestige
abroad.
HIstoryJustlfies Panama Canal Policy
The Democrats have done everything in
their power to make political capital out
of the Panama situation, but they are
failing lgnomlniously. Why? Because
every development since the revolution on
November 3, 1903, has justified the action
and policy of President Roosevelt There
are coming, even from the heart of Co
lombia, reports that the people of that
country are realizing that they made
great mistake in their treatment of the
United States, and they must blame their
own selfish political leaders instead of the
President of the United States for the loss
of Panama. Only recently one of the lead
lng statesmen of South America described
the men of influence in Colombia wh6
refused to ratify the Hay-Herran treaty.
which would have settled the whole ques
tion and kept the canal in Colombian ter
ritory, as "political highwaymen, who
without conscience or principle had robbed
their own native land of her sacred birth
right" The principal newspapers of
South America, which first criticised the
President's policy towards Colombia and
Panama when they were ignorant of all
the surrounding facts, now calmly and
logically commend his attitude and po
sltion.
Prevented Civil War on the Isthmus
In Panama men, regardless of . former
political affiliations, are unanimous in de
daring that If the President had pursued
any other method than, he did, civil war
woUld have broken out great loss of prop
erty and life would have resulted, and
traffic across the Isthmus would have been
permanently Interrupted In direct negation
of the treaty of the United- States with
Colombia. No impartial student of facts,
who has investigated the entire case, tak
ing Into consideration practical conditions
as well as theoretical conceptions, can do
other than commend the President's Pan
ama policy. It is easy enough for the
members of the so-called Democratic Con
stitutional Club in New York in the theo
retical atmosphere of their legal offices
to frame technical criticisms of the Presi
dents acts, but if they had been face to
face with, the actual management of the
crisis last November, and if they had to
execute policies instead of to sit In easy
chairs and condemn them, they would be
today espousing the President's methods
and attitude. The entire record of the
President in the Panama affair Is open
and clear as a book, and If any one" who
Is skeptical, after perusing this record
will simply take a calm, fair view of the
practical developments and possibilities
the isthmus and in Colombia at the time,
he will admit even against his will, that
the President was right The more I have
personally investigated the situation" my
self m Panama and the more familiar
have become with all the conditions sur
rounding the revolution, the more con
4Ciiclse& oa Pas TkrM.)
TftLKONPEAEE
resident ProposesCon
ference at Hague.
NDORSES NEW SUBJECT,
nternational Congress to Meet
Periodically,
USTIFIES THE PRESENT CALL
Reminds the- Nations of the World
That the United States Was Not
at Peace When the First Can
Veniloh .Wat Held.
SUBJECTS FOB coysTpyrBATtoy.
Bights and duties of neatralsv-.
Inviolability of prlxate property &
naval warfare.
Bombardment of forts by naval force.
General system of arbitration treaties.
International Congress to, meet at pe
riods to be stated in ths Interest of
peace.
WASHINGTON, Oct 30. In a circular
note, Secretary Hay has carried out the
President's instructions relative to pro
posing a second Hague conference. The
note not only contemplates the reassem
bling of The Hague conference for the
consideration of questions specifically
mentioned by the original 'conference, as
demanding further consideration, such as
the rights and duties of neutrals, the in
violability of private property in navel
warfare and the bombardment of ports
by naval force, but goes further by prac
tically indorsing the project of a general
system of arbitration treaties and the
essential of an international congress to
meet periodically in the Interest of peace.
The issue of the call while, the present
war is in progress is justified by the fact
ttbat the first Hague conference was
called before our treaty of peae with
Spain was concluded. The text, of the
note follows;
Instructions of the President.
"Department of State. Washington, D,
C, Oct 21. 1904. To the Representatives
of the United States accredited to the
Governments signatory to the Acts of
The Hague Conference, 1899. Sirs: The
peace conference which assembled at The
Hague on May 18, 1SS9, marked an 4psch
in the history of nations. Called by Hi3
Majesty, the Emperor of Russia, To dis
cuss the problems of the maintenance of
general peace, the regulation of the oper
ations of war and the lessening of the
burdens which preparedness for eventful
war entails upon modern peoples. Its la
bors resulted In the acceptance by the
signatory powers of conventions for the
peaceful adjustment of International dif
ficulties by arbitration, and for certain
humane amendments to the laws and cus
toms of war by land and sea.
"A great work was thus accomplished
by the conference, while other phases of
the general subject were left to be dis
cussed by another conference in the near
future, such as questions affecting the
rights and duties of neutrals, the invio
lability of private property in naval war
fare and the bombardment of ports, towns
and villages by a naval force.
Work of the Union.
"Among the movements which prepared
the minds of governments for art accord
in the direction of assured peace among
men, a high place may fittingly bo given
to that set on foot by the Interparlia
mentary Union. From its origin in the
suggestions of a member of the British
House of Commons in 1S8S it developed
until its membership Included large num
bers of delegates from the parliaments of
the principal nations, pledged to exert
their influence toward the conclusion of
treaties of arbitration between nations
and toward the accomplishment of peace.
"Its annual conferences have notably
advanced the high purposes it sought to
realise. Not only have many internation
al treaties of arbitration been concluded,
but in the conference held in Holland In
1894 the memorable declaration in favor
of a permanent court of arbitration was
a forerunner of the most . Important
achievement of the peace conference ef
The Hague in, 1SS9.
Deliberations at St. Louis.
"The annual conference of the Interpar
liamentary Union was, held this year in
St. Louis, in appropriate connection with
the World's Fair. Its deliberations wera
marked by the same noble devotion to tha
cause of peace, and to tho welfare of
humanity which had Inspired its former
meetings. By the unanimous vote of the
delegates, active or retired members of
the American Congress and of every par
liament In Europe, with two exceptions,
the following resolution was adopted:
Whereas, enlightened pubUo opinion and mod
ern clTllisatlon alike demand that differences
between nations should be adjudicated and set
tled in the same manner as disputes between
individuals are adjudicated, namely, by the
arbitrament of courts in accordance with r
ognlzed principles of law. this conference re
quests the several governments of the world
to send delegates to an International confer
ence to be held at a time and place to be
agreed upon by them for the purpose of con
sideration;, First Questions for the constderatioa of
which The Hague- conference expressed a wieb
that a future conference be called.
Second The negotiation of arbltrattea treaties
between the nations represented at the confer
enco to be convened. '
The 'advteability of estabUsfelng .an lnteraa
tlonal ccngresa to convene periodically for trw
dlscuss-toa of interna tioEa.1 qvestioBs.
' And the.cosiereace reepeetfully aai oeriiali
1 1 i
-i
m