VOL. XL. NO. 12,448. PORTLAND, OREGON; MONDAY, NOVEMBER 5, 1900. PRICE FIVE CENTS. i t ir fr i v f t 1 Bar Fixtures ..Nest Demons.. Billiard Tables ..pooiTabic. Billiard Supplies ..and Repair.. rothchild bros., . Bowling Alley 20-26 N. First St, Portland. ..Supplies and Repairs.. E0P" WRITE FOR CATALOQUE AND PRICE LIST i This Is the Time of the Year..... When you -wish your old bouse had a furnace In it. We are putting fur naces in old houses all the time for the heating of both first and second floors, and have no. difficulty 1n so doing. As one customer said the other day whose old house we heated from collar to garret: "I scarcely knew your men wre in the house, and they broke or disturbed nothing." Call and see W. G. Mcpherson He'n;,irinat,nfl 47 FIRST STREET PRICES REDUCED THE MMIUFACTIIRERS OF I Premo and Poco Cameras Announce greatly reduced prices on their makes of Cameras. Prices on application. BLUMAUER-FRANK DRUG CO. 144-146 FOURTH STREET PARK AND WASHINGTON STREETS Ja. P. Armstrong, LL. B., Principal. jr. A, Wesco. Penman and Secretary. Known at horns and abroad as a first-class school, It has educated hundreds of young people for successful careers. With full faith In Its ability to meet the expect ations of Its patrons, the school invites the most critical examination into its merits. PRIVATE OR CLASS INSTRUCTION In Spelling, Grammar, Writing, Arithmetic, Correspondence, Commercial Law, Bookkeeping, Business Forms, Banking, Corporation Accounts, Business Practice, Shorthand, Typewriting, Manifolding, Office Work. E& Call or send for catalogue. tZin. UETSCHAN. rres. SEVENTH AND WASM.1GT0N CHA.VGE OF European Plan: Hair Brushes this week at special prices. Adams, Loonen, Dupont Every one of the brst. at reductions from res ulir prices of 25 to 60 per cnt. BOLE AGENTS FOR d&yff Celebrated Chocolates and Bon Bons. Popular-Price Druggists K.aWoodard, Clarke & Co. DRY Recently an apparatus has boon in Tented by means of which thousands of sufferers with rheumatism have been cured, while all drugs have failed. By means of our hot-air apparatuses any portion of or entire body protected by one or two layers of towels can be subjected to a temperature of 300 to 500 degrees Fahrenheit, with comfort and p rfoi safety. The successful results cf this treatment have startled the medical world. Don't suffer any long er, but call oa us. HENRY De VRIES, Operator, 318-320 Ablngton Bldg. J'Uone Clay 32. r POHTLKND, 1 AMERICAN PLAN SS SF""1 COST ONE MILLION DOLLARS tlEADQUARTERS FOR TOURISTS AND COMMERCIAL TRAVELERS special rate na to famtllei lusia reatlemen. The Bnnc Meat will be pleated at all tinea te snow reotua and jrlve prices. A nod. trm Turkish bath eBtablishsocnt la tfc fcotaL. XL. C BOWERS, VaiosM, Library Association of 24,000 volumes and over 200 periodicals $5.00 a year or $1.50 a quarter Two books allowed on all subscriptions Hoors From 9KM) A. M. to 9:00 P. M. daily, except Sundays and holidays. i. Senator Davis' Condition. ST. PAUL. Nov. 4.-The condition ot Senator C K. Davis is reported as worse tonight, aad fears are entertained that If his Mfe te saved it may be at the cost of his foot r possibly his right leg. The pus which has formed la the foot has now gathered further back, and indica tors are that it Is permeating the entire limb The siugeees beta a consultation today and decided to send to Chicago for a, specialist. The Senator suffered much pain today. EXCLUSIVE CARPET HOUSE. J. 0. Mack &Co. 88 Third St. CfsssSx Conkr f fiimim Omtae C. W. XNOWLES. Kr. STREETS. PORTUND, 0RE001 MANAGEMENT $1.00, $1.50, $2.00 per Day Free Demonstration of YCi OX PPcr In our photo deport ment this evening. Those Interested tn photography aro cor dially Invited. THIRD STn PORTLAND, OR. ORSCON a 53.00 PER DAY 3 Portland STARK STREET, Bel. 7th and Park Rash for the Pearl Beds. PRAIRIE DU OHIEN. "Wis.. Nov. 4. Discoveries of pearls In the Upper Mis sissippi River has caused a tremendous rush to the clam beds. Boats are crowd ing the river, and more than 1000 persons are encamped along the river banks. The finding of a few thousand dollars' worth of pearls started the raid. One of the pearls recently found weighed 100 grains, and is said to be the largest pearl yet taken from tho river. It was sold for ?3ooa. HOT AIR PORTLAND McKinley Will Have Between 11,500 and 12,500. OHLY FIVE COUNTIES FOR BRYAN Republicans "Will Come to Multno mah. OOOO Abend, and Portland "Will Do the Rest. ESTIMATED PLURALITIES. . McKinley. Bryan. Baker -....' 100 ... Benton 100 ... Clackamas 500 ... Clatsop 700 Columbia '400 ... Coos ......... , 250 ... Crook 200 ... Curry 125 Douglas 100 Gilliam 150 ... Grant 850 Harney 100 Jackson 100 Josephine 200 ... Klamath 60 ... Lake ... 150 ... Lane 850 Lincoln ......... , 150 ... Linn 500 Marlon 600 Malheur 100 Morrow 200 ... Multnomah . 5,500 Polk 150 ... Sherman 200 ... Tillamook S00 Umatilla 800 Union 250 "Wallowa 150 Wasco 500 ... "Washington 600 ... Wheeler 200 ... Tamhlll 150 Total 12,635 1050 McKinley, net plurality 11,585 McKInley's plurality over Bryan in Oregon will be between, 11,500 and 12,500. This Is The Oregonlan's estimate, based on a careful canvass of the counties. Mc Kinley will carry 28 counties by plurali ties aggregating: 12,635. Bryan will carry five counties by aggregate pluralities of 1060. This estimate, shown above in its details, leaves McKinley 11,585 to the good. It does not seem exaggerated when it is considered that the Republican can-, dldates for Congress carried this state by 12,293 In June, and the general situa tion and alignment of parties are about the same now as in June. Bryan has a fighting chance in Baker County, which is given, to McKinley by 100, and Mc Kinley has a fighting chance in Jackson, which, is given to Bryan by 100. Bry&nltes Give No Estimate. Chairman Steel, of tho Republican State Committee, claims Oregon for McKinley by 10,000 plurality. He concedes six coun ties to Bryan Baker, Harney, Jackson and Malheur by 100 each, Union by 259 and Linn by 300. Chairman Sheridan, of the 'Democratic Committee, and Chair man. King, of the Populist Committee, who have jointly managed the Bryan campaign, decline to give any estimate for Oregon. Mr. Sheridan evinced much Interest in Chairman Steel's estimate, and asked the names of the counties which had been conceded to Bryan. An Oregonian reporter called them off, but omitted to mention Harney. "How about Harney?" Chairman Sher idan promptly inquired. Chairman Sheridan, did not ask about any other county. Prom this It may be deduced that the Democratlo leader was satisfied that Chairman Steel had con ceded all the counties that Bryan is like ly to carry. Precincts and Registration. Oregon has 769 voting precincts. For the June election, according to statements made to The Oregonian by every County Clerk in. the state, .8S.40S voters registered. The exhibit by counties Is: County Precincts. Registration. Baker 27 Benton 15 4,124 1,055 4.701 2.5G5 ' 1.693 2,531 1,183 5G0 2,823 040 1.022 1.004 8.055 2,103 917 987 5.205 6.122 001 1.133 0,258 1,327 18.754 2,725 1,043 1.038 4.590 4.034 1,610 8.132 8.453 858 8.417 93.409 Clackamas 3a Clatsop 20 Columbia 13 Coos 26 Crook 21 Curry 14 Douglas 23 Gilliam 11 Grant 18 Harney is Jackson ................... 82 Josephine 10 Klamath 11 Lake 12 Lane 50 Linn 30 Lincoln 13 Malheur IS Marlon 88 Morrow 14 Multnomah 80 Polk 21 Sherman 8 Tillamook 18 Umatilla 84 Union 27 Wallowa 14 Wasco 20 Washington 21 Wheeler .. . 13 Tamhlll 21 Total 769 Total Vote of the State. The vote of the state tomorrow ought to be 'between 110,000 and 115,000.' In June there were cost for Congressmen 82,419 votes, against a registration of 95,408, leaving a stay-at-home vote of 15,958. "Whether these stay-at-homes and 12,000 or 15,000 others who are entitled to vote will come out, is a problem that none of the political managers has been able to solve. If the experience of the past 20 years counts for anything, pretty close to a full vote should be cast tomorrow. In every Presidential year since 18S0, the Presidential vote of November has ex ceeded the Congressional vote of June, in 1892 and 1S95 tho November vote was greatly In excess of the June vote, as the following comparison shows: Congressmen. President. June. Nov. 1SS0 33,000 40,810 1554 49.351 52.732 1555 00.209 61.914 1882 75.C48 87,337 1800 89,454 97,414 1900 82,449 Four Tears Aro and JTorr. In 189 Bryan carried 17 of the 32 coun ties in Oregon. McKinley carried the state by 48,779 votes, to 46,739 for Bryan. Bryan came to Multnomah County lead ing McKinley by 333L Multnomah gave MoKinley 5371 plurality, which wiped out Bryan's lead In the remainder of the state and made McKlnleys net plurality 2010. This year McKinley will come to Multnomah County COOO ahead of Bryan, and Multnomah will come near adding another 0000 tothe lead. The Prohibition vote may exceed 5000. Barker ought to get 4500. Debs' vote is an unknown quantity. Volcano Eruption. Expected. SAN FRASNCISCO. Nov. 4. The pas sengers on the bark Roderick Dhu re port that the volcano of Kllauea, 30 miles from. Hilo. was momentarily expected to JJbegin Its periodical eruption on account of a series of severe earthquakes that took place October 10. The first of the shocks October 10 occurred about 3 o'clock in the morning", was very violent and lasted 15 seconds. There were three more strong' shocks during the day. THERE HEED BE NO ALARM Cardinal Gibbons Preaches oa the Coming Presidential Election. BALTIMORE, Nov. 4. Cardinal Gibbons took occasion at high mass today to say a few words on the subject of the coming election in his regular monthly sermon to his congregation at the Cathedral. The Cardinal never takes any active part in politics, rarely, if ever, casting his ballot, but to those who are fortunate enough to be in his confidence, he does not hesi tate to express himself upon the (issues involved Ir the present contest. He takes the position that there need be no alarm on the part of any one over the result of the coming election, and asserts that there Is nothing In the situation to war rant the belief that tho election of either candidate will in any wise seriously affect the future welfare and prosperity of the American Republic. Cardinal Gibbons said, in part: " 'Render to Caesar the things that are Caesar's, and to God the things that are God's.' Alatthew xxll. "Every man in the commonwealth leads a dual life a private life under the shad ow of the home, and a public life under the aegis of the state. As a father, hus band or son, he owes certain duties to God as well as to the family; as a citizen, ha contracts certain obligations to his country. Theso civic virtues are all com prised under the generis name of patriot ism. "Patriotism implies, of course, not only a love for one's country, but also an at tachment to Its laws, institutions and government: filial admiration for its he roes, its statesmen and men of genius and Christian philanthropy, who have contrib uted to their country's renown by the valor of their arms, the wisdom of their counsel; by their literary fame or by their publla benefactions. It includes also an ardent zeal for the maintenance of those sacred principles which secure to the citi zen freedom of conscience and an earnest determination to consecrate his talents and his life. If necessary, pro oris et fools, in defense of altar and fireside, of God. and fatherland. God has planted in the human heart an imperishable lovo of country. "If the virtue of patriotism was held in such high esteem by pagan Greece and Rome, guided only by tho light of reason, how much -more should It be cherished by Christians enlightened as they are by the voice of revelation. Our Divine Sav ior has ennobled and sanctified loyalty to country by the force of his teaching and example. Perhaps it is only when an American travels abroad that ho fully realizes how deep rooted is his love for his native land. The sentiment of patriot ism, which may be dormant at home, is aroused and quickened on foreign shores. Tho sight of the American flag flying from the mast of a ship in mldocean or in-soma foreign port awakes an unwonted emotion and enthusiasm. Let a citizen from Maine meet a. citizen: fn&oCaiifor- ma. wu win uuiu m. ino xioer or on tno shores of the Bosphorus, they will at once forget that at home thoy live 3000 miles apart; all state lines are- obliterated, par ty differences axe laid aside, religious ani mosities (If any had existed) are extin guished. They will warmly clasp hands and will remember only that they are American citizens and children of the same mother. "On next Tuesday, an election will be held throughout the United States for the highest office In the gift of the people. There are two candidates for tho Presi dencyMr. McKinley and Mr. Bryan. Of course, only one candidate will be success ful. All the efforts of the other will have been expended In vain. Immense outlays of money will have been squandered, and tho oratory of many distinguished speak ers will have wasted its sweetness on the desert air." I earnestly hope that the re sult of the election will be so declslvo as to leave no room for doubt or cavil or contention, such as happened when Tilden and Hayes were candidates in 1S76. "As there are two candidates In the field, so there are two great parties in the country the Republican and the Demo cratic party. The existence of parties is not only useful, but even essential, in a popular and enlightened goyernment like ours. "Where there are no parties, or where one party is too weak and Insig nificant to present a formidable barrier to the other, the dominant party will revel in power, and is liable to run to excess. But where both parties are almost equally divided, as Is the case with us, one party will watch the other; It will hold up to public criticism and condemnation the shortcomings and official misdemeanors nf the ruling power. It will compel the dom inant party to mend Its ways, or it will seek redress by driving Its leaders from office in a coming election. "Vote then on Tuesday for the candi date of your choice. And as you are guided by your conscientious Judgment In -the selection of your candidate, you should give to your neighbor who. differs from you due credit for being actuated by the like honorable motives. Do not imagine that tho country will go to perdi tion if your favorite is defeated. And let not your opponent indulge in tho pessim istic notion that we shall witness a revo lution and a social upheaval if his candi date Is not elected. For my part, what ever may be the result of the Presidential election, I have an abiding faith in the perpetuity of our Republic." Dr. Parkhnrst Mentions Politics. NEW TORK, Nov. 4. Rev. Dr. Park hurst, at the Madison-Avenue Presbyte rian Church this afternoon, took next Tuesday's election as the basis of his sermon. The doctor said that Imperialism meant the devoting of ourselves to our country, rather than our country to our selves. No patriotic American could fall to recognize the principles -confronting America in the strained relations existing between the two competing classes of our population. He added: "It Is undoubtedly the fact, with regard to this part of the country, at any rate, that no consideration Is Just now operat ing with such tremendous effect as the consideration of the dollar. I want to say, parenthetically, that though I am not speaking now 6f the economic proportion of the dollar I am not a banker or politi cal economist and without being either and being simply a preacher of righteous ness. It Is axiomatic to say that a dis honest dollar Is a National fraud, and that to indulge In a dollar that makes believe that It Is a whole one when it Is only a half-dollar would transform our entire people Into an American Ananias." Republicans Claim Maryland. BALTIMORE, Nov. 4. Chairman Golds boro. of the Republican State Central Committee, tonight Issued a statement In which he claims that McKinley will surely- carry the state by at least ll.W votes. Both -sides seem confident, and the betting, which has heretofore been strongly in favor of McKinley, has veered eharply.-toward Bryan. BEST FOR FILIPINOS Highest Good Demands Suc cess of American Plan. STATEMENTS GO UNCONTRADICTED Professor Scanrmaa's Response the Open Letter of Slxto Lopea Case Clearly Stated. to BUFFALO, N. Y Nor. 4. Professor Jacob G. Schurman, who passed through this city this afternoon, en route from the "West to Ithaca, handed to the As sociated Press the following reply to an open letter addressed to him by Slxto Lopez: "Mr. Blxto Lopez open letter of the 3d Inst., addressed to me, although I have not yet seen it except in the .newspapers, is a gratifying proof of the correctness of the report of tho Philippine Commls- eteeteet9ooeeioa BEWARE OP ROORBACKS. Look Out for the Bryanite Faker and His Little Campaign Lie. The great Presidential contest of 1900 Is nearly over. But ono day Intervenes before tho voting. On the Republican side the cam paign has been one of education and fairness, of Issues squarely met. On the Democratic side it has been a campaign of delusion. Not a Democratic! leader from Bryan to Croker, and Croker back to Bryan, has been honest with the people. Bryan has denounced trusts, but he has patted Croker, the father of the New York Ice trust, on the back and exclaimed: "Great Is Tammany, and Richard Croker is its prophet!" The manager of his campaign is James K. Jones, of cotton-bala trust fame. Bryan has opposed expansion and called it imperialism and militarism, and appealed to Thomas Jefferson as a guide when he knows that Jefferson was an expan sionist, that he acquired Louisiana, and that, looking with longing eyes toward Canada, he wrote: "No Constitution .was ever before so well calculated as ours for extensive empire and self-government." Dealing with the money question, Bryan has played fast and loose with the sound-money advocates and the Populists, hoping to get support from both sides. His speeches since tho campaign be gan have given the American people his true measure, and he can not be elected. His only hope Is In such change of sentiment as may be brought about by the circulation of false stories. Look out for all yarns sent out from Democratic headquarters. Look out for all indorsements of Bryan that may be posted on billboards, tele graph poles and dead -walls tomorrow. If you see appeals for Bryan, put the stamp of falsehood on them. If there was any truth in them, and the Democrats were honest, they would have been brought out lonar ago. The Democrats would not wait until the last moment to tell the truth. .'-,--w Si &? '"'a'' J- 'i--, Cf ' slon. Mr. Lopes, by his declarations, con firms all I have said of the promising educational possibilities in the Philip pines and of the admirable character of the educated Filipinos, few though they are, who may be taken as a type and promise of the future. Nor does Mr. Lo pez deny that the masses of the inhab itants of the Philippine Islands of all tribes and races are uneducated and very ignorant. Furthermore, by silent acqui escence in the report of our committee, Mr. Lopez acknowledges that thei major ity of the Filipinos either desire Ameri can sovereignty, as is the case with the men of education and property, or acquiesce In it or are indifferent to It, and that the demand for Independence originated with the ambitious Tagal Insurgent leaders, who havja diffused It with fire and sword, aided by atrocious misrepresentations of the alms and pur poses of the United States. Lastly, Mr. Lopez does not question the finding of our commission that the Inhabitants of the Philippine Islands are marked by great racial and tribal differences, by im mense varieties of social conditions, which rango all the way from the civi lisation ot Manila down through all phases of barbarism to the naked savage of Mindanao and Northern Luzon, by a be wildering multiplicity of languages which are mutually unintelligible, by dense ig norance on the part of the masses of the people by the absence of union and concert, and the utter lack of the Idea and sentiment of nationality, and by the absolute Inexperience of all classes In the affairs of government, which Spain always kept in Spanish hands. "And the consequence to be drawn from all this is equally Indisputable, nor does Mr. Lopez seek to dispute It namely, that the various and diversified peoples of the Philippine Islands are at the pres ent time Incapable of being considered as a nation; they are utterly unfit to ac cept sovereignty over the archipelago, even if the American people wished to Invest them with it; nor have they any hope of ever becoming a free and self governing nation, except In the continu ance of American sovereignty over them and In the peace, prosperity and ever-Increasing liberty of self-government which the American flag guarantees them. Pull down our flag and you leave "the Phil ippines a prey to Internal feuds and do mestic insurrections, which would quick ly beget anarchy. This would necessitate the intervention of foreign powers for the protection of the Uvea and property of their subjects. Of course, the Islands would eventually be divided up among them, and the Filipinos would exchange the free Institutions and home rule which tho American people desire as roon as possible, and In the largest degree prac ticable to bestow upon them, for the genuine Imperialism of the Old World Emperors, Kings and Czars. It Is the mission of our Republic to save the Fili pinos, who in general are most prom ising, estimable and even lovable peo ple, from this cruel fate, and to train them up to the use of free Institutions and the noble work of self-government Just as quickly and as generously as they or any portion of them can be Induced to exercise a civil function so arduous and so unaccustomed." IX THE PHILIPPIJrES. Success of American Scontlns In terest in Our Election. MANDLiA, Nov. 4. Last week was de voted to active scouting. The insurgents having failed to crush a single garrison, are how experiencing a reaction. Lieutenants Wilson and Dorlty, of the Forty-fifth Infantry, destroyed large stores of rice, four granaries and a bar rack near Bato. Captain Atkinson, with 34 men of the Thirty-seventh Infantry, attacked ISO insurgents under Colonel "Valencia, recovering two American pris oners and capturing a considerable quan tity of ammunition and supplies. A na tive orchestra lured the United States troops from their quarters near Dagupan whlle the insurgents attacked the rear, killing two Americans and wounding three. Today Senor Buencamlno, representing the principal ex-insurgents in Manila, re quested Judge Taf t to forward to Wash ington a signed expression of their loy alty. There is considerable excitement over the approaching Presidential election. With a good deal of betting on tho result. INDIANS IMP0S1D XJPOK. Report of Asrent on Five Tribes ot Indlaa. Territory. WASHINGTON, Nov. 4. United States Indian Agent Shoenf elt, "In charge of the Union Agency, whose Jurisdiction com prises tho Five Civilized Tribes, protests tjn his annual report against unlawful oc cupation of the Indian lands and urges rigid Congressional legislation to protect the Indian citizens against tho encroach ment of aggressive- and grasping whites. Many of the Indians are too poor to In stitute suit for possession. Tho total popu lation ot the Five Civilized Tribes Is esti mated at 84,750. The agent says that there is now every reason to believe that the Indian depredations and disturbances In &t--'l.-. '-ftHf3rKJt& W'tJ!,'itsJfi 4 eV''i5raeV this region are at an end. A few full blood Creeks are strenuously opposing the allotments of lands and have banded together and refuse to appear to select their allotments. A large majority of the Creeks, however, have made selections. The report recommends that Congress appropriate out of the Cherokee funds a sufficient amount to pay the Indebted ness of the nation and that a law bt passed compelling the Five Tribes to adopt a uniform system of taxing non citizens residing and doing business In the limits of the nation. Chile's Revr Cabinet. VALPARAISO, Chile, Nov. 4. The Cab inet crisis was terminated today by the formation of a coalition ministry, made up In part as follows: Premier and Minister of the Interior, Marasona Sanchez Fontocllla; Minister of Foreign Affairs, Alberto Gonzales Kr razulrz; Minister of Finance, Manuel Cov arrublas; Minister of War, Arturo Pesa. SUMMARY OP IMPORTANT NEWS. Political. Republican committee Issues revised list claiming election of McKinley. Page L Ylce-Chalrman Stone says he la absolutely sure of 'the election of Bryan. Page 1. Changes in Congress that would be made by an apportionment on the basis of 200,000 inhabitants per member. Page 2. Washington's plurality for McKinley will be' over 5000. Page 3. A S1O.O0O Bryan bluff was called at Baker City. Page 3. Cardinal Gibbons says the country will be safe, no matter who Is chosen Presi dent. Page L New York's Superintendent of Elections says preparations have been made for organized fraud. Page L Arrests for attempts at bribery have al ready been made in Indianapolis. Page L Foreign. Kitchener Is to stop pursuit of Boers and establish garrisons among them. Page 2. The London Times announces several new Cabinet probabilities. Page 2. An immense crowd attended the unveiling of the statue of the late President Car no t at Lyons. Page 2. China. The presence of Li Hung Chang restored confidence among the Chinese. Page 2. The King of Corea sent the allied troops a large gift of flour, rice and cigarettes. Page 2. Domestic. Professor Schurman replies to Slxto Lo pez, In which he shows It is for the highest good of Filipinos for Americana to succeed. Page 2. The Government lo experimenting with a compact emergency ration for troops in active service. Page 2. The big Atlantic liner St. Paul suffered a serious accident at sea. Page 2. Pacific Coast. Two men were killed In a railroad accident at The Dalles. Page 3. Two were killed and three Injured in a , railroad accdent at Redding. CaL Page 2. General Randall makes official report of conditions in Alaska. Page S. Experiments with storage reservoirs for irrigation are being made in Malheur County, Oregon. Page 3. Local. Oregon's Republican plurality estimated at nearly 12.0CO. Page 1. George Scabold. well-known commercial traveler, drops dead on Washington street. Page 10. John Barrett asserts euthentlclty-of Law ton letter. Page 8. Liveliest day ever known at police sta tion. Page 10. Commercial. More than 51.000,000 of American, manufac tures are exported dally. Page 9. American financiers are to participate In . the nationalization of tho Swiss rail roads and? German capitalists era Jeal ous. Paget & M'KINLEY FIGURES Official Detailed Statement by Republican Committee. LBRYANITirS "CIAIMS" AM OENERAlr Revised Estimates for the Various States Election Fraud ALrea&jr Allejred and Arrests Made. 1 I NEW YORK, Nov. 4. The Republican committee today gave out the following official statement: "On the eve of the election the Repub lican National Committee's forecast of the result, based upon absolutely au thentic and unimpeachable figures and facts, differs from lt3 previous forecasts only In increasing the magnitude of the triumph which Tuesday will bring to the cause of National honor and pros perity. All tho sources of the commit tee's information. Including many who are unwilling witnesses, concur In the conclusions that Tuesday's election will prove a landslide for McKinley and seal the doom ot Bryan and Bryanlsm for ever. "The prime cause of this Irresistible and overwhelming popular revolt against the Bryan Populist ticket Is perfectly obvious. It consists In the desire ot the people to maintain the prosperity which they have enjoyed and now enjoy under the policies of MeKinley's administra tion, and it Is their well-grounded fear of public calamity In case MxBryan la elected. "The laboring man, his wife and chil dren remember the poverty and misery and despair which surrounded their lives In the black years previous to MeKin ley's Inauguration, and they remember with gratitude the relief which has come to them since, with abundant employment and Increased wages. They listen now to Bryan's invitations to throw away their advantage, but they respectfully decline them. "Tho business 'men of the United States remember what happened to them tn those same dark days, and they know what the practical result of the election of 1S96 has been In reference to tho re habilitation and prosperity of all lines of commercial enterprise during the past four years. They conectly regard tho proposition to Indorse Bryan and his free-silver and free-trade theories as nothing short of Insanity. "The farmers are not likely to forget the evil days when they were reduced to bankruptcy and almost to beggary; and with their mortgages lifted, their farm products bringing greatly increased prices, and their homes filled with com fort and Joy, they do not propose to change their conditions at the behest of the false prophet of 18JKI and the an archlal agitation of 1900. "All who have remunerative work to do. all wjw have wages paid them, and jjgfeo- feaVg a utiiW Ht jpoteaj? ffi4auW velbp. a4r who hare miBney deposited 'in savings banks or Invested In homes of their own, have been confronted with a threat to reduce the value of their prop erty by one-half, and have been asked to ratify the suicidal proposition by their votes. As they constitute the great mass of the American people, and as they are the sane, sensible and honorable men, the overwhelming majority for McKinley and " against Bryan which Tuesday will record Is thus accounted for. "The people know that tho country has prospered under McKinley, that wages have risen to a hlghor rate, that employ ment Is abundant for all, that the savings of labor have increased $600,000,000, that commercial prosperity has been universal and commercial honor safeguarded against tne advocates of repudiation, and so they naturally have decided to re-elect him to continue the present conditions of prosperity and safety. "The committee's final forecast claims at least the following states for McKin ley: California 9 New York 88 Connecticut C North Dakota .... 3 Delaware 3 Ohio 23 Illinois 24 Oregon 4 Indiana 1 Pennsylvania 33 Iowa ISRhede Island 4 ICanetts WCouth Dakota 4 Kentucky ISVermont 4 Maine QtWashlngten 4 Maryland SiWeet Vlrslnla 6 Massachusetts . Michigan , Minnesota , New Hampshire New Jersey .... lK'Wlnconsln .. . lfJWyomlng .... ..13 .. 3 4i Total 284 10 "CORNELIUS N. BLISS, "JOSEPH H. MANLBY, "NATHAN B. SCOTT. "FREDERICK S. GIBBS. "FKANKLIN MURPHY." Stone Is Absolutely Certain. NEW YORK, Nov. 4. VIce-Chalrman Stone gives out his official prediction of the situation and the outcome tonight: "Tho final prediction," said he, "based on the latest and most accurate reports is that wo will carry the so-called doubt ful states. Indiana, Kentucky and Nebras ka. We have a good chance of carrying New Jersey and Delaware. "The battle Is on In New York, Illinois and Ohio. If we carry one of those three states, Mr. Bryan's election Is assured. I am positive we shall not fall to get one ,of the three. In all three states we have a much better Chance than McKinley. I feel certain tonight that we shall carry Now York and Illinois. Of Bryan's elec tion. I am tonlsht absolutely certain, without a shadow of a doubt." CHARGES OF FRAUDS. Suspiciously Heavy Rcslstrntlon la " Cincinnati Citizens Orsanlze. CINCINNATI, Nov. 4. Charges have been made of false registration In, Cin cinnati and other Ohio cities. While the last census gave Cincinnati a population of 325,000, its registration is 81.SS0. and a citizens' committee has been organizing today for systematic work with detec tives for arreste on Tuesday. It Is claim ed also that colonizations have been made tn some of the close Congressional districts. The Republicans are trying to gain a Congressman in the Third District. This, is one of the districts in which charges of fraud are made on both sides. In the Fifteenth District the election of Congressman Van, Voorhees, Republican, Is generally conceded. On account of the active work of Mayor Jones, of To ledo, there is some ta.lk of N. D. Coch ran, Democrat, defeating Congressman Southwark, Republican, in the Ninth, but the Jones vote is such an 'uncertain, ele ment this year in Ohio that It is not cut ting much of a figure in the estimates. In the Twelfth District, Emmet Tomp kins, Republican, Is making a hard fight to defeat John J. Lentz, Democrat, and, on account of the attitude of Lon,tz to ward the Administration In the last Con gress, special Interest is taken in this district. It is currently reported that (Conoludsd on Socond Pa&i